Vilgot Huhn
@vilgothuhn.bsky.social
Confused PhD student in psychology at Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm. GAD, ICBT, mechanisms of change. Organizing the ReproducibiliTea JC at KI.
Website: https://vilgot-huhn.github.io/mywebsite/
Personal blog at unconfusion.substack.com
Website: https://vilgot-huhn.github.io/mywebsite/
Personal blog at unconfusion.substack.com
Reposted by Vilgot Huhn
I know this is yesterday’s news and feels relatively unimportant now but just want to note that this is ongoing and X and xAI continue to do absolutely nothing about it despite being able to end it by pressing a single button.
January 3, 2026 at 10:51 PM
I know this is yesterday’s news and feels relatively unimportant now but just want to note that this is ongoing and X and xAI continue to do absolutely nothing about it despite being able to end it by pressing a single button.
I find the way people talk about citing ”old studies” as if it was bad practice bizarre. Surely science is a long-term collective project.
January 3, 2026 at 12:50 PM
I find the way people talk about citing ”old studies” as if it was bad practice bizarre. Surely science is a long-term collective project.
I guess it’s wald_plane.jpg but I’m often struck by how people online aren’t more ambivalent about stuff. I have a contradictory spectrum of emotions about a lot of topics, and I find it difficult to relate to people who seem to never have that.
December 30, 2025 at 8:50 PM
I guess it’s wald_plane.jpg but I’m often struck by how people online aren’t more ambivalent about stuff. I have a contradictory spectrum of emotions about a lot of topics, and I find it difficult to relate to people who seem to never have that.
Reposted by Vilgot Huhn
Never heard back from the author so I emailed the editors and it turns out the authors had already discovered this shortly after publishing and sent a corrigendum which had not been published until just now.
If a Table in a meta-analysis contains one outlier SMD = 50 (!) with a suspiciously small SD that also happens to correspond to an SE from the study they're citing, and their estimate is clearly affected by this, is that enough to e-mail the corresponding author? (please say yes, I already did)
December 24, 2025 at 12:25 PM
Never heard back from the author so I emailed the editors and it turns out the authors had already discovered this shortly after publishing and sent a corrigendum which had not been published until just now.
I really appreciate authors casually engaging in (good faith) discussions about their papers on social media like this. Reminds me of science twitter in the before times.
Hi Michel, We did consider the selection process, collider bias, and regression to mean, among other statistical artifacts. We're focused on elite performers, rather than making broad claims about the greater population.
December 24, 2025 at 11:56 AM
I really appreciate authors casually engaging in (good faith) discussions about their papers on social media like this. Reminds me of science twitter in the before times.
Reposted by Vilgot Huhn
This research on using AI during note taking looks important. Students like using the AI and they find it easier. But the cognitive offloading decreases comprehension and memory.
Students often prefer less effective techniques for studying. They sometimes avoid the harder work that actually works.
Students often prefer less effective techniques for studying. They sometimes avoid the harder work that actually works.
Pre-registered RCT showing secondary students achieved higher reading comprehension scores when taking notes compared to using an LLM and to a lesser extent LLM+Note-taking > LLM (comparisons of Note-taking v. Notes+LLM are somewhat wonky). #PsychSciSky #AcademicSky #EduSky
Effects of LLM use and note-taking on reading comprehension and memory: A randomised experiment in secondary schools
Students' rapid uptake of Generative Artificial Intelligence tools, particularly large language models (LLMs), raises urgent questions about their eff…
doi.org
December 19, 2025 at 4:13 PM
This research on using AI during note taking looks important. Students like using the AI and they find it easier. But the cognitive offloading decreases comprehension and memory.
Students often prefer less effective techniques for studying. They sometimes avoid the harder work that actually works.
Students often prefer less effective techniques for studying. They sometimes avoid the harder work that actually works.
Reposted by Vilgot Huhn
🚨 Now out in Psych Science 🚨
We report an adversarial collaboration (with @donandrewmoore.bsky.social) testing whether overconfidence is genuinely a trait
The paper was led by Jabin Binnendyk & Sophia Li (who is fantastic and on the job market!) Free copy here: journals.sagepub.com/eprint/7JIYS...
We report an adversarial collaboration (with @donandrewmoore.bsky.social) testing whether overconfidence is genuinely a trait
The paper was led by Jabin Binnendyk & Sophia Li (who is fantastic and on the job market!) Free copy here: journals.sagepub.com/eprint/7JIYS...
