Aurélien Allard
@aurelienallard.bsky.social
Philosopher and Social Psychologist. Assistant professor at Nantes University. Studying justice, morality, replicability and open science. Personal website: https://aurelienallard.netlify.app/
Reposted by Aurélien Allard
I think likening that to a superposition of quantum states doesn't work. In the quantum case, make a measurement and you will end up either with one or the other. What you are describing is worse: it starts out and will remain inconsistent. Let's call it the Whitman approach to causal inference!
November 11, 2025 at 11:52 AM
I think likening that to a superposition of quantum states doesn't work. In the quantum case, make a measurement and you will end up either with one or the other. What you are describing is worse: it starts out and will remain inconsistent. Let's call it the Whitman approach to causal inference!
Reposted by Aurélien Allard
![Comic. Someone is claiming to predict the exact date of a future earthquake. Should you listen? [flowchart: start] → NO (There are big earthquakes constantly, so if anyone ever *does* figure this out, it will be immediately obvious that their method works and then the world’s seismologists will not shut up about it. You won’t need this flowchart.)](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:cz73r7iyiqn26upot4jtjdhk/bafkreic7wdqg4w6qfevbqzzq4esd6237pojsnpwsrbb7gaxsxobqaiwazm@jpeg)
November 10, 2025 at 8:55 PM
Reposted by Aurélien Allard
Two-group pre/post data are deceptively simple, and you could analyze them in many different ways, depending on your goals. Here are three blog posts on the topic:
solomonkurz.netlify.app/blog/2022-06...
solomonkurz.netlify.app/blog/2020-12...
solomonkurz.netlify.app/blog/2023-06...
solomonkurz.netlify.app/blog/2022-06...
solomonkurz.netlify.app/blog/2020-12...
solomonkurz.netlify.app/blog/2023-06...
November 10, 2025 at 7:19 PM
Two-group pre/post data are deceptively simple, and you could analyze them in many different ways, depending on your goals. Here are three blog posts on the topic:
solomonkurz.netlify.app/blog/2022-06...
solomonkurz.netlify.app/blog/2020-12...
solomonkurz.netlify.app/blog/2023-06...
solomonkurz.netlify.app/blog/2022-06...
solomonkurz.netlify.app/blog/2020-12...
solomonkurz.netlify.app/blog/2023-06...
Reposted by Aurélien Allard
Okay, here are some first reflections on Watson.
Watson's life is a tragedy, really of Shakespearean proportions. He did not, as most bios will tell you, do one great thing when he was young and then collect laurels for it for the next 60 years. His career arc was unlike any in science.
Watson's life is a tragedy, really of Shakespearean proportions. He did not, as most bios will tell you, do one great thing when he was young and then collect laurels for it for the next 60 years. His career arc was unlike any in science.
November 8, 2025 at 11:22 PM
Okay, here are some first reflections on Watson.
Watson's life is a tragedy, really of Shakespearean proportions. He did not, as most bios will tell you, do one great thing when he was young and then collect laurels for it for the next 60 years. His career arc was unlike any in science.
Watson's life is a tragedy, really of Shakespearean proportions. He did not, as most bios will tell you, do one great thing when he was young and then collect laurels for it for the next 60 years. His career arc was unlike any in science.
Reposted by Aurélien Allard
Reposted by Aurélien Allard
The history of social psychology in a nutshell.
Unintentional poetry from the lab notebooks of Millikan, Nobel Prize in Physics 1923
November 9, 2025 at 5:09 PM
The history of social psychology in a nutshell.
Reposted by Aurélien Allard
This will spark some great papers: an open digital dataset of roads in the Roman Empire
www.nature.com/articles/d41...
www.nature.com/articles/d41...
‘Google Maps’ for Roman roads reveals vast extent of ancient network
A high-resolution digital map nearly doubles the known length of the ancient road network.
www.nature.com
November 9, 2025 at 1:38 PM
This will spark some great papers: an open digital dataset of roads in the Roman Empire
www.nature.com/articles/d41...
www.nature.com/articles/d41...
