Noah McKinnie Braun
@noahmckbraun.bsky.social
Postdoc at St Olaf College... researching public economics & racial inequality... Tsimshian... hate racism… he/him/his
https://sites.google.com/view/noahmckinniebraun
https://sites.google.com/view/noahmckinniebraun
Reposted by Noah McKinnie Braun
Today is a good day to remember, and to say, that the #MeToo movement was right, and was righteous, and has been vindicated over and over again. There was no overreach. There was no excess. There was no they-went-too-far.
So much work remains to be done.
So much work remains to be done.
November 12, 2025 at 11:16 PM
Today is a good day to remember, and to say, that the #MeToo movement was right, and was righteous, and has been vindicated over and over again. There was no overreach. There was no excess. There was no they-went-too-far.
So much work remains to be done.
So much work remains to be done.
Reposted by Noah McKinnie Braun
To recap: Jeffrey Epstein offered a NY Times reporter photos taken in Epstein's kitchen of Donald Trump and girls in bikinis *and* implored the NYT reporter to put this information in the public discourse in 2015
What did the NY Times editors know about this offer?
What did the NY Times editors know about this offer?
“would you like photos of donald and girls in bikinis in my kitchen?” -Jeffrey Epstein
November 12, 2025 at 8:05 PM
To recap: Jeffrey Epstein offered a NY Times reporter photos taken in Epstein's kitchen of Donald Trump and girls in bikinis *and* implored the NYT reporter to put this information in the public discourse in 2015
What did the NY Times editors know about this offer?
What did the NY Times editors know about this offer?
Hey so if you’ve been waiting for another reason to cancel your Times subscription
I feel like I'm taking crazy pills: the emails from Landon Thomas has his New York Times signature block...he was employed by NY Times at the time. He was communicating directly with Epstein about Trump, and was given incriminating information about Trump. It's been in NYT's possession since 2015
November 12, 2025 at 11:19 PM
Hey so if you’ve been waiting for another reason to cancel your Times subscription
Reposted by Noah McKinnie Braun
What’s the difference between compromise and capitulation? Compromise trades concessions. Capitulation pays ransom to stop deliberate suffering, and teaches your opponent that coercion works. There are effective responses to coercive bargaining. What we saw was not one of them.
The Compassion Trap: How the Shutdown Weaponized Democratic Values Against Democracy Itself
When Opposition Parties Stop Fighting Because the Cruelty Becomes Unbearable. And Why They Shouldn't.
open.substack.com
November 11, 2025 at 6:26 PM
What’s the difference between compromise and capitulation? Compromise trades concessions. Capitulation pays ransom to stop deliberate suffering, and teaches your opponent that coercion works. There are effective responses to coercive bargaining. What we saw was not one of them.
Reposted by Noah McKinnie Braun
I received this email about Democrats caving to end the shutdown from one of the SNAP recipients I spoke to:
November 10, 2025 at 2:17 PM
I received this email about Democrats caving to end the shutdown from one of the SNAP recipients I spoke to:
One of my favorite parts about applying for jobs is playing the “spam call or job interview” game every time I get a phone call from a random phone number
November 10, 2025 at 9:18 PM
One of my favorite parts about applying for jobs is playing the “spam call or job interview” game every time I get a phone call from a random phone number
People are going to die because they can no longer afford healthcare.
Ezra Klein, having spoken to a "dozen or so House and Senate Democrats" over the weekend, says at least some of them worried extending the ACA subsidies would take them off the table as a political issue and wanted Republicans to keep the filibuster.
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/10/o...
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/10/o...
November 10, 2025 at 1:34 PM
People are going to die because they can no longer afford healthcare.
Reposted by Noah McKinnie Braun
The Democrats who caved just taught Republicans that using mass starvation as a weapon works.
November 10, 2025 at 12:31 AM
The Democrats who caved just taught Republicans that using mass starvation as a weapon works.
Reposted by Noah McKinnie Braun
the only time the filibuster has ever been used to protect a particular interest of a set of states is to kill anti-lynching and civil rights legislation. that's it.
November 8, 2025 at 10:14 PM
the only time the filibuster has ever been used to protect a particular interest of a set of states is to kill anti-lynching and civil rights legislation. that's it.
Reposted by Noah McKinnie Braun
RESULT: Maine voters reject Question 1, a ballot measure that would have implemented a barrage of new voting restrictions, especially for mail voting.
