@eleniekmek.bsky.social
Reposted
80 years after Hiroshima, ELN Policy and Research Director @olivermeier.bsky.social warns that while leaders solemnly mark the bombing’s anniversary, their growing complacency toward nuclear weapons and proliferation raises the risk of use.
europeanleadershipnetwork.org/commentary/u...
europeanleadershipnetwork.org/commentary/u...
Using the lessons of Hiroshima and Nagasaki to promote disarmament discourses
80 years after Hiroshima, ELN Policy and Research Director Oliver Meier warns that while leaders solemnly mark the bombing's anniversary, their growing complacency toward nuclear weapons and prolifera...
europeanleadershipnetwork.org
August 7, 2025 at 1:55 PM
80 years after Hiroshima, ELN Policy and Research Director @olivermeier.bsky.social warns that while leaders solemnly mark the bombing’s anniversary, their growing complacency toward nuclear weapons and proliferation raises the risk of use.
europeanleadershipnetwork.org/commentary/u...
europeanleadershipnetwork.org/commentary/u...
Reposted
In @foreignaffairs.com, Nikita Lalwani and I write about the idea that winning the AI race will give one state unchallenged global dominance. To do so, we argue, it would have to undercut nuclear deterrence—no small feat. www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
The End of Mutual Assured Destruction?
What AI will mean for nuclear deterrence.
www.foreignaffairs.com
August 7, 2025 at 6:46 PM
In @foreignaffairs.com, Nikita Lalwani and I write about the idea that winning the AI race will give one state unchallenged global dominance. To do so, we argue, it would have to undercut nuclear deterrence—no small feat. www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
Reposted
Learn more from this 2024 video, "How many people were killed by the bombing of Hiroshima and Nagasaki?" by @erik-english.bsky.social.
How many people were killed by the bombing of Hiroshima and Nagasaki?
The only instances of atomic weapons being used against a civilian population occurred in 1945 at the tail end of World War II. On August 6, 1945, “Little Boy” was detonated above the Japanese city…
youtu.be
August 7, 2025 at 9:01 PM
Learn more from this 2024 video, "How many people were killed by the bombing of Hiroshima and Nagasaki?" by @erik-english.bsky.social.
Reposted
If you use NUKEMAP regularly (you know who you are) I hope you notice that it starts up faster now, and the starting location is more likely to be "the biggest city near where you are." I updated the underlying database that determines where to start it and it is much faster than it was before.
July 28, 2025 at 11:44 PM
If you use NUKEMAP regularly (you know who you are) I hope you notice that it starts up faster now, and the starting location is more likely to be "the biggest city near where you are." I updated the underlying database that determines where to start it and it is much faster than it was before.
Reposted
📌 ICYMI, @nukestrat.bsky.social, @mattkorda.bsky.social, @mknight.bsky.social, and I just released a pretty cool report on the targeting strategies of nuclear-armed states.
Check it out!
Check it out!
🆕 Planning for the Unthinkable: the targeting strategies of nuclear-armed states
Intense secrecy around nuclear targeting means that most individuals—including lawmakers—do not have much understanding of how fateful decisions about what to target during wartime are made.
Intense secrecy around nuclear targeting means that most individuals—including lawmakers—do not have much understanding of how fateful decisions about what to target during wartime are made.
July 3, 2025 at 11:23 AM
📌 ICYMI, @nukestrat.bsky.social, @mattkorda.bsky.social, @mknight.bsky.social, and I just released a pretty cool report on the targeting strategies of nuclear-armed states.
Check it out!
Check it out!
Reposted
This sounds interesting. Looking forward to reading.
1/8
Later this year from @mitpress.bsky.social in @belfercenter.bsky.social's Studies in International Security book series-- Atomic Backfires: When Nuclear Policies Fail.
This is a sobering edited volume on how efforts to reduce nuclear weapons dangers may sometimes wind up exacerbating them.
Later this year from @mitpress.bsky.social in @belfercenter.bsky.social's Studies in International Security book series-- Atomic Backfires: When Nuclear Policies Fail.
This is a sobering edited volume on how efforts to reduce nuclear weapons dangers may sometimes wind up exacerbating them.
July 3, 2025 at 8:31 PM
This sounds interesting. Looking forward to reading.
Reposted
NEW REPORT from @nukestrat.bsky.social, @mattkorda.bsky.social, @elianajjohns.bsky.social, and @mknight.bsky.social, with generous support from @norskfolkehjelp.bsky.social
🔗 fas.org/publication/targeting-strategies-nuclear-armed-states/
🔗 fas.org/publication/targeting-strategies-nuclear-armed-states/
June 30, 2025 at 2:09 PM
NEW REPORT from @nukestrat.bsky.social, @mattkorda.bsky.social, @elianajjohns.bsky.social, and @mknight.bsky.social, with generous support from @norskfolkehjelp.bsky.social
🔗 fas.org/publication/targeting-strategies-nuclear-armed-states/
🔗 fas.org/publication/targeting-strategies-nuclear-armed-states/
Reposted
"New satellite images show that work is underway at the Fordow underground facility"
www.twz.com/news-feature...
www.twz.com/news-feature...
