Douglas Farmer
@douglasfarmer.bsky.social
College football by day.
Timberwolves by night.
Dive bar by day and by night.
College football/NBA/WNBA/March Madness betting for Covers:
https://www.covers.com/writers/douglas-farmer
Timberwolves by night.
Dive bar by day and by night.
College football/NBA/WNBA/March Madness betting for Covers:
https://www.covers.com/writers/douglas-farmer
Timberwolves prompt the first eight-wide of my day.
November 16, 2025 at 1:23 AM
Timberwolves prompt the first eight-wide of my day.
Related, my friends need to know better.
November 15, 2025 at 5:09 PM
Related, my friends need to know better.
Notre Dame's offense pouring it in today is as much about the Irish defense as it is about Jeremiyah Love, Jadarian Price and CJ Carr
November 15, 2025 at 3:37 PM
Notre Dame's offense pouring it in today is as much about the Irish defense as it is about Jeremiyah Love, Jadarian Price and CJ Carr
Nothing fancy this week, Georgia Tech.
November 14, 2025 at 6:34 PM
Nothing fancy this week, Georgia Tech.
Throw it at your own risk, Pittsburgh.
November 14, 2025 at 5:34 PM
Throw it at your own risk, Pittsburgh.
Anyway, just finished up my most recent College Football Playoff projections.
Be a lot easier if we could just publish my notes, more illegible than usual given travel's sways.
Be a lot easier if we could just publish my notes, more illegible than usual given travel's sways.
November 10, 2025 at 10:58 PM
Anyway, just finished up my most recent College Football Playoff projections.
Be a lot easier if we could just publish my notes, more illegible than usual given travel's sways.
Be a lot easier if we could just publish my notes, more illegible than usual given travel's sways.
Nope, not that badly.
November 10, 2025 at 10:43 PM
Nope, not that badly.
Rivalry weekend could reward Notre Dame fans, as well, and I don't just mean beating up on Stanford.
Plus, obviously, Texas at Georgia this weekend. Then again, that might jump the Longhorns ahead of the Irish.
Plus, obviously, Texas at Georgia this weekend. Then again, that might jump the Longhorns ahead of the Irish.
November 10, 2025 at 10:35 PM
Rivalry weekend could reward Notre Dame fans, as well, and I don't just mean beating up on Stanford.
Plus, obviously, Texas at Georgia this weekend. Then again, that might jump the Longhorns ahead of the Irish.
Plus, obviously, Texas at Georgia this weekend. Then again, that might jump the Longhorns ahead of the Irish.
Hey Notre Dame fans, just wondering ...
How badly do you want to host a first-round Playoff game? Badly enough to cheer for USC in two weeks?
(@espnbillc.bsky.social's SP+ ratings suggest that'll be about a 10.5-point spread in Oregon's favor.)
(Chart from @statsowar / CFB-graphs.com)
How badly do you want to host a first-round Playoff game? Badly enough to cheer for USC in two weeks?
(@espnbillc.bsky.social's SP+ ratings suggest that'll be about a 10.5-point spread in Oregon's favor.)
(Chart from @statsowar / CFB-graphs.com)
November 10, 2025 at 10:30 PM
Hey Notre Dame fans, just wondering ...
How badly do you want to host a first-round Playoff game? Badly enough to cheer for USC in two weeks?
(@espnbillc.bsky.social's SP+ ratings suggest that'll be about a 10.5-point spread in Oregon's favor.)
(Chart from @statsowar / CFB-graphs.com)
How badly do you want to host a first-round Playoff game? Badly enough to cheer for USC in two weeks?
(@espnbillc.bsky.social's SP+ ratings suggest that'll be about a 10.5-point spread in Oregon's favor.)
(Chart from @statsowar / CFB-graphs.com)
Huh, looks like Vandy's advanced numbers against Auburn bettered Vandy's outlook in the final weekend of the season and thus bettered Vandy's Playoff odds ...
(Numbers via @statsowar / CFB-graphs.com)
(Numbers via @statsowar / CFB-graphs.com)
November 10, 2025 at 10:09 PM
Huh, looks like Vandy's advanced numbers against Auburn bettered Vandy's outlook in the final weekend of the season and thus bettered Vandy's Playoff odds ...
(Numbers via @statsowar / CFB-graphs.com)
(Numbers via @statsowar / CFB-graphs.com)
So if none of the American teams are ranked by the CFP -- or if only one is -- then those advanced metrics rankings would determine the title matchup.
And that could give us this Playoff play-in game.
(Numbers via @statsowar / CFB-graphs.com)
And that could give us this Playoff play-in game.
(Numbers via @statsowar / CFB-graphs.com)
November 10, 2025 at 9:46 PM
So if none of the American teams are ranked by the CFP -- or if only one is -- then those advanced metrics rankings would determine the title matchup.
And that could give us this Playoff play-in game.
(Numbers via @statsowar / CFB-graphs.com)
And that could give us this Playoff play-in game.
(Numbers via @statsowar / CFB-graphs.com)
Oh the SEC Survivor pool got damn interesting today.
Down to two, started with 27.
Gator Bait.
Down to two, started with 27.
Gator Bait.
November 9, 2025 at 4:01 AM
Oh the SEC Survivor pool got damn interesting today.