Reposted by Aurélien Allard
My Shiny app containing 3530 Open Science blog posts discussing the replication crisis is updated - you can now use the SEARCH box. I fixed it as my new PhD Julia wanted to know who had called open scientists 'Methodological Terrorists' :) shiny.ieis.tue.nl/open_science...
Open Science Blog Browser
Open Science Blog Browser
shiny.ieis.tue.nl
November 8, 2025 at 7:15 PM
My Shiny app containing 3530 Open Science blog posts discussing the replication crisis is updated - you can now use the SEARCH box. I fixed it as my new PhD Julia wanted to know who had called open scientists 'Methodological Terrorists' :) shiny.ieis.tue.nl/open_science...
Reposted by Aurélien Allard
The entire "editor writes headline" tradition is a stupid remnant of print journalism where it was necessary for physical layout purposes. It never has made much sense for online journalism, let alone online op-eds.
November 8, 2025 at 1:55 PM
The entire "editor writes headline" tradition is a stupid remnant of print journalism where it was necessary for physical layout purposes. It never has made much sense for online journalism, let alone online op-eds.
Reposted by Aurélien Allard
Overwhelming evidence of research fraud and he still earns 190k/year www.ontariosunshinelist.com/people/steve...
Steven Newmaster Salary at University of Guelph | Ontario Sunshine List
Salary history for Steven Newmaster, Professor at University of Guelph from Ontario's sunshine list
www.ontariosunshinelist.com
November 8, 2025 at 5:12 PM
Overwhelming evidence of research fraud and he still earns 190k/year www.ontariosunshinelist.com/people/steve...
Reposted by Aurélien Allard
My reviewing style has changed over time. Rather than litigate every little thing, and pushing my own ideas, I focus only on 2 things:
(1) Are the claims interesting/important?
(2) Does the evidence support the claims?
Most of my reviews these days are short and focused.
(1) Are the claims interesting/important?
(2) Does the evidence support the claims?
Most of my reviews these days are short and focused.
November 8, 2025 at 11:22 AM
My reviewing style has changed over time. Rather than litigate every little thing, and pushing my own ideas, I focus only on 2 things:
(1) Are the claims interesting/important?
(2) Does the evidence support the claims?
Most of my reviews these days are short and focused.
(1) Are the claims interesting/important?
(2) Does the evidence support the claims?
Most of my reviews these days are short and focused.
Reposted by Aurélien Allard
Youyou Tu's work on anti-malarial compounds that saved millions of lives (w/Nobel+Lasker recognition) wins the low citation/huge impact cell. The original paper has 87 citations as of today: pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/11721477/ Hopefully she can get to 100.
What for huge citations and moderate impact?
What for huge citations and moderate impact?
November 8, 2025 at 12:31 PM
Youyou Tu's work on anti-malarial compounds that saved millions of lives (w/Nobel+Lasker recognition) wins the low citation/huge impact cell. The original paper has 87 citations as of today: pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/11721477/ Hopefully she can get to 100.
What for huge citations and moderate impact?
What for huge citations and moderate impact?
Reposted by Aurélien Allard
Haha, this from the New Yorker is getting passed around the math dork community. I did a comic about this kind of thought a few years ago: www.smbc-comics.com/comic/commut...
November 7, 2025 at 5:26 PM
Haha, this from the New Yorker is getting passed around the math dork community. I did a comic about this kind of thought a few years ago: www.smbc-comics.com/comic/commut...