November 5, 2025 at 3:17 AM
RESULT: Maine voters reject Question 1, a ballot measure that would have implemented a barrage of new voting restrictions, especially for mail voting.
really hoping that someone with data on SNAP beneficiaries is preparing to write a paper on the impact of losing SNAP benefits on voting
November 4, 2025 at 4:35 PM
really hoping that someone with data on SNAP beneficiaries is preparing to write a paper on the impact of losing SNAP benefits on voting
Reposted by Noah McKinnie Braun
Recently my brother in law explained what gerrymandering was to a coworker and they didn’t believe him because if that were really happening there would be riots in the street
This week I had someone tell me they're not worried about SNAP being cut off because "that's illegal, so it's impossible Trump could do that, so obviously it's just media sensationalism." Another person told me they weren't worried about ICE because "they can't detain you if you're legally here."
November 2, 2025 at 2:56 PM
Recently my brother in law explained what gerrymandering was to a coworker and they didn’t believe him because if that were really happening there would be riots in the street
If you are in a financially secure situation, make sure to donate money to your local food bank.
If you aren't sure where to find one, you can use www.feedingamerica.org search bar to find resources in your zip code. Or you can give to Feeding America directly.
If you aren't sure where to find one, you can use www.feedingamerica.org search bar to find resources in your zip code. Or you can give to Feeding America directly.
U.S. Hunger Relief Organization | Feeding America
Feeding America is a nonprofit network of 200 food banks leading the fight against hunger in the United States. Learn how you can help end hunger in America.
www.feedingamerica.org
November 1, 2025 at 7:12 PM
If you are in a financially secure situation, make sure to donate money to your local food bank.
If you aren't sure where to find one, you can use www.feedingamerica.org search bar to find resources in your zip code. Or you can give to Feeding America directly.
If you aren't sure where to find one, you can use www.feedingamerica.org search bar to find resources in your zip code. Or you can give to Feeding America directly.
Reposted by Noah McKinnie Braun
International students *create* educational opportunities for US natives.
Each additional Chinese master's student causes enrollment of 0.26–0.44 additional native students, by funding/expanding master's programs.
New at @nber.org—> doi.org/10.3386/w34391
Ungated: www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/giykh...
Each additional Chinese master's student causes enrollment of 0.26–0.44 additional native students, by funding/expanding master's programs.
New at @nber.org—> doi.org/10.3386/w34391
Ungated: www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/giykh...
October 29, 2025 at 3:19 PM
International students *create* educational opportunities for US natives.
Each additional Chinese master's student causes enrollment of 0.26–0.44 additional native students, by funding/expanding master's programs.
New at @nber.org—> doi.org/10.3386/w34391
Ungated: www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/giykh...
Each additional Chinese master's student causes enrollment of 0.26–0.44 additional native students, by funding/expanding master's programs.
New at @nber.org—> doi.org/10.3386/w34391
Ungated: www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/giykh...
Reposted by Noah McKinnie Braun
“Tell your children who the cowards were.”
October 27, 2025 at 10:19 PM
“Tell your children who the cowards were.”
I assigned @adambonica.bsky.social and @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social’s paper to my undergraduates and fun fact: they were able to figure it out. Not sure why the NYTimes can’t 🤷
NYT pushed its “Dems must go moderate” take again yesterday. In a new piece out today, @adambonica.bsky.social shows even more clearly why the data don’t support it. It also shows what a skilled empiricist and teacher Adam is.
Very proud of my pal’s public work.
open.substack.com/pub/data4dem...
Very proud of my pal’s public work.
open.substack.com/pub/data4dem...
The New York Times’ “Moderation Advantage” Is a Statistical Illusion
After accounting for money and incumbency the supposed electoral bonus for moderate candidates vanishes entirely.
open.substack.com
October 26, 2025 at 9:56 PM
I assigned @adambonica.bsky.social and @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social’s paper to my undergraduates and fun fact: they were able to figure it out. Not sure why the NYTimes can’t 🤷
Reposted by Noah McKinnie Braun
NYT pushed its “Dems must go moderate” take again yesterday. In a new piece out today, @adambonica.bsky.social shows even more clearly why the data don’t support it. It also shows what a skilled empiricist and teacher Adam is.
Very proud of my pal’s public work.
open.substack.com/pub/data4dem...
Very proud of my pal’s public work.
open.substack.com/pub/data4dem...
The New York Times’ “Moderation Advantage” Is a Statistical Illusion
After accounting for money and incumbency the supposed electoral bonus for moderate candidates vanishes entirely.
open.substack.com
October 24, 2025 at 2:22 PM
NYT pushed its “Dems must go moderate” take again yesterday. In a new piece out today, @adambonica.bsky.social shows even more clearly why the data don’t support it. It also shows what a skilled empiricist and teacher Adam is.
Very proud of my pal’s public work.
open.substack.com/pub/data4dem...
Very proud of my pal’s public work.
open.substack.com/pub/data4dem...
