John Holbein
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johnholbein1.bsky.social
John Holbein
@johnholbein1.bsky.social

Associate Professor of Public Policy, Politics, and Education @UVA.

I share social science.

Political science 58%
Sociology 13%

Reposted by John Holbein

indeed!

Love the research process; hate the publication process

How rich is Elon?

I'm closer in net worth to Larry Page than Larry Page is to Elon.

I'm reporting on a paper released.

My personal information is not relevant.

The authors also demonstrate that welfare policies can moderate the increase of cancer-related crime shocks.

"Adequately funded safety net programs may generate benefits beyond their direct recipients by reducing the negative spillovers that health shocks impose on broader society."

"The hidden social costs of cancer
A Danish study shows that an adverse health shock increases the chances of criminal behavior."

t.co/Uw1axAfrLu

"Breaking Bad: How Health Shocks Prompt Crime"
t.co/mO1U61UXGJ

Why?

The authors provide two reasons:

First, economic strains leads individuals to compensate for their loss of legal revenues with illegal earnings.

Second, cancer patients face lower expected cost of punishment through a lower survival probability.

Wow!

But it doesn't stay down for long.

Two years later, people's involvement in crime increases and stays high.

In the graph, the cancer diagnosis is the vertical dashed grey line. To the left is before the diagnosis; to the right is afterward.

At first, leading up to a cancer diagnosis there's no spike in crime.

When someone is diagnosed with cancer, their crime declines rapidly.
Look at how being diagnosed with cancer impacts people's involvement in crime!

love it!

But thanks for your kind words.

It’s so bizarre how some people— and especially those who are predisposed to have their opinions supported by this evidence—react with hostility to scientific research.

There’s a deep anti science streak here.

angrily replying “duh” or “I’m not surprised” doesn’t make you look smart.

It does the opposite.

angrily replying “duh” or “I’m not surprised” doesn’t make you look smart.

It does the opposite.
Are female economists treated differently than males in academic seminars?

These authors wanted to know whether gender shapes how scholars are treated when presenting research.

So they built a massive dataset of 2,000+ economics seminars, job talks, and conference presentations from 2019–2023...

this is misplaced anger. I didn't run the study. Bye.

while we're at it, let's get some of those NIL deals going