Joost Hiltermann
joosthiltermann.bsky.social
Joost Hiltermann
@joosthiltermann.bsky.social
MENA Program Director @crisisgroup. Conflict mitigation, human rights, good food. Author of "The Resurrected," a novel (forthcoming 2025).
Reposted by Joost Hiltermann
As the crisis in the Red Sea and Yemen deepens, @crisisgroup.org created a visual explainer tracing how Houthi attacks in some of the world’s most important strategic waters have disrupted global supply chains.

Scroll through here ⬇️

www.crisisgroup.org/visual-expla...
April 5, 2025 at 9:20 AM
We @crisisgroup.org have just published our view on the strengths and weaknesses of the Gaza ceasefire deal in a Q&A format. Take a gander.
www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
Understanding the Israel-Hamas Truce | Crisis Group
A deal has been reached to halt the war that has devastated the Gaza Strip and to return many of the Israelis held captive there. In this Q&A, Crisis Group experts lay out the ceasefire agreement’s contents and gauge its prospects for success.
www.crisisgroup.org
January 21, 2025 at 10:11 PM
But he'll take it!
In his speech announcing the Gaza ceasefire Biden says he spoke to the emir of Kuwait to thank him for his role in brokering the deal, which must have been very confusing for the emir of Kuwait
January 15, 2025 at 7:20 PM
In this 360-degree view, @crisisgroup.org experts offer a brief survey of the discussions in Turkey, Iran, Russia, Israel, Jordan, Lebanon, Iraq, Libya, the oPt, Gulf Arab states, the US and at the UNSC about the latest developments in and around Syria. www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
Regional Perspectives on the House of Assad’s Fall | Crisis Group
The Assad dynasty’s demise will certainly remake Syria, but it will also reshape relations between Damascus and other capitals. Crisis Group experts offer a 360-degree view of how the Syrian crisis could shake up regional politics.
www.crisisgroup.org
December 18, 2024 at 3:10 AM
Reposted by Joost Hiltermann
I only just got to this cogent article by @joosthiltermann.bsky.social, which remains pertinent in revealing both the miscalculations of Iran and Hezbullah and the extraordinarily damaging role of what passes as US diplomacy.

The Path to Regional War www.nybooks.com/online/2024/...
The Path to Regional War | Joost Hiltermann
There are at least two ways for mutual deterrence between states—also known as mutually assured destruction—to come to an end. As the Cold War taught us,
www.nybooks.com
December 15, 2024 at 9:26 AM
Together with other rebel groups, Hei'at Tahrir al-Sham #HTS has toppled the House of Assad and now holds central power in #Syria. Will notoriously meddling foreign powers give it the space it needs to steer the country toward a better future? @crisisgroup.org
www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
Priorities after Assad’s Fall | Crisis Group
At last, Syria is free of the despised Assad regime. The long-suffering Syrian people deserve respite and a chance to rebuild the country on their own terms, with help not interference from outside.
www.crisisgroup.org
December 12, 2024 at 1:40 AM
For the Dutch speakers among you. @crisisgroup.org
"Ik veronderstel dat er nu een vrij moeilijke periode komt voor de Koerden. Ze zitten tussen HTS die de soevereiniteit van Syrië zullen willen behouden en Turkije dat al helemaal geen onafhankelijke Koerdische staat wil."

@joosthiltermann.bsky.social in #terzake
December 11, 2024 at 9:28 PM
Reposted by Joost Hiltermann
The effects of the Bashar al-Assad regime’s demise will extend far beyond Syria’s borders, write @natashahall.bsky.social and @joosthiltermann.bsky.social. “The end of Assad seems certain to transform the Middle East’s balance of power.”
The Day After Assad
The Syrian dictator’s stunning fall will scramble the balance of power in the Middle East.
www.foreignaffairs.com
December 9, 2024 at 9:59 PM
Reposted by Joost Hiltermann
The stunning fall of Bashar al-Assad's regime in #Syria will scramble the balance of power in the Middle East, write @natashahall.bsky.social and @joosthiltermann.bsky.social in @foreignaffairs.com. Read their latest analysis here: www.foreignaffairs.com/russia/day-a...
The Day After Assad
The Syrian dictator’s stunning fall will scramble the balance of power in the Middle East.
www.foreignaffairs.com
December 9, 2024 at 1:56 PM
I teamed up with @natashahall.bsky.social to share our initial assessment of the origins and implications of the fall of the House of Assad in @foreignaffairs.com. @crisisgroup.org @CSISMidEast

www.foreignaffairs.com/syria/day-af...
The Day After Assad
The Syrian dictator’s stunning fall will scramble the balance of power in the Middle East.
www.foreignaffairs.com
December 9, 2024 at 4:29 PM
Israel and Lebanon (meaning Hezbollah) agreed to a ceasefire a week ago. How is it faring? UNIFIL reports already 100 Israeli violations. Yet by and large the ceasefire seems to be holding. What can we expect? My @crisisgroup.org colleagues offer their views. www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
Can the Hizbollah-Israel Ceasefire Hold? | Crisis Group
Lebanon and Israel have reached an agreement to end the Hizbollah-Israel fighting that began on 8 October 2023. In this Q&A, Crisis Group experts Heiko Wimmen, David Wood and Mairav Zonszein examine the truce’s terms and weigh the chances that the parties will honour them.
www.crisisgroup.org
December 3, 2024 at 8:47 PM