Leonardo Monasterio
@lmonasterio.bsky.social
Brazilian Economist at @ipeaonline; professor at @SejaIDP; @CNPq_Oficial
Opinions are solely mine (or stolen from others)
https://sites.google.com/view/lmonasterio
#econsky
Opinions are solely mine (or stolen from others)
https://sites.google.com/view/lmonasterio
#econsky
Reposted by Leonardo Monasterio
Do school meals really boost learning?
Drawing on evidence from 25+ countries, Biniam Bedasso shows that school feeding programmes consistently increase enrolment, attendance, and test scores – with the biggest gains for the most vulnerable children.
🔗 Link below ⤵️
Drawing on evidence from 25+ countries, Biniam Bedasso shows that school feeding programmes consistently increase enrolment, attendance, and test scores – with the biggest gains for the most vulnerable children.
🔗 Link below ⤵️
February 13, 2026 at 11:15 AM
Do school meals really boost learning?
Drawing on evidence from 25+ countries, Biniam Bedasso shows that school feeding programmes consistently increase enrolment, attendance, and test scores – with the biggest gains for the most vulnerable children.
🔗 Link below ⤵️
Drawing on evidence from 25+ countries, Biniam Bedasso shows that school feeding programmes consistently increase enrolment, attendance, and test scores – with the biggest gains for the most vulnerable children.
🔗 Link below ⤵️
Reposted by Leonardo Monasterio
I was submitting slop to journals before AI made it cool 😎
February 13, 2026 at 12:21 PM
I was submitting slop to journals before AI made it cool 😎
Reposted by Leonardo Monasterio
"everyone has to get back to the office because the important thing about business is human interaction" is dying, but "white collar jobs will be replaced by AI agents within 18 months" cannot yet be born; in this interregnum a variety of morbid symptoms appear.
February 13, 2026 at 9:52 AM
"everyone has to get back to the office because the important thing about business is human interaction" is dying, but "white collar jobs will be replaced by AI agents within 18 months" cannot yet be born; in this interregnum a variety of morbid symptoms appear.
Reposted by Leonardo Monasterio
It is sometimes shocking how poorly many policymakers/people understand basic economics:
those on the right underestimate the prevalence (or outright dismiss the existence) of market failures,
while those on the left overestimate the capacity of government intervention to correct them.
those on the right underestimate the prevalence (or outright dismiss the existence) of market failures,
while those on the left overestimate the capacity of government intervention to correct them.
a close up of a man 's face with his eyes closed and his hand on his chin .
ALT: a close up of a man 's face with his eyes closed and his hand on his chin .
media.tenor.com
February 13, 2026 at 9:34 AM
It is sometimes shocking how poorly many policymakers/people understand basic economics:
those on the right underestimate the prevalence (or outright dismiss the existence) of market failures,
while those on the left overestimate the capacity of government intervention to correct them.
those on the right underestimate the prevalence (or outright dismiss the existence) of market failures,
while those on the left overestimate the capacity of government intervention to correct them.
Reposted by Leonardo Monasterio
🆕 Guaranteed income as insurance: How safety nets in India encouraged productive investment in agriculture
Today on VoxDev w/ Pulak Ghosh (IIM Bangalore) & Nishant Vats (Washington University): https://ow.ly/b3oc50YeYoa
Today on VoxDev w/ Pulak Ghosh (IIM Bangalore) & Nishant Vats (Washington University): https://ow.ly/b3oc50YeYoa
Guaranteed income as insurance: How safety nets in India encouraged productive investment in agriculture
In India, a guaranteed income programme acted as insurance rather than a substitute for credit, reducing downside risk for small farmers and increasing their willingness to borrow – unlocking large credit-financed gains in investment, productivity, and income.
ow.ly
February 13, 2026 at 9:28 AM
🆕 Guaranteed income as insurance: How safety nets in India encouraged productive investment in agriculture
Today on VoxDev w/ Pulak Ghosh (IIM Bangalore) & Nishant Vats (Washington University): https://ow.ly/b3oc50YeYoa
Today on VoxDev w/ Pulak Ghosh (IIM Bangalore) & Nishant Vats (Washington University): https://ow.ly/b3oc50YeYoa
Reposted by Leonardo Monasterio
Pretty much the most important thing happening in the world right now.
www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-chi...
www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-chi...