Reposted by Aurélien Allard
Exactly! Which makes the real climate shift way scarier. Like shown by the data from svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/5452/
November 7, 2025 at 8:38 AM
Exactly! Which makes the real climate shift way scarier. Like shown by the data from svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/5452/
Reposted by Aurélien Allard
I appreciated the debate yesterday about how to interpret the results of the cognitive dissonance replication study
Scroll up to read the points made by researchers on both sides
Scroll up to read the points made by researchers on both sides
The whole idea about the paradigm we tested is that manipulation choice rules out the alternative explanations, so it can provide support for the theory, but we didn't find that. We only found effects that can be explained by alternative processes. (Also, I read the paper since I wrote it)
November 7, 2025 at 6:50 PM
I appreciated the debate yesterday about how to interpret the results of the cognitive dissonance replication study
Scroll up to read the points made by researchers on both sides
Scroll up to read the points made by researchers on both sides
Reposted by Aurélien Allard
Oops. Ooooooooooooops.
I do hope that nobody has been given or denied a job/promotion based on their SpringerNature citation counts in the past 15 years.
arxiv.org/pdf/2511.01675
h/t @nathlarigaldie.bsky.social
I do hope that nobody has been given or denied a job/promotion based on their SpringerNature citation counts in the past 15 years.
arxiv.org/pdf/2511.01675
h/t @nathlarigaldie.bsky.social
November 7, 2025 at 2:02 PM
Oops. Ooooooooooooops.
I do hope that nobody has been given or denied a job/promotion based on their SpringerNature citation counts in the past 15 years.
arxiv.org/pdf/2511.01675
h/t @nathlarigaldie.bsky.social
I do hope that nobody has been given or denied a job/promotion based on their SpringerNature citation counts in the past 15 years.
arxiv.org/pdf/2511.01675
h/t @nathlarigaldie.bsky.social
Reposted by Aurélien Allard
A recent redesign of OSF by @cos.io led to widespread access failures. What began as a few broken download links became for me a total disappearance of eight years of DOI-registered work. What happened, how was it resolved, and what it reveals about trust and infrastructure in open science
Open Science needs reliable infrastructure – Ven Popov
After OSF’s October 2025 redesign, I discovered that eight years of DOI-linked preprints and materials were silently hidden by an automated spam flag. What happened, how it was resolved, and what it r...
venpopov.com
November 6, 2025 at 6:13 PM
A recent redesign of OSF by @cos.io led to widespread access failures. What began as a few broken download links became for me a total disappearance of eight years of DOI-registered work. What happened, how was it resolved, and what it reveals about trust and infrastructure in open science
Reposted by Aurélien Allard
There’s growing evidence that something was going seriously wrong in the classic early work on cognitive dissonance
Latest revelation: The story in When Prophecy Fails seems to have been fabricated in the most egregious way
But this is not the only one…
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1...
Latest revelation: The story in When Prophecy Fails seems to have been fabricated in the most egregious way
But this is not the only one…
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1...
Debunking “When Prophecy Fails”
In 1954, Dorothy Martin predicted an apocalyptic flood and promised her followers rescue by flying saucers. When neither arrived, she recanted, her group dissolved, and efforts to proselytize ceased....
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
November 6, 2025 at 2:06 PM
There’s growing evidence that something was going seriously wrong in the classic early work on cognitive dissonance
Latest revelation: The story in When Prophecy Fails seems to have been fabricated in the most egregious way
But this is not the only one…
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1...
Latest revelation: The story in When Prophecy Fails seems to have been fabricated in the most egregious way
But this is not the only one…
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1...
Reposted by Aurélien Allard
I strongly recommend @hugoreasoning.bsky.social's book "Not Born Yesterday" if you've been exposed to too much social psychology about irrationality in your youth. press.princeton.edu/books/hardco...
November 6, 2025 at 12:39 PM
I strongly recommend @hugoreasoning.bsky.social's book "Not Born Yesterday" if you've been exposed to too much social psychology about irrationality in your youth. press.princeton.edu/books/hardco...
Reposted by Aurélien Allard
This unexpectedly blew up when I was sleeping. Just a few precisions to (hopefully) be a bit clearer: 👇
bsky.app/profile/nath...
bsky.app/profile/nath...
