Geoff Buchan
rotovalue.com
Geoff Buchan
@rotovalue.com
Dad, hacker, fantasy sports
He/him
This is wrong. Exit poll data showed more Perot voters had Clinton as their second choice than H.W. Bush. In this analysis, Clinton's popular vote margin would have risen from 5.5% to about 7%:
split-ticket.org/2023/04/01/e...
November 21, 2025 at 1:49 PM
November 20, 2025 at 3:47 PM
#MLB My idea to #KillTheIBB
Change the walk¹ based on the count. A 3-2 walk is like now, but on 3-1, you go to second, forcing all runners. 3-0 puts you on third.

Make the pitcher throw at least a strike, preferably 2.

Thoughts?

cc:
@tangotiger.com @joeposnanski.com

¹ Also for HBP
October 28, 2025 at 1:55 PM
Not humble brag: in my 20s I averaged 3 seconds faster than that 220 yard "sprint" time for a full marathon.
These are the ICE physical fitness requirements

*32 sit-ups in 1 minute or less
*22 push-ups in 1 minute or less
*220-yard sprint in 47.73 seconds or less
*1.5-mile run in 14 minutes 25 seconds or less

One-third of their tough guy fascist applicants fail to do this. 😂😂😂
October 23, 2025 at 5:00 PM
In this piece @davidkurtz.bsky.social describes Trump's address yesterday to the assembled military brass as "... a long, rambling speech that could be confused with incoherence."

He subtly exposes executive dementia, which ceased being an issue in mainstream media after Biden dropped out.
What Trump proceeded to do yesterday, with Hegseth’s assistance, was to assert the power of his cult of personality over the military’s officer corps. If that made your stomach turn, Hegseth told them, then you should resign.
talkingpointsmemo.com/morning-memo...
The Test of Our Time: Even the Military Can’t Resist Trump on Its Own Forever
A lot of things happened. Here are some of the things. This...
talkingpointsmemo.com
October 1, 2025 at 8:38 PM
They're the only two players named Muncy in MLB history, but not only do they share a first name, they also have the same birthday, August 25th!
The players added the most across the 57 leagues were:

Max Muncy (cheating with two options): 219
Ryan Gusto: 204
Landon Knack: 192
Chris Martin: 191
Richard Fitts: 188

The next hitter added the most was Nolan Jones (170 adds).
Time to guess the five most-added names in the 57 NFBC Main event leagues.

#1 was added 219 times and #5 188 times

It's the same #1 in the NFBC Online Championship, but the next four are different.
September 29, 2025 at 9:39 PM
Let the awards debates begin!
Blog Post: Cy Young Predictor - 2025

tangotiger.com/index.php/si...
September 29, 2025 at 9:25 PM
When Maris hit 61, he was the MVP despite Mantle having the better year.

Judge was MVP when he hit 62.

So if Raleigh hits 63, his odds of winning MVP go up.

But maybe not as much as they would have 64 years ago...
Blog Post: Raleigh v Judge, via WAR

tangotiger.com/index.php/si...
September 27, 2025 at 1:03 AM
Nacho Nacho man
I want to be a Nacho man!

Hey, I'm glad he's on my Rotisserie team this morning!
Yesterday's Top Batters
Nacho Alvarez Jr. (3-4, 2 HR, 3 RBI, 2 R)
Bo Naylor (2-3, 2 HR, 2 RBI, 2 R)
Jackson Merrill (2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI, 3 R)
See all of yesterday's batters at: https://www.baseball-reference.com/leagues/daily.fcgi?request=1&type=b&dates=yesterday&level=mlb&franch=ANY
September 21, 2025 at 1:38 PM
Finally Eugenio Suárez, traded to Seattle in July, no longer makes this post!