June 27, 2025 at 9:55 PM
"New satellite images show that work is underway at the Fordow underground facility"
www.twz.com/news-feature...
www.twz.com/news-feature...
Reposted
Iran has ALREADY dug out the tunnels at Isfahan, where most of Iran's highly enriched uranium was stored prior to attacks and PERHAPS during them. (1/2)
www.cnn.com/2025/06/27/p...
www.cnn.com/2025/06/27/p...
US’ top general tells lawmakers | CNN Politics
The US military did not use bunker-buster bombs on one of Iran’s largest nuclear sites last weekend because the site is so deep that the bombs likely would not have been effective, the US’ top general...
www.cnn.com
June 27, 2025 at 8:09 PM
Iran has ALREADY dug out the tunnels at Isfahan, where most of Iran's highly enriched uranium was stored prior to attacks and PERHAPS during them. (1/2)
www.cnn.com/2025/06/27/p...
www.cnn.com/2025/06/27/p...
Reposted
IF highly enriched uranium was stored in the tunnels, it almost certainly survived. The tunnels were too deep to be MOPed. If the U.S. attacked their entrances, those attacks weren't effective.
Well done to @armscontrolwonk.bsky.social on this find. (2/2)
Well done to @armscontrolwonk.bsky.social on this find. (2/2)
June 27, 2025 at 8:09 PM
IF highly enriched uranium was stored in the tunnels, it almost certainly survived. The tunnels were too deep to be MOPed. If the U.S. attacked their entrances, those attacks weren't effective.
Well done to @armscontrolwonk.bsky.social on this find. (2/2)
Well done to @armscontrolwonk.bsky.social on this find. (2/2)
Reposted
Honored to publish, with @jonatomic.bsky.social and @mattkorda.bsky.social, the latest article of our The Next Nuclear Age series in the @washingtonpost.com. This one is about the trend of more countries debating whether to acquire nuclear weapons. www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/int...
Opinion | What’s making some countries daydream about nukes again?
With or without Iran, the number of nuclear states could double, raising the risk of catastrophe.
www.washingtonpost.com
June 25, 2025 at 4:09 PM
Honored to publish, with @jonatomic.bsky.social and @mattkorda.bsky.social, the latest article of our The Next Nuclear Age series in the @washingtonpost.com. This one is about the trend of more countries debating whether to acquire nuclear weapons. www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/int...
Reposted
1/ - In yet another blow to post-Cold War nuclear reductions, UK says it will buy and deploy 12 dual-capable F-35A as part of NATO’s nuclear Dual Capable Aircraft mission. www.gov.uk/government/n...
That will make Britain even more dependent on US nukes.
That will make Britain even more dependent on US nukes.
https://gov.uk/government/new…
June 25, 2025 at 1:29 AM
1/ - In yet another blow to post-Cold War nuclear reductions, UK says it will buy and deploy 12 dual-capable F-35A as part of NATO’s nuclear Dual Capable Aircraft mission. www.gov.uk/government/n...
That will make Britain even more dependent on US nukes.
That will make Britain even more dependent on US nukes.
Reposted
UK government announces that it will in fact buy F-35A and join NATO nuclear sharing. The UK will purchase 12 F-35As and join NATO’s nuclear mission. gov.uk/government/new…
Less than two weeks ago the SDR external reviewers had implied they were not keen on that choice (below).
Less than two weeks ago the SDR external reviewers had implied they were not keen on that choice (below).
June 25, 2025 at 6:03 AM
UK government announces that it will in fact buy F-35A and join NATO nuclear sharing. The UK will purchase 12 F-35As and join NATO’s nuclear mission. gov.uk/government/new…
Less than two weeks ago the SDR external reviewers had implied they were not keen on that choice (below).
Less than two weeks ago the SDR external reviewers had implied they were not keen on that choice (below).
Reposted
A question for supporters of airstrikes on Iran.
If this outcome had resulted from a negotiation, would you support it?
This outcome=Fordow, Natanz, Isfahan blown up BUT HEU & centrifuge components survived; no IAEA inspections; no commitment not to rebuild.
If this outcome had resulted from a negotiation, would you support it?
This outcome=Fordow, Natanz, Isfahan blown up BUT HEU & centrifuge components survived; no IAEA inspections; no commitment not to rebuild.
June 24, 2025 at 6:34 PM
A question for supporters of airstrikes on Iran.
If this outcome had resulted from a negotiation, would you support it?
This outcome=Fordow, Natanz, Isfahan blown up BUT HEU & centrifuge components survived; no IAEA inspections; no commitment not to rebuild.
If this outcome had resulted from a negotiation, would you support it?
This outcome=Fordow, Natanz, Isfahan blown up BUT HEU & centrifuge components survived; no IAEA inspections; no commitment not to rebuild.
Reposted
CNN: Contrary to Trump/Hegseth boasting, early US Intel finds US strikes on Iran did not destroy the core components of the country’s nuclear program and likely only set it back by months. www.cnn.com/2025/06/24/p...
