Douglas Farmer
@douglasfarmer.bsky.social
College football by day.
Timberwolves by night.
Dive bar by day and by night.
College football/NBA/WNBA/March Madness betting for Covers:
https://www.covers.com/writers/douglas-farmer
Timberwolves by night.
Dive bar by day and by night.
College football/NBA/WNBA/March Madness betting for Covers:
https://www.covers.com/writers/douglas-farmer
Pinned
College Football Week 12 Highlights, Reactions, and Week 13 Preview
Onward and upward for Oklahoma? Douglas Farmer tells you what to take away from the Sooners' Week 12 win over Alabama, and much more.
www.covers.com
Week 12 reactions to ready you for Week 13:
🔸SEC, AAC and ACC title scenarios
🔸The best approaches to any Texas A&M or Oklahoma national championship thoughts
🔸On James Madison, Notre Dame, Baylor and North Carolina
www.covers.com/ncaaf/week-1...
🔸SEC, AAC and ACC title scenarios
🔸The best approaches to any Texas A&M or Oklahoma national championship thoughts
🔸On James Madison, Notre Dame, Baylor and North Carolina
www.covers.com/ncaaf/week-1...
My college football hot taek today in the hour when all college football thoughts get lost: The Nos. 5 & 6 seeds are gonna be wildly important again this year.
— Host a Playoff game
— vs. Georgia Tech or North Texas or Virginia or James Madison
— Dodge Ohio State until the semis, if not the title.
— Host a Playoff game
— vs. Georgia Tech or North Texas or Virginia or James Madison
— Dodge Ohio State until the semis, if not the title.
November 16, 2025 at 6:09 PM
My college football hot taek today in the hour when all college football thoughts get lost: The Nos. 5 & 6 seeds are gonna be wildly important again this year.
— Host a Playoff game
— vs. Georgia Tech or North Texas or Virginia or James Madison
— Dodge Ohio State until the semis, if not the title.
— Host a Playoff game
— vs. Georgia Tech or North Texas or Virginia or James Madison
— Dodge Ohio State until the semis, if not the title.
I said what I said
November 16, 2025 at 5:39 PM
I said what I said
Notre Dame has won three Senior Days under Marcus Freeman by a combined score of 124-21.
Good luck with that, Syracuse.
Good luck with that, Syracuse.
November 16, 2025 at 5:16 PM
Notre Dame has won three Senior Days under Marcus Freeman by a combined score of 124-21.
Good luck with that, Syracuse.
Good luck with that, Syracuse.
Reposted by Douglas Farmer
SP+ is updated! Texas Tech's back up to 3rd, Georgia's rising, only a TD separates No. 5 from No. 21, and ... yuck, NC State/UCF/Purdue/La Tech.
www.espn.com/college-foot...
www.espn.com/college-foot...
Updated SP+ rankings for all 136 FBS teams
The latest SP+ rankings, plus strength of schedule and résumé SP+, following this weekend's results.
www.espn.com
November 16, 2025 at 4:17 PM
SP+ is updated! Texas Tech's back up to 3rd, Georgia's rising, only a TD separates No. 5 from No. 21, and ... yuck, NC State/UCF/Purdue/La Tech.
www.espn.com/college-foot...
www.espn.com/college-foot...
Reposted by Douglas Farmer
Congrats to Eastern Michigan coach Chris Creighton
for his 200th career football win as a head coach!
for his 200th career football win as a head coach!
November 16, 2025 at 4:29 PM
Congrats to Eastern Michigan coach Chris Creighton
for his 200th career football win as a head coach!
for his 200th career football win as a head coach!
Oklahoma winning yesterday probably cut into Notre Dame's chances at a home Playoff game, which would lessen my personal joy this December.
But the Sooners making the Playoff should bring joy to all of us college football fans.
But the Sooners making the Playoff should bring joy to all of us college football fans.
