Thomas Gaudin
@astrotom.bsky.social
Science Planner for the NASA Swift Science Operations Team. Astrophysics Ph.D. Student @penn_state.
Just a guy who loves the stars and loves watching sports.
Just a guy who loves the stars and loves watching sports.
The newest Astronomer’s Telegram of the S-CUBED team is now live! We have detected a new X-ray binary outburst in the SMC with our weekly observations.
SXP 8.80 is the second of its kind to go off in 3 months and another interesting source to track! 🔭✨
www.astronomerstelegram.org?read=17246
SXP 8.80 is the second of its kind to go off in 3 months and another interesting source to track! 🔭✨
www.astronomerstelegram.org?read=17246
ATel #17246: S-CUBED Detects a new outburst of the Be/X-ray binary SXP 8.80
ATel On
www.astronomerstelegram.org
June 26, 2025 at 4:07 PM
The newest Astronomer’s Telegram of the S-CUBED team is now live! We have detected a new X-ray binary outburst in the SMC with our weekly observations.
SXP 8.80 is the second of its kind to go off in 3 months and another interesting source to track! 🔭✨
www.astronomerstelegram.org?read=17246
SXP 8.80 is the second of its kind to go off in 3 months and another interesting source to track! 🔭✨
www.astronomerstelegram.org?read=17246
Absolute highway robbery in Huntsville tonight. 3 points to CFC in a match where they got thoroughly outplayed.
2 goals against the run of play. A penalty saved in the 90’. What a game.
2 goals against the run of play. A penalty saved in the 90’. What a game.
May 18, 2025 at 2:37 AM
Absolute highway robbery in Huntsville tonight. 3 points to CFC in a match where they got thoroughly outplayed.
2 goals against the run of play. A penalty saved in the 90’. What a game.
2 goals against the run of play. A penalty saved in the 90’. What a game.
Introducing MLS Next Pro’s Race to the Playoffs!
We’re 8 matches into a 28 match season. Over the next 10 matches, we will see teams start to make their push for early playoff qualification. Use this as a handy guide to see when teams cross last year’s “playoff safety zone”!
We’re 8 matches into a 28 match season. Over the next 10 matches, we will see teams start to make their push for early playoff qualification. Use this as a handy guide to see when teams cross last year’s “playoff safety zone”!
May 4, 2025 at 9:06 PM
Introducing MLS Next Pro’s Race to the Playoffs!
We’re 8 matches into a 28 match season. Over the next 10 matches, we will see teams start to make their push for early playoff qualification. Use this as a handy guide to see when teams cross last year’s “playoff safety zone”!
We’re 8 matches into a 28 match season. Over the next 10 matches, we will see teams start to make their push for early playoff qualification. Use this as a handy guide to see when teams cross last year’s “playoff safety zone”!
Data from yesterday’s Chattanooga FC game. For the one of the first times this season, CFC underperforms in a draw instead of in a win or loss. Ancelin’s breakaway in the 81’ ends up being the difference.
We may be seeing some regression to the mean happening. You can’t play that lucky forever!
We may be seeing some regression to the mean happening. You can’t play that lucky forever!
May 4, 2025 at 9:01 PM
Data from yesterday’s Chattanooga FC game. For the one of the first times this season, CFC underperforms in a draw instead of in a win or loss. Ancelin’s breakaway in the 81’ ends up being the difference.
We may be seeing some regression to the mean happening. You can’t play that lucky forever!
We may be seeing some regression to the mean happening. You can’t play that lucky forever!
I duplicated this plot for the MLS Next Pro season. Chattanooga FC’s value makes no sense at all. 1.6 points above expected over a 6 match stretch is an insane run of form for the Blues.
It doesn’t feel sustainable, but it’s a hell of a ride while it lasts.
It doesn’t feel sustainable, but it’s a hell of a ride while it lasts.
April 23, 2025 at 4:02 PM
I duplicated this plot for the MLS Next Pro season. Chattanooga FC’s value makes no sense at all. 1.6 points above expected over a 6 match stretch is an insane run of form for the Blues.
It doesn’t feel sustainable, but it’s a hell of a ride while it lasts.
It doesn’t feel sustainable, but it’s a hell of a ride while it lasts.
The ratio of blue to red in this video is heartwarming.
April 2, 2025 at 11:02 PM
The ratio of blue to red in this video is heartwarming.
Reposted by Thomas Gaudin
Update: Only 1 section (211) still has tickets available on the south side.
The atmosphere tonight is going to be unbelievable.
