Dan Ciuriak
@ciuriakd.bsky.social
Usually found behind a computer, on a bike, or on the courts with a tennis racquet. If none of the above, check the local pub and stop by for a beer.
Almost 2 years ago, in an article for the substack.com/@nupeaceandw... (nupeaceandwarcenter.substack.com/p/a-tale-of-...), I wrote out the analysis that that made the case for what this NYT editorial proposes www.nytimes.com/interactive/.... But the analysis pointed in a very different direction. /x
Opinion | To Outbuild China, America Needs Friends
For the sake of global security and freedom, the world’s democracies must collaborate better.
www.nytimes.com
December 13, 2025 at 7:01 PM
Almost 2 years ago, in an article for the substack.com/@nupeaceandw... (nupeaceandwarcenter.substack.com/p/a-tale-of-...), I wrote out the analysis that that made the case for what this NYT editorial proposes www.nytimes.com/interactive/.... But the analysis pointed in a very different direction. /x
Too much vodka after being notified it was going to the front.
A humanoid robot powered by artificial intelligence, believed to be one of the first in Russia, face-planted during its highly anticipated debut in Moscow on Tuesday after briefly staggering onstage. nyti.ms/49Ly3GI
November 13, 2025 at 4:40 AM
Too much vodka after being notified it was going to the front.
As the Trump Administration continues it destructive assault on the foundations of US prosperity (in this case on the "brain gain" that fuels American innovation), it is fair to ask "Cui bono" - who benefits. My answer on the Trump I policies is aging nicely: papers.ssrn.com/abstract=446....
September 21, 2025 at 1:36 PM
As the Trump Administration continues it destructive assault on the foundations of US prosperity (in this case on the "brain gain" that fuels American innovation), it is fair to ask "Cui bono" - who benefits. My answer on the Trump I policies is aging nicely: papers.ssrn.com/abstract=446....
Reposted by Dan Ciuriak
"The world's richest man logs onto the platform he bought to yell at the AI he had built for fact-checking conservative mega-influencer Catturd2" is a sentence so stupid that future history books may just skip this decade.
he said that too lol
June 21, 2025 at 11:50 AM
"The world's richest man logs onto the platform he bought to yell at the AI he had built for fact-checking conservative mega-influencer Catturd2" is a sentence so stupid that future history books may just skip this decade.
Reposted by Dan Ciuriak
Super interesting paper by @monapaulsen.bsky.social and @ciuriakd.bsky.social advocating for the establishment of a Caucus of small, open economies as a new, informal group to facilitate a collective response within the @wto.org.
A must read: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
A must read: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
https://lsen.bsky.social
June 16, 2025 at 1:42 PM
Super interesting paper by @monapaulsen.bsky.social and @ciuriakd.bsky.social advocating for the establishment of a Caucus of small, open economies as a new, informal group to facilitate a collective response within the @wto.org.
A must read: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
A must read: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
Reposted by Dan Ciuriak
I'm not a fan of the yah-boo British parliamentary culture at all, but I do feel that when someone lands an absolute zinger of a question like this and literally brings receipts, there should at least be a chant of "NICE ONE MAGGIE" from the public gallery or an airhorn or something.
HASSAN: Since you testified that Americans don't pay the president's tariffs, will the Treasury reimburse this New Hampshire small business for the tariffs they paid to the government?
BESSENT: I think we have to look in the aggregate
BESSENT: I think we have to look in the aggregate
June 14, 2025 at 11:48 AM
I'm not a fan of the yah-boo British parliamentary culture at all, but I do feel that when someone lands an absolute zinger of a question like this and literally brings receipts, there should at least be a chant of "NICE ONE MAGGIE" from the public gallery or an airhorn or something.
Reposted by Dan Ciuriak
Intriguing proposals for collective action at the WTO, drawing on GATT history to confront the current moment. From the always insightful @monapaulsen.bsky.social and @ciuriakd.bsky.social
Dan and I have substantially revised our paper after engaging with colleagues. It has been a particularly tough paper for me to think through and digest the why, how, and what of WTO collective action in response to the United States' trade actions. @ssrn.bsky.social papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
June 9, 2025 at 12:32 PM
Intriguing proposals for collective action at the WTO, drawing on GATT history to confront the current moment. From the always insightful @monapaulsen.bsky.social and @ciuriakd.bsky.social
Nope. See: "Populist Trade Economics and the Political Economy of Populism," papers.ssrn.com/abstract=504.... It's about income distribution and the changes wrought by technological change.
June 6, 2025 at 8:13 PM
Nope. See: "Populist Trade Economics and the Political Economy of Populism," papers.ssrn.com/abstract=504.... It's about income distribution and the changes wrought by technological change.
Cass is off-base in his critique of comparative advantage and Noah Smith is off-base in saying Cass makes a "useful substantive point" on this. See Misunderstanding America: A Journey Through Trade Economics with a Broken Compass papers.ssrn.com/abstract=509.... www.noahpinion.blog/p/the-anti-e...