November 16, 2025 at 4:35 PM
Oklahoma winning yesterday probably cut into Notre Dame's chances at a home Playoff game, which would lessen my personal joy this December.
But the Sooners making the Playoff should bring joy to all of us college football fans.
But the Sooners making the Playoff should bring joy to all of us college football fans.
Reposted by Douglas Farmer
If we assume Texas is toast, the preseason Nos. 1, 2, 4, 9, 11, 12, 13, 15, 16 and 17 have no shot at the playoff.
November 16, 2025 at 5:16 AM
If we assume Texas is toast, the preseason Nos. 1, 2, 4, 9, 11, 12, 13, 15, 16 and 17 have no shot at the playoff.
Reposted by Douglas Farmer
LOWEST POSTGAME WIN EXPECTANCY IN A WIN, WEEK 12:
OU > Bama 4.8%
Clemson > Louisville 13.4%
UNLV > USU 15.8%
SHSU > Delaware 31.3%
LSU > Hogs 36.0%
Navy > USF 36.8%
USC > Iowa 44.6%
K-State > OSU 47.2%
SDSU > Boise 47.8%
Another funky week! We like funk!
Full list: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
OU > Bama 4.8%
Clemson > Louisville 13.4%
UNLV > USU 15.8%
SHSU > Delaware 31.3%
LSU > Hogs 36.0%
Navy > USF 36.8%
USC > Iowa 44.6%
K-State > OSU 47.2%
SDSU > Boise 47.8%
Another funky week! We like funk!
Full list: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
2025 SP+
docs.google.com
November 16, 2025 at 1:35 PM
LOWEST POSTGAME WIN EXPECTANCY IN A WIN, WEEK 12:
OU > Bama 4.8%
Clemson > Louisville 13.4%
UNLV > USU 15.8%
SHSU > Delaware 31.3%
LSU > Hogs 36.0%
Navy > USF 36.8%
USC > Iowa 44.6%
K-State > OSU 47.2%
SDSU > Boise 47.8%
Another funky week! We like funk!
Full list: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
OU > Bama 4.8%
Clemson > Louisville 13.4%
UNLV > USU 15.8%
SHSU > Delaware 31.3%
LSU > Hogs 36.0%
Navy > USF 36.8%
USC > Iowa 44.6%
K-State > OSU 47.2%
SDSU > Boise 47.8%
Another funky week! We like funk!
Full list: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
Week 12 reactions to ready you for Week 13:
🔸SEC, AAC and ACC title scenarios
🔸The best approaches to any Texas A&M or Oklahoma national championship thoughts
🔸On James Madison, Notre Dame, Baylor and North Carolina
www.covers.com/ncaaf/week-1...
🔸SEC, AAC and ACC title scenarios
🔸The best approaches to any Texas A&M or Oklahoma national championship thoughts
🔸On James Madison, Notre Dame, Baylor and North Carolina
www.covers.com/ncaaf/week-1...
College Football Week 12 Highlights, Reactions, and Week 13 Preview
Onward and upward for Oklahoma? Douglas Farmer tells you what to take away from the Sooners' Week 12 win over Alabama, and much more.
www.covers.com
November 16, 2025 at 4:14 PM
Week 12 reactions to ready you for Week 13:
🔸SEC, AAC and ACC title scenarios
🔸The best approaches to any Texas A&M or Oklahoma national championship thoughts
🔸On James Madison, Notre Dame, Baylor and North Carolina
www.covers.com/ncaaf/week-1...
🔸SEC, AAC and ACC title scenarios
🔸The best approaches to any Texas A&M or Oklahoma national championship thoughts
🔸On James Madison, Notre Dame, Baylor and North Carolina
www.covers.com/ncaaf/week-1...
James Madison lost at Louisville.
North Texas lost to South Florida.
Are their possible 12-1 records really that different?
I think North Texas gets in ahead of JMU.
And Tulane, too. Beat Duke and Northwestern. Lost to Mississippi and UTSA.