The atmosphere tonight is going to be unbelievable.
Bringing this over here for those no longer on the other place.
Something very special is happening in Chattanooga…
Looking online, sections 102-109 and 203-209 are already sold out days before the USOC match.
Something very special is happening in Chattanooga…
Looking online, sections 102-109 and 203-209 are already sold out days before the USOC match.
April 2, 2025 at 6:39 PM
Update: Only 1 section (211) still has tickets available on the south side.
The atmosphere tonight is going to be unbelievable.
The atmosphere tonight is going to be unbelievable.
I’m anxious about the Chattanooga match tonight, so I cooked up a few xG plots for MLS Next Pro to help calm me down.
Interesting to see how lucky some teams are running, including Chattanooga (noisy sample of 3-4 games). North Texas surely cannot keep giving up over 3 goals per game.
Interesting to see how lucky some teams are running, including Chattanooga (noisy sample of 3-4 games). North Texas surely cannot keep giving up over 3 goals per game.
April 2, 2025 at 2:57 PM
I’m anxious about the Chattanooga match tonight, so I cooked up a few xG plots for MLS Next Pro to help calm me down.
Interesting to see how lucky some teams are running, including Chattanooga (noisy sample of 3-4 games). North Texas surely cannot keep giving up over 3 goals per game.
Interesting to see how lucky some teams are running, including Chattanooga (noisy sample of 3-4 games). North Texas surely cannot keep giving up over 3 goals per game.
I have never been more nervous about a soccer match than I am today. Sometimes a sporting event is about more than just the game. Today is one of those times.
Anyways, Go CFC!
Anyways, Go CFC!
April 2, 2025 at 1:47 PM
I have never been more nervous about a soccer match than I am today. Sometimes a sporting event is about more than just the game. Today is one of those times.
Anyways, Go CFC!
Anyways, Go CFC!
Homework: Read this excellent piece by tomorrow. Good versus Evil is about to be personified as the Soccer Wars find their newest venue in the heart of the south.
There is only one team who should be supported. Chattanooga will always be blue.
There is only one team who should be supported. Chattanooga will always be blue.
The 2025 US Open Cup Second Round kicks off today. Fans will see:
* Westchester pros vs Astoria amateurs
* A New England derby
* The battle for USSF’s soul in Chattanooga
Read Open Cup Digest #13 for #USOC2025 on @hudsonriverblue.com: www.hudsonriverblue.com/good-vs-evil...
* Westchester pros vs Astoria amateurs
* A New England derby
* The battle for USSF’s soul in Chattanooga
Read Open Cup Digest #13 for #USOC2025 on @hudsonriverblue.com: www.hudsonriverblue.com/good-vs-evil...
Good vs Evil: US Open Cup's Second Round begins today
Open Cup Digest #13: Why upstarts Hearts of Pine and Westchester SC should advance, and why Chattanooga FC are playing for the soul of American soccer
www.hudsonriverblue.com
April 1, 2025 at 5:14 PM
Homework: Read this excellent piece by tomorrow. Good versus Evil is about to be personified as the Soccer Wars find their newest venue in the heart of the south.
There is only one team who should be supported. Chattanooga will always be blue.
There is only one team who should be supported. Chattanooga will always be blue.
Reposted by Thomas Gaudin
I’m tired of hearing “it’s just Panama” from US fans. They’ve beat us in four of the last five competitive matchups, it’s time to put some respect on their name. There’s a clear top four in CONCACAF right now and we might be #4.
March 21, 2025 at 4:45 AM
I’m tired of hearing “it’s just Panama” from US fans. They’ve beat us in four of the last five competitive matchups, it’s time to put some respect on their name. There’s a clear top four in CONCACAF right now and we might be #4.
With MLS NEXT Pro Matchday 2 about to kick off, I decided to run some calculations. Based on the Elo ratings that I derived a few months ago, I can forecast the match outcomes of MLSNP games.
Here are the implied odds for the matches tonight. Let’s see how the Tom Model does throughout the season!
Here are the implied odds for the matches tonight. Let’s see how the Tom Model does throughout the season!
March 13, 2025 at 9:11 PM
With MLS NEXT Pro Matchday 2 about to kick off, I decided to run some calculations. Based on the Elo ratings that I derived a few months ago, I can forecast the match outcomes of MLSNP games.
Here are the implied odds for the matches tonight. Let’s see how the Tom Model does throughout the season!
Here are the implied odds for the matches tonight. Let’s see how the Tom Model does throughout the season!
