@671pgt.bsky.social
Reposted
I enjoyed writing this for Foreign Affairs on why the US Military’s most serious Chinese capability problems in the Indo-Pacific cannot be solved with “cheap massed drones”:
www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
America’s Drone Delusion
Why the lessons of Ukraine don’t apply to a conflict with China.
www.foreignaffairs.com
December 15, 2025 at 1:18 PM
I enjoyed writing this for Foreign Affairs on why the US Military’s most serious Chinese capability problems in the Indo-Pacific cannot be solved with “cheap massed drones”:
www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
I'm looking forward to the inevitable development of turtle tankers.
Day 1275 of my 3 day war. Ukraine seems to carrying out its own sanctions on my shadow fleet.
November 30, 2025 at 3:05 AM
I'm looking forward to the inevitable development of turtle tankers.
Well worth the time to watch.
How Israel’s Army Got It Wrong: Lessons from Gaza and Lebanon
youtu.be/jOYyfQZV368
youtu.be/jOYyfQZV368
How Israel’s Army Got It Wrong: Lessons from Gaza and Lebanon
YouTube video by Ryan McBeth
youtu.be
November 7, 2025 at 6:36 PM
Well worth the time to watch.
It needed to be said. This is definitely a familiar story.
Ukraine may be repeating a costly mistake in Pokrovsk.
It’s a recurring pattern, seen for example in Vuhledar and Kursk – a reluctance to conduct a controlled, militarily justified withdrawal from a threatened salient when the situation no longer favors the defender. 1/
It’s a recurring pattern, seen for example in Vuhledar and Kursk – a reluctance to conduct a controlled, militarily justified withdrawal from a threatened salient when the situation no longer favors the defender. 1/
November 4, 2025 at 7:39 PM
It needed to be said. This is definitely a familiar story.
I can't believe these are real, but they are: www.whitehouse.gov/about-the-wh...
The official White House website is indistinguishable from a 4chan post at this point.
October 23, 2025 at 6:47 PM
I can't believe these are real, but they are: www.whitehouse.gov/about-the-wh...
Reposted
Three days after Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa met Vladimir Putin in the Kremlin, a cargo ship previously used for Russian weapons deliveries set out from the north Russian port of Arkhangelsk towards Tartus, Syria
Sanctioned carrier is on the way from Arkhangelsk to Syria
Three days after Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa met Vladimir Putin in the Kremlin, a cargo ship that frequently has carried weapons for the Russian armed forces set out from the north Russian port o...
www.thebarentsobserver.com
October 21, 2025 at 2:41 PM
Three days after Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa met Vladimir Putin in the Kremlin, a cargo ship previously used for Russian weapons deliveries set out from the north Russian port of Arkhangelsk towards Tartus, Syria
Reposted
Well that’s a first (as far as I’m aware at least). A Ukrainian FPV successfully taking out a Russian Mi-8/17 helicopter. Looks opportunistic - FPV looking for targets on the road and reacts rapidly and with impressive pilot skill to seeing the helicopter rapidly approaching…
The Ukrainian military says it has destroyed a Russian Mi-28 helicopter with an FPV drone. Video from the drone shows it approach the aircraft almost head on until the instant it presumably impacts. Video shot from another drone shows the helicopter crash in flames.
Drones are changing war.
Drones are changing war.
September 29, 2025 at 10:33 AM
Well that’s a first (as far as I’m aware at least). A Ukrainian FPV successfully taking out a Russian Mi-8/17 helicopter. Looks opportunistic - FPV looking for targets on the road and reacts rapidly and with impressive pilot skill to seeing the helicopter rapidly approaching…
Reposted
Sink the Baltic fleet, take Kaliningrad and then claim it was an accident due to Ukrainian EW interference.
It probably is incompetence, but we should sink a Russian frigate anyway to send a message.
September 10, 2025 at 11:42 AM
Sink the Baltic fleet, take Kaliningrad and then claim it was an accident due to Ukrainian EW interference.