Is that 11-2 really worse?
North Texas lost to South Florida.
Are their possible 12-1 records really that different?
I think North Texas gets in ahead of JMU.
And Tulane, too. Beat Duke and Northwestern. Lost to Mississippi and UTSA.
Is that 11-2 really worse?
Navy's blowout loss to Notre Dame was non-conference, but it will probably keep Navy outta the American title game.
AAC uses advanced rankings as its tiebreaker. That blowout loss factors into those.
North Texas and Tulane have a hefty edge in them. Likely American title game.
AAC uses advanced rankings as its tiebreaker. That blowout loss factors into those.
North Texas and Tulane have a hefty edge in them. Likely American title game.
November 16, 2025 at 3:59 PM
James Madison lost at Louisville.
North Texas lost to South Florida.
Are their possible 12-1 records really that different?
I think North Texas gets in ahead of JMU.
And Tulane, too. Beat Duke and Northwestern. Lost to Mississippi and UTSA.
Is that 11-2 really worse?
North Texas lost to South Florida.
Are their possible 12-1 records really that different?
I think North Texas gets in ahead of JMU.
And Tulane, too. Beat Duke and Northwestern. Lost to Mississippi and UTSA.
Is that 11-2 really worse?
Navy's blowout loss to Notre Dame was non-conference, but it will probably keep Navy outta the American title game.
AAC uses advanced rankings as its tiebreaker. That blowout loss factors into those.
North Texas and Tulane have a hefty edge in them. Likely American title game.
AAC uses advanced rankings as its tiebreaker. That blowout loss factors into those.
North Texas and Tulane have a hefty edge in them. Likely American title game.
November 16, 2025 at 3:49 PM
Navy's blowout loss to Notre Dame was non-conference, but it will probably keep Navy outta the American title game.
AAC uses advanced rankings as its tiebreaker. That blowout loss factors into those.
North Texas and Tulane have a hefty edge in them. Likely American title game.
AAC uses advanced rankings as its tiebreaker. That blowout loss factors into those.
North Texas and Tulane have a hefty edge in them. Likely American title game.
SEC title game scenarios:
Texas A&M: Beat Texas, please. If you lose, I think you miss the title game because your schedule featured the five worst teams in the SEC.
Three-team tie at 7-1: Alabama in.
Alabama tops Georgia if both at 7-1.
And Georgia tops Mississippi if both 7-1.
Texas A&M: Beat Texas, please. If you lose, I think you miss the title game because your schedule featured the five worst teams in the SEC.
Three-team tie at 7-1: Alabama in.
Alabama tops Georgia if both at 7-1.
And Georgia tops Mississippi if both 7-1.
November 16, 2025 at 3:31 PM
SEC title game scenarios:
Texas A&M: Beat Texas, please. If you lose, I think you miss the title game because your schedule featured the five worst teams in the SEC.
Three-team tie at 7-1: Alabama in.
Alabama tops Georgia if both at 7-1.
And Georgia tops Mississippi if both 7-1.
Texas A&M: Beat Texas, please. If you lose, I think you miss the title game because your schedule featured the five worst teams in the SEC.
Three-team tie at 7-1: Alabama in.
Alabama tops Georgia if both at 7-1.
And Georgia tops Mississippi if both 7-1.
Can Miami still make the ACC title game?
Sure.
If Pittsburgh beats Georgia Tech, Louisville or Cal beats SMU or Virginia Tech beats Virginia, Miami then beats Pittsburgh and oh yeah either North Carolina or Wake Forest has to beat Duke.
Even for the ACC, that'd be a lot.
Sure.
If Pittsburgh beats Georgia Tech, Louisville or Cal beats SMU or Virginia Tech beats Virginia, Miami then beats Pittsburgh and oh yeah either North Carolina or Wake Forest has to beat Duke.
Even for the ACC, that'd be a lot.
ACC title-game scenarios:
Georgia Tech: Beat Pittsburgh, in.
