Kyiv4ever
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Kyiv4ever
@kyiv4ever.bsky.social
Economist. Former banker. Ukrainian. Coffee&Cats person.
Reposted by Kyiv4ever
One thing that is not getting enough attention is that Trump has normalized the idea of the United States supporting the transfer of territory and millions of people from a democracy to a dictatorship.
The ending of freedom for millions is now the official US position.
November 24, 2025 at 3:27 PM
Reposted by Kyiv4ever
1/ What a Russian breaking of the ceasefire will look like, step by step.

There are far better experts on this, but I was an Australian diplomat in Ukraine in 2014 so I've seen this play out up close.

So join me, brothers and sisters, as we count down to a fullscale re-invasion.
November 21, 2025 at 2:23 PM
Reposted by Kyiv4ever
Some notable things in what's being called the "Trump peace plan" but which could not have been more clearly written in Moscow if it came with a 2 for 1 deal on tickets to the Bolshoi Ballet. 🧵
November 21, 2025 at 10:06 AM
Reposted by Kyiv4ever
Kherson streets covered with anti-drone nets.
November 16, 2025 at 12:34 PM
Reposted by Kyiv4ever
Good morning readers; Kyiv remains in Ukrainian hands.

In the towns near Ukraine's frontline, Russian FPV drones hunt civilians, a new tactic called a "human safari".

Yana, who lives in Kherson, regularly sees these drones and the damage they cause.
Russia’s disturbing human ‘safaris’
Violating the laws of war, Russians have created a sick game of hunting civilians with FPV drones near the frontline. We take you behind the scenes, to the people most affected.
www.counteroffensive.news
November 10, 2025 at 2:46 PM
Reposted by Kyiv4ever
Dear Europe, especially Germany,

Stop obsessing over what Trump will or won’t do. Hoping & praying America will step up so we don’t have to is dangerously stupid.

Step up yourself, destroy Russia’s war economy, & give Ukraine what they need to win.

Europe must defend Europe.
October 18, 2025 at 2:29 PM
Reposted by Kyiv4ever
Phase one involved taking no action against Russia for the first 8 months of the Trump presidency. Phase two will involve taking no action against Russia for the remaining 3 years and 4 months of the Trump presidency.
September 7, 2025 at 6:47 PM
Reposted by Kyiv4ever
Following my EU "Wall of Shame" post this weekend, I got a lot of requests to add countries. This "Wall of Shame" adds the Baltics, Sweden, Finland and France. Countries in orange have cracked down on transshipments to Russia via Kyrgyzstan. Countries in blue keep looking the other way for 3 years.
August 26, 2025 at 4:02 PM
Reposted by Kyiv4ever
The Pentagon is blocking Ukraine from using long-range missiles to hit Russian military targets.
No wonder Putin still thinks he can win the war
www.wsj.com/politics/nat...
Exclusive | Pentagon Has Quietly Blocked Ukraine’s Long-Range Missile Strikes on Russia
The Defense Department has withheld approval for attacks as the White House has sought to entice Moscow to open peace talks.
www.wsj.com
August 24, 2025 at 3:36 AM
Reposted by Kyiv4ever
⚡️Pentagon has quietly barred Ukrainian long-range strikes in Russia with US missiles, WSJ reports.
Pentagon has quietly barred Ukrainian long-range strikes in Russia with US missiles, WSJ reports
The U.S. has quietly implemented a review process giving Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth authority to approve Ukrainian long-range strikes inside Russia with American missiles, effectively blocking str...
kyivindependent.com
August 23, 2025 at 10:35 PM
Reposted by Kyiv4ever
To my opinion, the Rutte-doctrine of being nice to Trump has failed. we need to look into ways to wack the American mule. Hard.
Economic, financial, pressure, and if necessary deterrence.
July 4, 2025 at 11:29 AM
Reposted by Kyiv4ever
Ukraine's eminent former defense minister Andriy Zagorodnyuk has published an outstanding article on a Ukrainian victory:
1. No end in sight: Russia wants to continue.
2. Ukraine needs to nullify Russia's war aims by building a successful nation.
carnegieendowment.org/research/202...
Ukraine’s New Theory of Victory Should be Strategic Neutralization
By ensuring that Russia’s war is operationally pointless, Ukraine can survive, adapt, and achieve success, no matter how prolonged the war.
carnegieendowment.org
June 24, 2025 at 2:18 PM
Reposted by Kyiv4ever
Trump on April 27: „In two weeks“

On May 19: „Two weeks.“

On May 28 this clip aired.