December 17, 2025 at 5:17 PM
🚨 Now out in Psych Science 🚨
We report an adversarial collaboration (with @donandrewmoore.bsky.social) testing whether overconfidence is genuinely a trait
The paper was led by Jabin Binnendyk & Sophia Li (who is fantastic and on the job market!) Free copy here: journals.sagepub.com/eprint/7JIYS...
We report an adversarial collaboration (with @donandrewmoore.bsky.social) testing whether overconfidence is genuinely a trait
The paper was led by Jabin Binnendyk & Sophia Li (who is fantastic and on the job market!) Free copy here: journals.sagepub.com/eprint/7JIYS...
Reposted by Vilgot Huhn
nobody ever tries biting zombies to see if it turns them normal again and i think that's a mistake from a scientific perspective.
December 17, 2025 at 9:31 AM
nobody ever tries biting zombies to see if it turns them normal again and i think that's a mistake from a scientific perspective.
”Whether the acceleration produces collapse or adaptation or simply more of the same is not a question about the technology, and it won’t be answered by debates about capabilities. It will be answered by the institutions that have been running this program for sixty years. ”
Context Widows
or, of GPUs, LPUs, and Goal Displacement
open.substack.com
December 17, 2025 at 7:44 AM
”Whether the acceleration produces collapse or adaptation or simply more of the same is not a question about the technology, and it won’t be answered by debates about capabilities. It will be answered by the institutions that have been running this program for sixty years. ”
The new Knives Out was good but I feel like Benoit Blanc has shifted as a character from a bumbling detective that was actually smart underneath the surface to an eccentric genius who always solves the case.
December 15, 2025 at 6:50 AM
The new Knives Out was good but I feel like Benoit Blanc has shifted as a character from a bumbling detective that was actually smart underneath the surface to an eccentric genius who always solves the case.
It’s hard to explain to foreigners that the one time otherwise irreligious Sweden go to church it’s to celebrate an Italian saint (we celebrate no other saints. the Swedish church is protestant)
Tried to take my toddler today and the church was full!
Tried to take my toddler today and the church was full!
December 13, 2025 at 7:16 PM
It’s hard to explain to foreigners that the one time otherwise irreligious Sweden go to church it’s to celebrate an Italian saint (we celebrate no other saints. the Swedish church is protestant)
Tried to take my toddler today and the church was full!
Tried to take my toddler today and the church was full!
A potential silver-lining in all this would be if the far-right in Europe collapse in popularity because of their open admiration of Trump. I think that’s pretty likely. In Sweden some ”alternative media” influencers are already pretending they never liked the guy.
December 11, 2025 at 7:49 AM
A potential silver-lining in all this would be if the far-right in Europe collapse in popularity because of their open admiration of Trump. I think that’s pretty likely. In Sweden some ”alternative media” influencers are already pretending they never liked the guy.
I don’t think it’s right to say that Seinfeld is a ”show about nothing”, but it sure is a show without a concept.
”Oh it’s about these 4 friends. One of them is real life comedian Jerry Seinfeld and, ehh, they generally don’t have much going on…”
”Oh it’s about these 4 friends. One of them is real life comedian Jerry Seinfeld and, ehh, they generally don’t have much going on…”
December 10, 2025 at 8:15 PM
I don’t think it’s right to say that Seinfeld is a ”show about nothing”, but it sure is a show without a concept.
”Oh it’s about these 4 friends. One of them is real life comedian Jerry Seinfeld and, ehh, they generally don’t have much going on…”
”Oh it’s about these 4 friends. One of them is real life comedian Jerry Seinfeld and, ehh, they generally don’t have much going on…”
if you ever met me and think I look ugly you need to remember I was designed to be viewed on a CRT monitor
December 10, 2025 at 12:13 PM
if you ever met me and think I look ugly you need to remember I was designed to be viewed on a CRT monitor
Psychological science is an endless struggle between the theory that humans are really weird and the theory that humans aren’t actually that weird.
December 9, 2025 at 4:20 PM
Psychological science is an endless struggle between the theory that humans are really weird and the theory that humans aren’t actually that weird.
Reposted by Vilgot Huhn
Whenever the evidence pyramid comes up in journal club
this one gets at the big issue — a hierarchy or pyramid doesn’t work for strength of the evidence because a) it isn’t one, and b) it depends on the question(s) you are asking
December 9, 2025 at 1:03 PM
Whenever the evidence pyramid comes up in journal club
Regarding unstructured reading of the literature, I think the R package I use the most is just "pwr".