After a week traveling around Iceland, we finally got lucky with the Northern Lights! Thankful to finally get clear skies and dense solar winds to witness an auroral light show.
I’ve seen a lot of astronomical events, but watching the aurorae dance above us one of my favorites that I’ve seen! 🔭
I’ve seen a lot of astronomical events, but watching the aurorae dance above us one of my favorites that I’ve seen! 🔭
March 9, 2025 at 9:34 AM
After a week traveling around Iceland, we finally got lucky with the Northern Lights! Thankful to finally get clear skies and dense solar winds to witness an auroral light show.
I’ve seen a lot of astronomical events, but watching the aurorae dance above us one of my favorites that I’ve seen! 🔭
I’ve seen a lot of astronomical events, but watching the aurorae dance above us one of my favorites that I’ve seen! 🔭
Since I’ve had so much success with Elo-based analysis of international soccer, I decided to bring it to a domestic league to try it out.
I thus have created my own Elo ratings system for all MLS Next Pro teams! What is attached is the final Elo rating of all teams after each season.
I thus have created my own Elo ratings system for all MLS Next Pro teams! What is attached is the final Elo rating of all teams after each season.
January 3, 2025 at 4:29 PM
Since I’ve had so much success with Elo-based analysis of international soccer, I decided to bring it to a domestic league to try it out.
I thus have created my own Elo ratings system for all MLS Next Pro teams! What is attached is the final Elo rating of all teams after each season.
I thus have created my own Elo ratings system for all MLS Next Pro teams! What is attached is the final Elo rating of all teams after each season.
Reposted by Thomas Gaudin
NEW POD!
The whole gang gets together to talk about our year that was and go over our 2025 New Year’s Resolutions, with a special off camera appearance by @astrotom.bsky.social!
The whole gang gets together to talk about our year that was and go over our 2025 New Year’s Resolutions, with a special off camera appearance by @astrotom.bsky.social!
January 2, 2025 at 2:44 AM
NEW POD!
The whole gang gets together to talk about our year that was and go over our 2025 New Year’s Resolutions, with a special off camera appearance by @astrotom.bsky.social!
The whole gang gets together to talk about our year that was and go over our 2025 New Year’s Resolutions, with a special off camera appearance by @astrotom.bsky.social!
The USMNT tables for player stats compared to opponent Elo naturally lend themselves to some scatter plots to learn about the player pool. This first one is average Elo of minutes compared to goal contributions per 90.
Besides Vazquez and Pepi, you get a decent snapshot of the current #USMNT pool.
Besides Vazquez and Pepi, you get a decent snapshot of the current #USMNT pool.
November 25, 2024 at 3:15 PM
The USMNT tables for player stats compared to opponent Elo naturally lend themselves to some scatter plots to learn about the player pool. This first one is average Elo of minutes compared to goal contributions per 90.
Besides Vazquez and Pepi, you get a decent snapshot of the current #USMNT pool.
Besides Vazquez and Pepi, you get a decent snapshot of the current #USMNT pool.
Yesterday, I was fortunate to have the opportunity to visit NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center for Swift’s 20th Anniversary.
Unexpectedly, while we were there, we were fortunate to have a few minutes to watch the integration of the Roman Space Telescope with its science payload. 🔭
Unexpectedly, while we were there, we were fortunate to have a few minutes to watch the integration of the Roman Space Telescope with its science payload. 🔭
November 21, 2024 at 5:03 PM
Yesterday, I was fortunate to have the opportunity to visit NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center for Swift’s 20th Anniversary.
Unexpectedly, while we were there, we were fortunate to have a few minutes to watch the integration of the Roman Space Telescope with its science payload. 🔭
Unexpectedly, while we were there, we were fortunate to have a few minutes to watch the integration of the Roman Space Telescope with its science payload. 🔭
Happy 20th Anniversary to the Niel Gehrels Swift Observatory!!
20 years ago today, Swift launched from Cape Canaveral in Florida. Since then, it has contributed to so much science and found some really cool objects. Here’s to many more years of astronomy with Swift! #Swift20 🔭
20 years ago today, Swift launched from Cape Canaveral in Florida. Since then, it has contributed to so much science and found some really cool objects. Here’s to many more years of astronomy with Swift! #Swift20 🔭
November 20, 2024 at 12:32 PM
Happy 20th Anniversary to the Niel Gehrels Swift Observatory!!