The anti-economists have overreached
Before you criticize something, at least try to understand it.
www.noahpinion.blog
May 31, 2025 at 10:30 AM
Cass is off-base in his critique of comparative advantage and Noah Smith is off-base in saying Cass makes a "useful substantive point" on this. See Misunderstanding America: A Journey Through Trade Economics with a Broken Compass papers.ssrn.com/abstract=509.... www.noahpinion.blog/p/the-anti-e...
A "mis-step"? Is it any different if racism and institutional viciousness results in deportation of a man who worked namelessly on building a railroad or someone who would go on to build technology for your adversary, making him your adversary in the process? www.nytimes.com/2025/05/30/o...
Opinion | The U.S. Deported This Chinese Scientist, in a Decision That Changed World History
www.nytimes.com
May 30, 2025 at 4:04 PM
A "mis-step"? Is it any different if racism and institutional viciousness results in deportation of a man who worked namelessly on building a railroad or someone who would go on to build technology for your adversary, making him your adversary in the process? www.nytimes.com/2025/05/30/o...
The Unbearable Incoherence of Unworkable Policies.
But it's substantial enough to compel the rest of the world to join a Mar-a-Lago Accord because reasons.
Miran sees 10% tariff rate not substantial enough for adverse economic impact
May 27, 2025 at 9:46 PM
The Unbearable Incoherence of Unworkable Policies.
Reposted by Dan Ciuriak
As @ciuriakd.bsky.social says, just set one up across the border in Nova Scotia. Authentic weather, authentic accents.
May 22, 2025 at 8:16 PM
As @ciuriakd.bsky.social says, just set one up across the border in Nova Scotia. Authentic weather, authentic accents.
I'm sure Canada would welcome Harvard to establish a campus a short ferry ride away from Cambridge Mass. in Nova Scotia - Harvard North in the True North, Strong and above all Free.
Enrollmentment of foreign students halted. Unbelievable. Unconscionable.
“I am writing to inform you that effective immediately, Harvard University’s Student and Exchange Visitor Program certification is revoked”
www.nytimes.com/2025/05/22/u...
“I am writing to inform you that effective immediately, Harvard University’s Student and Exchange Visitor Program certification is revoked”
www.nytimes.com/2025/05/22/u...
www.nytimes.com
May 22, 2025 at 8:12 PM
I'm sure Canada would welcome Harvard to establish a campus a short ferry ride away from Cambridge Mass. in Nova Scotia - Harvard North in the True North, Strong and above all Free.
Reposted by Dan Ciuriak
First Trump fell out with Taylor Swift and Bruce Springsteen and now he’s got the Moody’s Blues.
#coat
#coat
Oh boy here we go
*UNITED STATES RATINGS CUT TO Aa1 FROM Aaa BY MOODY'S
*UNITED STATES RATINGS CUT TO Aa1 FROM Aaa BY MOODY'S
May 16, 2025 at 9:33 PM
First Trump fell out with Taylor Swift and Bruce Springsteen and now he’s got the Moody’s Blues.
#coat
#coat
In my contribution, I show how the reciprocal trade formula works when you put it into a standard trade model. But first, let's identify the countries that rip-off the US - and the countries that the US rips off. I show the same chart for Sweden. In trade, everybody is ripping everyone off!
April 12, 2025 at 6:38 PM
In my contribution, I show how the reciprocal trade formula works when you put it into a standard trade model. But first, let's identify the countries that rip-off the US - and the countries that the US rips off. I show the same chart for Sweden. In trade, everybody is ripping everyone off!
As we approach tariff shock week, it is useful for Canadians to recall that we've been there before - many times actually. policyoptions.irpp.org/magazines/ju... - each response to trade shocks involved trade liberalization! That's one reason why Canada is still standing, bruised but not bowed.
Canada’s multi-faceted trade diversification challenge
We’ve dealt with historic trade shocks, but the perfect storm we face requires a hard look at 4Gs: gravity, geopolitics, geoeconomics and governance.
policyoptions.irpp.org
March 30, 2025 at 1:56 PM
As we approach tariff shock week, it is useful for Canadians to recall that we've been there before - many times actually. policyoptions.irpp.org/magazines/ju... - each response to trade shocks involved trade liberalization! That's one reason why Canada is still standing, bruised but not bowed.
The 24th of February was always going to have its portrait go up on the Wall of Infamy. Now it gets to have it twice with the US siding with Russia in a UN vote on the 3rd anniversary of Putin's 3-day SMO. www.nytimes.com/2025/02/24/w.... Feckless thy name is United States.
U.S. Votes Against U.N. Resolution Demanding Russian Withdrawal from Ukraine
The United States opposed a resolution demanding Russian withdrawal from Ukraine, but won Security Council approval of one calling for peace without assigning blame, exposing fissures between allies.
www.nytimes.com
February 25, 2025 at 1:46 AM
The 24th of February was always going to have its portrait go up on the Wall of Infamy. Now it gets to have it twice with the US siding with Russia in a UN vote on the 3rd anniversary of Putin's 3-day SMO. www.nytimes.com/2025/02/24/w.... Feckless thy name is United States.