Exclusive: Early US intel assessment suggests strikes on Iran did not destroy nuclear sites, sources say | CNN Politics
The US military strikes on three of Iran’s nuclear facilities last weekend did not destroy the core components of the country’s nuclear program and likely only set it back by months, according to an e...
www.cnn.com
June 24, 2025 at 8:15 PM
CNN: Contrary to Trump/Hegseth boasting, early US Intel finds US strikes on Iran did not destroy the core components of the country’s nuclear program and likely only set it back by months. www.cnn.com/2025/06/24/p...
Reposted
Why am I so unimpressed by these strikes? Israel and the US have failed to target significant elements of Iran's nuclear materials and production infrastructure. RISING LION and MIDNIGHT HAMMER are tactically brilliant, but may turn out to be strategic failures. 🧵 1/17
June 23, 2025 at 1:27 AM
Why am I so unimpressed by these strikes? Israel and the US have failed to target significant elements of Iran's nuclear materials and production infrastructure. RISING LION and MIDNIGHT HAMMER are tactically brilliant, but may turn out to be strategic failures. 🧵 1/17
Reposted
Important piece on Israel interceptor resupply challenges. Other side of the equation is Iranian ballistic missile stocks. Short thread. 1/6 www.wsj.com/world/middle...
U.S. Races to Defend Israel as It Burns Through Missile Interceptors
Shrinking supplies of high-end defenses could lead Israel to ration its interceptors as Iran continues its missile attacks.
www.wsj.com
June 21, 2025 at 12:50 PM
Important piece on Israel interceptor resupply challenges. Other side of the equation is Iranian ballistic missile stocks. Short thread. 1/6 www.wsj.com/world/middle...
Reposted
I wrote this week on how China has become the single most important enabler of Russian defence industry & by extension the war in Ukraine. It is still avoiding large-scale lethal aid, but there are signs it has walked up to the line, or stepped across. www.economist.com/china/2025/0...
China has become the most important enabler of Russia’s war machine
It has crossed the line into providing lethal aid
www.economist.com
June 19, 2025 at 3:05 PM
I wrote this week on how China has become the single most important enabler of Russian defence industry & by extension the war in Ukraine. It is still avoiding large-scale lethal aid, but there are signs it has walked up to the line, or stepped across. www.economist.com/china/2025/0...
Reposted
Read Juzel Lloyd on how the United States and its allies can collaborate to counterbalance China’s and Russia’s influence over the nuclear energy sector:
The Other Nuclear Race
America is falling behind China and Russia on energy innovation.
www.foreignaffairs.com
June 19, 2025 at 3:37 PM
Read Juzel Lloyd on how the United States and its allies can collaborate to counterbalance China’s and Russia’s influence over the nuclear energy sector:
Reposted
An air-launched tactical nuclear weapon capability would not address short-term security concerns of the United Kingdom and Europe, writes @ian-j-stewart.bsky.social.
Read "UK considers reintroducing air-launched tactical nuclear weapons" below. ⬇️
Read "UK considers reintroducing air-launched tactical nuclear weapons" below. ⬇️
UK considers reintroducing air-launched tactical nuclear weapons
"The United Kingdom should keep pursuing risk-reduction and arms-control opportunities while it addresses the near-term deterrence requirements that Europe’s current security environment mandates."
thebulletin.org
June 18, 2025 at 4:10 PM
An air-launched tactical nuclear weapon capability would not address short-term security concerns of the United Kingdom and Europe, writes @ian-j-stewart.bsky.social.
Read "UK considers reintroducing air-launched tactical nuclear weapons" below. ⬇️
Read "UK considers reintroducing air-launched tactical nuclear weapons" below. ⬇️
Reposted
Like I said- unfortunately timely 🫣
June 18, 2025 at 4:14 PM
Like I said- unfortunately timely 🫣
Reposted
Three minutes, a football and a biscuit. These are all a president of the United States needs to start nuclear war. Read more in the Washington Post ⤵️
June 18, 2025 at 4:21 PM
Three minutes, a football and a biscuit. These are all a president of the United States needs to start nuclear war. Read more in the Washington Post ⤵️
It’s good to be reminded of some basic constitutional principles. This is so true but definitely not something this administration would do.
If the administration wants to join the attack against Iran, it should make its case to Congress and request an AUMF. There is no imminent threat of the kind that would justify bypassing Congress.
The tanker movements, the tweets, now this… I don’t know if Trump has made the decision to go to war against Iran, but I am increasingly concerned.
June 17, 2025 at 8:45 AM
It’s good to be reminded of some basic constitutional principles. This is so true but definitely not something this administration would do.
Reposted
Iran says parliament is preparing bill to leave nuclear non-proliferation treaty - www.reuters.com/world/middle...
Iran foreign ministry says parliament is preparing bill to leave NPT
Iranian foreign ministry spokesperson Esmaeil Baghaei said on Monday that the Iranian parliament is preparing a bill to leave the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), adding that Tehran remains opposed to developing of weapons of mass destruction.
www.reuters.com
June 17, 2025 at 6:49 AM
Iran says parliament is preparing bill to leave nuclear non-proliferation treaty - www.reuters.com/world/middle...