He hit 36 for Arizona before the deal.
2025 NL HR Leaders

Kyle Schwarber (53)
Shohei Ohtani (51)
Juan Soto (41)
Pete Alonso (37)

All Leaders: https://www.baseball-reference.com/leagues/NL/2025-batting-leaders.shtml
September 19, 2025 at 6:24 PM
When you add in his pitching, Shohei Ohtani now has...

6.3 WAR on baseball-reference!

www.baseball-reference.com/players/o/oh...
September 8, 2025 at 8:01 PM
Doctor I trust more than RFK Jr.
September 8, 2025 at 7:49 PM
Beatles song ½ off!
September 1, 2025 at 4:58 PM
"What were you smoking?!?"
Caption this
August 16, 2025 at 3:00 PM
This is awesome!

One man deserves the credit.

One man deserves the blame.
With Tom Lehrer's passing, I suppose this is a moment to share the story of the prank he played on the National Security Agency, and how it went undiscovered for nearly 60 years.
July 27, 2025 at 10:27 PM
I was first American in the 1995 Buffalo Marathon (a Canadian beat me).

My now spouse grew up there and cheered me on!
what is your personal sports highlight?

mine is: down 2 with like 4 seconds left, deflection sends ball into corner

guy throws the ball in to midcourt and i intercept it, and pass to my teammate who gets fouled shooting a 3

2/3 FT, go to OT

they are down 1, i stuff the j at the elbow. win
July 27, 2025 at 10:22 AM
Alas, Paul Skenes and Tariq Skubal are slated to start different games in tomorrow's double header.

I don't get it if I'm Detroit: best chance to sweep is to match aces and win that matchup.

This increases odds of a split, which is good when you're under .500, but not over!
Much of the country has off. Could you imagine them actually making perfect baseball with the two best pitchers in baseball in a 1pm day game. Baaaah.
As much as I enjoy when people baseballsplain me, the difference in two-win expectancy between matching up the two aces and not matching up the two aces is a rounding error. It’s a stupid excuse to not match them up.
June 19, 2025 at 1:23 AM
I suspect you mean Bill in this thread, not Hillary. But perhaps not, or maybe both!

Adults under 30 may have direct memory of her as a politician, but not him.
June 13, 2025 at 11:58 AM
Reposted by Geoff Buchan
My wife, who is from Lima, wants me to point out Pope Leo XIV is a Peruvian citizen. 🇵🇪
May 8, 2025 at 5:17 PM
Reposted by Geoff Buchan
Blog Post: Evolution of a stat: wOBA

tangotiger.com/index.php/si...
May 5, 2025 at 6:21 PM
Remove a letter, ruin a movie.

Star Was

Tax Driver

Silence of the Labs
Remove a letter, ruin a movie.

City Lickers
Remove a letter, ruin a movie.

Schindler's Lit
May 3, 2025 at 5:17 AM
I watched this game from the bleachers!

Tough Cleveland lineup, with Jim Thome, Albert Belle, and Carlos Baerga.
New York #Yankees pitcher Jim Abbott, who was born without a right hand, throws a no-hitter vs. the Cleveland Indians at Yankee Stadium! (September 1993) #MLB #Baseball #History #Inspiration
April 17, 2025 at 2:36 PM
Reposted by Geoff Buchan
There are trans Americans right now looking out at this world and wondering if anyone is going to stand up for them and for their simple right to exist.

Well, I am. We are. We will.
March 31, 2025 at 4:16 PM
Mrs. Dalloway was a dark and stormy knight.
Improve a first line by substituting Mrs. Dalloway.

It was a bright cold day in April, and the clocks were striking Mrs. Dalloway.
Improve a first line by substituting Mrs. Dalloway.

It was a queer, sultry summer, the summer they executed Mrs. Dalloway, and I didn't know what I was doing in New York.
March 31, 2025 at 10:14 AM
NFL rule change idea: instead of accepting an offensive penalty that would be ½ the distance to the goal, the defense could instead take loss of down and no change of the line of scrimmage.
January 12, 2025 at 7:22 PM