lahibhigel.bsky.social
@lahibhigel.bsky.social
Reposted
NEW STATEMENT | The World’s Shame in Gaza

Israel’s Gaza campaign has entered an even more nightmarish phase. The world must press Israel harder to stop the war, lest its offensive destroy Palestinian life in the strip beyond hope of recovery.

www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
The World’s Shame in Gaza | International Crisis Group
Israel’s Gaza campaign has entered an even more nightmarish phase. The world must press Israel harder to stop the war regardless of “day after” questions – lest its offensive destroy Palestinian life ...
www.crisisgroup.org
September 2, 2025 at 12:46 PM
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ONLINE EVENT | What Next in the U.S.-Israeli Confrontation with Iran

July 1 | 9.30am Washington DC | 3.30pm Brussels
w/ @mwhanna.crisisgroup.org, Naysan Rafati, @mairavz.bsky.social, @lahibhigel.bsky.social

Registration ⬇️
us06web.zoom.us/webinar/regi...
June 27, 2025 at 7:52 AM
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My latest in @foreignpolicy.com. Trump has promised to lift sanctions on Syria. I explain why it's not that easy to fully end the sanctions—and their effects.

foreignpolicy.com/2025/06/02/t...
It’s Not That Easy to Lift Sanctions on Syria
Other presidents have struggled with political and logistical obstacles when trying to effect a rollback.
foreignpolicy.com
June 3, 2025 at 6:31 AM
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Europe is finally finding its voice on the Gaza Strip. A better and braver friend would have spoken out earlier and louder, but what matters now is that Europe acts. There is much that European leaders can do as @crisisgroup.org sets out here ⬇️

www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
June 3, 2025 at 2:26 PM
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✍️ My quick take for @crisisgroup.org on how last week's UNSC votes on South Sudan and Libya reflect on the broader sanctions debate at the UN.

www.crisisgroup.org/global-south...
The UN Dodges a Diplomatic Breakdown over Sanctions | International Crisis Group
Crisis Group expert Maya Ungar on UN Security Council votes on sanctions on South Sudan and enforcement of Libya’s arms embargo
www.crisisgroup.org
June 3, 2025 at 4:40 PM
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The PKK decision to disband is a huge deal for Türkiye and prospectively well beyond. But getting to peace will take additional effort. New @crisisgroup.org statement reflects terrific work by @berkaymandiraci.bsky.social, @lahibhigel.bsky.social, @dibanigar.bsky.social & Dareen Khalifa.
The PKK’s Decision to Disband May Offer a Historic Chance at Peace | International Crisis Group
More than forty years after it formed with the goal of creating an independent Kurdish state, the PKK has said it will stop its armed struggle against Türkiye. How Ankara responds will help determine ...
www.crisisgroup.org
May 19, 2025 at 5:14 PM
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‘These attacks risk undermining Lebanon’s new political leadership, quite possibly to Hizbollah’s benefit.’

The attack on Beirut marked a serious escalation in Israel’s post-war military posture.

www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
Continued Israeli Strikes on Lebanon Risk Bolstering Hizbollah | Crisis Group
Crisis Group expert David Wood on the fall-out from Israel’s latest attack on Beirut.
www.crisisgroup.org
May 1, 2025 at 7:52 AM
Reposted
NEW:

My thoughts for @crisisgroup.org on the Trump administration's framing of migration and organized crime as "terrorism" and as a military threat, and how this may be laying the groundwork for US military action in Mexico.

www.crisisgroup.org/united-state...
Will Trump Borrow from “War on Terror” Playbook in Bombing Cartels? | Crisis Group
Crisis Group’s Brian Finucane on parallels between the war on terror and the U.S. Mexico policy
www.crisisgroup.org
April 9, 2025 at 2:35 PM
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If Sudan’s war merely concerned Sudanese, its course might be easier to predict. What’s clear however is that heavy outside involvement makes escalation more likely. So here’s some de-escalatory ideas which reps of states that back the belligerents could lead on.

www.crisisgroup.org/africa/horn-...
Two Years On, Sudan’s War is Spreading | Crisis Group
After the Sudanese army recaptured Khartoum, many hoped that Sudan’s war would start winding down. Instead, as it enters its third year, the conflict is escalating and likely to expand in scope, unles...
www.crisisgroup.org
April 7, 2025 at 8:15 PM
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ONLINE EVENT | What’s Driving the Red Sea Crisis and How to Stop It?

8 April 2025 | 4pm Sanaa | 3pm Brussels | 9am Washington

Registration ⬇️

us06web.zoom.us/webinar/regi...
March 31, 2025 at 11:32 AM
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The Red Sea has become a flashpoint of global competition, with military build-up outpacing diplomacy.

As tensions rise between the US, Iran, and regional actors, curbing naval escalation and addressing the root conflicts in Gaza and Yemen are essential.

www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
Calming the Red Sea’s Turbulent Waters | Crisis Group
Fresh exchanges of fire between Yemen’s Houthis, on one side, and the U.S. and Israel, on the other, have put Red Sea security back in the spotlight. Big challenges lie ahead in stopping this cycle an...
www.crisisgroup.org
March 25, 2025 at 1:34 PM
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NEW Q&A | President Trump has used a 1798 law to deport alleged members of the criminal network Tren de Aragua to El Salvador, in whose notorious prisons they are now held.