February 12, 2026 at 8:07 PM
Pretty much the most important thing happening in the world right now.
www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-chi...
www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-chi...
Reposted by Leonardo Monasterio
My Grand Theory of Politics and Society is that 60-70% of changes in elites’, and especially conservative elites’, behaviour can be attributed to the fact that none of them genuinely believe they might be going to Hell anymore.
February 13, 2026 at 3:55 AM
My Grand Theory of Politics and Society is that 60-70% of changes in elites’, and especially conservative elites’, behaviour can be attributed to the fact that none of them genuinely believe they might be going to Hell anymore.
Reposted by Leonardo Monasterio
you missed the best one
February 12, 2026 at 4:21 PM
you missed the best one
Reposted by Leonardo Monasterio
Três mortes relacionadas a uma droga experimental, sem estudo fase I concluido, que foi administrada até agora num total de 9 pacientes. Isso é BEM preocupante.
Três pacientes que receberam polilaminina por ordem judicial morrem no RJ, PR e ES
www1.folha.uol.com.br/equilibrioes...
www1.folha.uol.com.br/equilibrioes...
www1.folha.uol.com.br
February 13, 2026 at 3:10 AM
Três mortes relacionadas a uma droga experimental, sem estudo fase I concluido, que foi administrada até agora num total de 9 pacientes. Isso é BEM preocupante.
Reposted by Leonardo Monasterio
Happy birthday to one of my favourite haters, Charles Darwin
February 12, 2026 at 4:31 PM
Happy birthday to one of my favourite haters, Charles Darwin
Reposted by Leonardo Monasterio
This colossal loss to all Americans was caused by the extremists who gave seized control of our public health system.
It will cause Americans to suffer and die.
It will cause Americans to suffer and die.
February 13, 2026 at 5:17 AM
This colossal loss to all Americans was caused by the extremists who gave seized control of our public health system.
It will cause Americans to suffer and die.
It will cause Americans to suffer and die.
Reposted by Leonardo Monasterio
This has indeed been a huge plot twist.
the failure of AI hype has not been in terms of impact per se, it's been in terms of where the impact landed... in retrospect it seems very obvious that coding was among the most vulnerable professions, but that's absolutely not how the mainstream hype narratives were rolled out
February 11, 2026 at 7:29 PM
This has indeed been a huge plot twist.
Reposted by Leonardo Monasterio
been watching the olympics and i think i found a solution to the male loneliness crisis
February 11, 2026 at 10:48 PM
been watching the olympics and i think i found a solution to the male loneliness crisis
Reposted by Leonardo Monasterio
On a lark, tested Opus 4.6 on a common academic task: take a 10k word article and shorten it to 6k words for submission to a new journal. I told it to use the command line tool texcount to count words given the known inability to count words. It failed in a fairly funny way…
February 12, 2026 at 12:24 AM
On a lark, tested Opus 4.6 on a common academic task: take a 10k word article and shorten it to 6k words for submission to a new journal. I told it to use the command line tool texcount to count words given the known inability to count words. It failed in a fairly funny way…
Reposted by Leonardo Monasterio
I have a new paper. We look at ~all stats articles in political science post-2010 & show that 94% have abstracts that claim to reject a null. Only 2% present only null results. This is hard to explain unless the research process has a filter that only lets rejections through.
February 11, 2026 at 5:00 PM
I have a new paper. We look at ~all stats articles in political science post-2010 & show that 94% have abstracts that claim to reject a null. Only 2% present only null results. This is hard to explain unless the research process has a filter that only lets rejections through.
Reposted by Leonardo Monasterio
Everyone working in development economics should read this chapter.
They provide evidence that what works in development is less about finding universally good levers and more about designing interventions compatible with locally embedded social structures.
www.nber.org/papers/w3481...
They provide evidence that what works in development is less about finding universally good levers and more about designing interventions compatible with locally embedded social structures.
www.nber.org/papers/w3481...
February 10, 2026 at 2:11 AM
Everyone working in development economics should read this chapter.