Reposted
Uncrewed ‘narco submarines’ - I think we will see a lot more of them now
September 3, 2025 at 3:44 PM
Uncrewed ‘narco submarines’ - I think we will see a lot more of them now
Reposted
Exclusive Report: Shipments of engines, cylinders, pistons, and electronics are pouring from China into Alabuga, fueling Russia’s Shahed production. Frontelligence Insight analyzed export data, closed reports, and open sources, revealing the scale of support. 🧵Thread:
August 21, 2025 at 2:32 PM
Exclusive Report: Shipments of engines, cylinders, pistons, and electronics are pouring from China into Alabuga, fueling Russia’s Shahed production. Frontelligence Insight analyzed export data, closed reports, and open sources, revealing the scale of support. 🧵Thread:
Amazing what happens when you actually go somewhere and don't just read about it on twitter.
I Was Wrong About Israel: What I Learned on the Ground
youtu.be/qgUzVZiint0
youtu.be/qgUzVZiint0
I Was Wrong About Israel: What I Learned on the Ground
YouTube video by Ryan McBeth
youtu.be
August 19, 2025 at 2:05 AM
Amazing what happens when you actually go somewhere and don't just read about it on twitter.
Reposted
The cars of October 7th and the Shoes of Auschwitz
youtube.com/shorts/_W0BS...
youtube.com/shorts/_W0BS...
The cars of October 7th and the Shoes of Auschwitz
YouTube video by Ryan McBeth
youtube.com
August 12, 2025 at 11:00 AM
The cars of October 7th and the Shoes of Auschwitz
youtube.com/shorts/_W0BS...
youtube.com/shorts/_W0BS...
Reposted
🎶Generals gathered in their masses.🎶
July 22, 2025 at 7:14 PM
🎶Generals gathered in their masses.🎶
Interesting analysis:
www.timesofisrael.com/with-stunnin...
www.timesofisrael.com/with-stunnin...
With stunning campaign in Iran over for now, Israel turns back to Gaza slog
The IDF ran circles around Hezbollah, and inflicted serious damage on a powerful Iran 1,000 miles away, so why is it struggling to wrap up the fight against a far weaker Hamas foe?
www.timesofisrael.com
June 27, 2025 at 8:43 PM
Interesting analysis:
www.timesofisrael.com/with-stunnin...
www.timesofisrael.com/with-stunnin...
Reposted
Some things here may be dated but I still found it useful. If you follow drone use in Ukraine then you likely know a lot of what’s in this piece. Yet the perspective is nonetheless helpful. warontherocks.com/2025/06/i-fo...
I Fought in Ukraine and Here’s Why FPV Drones Kind of Suck – War on the Rocks
warontherocks.com
June 26, 2025 at 4:00 PM
Some things here may be dated but I still found it useful. If you follow drone use in Ukraine then you likely know a lot of what’s in this piece. Yet the perspective is nonetheless helpful. warontherocks.com/2025/06/i-fo...
Reposted
Shaky Israel-Iran ceasefire points to unfinished business
My new analysis of the 12-day war, and why it may well be the beginning of a new and more dangerous phase of the Israel-Iran conflict, rather than the end.
en.majalla.com/node/326170/...
My new analysis of the 12-day war, and why it may well be the beginning of a new and more dangerous phase of the Israel-Iran conflict, rather than the end.
en.majalla.com/node/326170/...
Shaky Israel-Iran ceasefire points to unfinished business
What Trump has dubbed the '12-day War' could be just the opening salvo of a much longer conflict
en.majalla.com
June 24, 2025 at 5:53 PM
Shaky Israel-Iran ceasefire points to unfinished business
My new analysis of the 12-day war, and why it may well be the beginning of a new and more dangerous phase of the Israel-Iran conflict, rather than the end.
en.majalla.com/node/326170/...
My new analysis of the 12-day war, and why it may well be the beginning of a new and more dangerous phase of the Israel-Iran conflict, rather than the end.
en.majalla.com/node/326170/...
Reposted
Another case study in the fallacy of ‘transparent battlefields’. This is a good examination of some of the reasons why Israel achieved surprise against Iran last week. www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-at...
By fusing intelligence and special operations, Israel’s strikes on Iran are a lesson in strategic surprise
Operation Rising Lion offers critical lessons for Western military planners facing similar challenges against peer competitors.
www.atlanticcouncil.org
June 15, 2025 at 8:25 PM
Another case study in the fallacy of ‘transparent battlefields’. This is a good examination of some of the reasons why Israel achieved surprise against Iran last week. www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-at...