Then if both Virginia and SMU win out, it would be TIGHT on opponents' winning percentage.
Pittsburgh: Need SMU or Virginia to lose. If Pitt beats GT but both SMU and VA win out, then SMU and VA make the title.
Georgia Tech: Beat Pittsburgh, in.
Then if both Virginia and SMU win out, it would be TIGHT on opponents' winning percentage.
Pittsburgh: Need SMU or Virginia to lose. If Pitt beats GT but both SMU and VA win out, then SMU and VA make the title.
November 16, 2025 at 3:15 PM
Can Miami still make the ACC title game?
Sure.
If Pittsburgh beats Georgia Tech, Louisville or Cal beats SMU or Virginia Tech beats Virginia, Miami then beats Pittsburgh and oh yeah either North Carolina or Wake Forest has to beat Duke.
Even for the ACC, that'd be a lot.
Sure.
If Pittsburgh beats Georgia Tech, Louisville or Cal beats SMU or Virginia Tech beats Virginia, Miami then beats Pittsburgh and oh yeah either North Carolina or Wake Forest has to beat Duke.
Even for the ACC, that'd be a lot.
ACC title-game scenarios:
Georgia Tech: Beat Pittsburgh, in.
Then if both Virginia and SMU win out, it would be TIGHT on opponents' winning percentage.
Pittsburgh: Need SMU or Virginia to lose. If Pitt beats GT but both SMU and VA win out, then SMU and VA make the title.
Georgia Tech: Beat Pittsburgh, in.
Then if both Virginia and SMU win out, it would be TIGHT on opponents' winning percentage.
Pittsburgh: Need SMU or Virginia to lose. If Pitt beats GT but both SMU and VA win out, then SMU and VA make the title.
November 16, 2025 at 3:02 PM
ACC title-game scenarios:
Georgia Tech: Beat Pittsburgh, in.
Then if both Virginia and SMU win out, it would be TIGHT on opponents' winning percentage.
Pittsburgh: Need SMU or Virginia to lose. If Pitt beats GT but both SMU and VA win out, then SMU and VA make the title.
Georgia Tech: Beat Pittsburgh, in.
Then if both Virginia and SMU win out, it would be TIGHT on opponents' winning percentage.
Pittsburgh: Need SMU or Virginia to lose. If Pitt beats GT but both SMU and VA win out, then SMU and VA make the title.
First time in six weeks I could write later without costing myself (too much).
Immediately defaulted back to 4 a.m.
Bad habits die hard, I tell ya.
Motivation needed to kill 'em dead.
Immediately defaulted back to 4 a.m.
Bad habits die hard, I tell ya.
Motivation needed to kill 'em dead.
Alright, closing this hellscape to write for a couple hours.
The goal for the next month is to rework my Saturday process so I am getting to bed by 1 a.m., if not midnight.
Believe in me, will ya? I don't.
The goal for the next month is to rework my Saturday process so I am getting to bed by 1 a.m., if not midnight.
Believe in me, will ya? I don't.
November 16, 2025 at 9:51 AM
First time in six weeks I could write later without costing myself (too much).
Immediately defaulted back to 4 a.m.
Bad habits die hard, I tell ya.
Motivation needed to kill 'em dead.
Immediately defaulted back to 4 a.m.
Bad habits die hard, I tell ya.
Motivation needed to kill 'em dead.
Reposted by Douglas Farmer
Turns off volume on one-possession Texas-Georgia because Florida-Mississippi is about to be fuuuuun
November 16, 2025 at 3:17 AM
Turns off volume on one-possession Texas-Georgia because Florida-Mississippi is about to be fuuuuun
Oh we just had a legitimate punch thrown by a Utah defensive back.
Didn't escalate into anything all-out, but I think that was a full fist right at a Baylor helmet.
ehhh, maybe open-handed, but multiple.