Down to two, started with 27.
Gator Bait.
Down to two, started with 27.
Gator Bait.
Expecting Navy vs. Notre Dame to get pointsy tonight, largely because of Notre Dame ...
November 8, 2025 at 11:17 PM
Expecting Navy vs. Notre Dame to get pointsy tonight, largely because of Notre Dame ...
Have a Playoff impact tonight, Wake Forest.
November 8, 2025 at 10:49 PM
Have a Playoff impact tonight, Wake Forest.
Trying to speak Stanford over North Carolina into existence.
November 8, 2025 at 7:09 PM
Trying to speak Stanford over North Carolina into existence.
My seven wide today, quad box a travel-only use for me
November 8, 2025 at 6:29 PM
My seven wide today, quad box a travel-only use for me
Know what isn't on that list?
Florida State vs. Clemson in primetime ... on the ACC Network.
Florida State vs. Clemson in primetime ... on the ACC Network.
November 8, 2025 at 3:45 PM
Know what isn't on that list?
Florida State vs. Clemson in primetime ... on the ACC Network.
Florida State vs. Clemson in primetime ... on the ACC Network.
An unexpected in-season road trip leads to unexpected work spaces at ungodly early hours.
November 7, 2025 at 11:44 AM
An unexpected in-season road trip leads to unexpected work spaces at ungodly early hours.
The time nears for you to talk to your kids about "thinking about being bowl eligible" Kent State.
November 5, 2025 at 9:23 PM
The time nears for you to talk to your kids about "thinking about being bowl eligible" Kent State.
I know red is Wisconsin's color, but the Badgers might be leaning into it too hard.
Red is bad, Bucky.
(via @statsowar.bsky.social / CFB-graphs.com)
Red is bad, Bucky.
(via @statsowar.bsky.social / CFB-graphs.com)
November 4, 2025 at 5:33 PM
I know red is Wisconsin's color, but the Badgers might be leaning into it too hard.
Red is bad, Bucky.
(via @statsowar.bsky.social / CFB-graphs.com)
Red is bad, Bucky.
(via @statsowar.bsky.social / CFB-graphs.com)
I do not ask for much.
A Thanksgiving Saturday with Vanderbilt on the road at Tennessee, the Commodores into the Playoff with a win?
Put that into my veins along with Thanksgiving ham, please and thank you very much.
A Thanksgiving Saturday with Vanderbilt on the road at Tennessee, the Commodores into the Playoff with a win?
Put that into my veins along with Thanksgiving ham, please and thank you very much.
November 4, 2025 at 12:14 AM
I do not ask for much.
A Thanksgiving Saturday with Vanderbilt on the road at Tennessee, the Commodores into the Playoff with a win?
Put that into my veins along with Thanksgiving ham, please and thank you very much.
A Thanksgiving Saturday with Vanderbilt on the road at Tennessee, the Commodores into the Playoff with a win?
Put that into my veins along with Thanksgiving ham, please and thank you very much.
Conclusion: Virginia needs to beat Duke on Nov. 15.
11-1 Virginia vs. 11-1 Louisville in the ACC title game might propel both into the College Football Playoff.
Virginia's loss: One-possession, early September, on the road (NC State)
Louisville's loss: One-possession to Virginia
11-1 Virginia vs. 11-1 Louisville in the ACC title game might propel both into the College Football Playoff.
Virginia's loss: One-possession, early September, on the road (NC State)
Louisville's loss: One-possession to Virginia
November 3, 2025 at 11:59 PM
Conclusion: Virginia needs to beat Duke on Nov. 15.
11-1 Virginia vs. 11-1 Louisville in the ACC title game might propel both into the College Football Playoff.
Virginia's loss: One-possession, early September, on the road (NC State)
Louisville's loss: One-possession to Virginia
11-1 Virginia vs. 11-1 Louisville in the ACC title game might propel both into the College Football Playoff.
Virginia's loss: One-possession, early September, on the road (NC State)
Louisville's loss: One-possession to Virginia
Is BYU vs Cincinnati the weekend before Thanksgiving the most impactful remaining game on the Playoff field?
Cinci wins: 10-2 heading into the Big 12 title vs Texas Tech. Win and Big 12 gets two in?
BYU wins: 11-1 heading into the Big 12 title. Big 12 gets two in regardless?
Cinci wins: 10-2 heading into the Big 12 title vs Texas Tech. Win and Big 12 gets two in?
BYU wins: 11-1 heading into the Big 12 title. Big 12 gets two in regardless?
November 3, 2025 at 11:35 PM
Is BYU vs Cincinnati the weekend before Thanksgiving the most impactful remaining game on the Playoff field?
Cinci wins: 10-2 heading into the Big 12 title vs Texas Tech. Win and Big 12 gets two in?
BYU wins: 11-1 heading into the Big 12 title. Big 12 gets two in regardless?
Cinci wins: 10-2 heading into the Big 12 title vs Texas Tech. Win and Big 12 gets two in?
BYU wins: 11-1 heading into the Big 12 title. Big 12 gets two in regardless?
The Prime Time Era must be coming to an end in Colorado, right?
November 2, 2025 at 5:35 PM
The Prime Time Era must be coming to an end in Colorado, right?