Close to 100% of what I was taught, not close to 100% of the field as a whole 😃. The 100 figure is indeed a bit exaggerated (although right now I would say it is already way above 50%, and still growing), but there is most certainly a bias in the courses I had during my Bachelor's
November 6, 2025 at 10:14 AM
This unexpectedly blew up when I was sleeping. Just a few precisions to (hopefully) be a bit clearer: 👇
bsky.app/profile/nath...
bsky.app/profile/nath...
Reposted by Aurélien Allard
Ok, just wow. If the content of this article is right, this is depressing. We're slowly reaching the point where ~100% of what I was taught in Social Psych was either innocently wrong or plainly frauded
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1...
Debunking “When Prophecy Fails”
In 1954, Dorothy Martin predicted an apocalyptic flood and promised her followers rescue by flying saucers. When neither arrived, she recanted, her group dissolved, and efforts to proselytize ceased....
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
November 5, 2025 at 11:09 PM
Ok, just wow. If the content of this article is right, this is depressing. We're slowly reaching the point where ~100% of what I was taught in Social Psych was either innocently wrong or plainly frauded
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1...
Reposted by Aurélien Allard
I’ve spent the last 8 years(!) working from the position that HiTOP relies too much on analyses of traditional diagnoses, baking in limitations of the DSM, and that we need to move to symptom-level analyses to fix it
It turns out that rebuilding HiTOP from the ground up doesn’t change much 💀
1/
It turns out that rebuilding HiTOP from the ground up doesn’t change much 💀
1/
November 4, 2025 at 8:27 PM
I’ve spent the last 8 years(!) working from the position that HiTOP relies too much on analyses of traditional diagnoses, baking in limitations of the DSM, and that we need to move to symptom-level analyses to fix it
It turns out that rebuilding HiTOP from the ground up doesn’t change much 💀
1/
It turns out that rebuilding HiTOP from the ground up doesn’t change much 💀
1/
Reposted by Aurélien Allard
@lakens.bsky.social pointed out on twitter that these text-mining studies (on mostly abstracts) are biased to overestimate the problem because exact test-statistics are more often reported for significant tests while non-significant tests are just described in words.
Look at the distribution of z-values from medical research!
November 5, 2025 at 1:28 PM
@lakens.bsky.social pointed out on twitter that these text-mining studies (on mostly abstracts) are biased to overestimate the problem because exact test-statistics are more often reported for significant tests while non-significant tests are just described in words.
Reposted by Aurélien Allard
So a recent Veritasium video on natural selection explains kin selection and does the unavoidable thing of saying that a parent shares "half of its genes with the child". This is wrong, because for any 2 humans, we share almost all of our genes. We share more than 95% with chimpanzees ffs. >>
November 4, 2025 at 3:44 PM
So a recent Veritasium video on natural selection explains kin selection and does the unavoidable thing of saying that a parent shares "half of its genes with the child". This is wrong, because for any 2 humans, we share almost all of our genes. We share more than 95% with chimpanzees ffs. >>
Reposted by Aurélien Allard
The package formerly known as papercheck has changed its name to metacheck! We're checking more than just papers, with functions to assess OSF projects, github repos, and AsPredicted pre-registrations, with more being developed all the time.
scienceverse.github.io/metacheck/
scienceverse.github.io/metacheck/
Check Research Outputs for Best Practices
A modular, extendable system for automatically checking research outputs for best practices using text search, R code, and/or (optional) LLM queries.
scienceverse.github.io
November 3, 2025 at 4:20 PM
The package formerly known as papercheck has changed its name to metacheck! We're checking more than just papers, with functions to assess OSF projects, github repos, and AsPredicted pre-registrations, with more being developed all the time.
scienceverse.github.io/metacheck/
scienceverse.github.io/metacheck/