>read a result/discussion.
>"surprisingly we didn't find this thing others find"
>look at n
>pwr.t.test(n, some_reasonable_d, type = "two sample")
I think this habit helps contextualize a lot.
>read a result/discussion.
>"surprisingly we didn't find this thing others find"
>look at n
>pwr.t.test(n, some_reasonable_d, type = "two sample")
I think this habit helps contextualize a lot.
December 9, 2025 at 11:25 AM
Regarding unstructured reading of the literature, I think the R package I use the most is just "pwr".
>read a result/discussion.
>"surprisingly we didn't find this thing others find"
>look at n
>pwr.t.test(n, some_reasonable_d, type = "two sample")
I think this habit helps contextualize a lot.
>read a result/discussion.
>"surprisingly we didn't find this thing others find"
>look at n
>pwr.t.test(n, some_reasonable_d, type = "two sample")
I think this habit helps contextualize a lot.
Doing some unstructured reading of the generalized anxiety disorder literature for my "half-time review" and I can't help but feel I would need to live for a thousand years to catch up to all my "I should probably dig into that further"-notes.
December 9, 2025 at 11:17 AM
Doing some unstructured reading of the generalized anxiety disorder literature for my "half-time review" and I can't help but feel I would need to live for a thousand years to catch up to all my "I should probably dig into that further"-notes.
Reposted by Vilgot Huhn
We're half a decade into studies finding that improving airflow in classrooms will reduce disease transmission enormously, and that bleaching surfaces etc. does very little. And yet nothing changes. Waves of flu and colds wash over schools, and the schools pretend it's an act of God.
The relative contribution of close-proximity contacts, shared classroom exposure and indoor air quality to respiratory virus transmission in schools - Nature Communications
The relative importance of close-proximity interactions, shared space and air quality to the transmission of respiratory viruses is not well understood. Here, the authors investigate this question by ...
www.nature.com
December 8, 2025 at 4:23 AM
We're half a decade into studies finding that improving airflow in classrooms will reduce disease transmission enormously, and that bleaching surfaces etc. does very little. And yet nothing changes. Waves of flu and colds wash over schools, and the schools pretend it's an act of God.
This JD Vance worldview where they’re at once concerned for Europe’s sake because of ”mass migration”, described as a ”civilizational (!) threat”, while also fatally undermining military and economic alliances, aligning with Russian interests, makes no sense as a real moral position to have.
I turned off the news for 1 day to give myself a break, and came back to this. wtf is going on now?
New US security strategy aligns with Russia's vision, Moscow says
The Kremlin welcomes the starkly worded document, which does not cast Russia as a threat to the US.
www.bbc.com
December 8, 2025 at 3:22 PM
This JD Vance worldview where they’re at once concerned for Europe’s sake because of ”mass migration”, described as a ”civilizational (!) threat”, while also fatally undermining military and economic alliances, aligning with Russian interests, makes no sense as a real moral position to have.
Twitter is banned in Russia btw so Medvedev would have to use a VPN to cheer on this attack.
Elon Musk and his Russian friends call for the abolishment of the EU
December 8, 2025 at 11:57 AM
Twitter is banned in Russia btw so Medvedev would have to use a VPN to cheer on this attack.
I wrote a blogpost on how I don't think Lindley's paradox is a good justification for the practice of "p-value circling" (treating significant p-values close to 0.05 with suspicion). Also some other stuff. #rstats #stats
I don’t think Lindley’s paradox supports p-circling – Vilgot's website
Don’t give p-values a role they’re not made for
vilgot-huhn.github.io
December 7, 2025 at 1:12 PM
One big mistake I've made in my online life is being too much of a lurker. Writing things, even just short "takes", makes for much deeper engagement with subjects. I promise, I was there (3000 years ago) when PsychMAP on Facebook was the place to be. I could have learned so much more!
a man with long hair is pointing at the camera and saying `` i was there , gandalf '' .
ALT: a man with long hair is pointing at the camera and saying `` i was there , gandalf '' .
media.tenor.com
December 6, 2025 at 11:59 AM
One big mistake I've made in my online life is being too much of a lurker. Writing things, even just short "takes", makes for much deeper engagement with subjects. I promise, I was there (3000 years ago) when PsychMAP on Facebook was the place to be. I could have learned so much more!