Reposted by Dan Ciuriak
On the “Nixon Measures” of 1971
New from me: "The Consequences of the America First Trade Policy: What We Learn from the 1971 Nixon Measures" - papers.ssrn.com/abstract=511.... Here's the skinny.../x
The Consequences of the America First Trade Policy: What We Learn from the 1971 Nixon Measures
The "America First Trade Policy announced by US President Donald Trump has galvanized debates about the emerging populist trade economics and the broader c
papers.ssrn.com
February 11, 2025 at 7:34 PM
On the “Nixon Measures” of 1971
Reposted by Dan Ciuriak
This is the most relevant article to NIH and research cuts I’ve seen.
Imagine if this was today , how many people would be saying “Why are we studying Gila Monsters and their impact on diabetes ? That’s wasted money !”
globalnews.ca/news/9793403...
Imagine if this was today , how many people would be saying “Why are we studying Gila Monsters and their impact on diabetes ? That’s wasted money !”
globalnews.ca/news/9793403...
How a Canadian scientist and a venomous lizard helped pave the way for Ozempic - National | Globalnews.ca
In 1984, Dr. Daniel Drucker, an endocrinologist from the University of Toronto, discovered a hormone that helped pave the way for popular diabetes drugs such as Ozempic.
globalnews.ca
February 9, 2025 at 9:58 PM
This is the most relevant article to NIH and research cuts I’ve seen.
Imagine if this was today , how many people would be saying “Why are we studying Gila Monsters and their impact on diabetes ? That’s wasted money !”
globalnews.ca/news/9793403...
Imagine if this was today , how many people would be saying “Why are we studying Gila Monsters and their impact on diabetes ? That’s wasted money !”
globalnews.ca/news/9793403...
Reposted by Dan Ciuriak
“If Canada were to follow suit and blame foreigners for our mistakes, Canada would have a legitimate case to impose massive tariffs on US exports in response to our opioid crisis. But our crisis is our fault, just as the US is theirs.”
By @ciuriakd.bsky.social
www.asiapacific.ca/publication/...
By @ciuriakd.bsky.social
www.asiapacific.ca/publication/...
A Faulty Case: Deconstructing Trump’s Call for a Trade War on Canada
The claims of a “crisis” on the Canada-U.S. border related to flows of fentanyl and illegal immigration, on which Trump's tariffs are based, are specious.
www.asiapacific.ca
February 6, 2025 at 2:30 PM
“If Canada were to follow suit and blame foreigners for our mistakes, Canada would have a legitimate case to impose massive tariffs on US exports in response to our opioid crisis. But our crisis is our fault, just as the US is theirs.”
By @ciuriakd.bsky.social
www.asiapacific.ca/publication/...
By @ciuriakd.bsky.social
www.asiapacific.ca/publication/...
Reposted by Dan Ciuriak
Actual journalism: www.wired.com/story/elon-m...
The Young, Inexperienced Engineers Aiding Elon Musk’s Government Takeover
Engineers between 19 and 24, most linked to Musk’s companies, are playing a key role as he seizes control of federal infrastructure.
www.wired.com
February 3, 2025 at 11:03 AM
Actual journalism: www.wired.com/story/elon-m...
New from me: "The Consequences of the America First Trade Policy: What We Learn from the 1971 Nixon Measures" - papers.ssrn.com/abstract=511.... Here's the skinny.../x
The Consequences of the America First Trade Policy: What We Learn from the 1971 Nixon Measures
The "America First Trade Policy announced by US President Donald Trump has galvanized debates about the emerging populist trade economics and the broader c
papers.ssrn.com
January 30, 2025 at 12:36 PM
New from me: "The Consequences of the America First Trade Policy: What We Learn from the 1971 Nixon Measures" - papers.ssrn.com/abstract=511.... Here's the skinny.../x
On 26 April 1937, when Guernica was crowded on market day, Hitler bombed, a defining act of terror. On 5 October 2023, when the locals in Hroza, a village of 110 was gathered for a wake, Putin sent a missile, killing half the population, an act of terror. History's horrors echo.
October 7, 2023 at 7:50 PM
On 26 April 1937, when Guernica was crowded on market day, Hitler bombed, a defining act of terror. On 5 October 2023, when the locals in Hroza, a village of 110 was gathered for a wake, Putin sent a missile, killing half the population, an act of terror. History's horrors echo.
As I look out my window there is blue sky. Time to start here. So, new from Anna Artyushina (socioanna.bsky) and me www.cigionline.org/articles/can.... The age of machine knowledge capital is the new Big Bang. The nerdy backgrounder: Trading AI papers.ssrn.com/abstract=450...
Canada Needs an Artificial Intelligence Agency
The new agency will need to be staffed with the country’s best and brightest. Work on this should begin now.
www.cigionline.org
October 6, 2023 at 9:36 PM
As I look out my window there is blue sky. Time to start here. So, new from Anna Artyushina (socioanna.bsky) and me www.cigionline.org/articles/can.... The age of machine knowledge capital is the new Big Bang. The nerdy backgrounder: Trading AI papers.ssrn.com/abstract=450...