Didn't escalate into anything all-out, but I think that was a full fist right at a Baylor helmet.
ehhh, maybe open-handed, but multiple.
November 16, 2025 at 3:12 AM
Oh we just had a legitimate punch thrown by a Utah defensive back.
Didn't escalate into anything all-out, but I think that was a full fist right at a Baylor helmet.
ehhh, maybe open-handed, but multiple.
Didn't escalate into anything all-out, but I think that was a full fist right at a Baylor helmet.
ehhh, maybe open-handed, but multiple.
Both Naz Reid and Jonas Valanciunas are about THAT life.
One of few in the NBA who can match Naz in that energy.
And still Naz looked at him, smirking, "What? WHAT?"
One of few in the NBA who can match Naz in that energy.
And still Naz looked at him, smirking, "What? WHAT?"
November 16, 2025 at 1:57 AM
Both Naz Reid and Jonas Valanciunas are about THAT life.
One of few in the NBA who can match Naz in that energy.
And still Naz looked at him, smirking, "What? WHAT?"
One of few in the NBA who can match Naz in that energy.
And still Naz looked at him, smirking, "What? WHAT?"
Seven seconds beofre halftime.
3rd-and-15.
Why isn't Florida taking one more shot at the end zone before kicking a field goal?
3rd-and-15.
Why isn't Florida taking one more shot at the end zone before kicking a field goal?
November 16, 2025 at 1:51 AM
Seven seconds beofre halftime.
3rd-and-15.
Why isn't Florida taking one more shot at the end zone before kicking a field goal?
3rd-and-15.
Why isn't Florida taking one more shot at the end zone before kicking a field goal?
One week later, I wonder anew, how much is Jamey Chadwell's buyout at Liberty?
The last tab I close tonight is a search for Jamey Chadwell's buyout.
I don't think we know, Liberty being a corrupt and private institution and all.
But we do know his contract is for about $4 million/year with four years left on it. So that is $16 million Chadwell is hoping for ...
I don't think we know, Liberty being a corrupt and private institution and all.
But we do know his contract is for about $4 million/year with four years left on it. So that is $16 million Chadwell is hoping for ...
November 16, 2025 at 1:25 AM
One week later, I wonder anew, how much is Jamey Chadwell's buyout at Liberty?
Timberwolves prompt the first eight-wide of my day.
November 16, 2025 at 1:23 AM
Timberwolves prompt the first eight-wide of my day.
Reposted by Douglas Farmer
ppl replied "Bears played there for 50y" so I looked up the last time there was a home walkoff loss in Wrigley Field and you know what? It never happened to the Bears. (gave up lots of late, losing scores, but never on the last play of the game)
ditto the other teams that played at Wrigley
ditto the other teams that played at Wrigley
I do want to congratulate Northwestern on being the first *home* team to ever lose on a walk-off at Wrigley Field
November 15, 2025 at 10:14 PM
ppl replied "Bears played there for 50y" so I looked up the last time there was a home walkoff loss in Wrigley Field and you know what? It never happened to the Bears. (gave up lots of late, losing scores, but never on the last play of the game)
ditto the other teams that played at Wrigley
ditto the other teams that played at Wrigley
Reposted by Douglas Farmer
JUST HOW WAKE DREW IT UP
50 YARD TD AFTER RECOVERING THEIR OWN FUMBLE
50 YARD TD AFTER RECOVERING THEIR OWN FUMBLE
November 15, 2025 at 9:53 PM
JUST HOW WAKE DREW IT UP
50 YARD TD AFTER RECOVERING THEIR OWN FUMBLE
50 YARD TD AFTER RECOVERING THEIR OWN FUMBLE
Reposted by Douglas Farmer
I do want to congratulate Northwestern on being the first *home* team to ever lose on a walk-off at Wrigley Field
November 15, 2025 at 8:55 PM
I do want to congratulate Northwestern on being the first *home* team to ever lose on a walk-off at Wrigley Field