Reposted
While Western tankies desperately try to equate 🇮🇱 with 🇷🇺🗑️, my friends in 🇮🇷 are cheering every successful strike against nuclear facilities, military bases, and the woman-hating, murderous IRGC leadership. Thankfully, neither 🇮🇱 nor the 🇮🇷 opposition care about tankie sensitivities 🤗♥️ #FreeIran
June 14, 2025 at 9:02 AM
While Western tankies desperately try to equate 🇮🇱 with 🇷🇺🗑️, my friends in 🇮🇷 are cheering every successful strike against nuclear facilities, military bases, and the woman-hating, murderous IRGC leadership. Thankfully, neither 🇮🇱 nor the 🇮🇷 opposition care about tankie sensitivities 🤗♥️ #FreeIran
Reposted
Two takeaways from Iran’s retaliatory strikes so far.
1. The ballistic missile strikes have been largely symbolic in nature targeting symbols of Israel’s military power (Ministry of Defence) rather than Israel’s ability to continue its air campaign against Israel.
1. The ballistic missile strikes have been largely symbolic in nature targeting symbols of Israel’s military power (Ministry of Defence) rather than Israel’s ability to continue its air campaign against Israel.
June 13, 2025 at 10:47 PM
Two takeaways from Iran’s retaliatory strikes so far.
1. The ballistic missile strikes have been largely symbolic in nature targeting symbols of Israel’s military power (Ministry of Defence) rather than Israel’s ability to continue its air campaign against Israel.
1. The ballistic missile strikes have been largely symbolic in nature targeting symbols of Israel’s military power (Ministry of Defence) rather than Israel’s ability to continue its air campaign against Israel.
Reposted
🧵 I’ve talked a lot about disordered discourse, conspiracies, polarisation, denialism. But maybe the better question is: why does this keep happening? Why does our shared reality keep fracturing? What are the drivers I talk about as a dimension of disordered discourse?
I've just come back from the Cambridge Disinformation Summit where I gave the opening keynote, titled "Demanufacturing Consent - How Disordered Discourse is Destroying Democracy", featuring everything from Fake Hooves to Jackson Hinkle being the worst.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=D-FV...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=D-FV...
Belllingcat CEO Eliot Higgins, on how disordered discourse is destroying democracy
YouTube video by Cambridge Disinformation Summit
www.youtube.com
May 16, 2025 at 9:01 AM
🧵 I’ve talked a lot about disordered discourse, conspiracies, polarisation, denialism. But maybe the better question is: why does this keep happening? Why does our shared reality keep fracturing? What are the drivers I talk about as a dimension of disordered discourse?
Reposted
Happy tariff capitulation day to all who celebrate.
May 12, 2025 at 2:00 PM
Happy tariff capitulation day to all who celebrate.
Reposted
Trump has been more faithful to me than he has to any of his wives
May 11, 2025 at 4:52 PM
Trump has been more faithful to me than he has to any of his wives
More proof that politicians are no longer leaders.
Hello All, just sent out my free weekend update. The last 24 hours confirms the reality of European weakness. European leaders pretended that Trump was on their side, but when push comes to shove, Trump refuses to abandon Putin. It’s repetitive and depressing. open.substack.com/pub/phillips...
Weekend Update #132: How Long Will Europeans Smile As Trump Humiliates Them?
What Matters In A Ceasefire; Witkoff Speaks Alone With Putin
open.substack.com
May 11, 2025 at 11:46 AM
More proof that politicians are no longer leaders.
Reposted
“There is a grand adaptation war going on and the Russia-Iran-China-NK learning community feel that they are winning it.” My latest discussion with the team at Times Radio is now available.
youtu.be/MOvT6wjd7MY?...
youtu.be/MOvT6wjd7MY?...
World War Three has already started | Mick Ryan
YouTube video by Times Radio
youtu.be
May 1, 2025 at 11:49 AM
“There is a grand adaptation war going on and the Russia-Iran-China-NK learning community feel that they are winning it.” My latest discussion with the team at Times Radio is now available.
youtu.be/MOvT6wjd7MY?...
youtu.be/MOvT6wjd7MY?...