Fewer jobs so far than in 2020 is truly something
October 13, 2025 at 8:41 PM
Fewer jobs so far than in 2020 is truly something
Reposted by Noah McKinnie Braun
ICE kidnapped a 7th-grader with a pending asylum claim and spirited him out of state without notifying his parents, seemingly with the cooperation of the local police in Everett, MA.
www.bostonglobe.com/2025/10/12/m...
www.bostonglobe.com/2025/10/12/m...
October 12, 2025 at 9:43 PM
ICE kidnapped a 7th-grader with a pending asylum claim and spirited him out of state without notifying his parents, seemingly with the cooperation of the local police in Everett, MA.
www.bostonglobe.com/2025/10/12/m...
www.bostonglobe.com/2025/10/12/m...
Reposted by Noah McKinnie Braun
During a military-style raid on a building in Chicago’s South Shore, one resident heard a knock on his door.
It wasn’t the feds — it was a mom and her 7-year-old daughter, pleading for help.
He let them hide in his unit for the next 3 days.
chicago.suntimes.com/immigration/...
He let them hide in his unit for the next 3 days.
chicago.suntimes.com/immigration/...
Neighbor shielded 7-year-old during South Shore federal raid: ‘I didn’t want them to take her’
During the Sept. 30 raid one tenant protected a terrified girl and her mom. Remnants at the complex, including a detailed map of all the units, offer clues to what authorities may have known before th...
chicago.suntimes.com
October 10, 2025 at 7:33 PM
During a military-style raid on a building in Chicago’s South Shore, one resident heard a knock on his door.
It wasn’t the feds — it was a mom and her 7-year-old daughter, pleading for help.
He let them hide in his unit for the next 3 days.
chicago.suntimes.com/immigration/...
He let them hide in his unit for the next 3 days.
chicago.suntimes.com/immigration/...
Reposted by Noah McKinnie Braun
Just full-time jobs in US academic institutions:
Definitely better (+84%) than the worst COVID year (2020) but still worse than other post-COVID years; e.g. one-third fewer such jobs than last year.
Definitely better (+84%) than the worst COVID year (2020) but still worse than other post-COVID years; e.g. one-third fewer such jobs than last year.
October 9, 2025 at 7:13 PM
Just full-time jobs in US academic institutions:
Definitely better (+84%) than the worst COVID year (2020) but still worse than other post-COVID years; e.g. one-third fewer such jobs than last year.
Definitely better (+84%) than the worst COVID year (2020) but still worse than other post-COVID years; e.g. one-third fewer such jobs than last year.
Reposted by Noah McKinnie Braun
Federal officer blasts chemical spray into vocal but nonviolent Portland protester, video shows
The interaction illustrates how federal law enforcement officers do use aggressive tactics against protesters who yell and needle officers but don’t appear to present clear physical threats.
The interaction illustrates how federal law enforcement officers do use aggressive tactics against protesters who yell and needle officers but don’t appear to present clear physical threats.
October 4, 2025 at 12:35 AM
Federal officer blasts chemical spray into vocal but nonviolent Portland protester, video shows
The interaction illustrates how federal law enforcement officers do use aggressive tactics against protesters who yell and needle officers but don’t appear to present clear physical threats.
The interaction illustrates how federal law enforcement officers do use aggressive tactics against protesters who yell and needle officers but don’t appear to present clear physical threats.
Reposted by Noah McKinnie Braun
Well, if only there were a large supply of foreign students who would happily pay a premium price to get access to American higher education.
"'There simply aren’t enough students to go around,' said Nathan Grawe, an economist at Carleton College in Minnesota. But the effects of the demographic cliff, he noted, 'won’t be evenly distributed.'"
U.S. Colleges Are About to See a Big Decline in Applicants
Forget a lot of what you thought you knew about higher education.
nymag.com
October 3, 2025 at 1:36 PM
Well, if only there were a large supply of foreign students who would happily pay a premium price to get access to American higher education.
Reposted by Noah McKinnie Braun
“It was heartbreaking to watch,” said Watson. “Even if you’re not a mother, seeing kids coming out buck naked and taken from their mothers, it was horrible.”
Massive immigration raid on Chicago apartment building leaves residents reeling: 'I feel defeated'
The Department of Homeland Security said federal agents with Border Patrol, the FBI and the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives arrested 37 people in the raid.
chicago.suntimes.com
October 2, 2025 at 2:44 AM
“It was heartbreaking to watch,” said Watson. “Even if you’re not a mother, seeing kids coming out buck naked and taken from their mothers, it was horrible.”
Reposted by Noah McKinnie Braun
Absolutely been said before but if you’ve got an AI agent that is 57% accurate you have an AI agent that is 0% accurate
October 2, 2025 at 12:35 AM
Absolutely been said before but if you’ve got an AI agent that is 57% accurate you have an AI agent that is 0% accurate