20 years ago today, Swift launched from Cape Canaveral in Florida. Since then, it has contributed to so much science and found some really cool objects. Here’s to many more years of astronomy with Swift! #Swift20 🔭
20 years ago today, Swift launched from Cape Canaveral in Florida. Since then, it has contributed to so much science and found some really cool objects. Here’s to many more years of astronomy with Swift! #Swift20 🔭
At this point, I have compiled a very detailed spreadsheet of individual match data for all active and a few select retired USMNT players. After the November window, here are the numbers. It is interesting to see how productive players are and compare it to the difficulty of their opponents! #USMNT
November 19, 2024 at 8:46 PM
At this point, I have compiled a very detailed spreadsheet of individual match data for all active and a few select retired USMNT players. After the November window, here are the numbers. It is interesting to see how productive players are and compare it to the difficulty of their opponents! #USMNT
One thing I’m watching for over the next few years for the USMNT is Christian Pulisic’s production compared to the historical production of Landon Donovan and Clint Dempsey.
At about the halfway mark of their caps, Puli is running ahead of Dempsey and with Donovan on goal contributions.
At about the halfway mark of their caps, Puli is running ahead of Dempsey and with Donovan on goal contributions.
November 14, 2024 at 7:55 PM
One thing I’m watching for over the next few years for the USMNT is Christian Pulisic’s production compared to the historical production of Landon Donovan and Clint Dempsey.
At about the halfway mark of their caps, Puli is running ahead of Dempsey and with Donovan on goal contributions.
At about the halfway mark of their caps, Puli is running ahead of Dempsey and with Donovan on goal contributions.
Reposted by Thomas Gaudin
As someone who is *in Kingston* right now, I have thoughts.
Gonna make a thread of things in no particular order.
Gonna make a thread of things in no particular order.
There is zero USMNT juice anymore. I’ve got theories as to why — players on the team being somewhat inaccessible, discourse around the team being awful & toxic, etc. — but I’m curious what everyone else thinks.
Absolutely wild that the USMNT have an official match tomorrow, the first under it’s most ambitious hire (and with its top players performing quite well at top clubs).
Did I just get old or did we really lose as much buzz around matches as I perceive us to have?
Did I just get old or did we really lose as much buzz around matches as I perceive us to have?
November 14, 2024 at 4:44 PM
As someone who is *in Kingston* right now, I have thoughts.
Gonna make a thread of things in no particular order.
Gonna make a thread of things in no particular order.
Ok #USMNT BlueSky, here are some stats on the US National Team player pool. The first plot tracks minutes versus goal contributions. The second plot tracks goal contributions and weights minutes by the Elo of US opponents.
Interesting data and shows just how valuable Christian Pulisic is!
Interesting data and shows just how valuable Christian Pulisic is!
November 13, 2024 at 8:27 PM
Ok #USMNT BlueSky, here are some stats on the US National Team player pool. The first plot tracks minutes versus goal contributions. The second plot tracks goal contributions and weights minutes by the Elo of US opponents.
Interesting data and shows just how valuable Christian Pulisic is!
Interesting data and shows just how valuable Christian Pulisic is!
Since I’m new to 🔭 BlueSky, I figure I should introduce myself!
My name is Thomas. I’m a 3rd year Ph.D. Student! I study Be/X-ray Binaries using Swift Observatory data.
I work with multiwavelength time series data to study these binaries, discovering new systems and learning about known systems.
My name is Thomas. I’m a 3rd year Ph.D. Student! I study Be/X-ray Binaries using Swift Observatory data.
I work with multiwavelength time series data to study these binaries, discovering new systems and learning about known systems.
November 13, 2024 at 8:20 PM
Since I’m new to 🔭 BlueSky, I figure I should introduce myself!
My name is Thomas. I’m a 3rd year Ph.D. Student! I study Be/X-ray Binaries using Swift Observatory data.
I work with multiwavelength time series data to study these binaries, discovering new systems and learning about known systems.
My name is Thomas. I’m a 3rd year Ph.D. Student! I study Be/X-ray Binaries using Swift Observatory data.
I work with multiwavelength time series data to study these binaries, discovering new systems and learning about known systems.
Reposted by Thomas Gaudin
Here's a quick Starter Pack of Chattanooga FC fans. Reply to me if I missed you and I'll update tomorrow.
Have a look! Chattanooga is blue!
Have a look! Chattanooga is blue!
November 12, 2024 at 5:13 AM
Here's a quick Starter Pack of Chattanooga FC fans. Reply to me if I missed you and I'll update tomorrow.
Have a look! Chattanooga is blue!
Have a look! Chattanooga is blue!