They provide evidence that what works in development is less about finding universally good levers and more about designing interventions compatible with locally embedded social structures.
www.nber.org/papers/w3481...
They provide evidence that what works in development is less about finding universally good levers and more about designing interventions compatible with locally embedded social structures.
www.nber.org/papers/w3481...
Reposted by Leonardo Monasterio
Study of the 2012 Occupy Nigeria protests presents evidence that protests increase fiscal transfers to protesting regions, but only in politically aligned areas, from @belindaarch.bsky.social, Chinemelu Okafor, Evans S. Osabuohien, and Tom Moerenhout www.nber.org/papers/w34787
February 9, 2026 at 5:00 PM
Study of the 2012 Occupy Nigeria protests presents evidence that protests increase fiscal transfers to protesting regions, but only in politically aligned areas, from @belindaarch.bsky.social, Chinemelu Okafor, Evans S. Osabuohien, and Tom Moerenhout www.nber.org/papers/w34787
Reposted by Leonardo Monasterio
Ese español boricua…duro!
February 9, 2026 at 5:05 PM
Ese español boricua…duro!
Reposted by Leonardo Monasterio
Quantifying the effects of large-scale deportations on wages, prices, and real incomes in the United States, from Javier Cravino, Andrei A. Levchenko, Francesc Ortega, and Nitya Pandalai-Nayar www.nber.org/papers/w34790
February 9, 2026 at 11:00 PM
Quantifying the effects of large-scale deportations on wages, prices, and real incomes in the United States, from Javier Cravino, Andrei A. Levchenko, Francesc Ortega, and Nitya Pandalai-Nayar www.nber.org/papers/w34790
Reposted by Leonardo Monasterio
"inherited inequality accounts for large shares of total inequality, from 36% in the United States to 59% in China, 62% in India, and 81% in South Africa".
How much of today's income inequality is inherited? 💰️
Most measures of intergenerational mobility focus on average outcomes. This III working paper proposes a new approach that captures differences across the entire income distribution.
🔗 buff.ly/zSL1fd1
Most measures of intergenerational mobility focus on average outcomes. This III working paper proposes a new approach that captures differences across the entire income distribution.
🔗 buff.ly/zSL1fd1
February 9, 2026 at 2:56 PM
"inherited inequality accounts for large shares of total inequality, from 36% in the United States to 59% in China, 62% in India, and 81% in South Africa".
Reposted by Leonardo Monasterio
No one will be able to say they didn't know what was happening.
NEW: ProPublica went inside the detention center for immigrant families in Dilley, Texas.
Children held there told us about the anguish of being ripped from their lives in the United States and the fear of what comes next.
Children held there told us about the anguish of being ripped from their lives in the United States and the fear of what comes next.
The Kids Trump Sent to ICE’s Dilley Detention Center
ProPublica went inside the immigrant detention center for families in Dilley, Texas. Children held there told us about the anguish of being ripped from their lives in the United States and the fear of...
www.propublica.org
February 9, 2026 at 2:59 PM
No one will be able to say they didn't know what was happening.
Reposted by Leonardo Monasterio
Workers’ and non-workers’ wellbeing varies by age across 171 countries in eight international surveys. In 103 countries (60 percent) evidence is found that workers’ wellbeing rises with age, from David G. Blanchflower and Alex Bryson www.nber.org/papers/w34786
February 8, 2026 at 8:01 PM
Workers’ and non-workers’ wellbeing varies by age across 171 countries in eight international surveys. In 103 countries (60 percent) evidence is found that workers’ wellbeing rises with age, from David G. Blanchflower and Alex Bryson www.nber.org/papers/w34786
Reposted by Leonardo Monasterio
Colegas economistas, foi quebrado um recorde mundial: "estimaram" um multiplicador de 250!
#econtwitter
#econtwitter
VIVA O CARNAVAL! VIVA A CULTURA!
E fora a extrema direita mentirosa, que odeia o povo e a alegria!
E fora a extrema direita mentirosa, que odeia o povo e a alegria!
February 8, 2026 at 1:01 PM
Colegas economistas, foi quebrado um recorde mundial: "estimaram" um multiplicador de 250!
#econtwitter
#econtwitter