We explain the group’s origins and the policy’s potential consequences.

www.crisisgroup.org/global-unite...
March 27, 2025 at 8:58 AM
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Undermining the rule of law internationally is self-defeating, writes @bcfinucane.bsky.social (@crisisgroup.org)

He writes on why the prohibition on the use of force and U.S. alliances matter and what should happen next:

www.justsecurity.org/109537/upend...
Upending the International Order
Through both word and deed, President Trump has been aggressively undermining the rule of law internationally.
www.justsecurity.org
March 27, 2025 at 1:03 PM
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A call for 🇮🇱 to rethink its Syria strategy or risk pushing country toward one of the very scenarios it says it wants to avoid: fostering chaos that Iran &/or jihadist militants could exploit, or nudging new govt in Damascus closer to Ankara.

www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...

@mairavz.bsky.social
How Israel’s Overreach in Syria May Backfire | Crisis Group
After the Assad regime was overthrown, Israel immediately began treating the new authorities in Damascus as a potential security threat, taking a series of aggressive military actions. This approach r...
www.crisisgroup.org
March 17, 2025 at 4:22 PM
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The interim authorities in Syria have adopted a new 'constitutional declaration', which is the equivalent of an interim constitution. This is another major step in the transition and is deserving of attention. I summarise its contents and offer some analysis in the thread below
March 13, 2025 at 10:13 PM
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📰Sunday extras!

"What does the PKK ceasefire mean for Türkiye, Iraq and Syria?" with Berkay Mandıracı, @lahibhigel.bsky.social and Dareen Khalifa. [1/5]
What Does the PKK Ceasefire Mean for Türkiye, Iraq and Syria?
Hold Your Fire! · Episode
open.spotify.com
March 9, 2025 at 6:44 AM
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In unsettled times, U.S. President-elect Donald Trump’s return to the White House looks set to shake things up further. But how does a disrupter deal with an already disrupted world?

Welcome to an unpredictable 2025 in association with @foreignpolicy.com

www.crisisgroup.org/global/10-co...
10 Conflicts to Watch in 2025 | Crisis Group
Trump’s return adds unpredictability to an already volatile world. As global tensions rise, change looms, whether through deals or arms.
www.crisisgroup.org
January 1, 2025 at 4:48 PM
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In this 360-degree view, @crisisgroup.org experts offer a brief survey of the discussions in Turkey, Iran, Russia, Israel, Jordan, Lebanon, Iraq, Libya, the oPt, Gulf Arab states, the US and at the UNSC about the latest developments in and around Syria. www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
Regional Perspectives on the House of Assad’s Fall | Crisis Group
The Assad dynasty’s demise will certainly remake Syria, but it will also reshape relations between Damascus and other capitals. Crisis Group experts offer a 360-degree view of how the Syrian crisis could shake up regional politics.
www.crisisgroup.org
December 18, 2024 at 3:10 AM
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My colleague @nicolegrajewski.bsky.social captures perfectly what prompted Iran to intervene in defence of the Assad regime in Syria in 2012, and why it so abruptly abandoned him:

carnegieendowment.org/middle-east/...
Why Did Iran Allow Bashar al-Assad’s Downfall?
Tehran may have assumed there would be opportunities to exploit in Syria’s likely instability in the future.
carnegieendowment.org
December 13, 2024 at 6:49 PM
Reposted
NEW STATEMENT | Priorities after Assad’s Fall

At last, Syria is free of the despised Assad regime. The long-suffering Syrian people deserve respite and a chance to rebuild the country on their own terms, with help not interference from outside.

www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
Priorities after Assad’s Fall | Crisis Group
At last, Syria is free of the despised Assad regime. The long-suffering Syrian people deserve respite and a chance to rebuild the country on their own terms, with help not interference from outside.
www.crisisgroup.org
December 12, 2024 at 8:30 AM
Reposted
Published minutes ago and may remain up to date for several minutes more! Read it before the rebels seize your computer!
December 6, 2024 at 4:37 PM
Amidst further territorial losses of the Syrian regime, the Iraqi Shiite Coordination Framework (incl. all major Shia parties except for Sadr) has reportedly unanimously decided not to support Assad military. Meanwhile, the Iraqi resistance groups in eastern Syria have retreated to Iraq.
The only Shiite party that has called for keeping Iraq (and the PMF) out of Syria is Muqatada al-Sadr and he is not in government. Further clarity on the Iraqi position may emerge tomorrow as the foreign ministers of Iran and Syria are expected to meet their counterpart in Baghdad. 8/8
December 6, 2024 at 10:14 PM
As the SDF is taking over areas from Deir Ez-Zor to Albu Kamal after the Syrian Army’s withdrawal, Iraqi groups are retreating into Iraq’s Anbar province.
December 6, 2024 at 3:50 PM
THREAD 🧵: This is the second time since the offensive started that Jolani has sent a message to Iraq, trying to reassure the government that their fight is with the regime and will not extend to Iraq. He called on Prime Minister al-Sudani to keep the PMF/Hashd out of Syria. 1/8
December 5, 2024 at 8:28 PM
THREAD 🧵: The ceasefire in Lebanon and the current turmoil in Syria has prompted a recalibration of priorities among Iraqi resistance groups. Before, their attacks on Israel kept the government busy trying to avert potential Israeli strikes on Iraq. 1/9
December 4, 2024 at 7:30 PM