Today on June 11 another two weeks have passed.
June 11, 2025 at 5:57 AM
Reposted by Kyiv4ever
Isn't it obvious to everyone that Trump supports Putin and his war of aggression against Ukraine?
June 8, 2025 at 3:29 PM
Reposted by Kyiv4ever
The problem with Graham and Blumenthal's Russia sanctions bill is that the decision to impose sanctions is left entirely to Trump. Russia could destroy every city in Ukraine and if Trump didn't want to spoil relations with Putin, no sanctions would be imposed. 🧵 english.nv.ua/nation/russi...
Trump envoy: Hard-hitting new U.S. sanctions on Russia ready to roll
A new package of U.S. sanctions against Russia is ready, President Donald Trump’s special envoy Keith Kellogg told Fox News on June 3.
english.nv.ua
June 5, 2025 at 11:21 AM
Reposted by Kyiv4ever
Trump: “Ukraine has no cards!”

Ukraine <destroys 1/3rd of Russias bomber force>

Trump: “”
June 1, 2025 at 1:57 PM
Reposted by Kyiv4ever
4 Russian airbases have been struck by hundreds of FPV drones.

Olenya Airbase
Ryazan Airbase
Ivanovo Airbase
Irkutsk Airbase
June 1, 2025 at 1:05 PM
Reposted by Kyiv4ever
Ukraine's defence forces are conducting a major operation deep in russian territory to destroy russian bombers at the Belaya airfield. Acc to Hromadske, 40 aircraft have been hit so far, incl A-50, Tu-95, and Tu-22M3. Estimated damage: over $2 B. Wooooow... Hit the archer, not the arrow!
June 1, 2025 at 11:08 AM
Reposted by Kyiv4ever
"I will let you know in two weeks whether Putin is he is tapping us along or not. And if so, we will respond a little differently." - Trump.

A month ago, he also said it would be two weeks.
May 28, 2025 at 4:50 PM
Reposted by Kyiv4ever
Trump admits in public that he has been protecting Putin from trouble all along.
May 27, 2025 at 4:41 PM
Reposted by Kyiv4ever
Hi All, After Trump's latest threat to sanction Russia, I lost my mind a little and decided to write the history of Trump and his acolytes toothless sanctions threats on Russia. It’s rather long but at least it’s free. open.substack.com/pub/phillips...
The Gaslighter In Chief
How We Went From Everyone Knowing Trump Would Not Sanction Putin To Fooling Ourselves That He Would
open.substack.com
May 26, 2025 at 10:10 AM
Reposted by Kyiv4ever
Don't be fooled by any of Trump's performative BS. Unless he actually pushes for sanctions, this is the crocodile tears of a narcissistic sociopath. Also, note that he blames Zelensky as much as Putin for the war--those bad Ukrainians, asking to be invaded!
May 26, 2025 at 7:02 AM
Reposted by Kyiv4ever
Shadow tanker FALCON has no flag, no insurance, 13 deficiencies including structural ones. Turns off her AIS to hide the fact that she slings LPG from Russia.

Entered Baltic Sea an hour ago.

Src: equasis.org, marinetraffic.com, @maritimekiwi.bsky.social
May 23, 2025 at 8:44 PM
Reposted by Kyiv4ever
Let’s talk about the Russian Economy!

I want to try give you an overview of some to the choices Russia has in some basic terms, and without pulling out too much reference material, so hopefully it will be easier to comprehend.

(So the opposite of usual, but you know how I love a reference)
May 23, 2025 at 11:24 PM
Reposted by Kyiv4ever
The amount of hot air expended by political leaders in the last 4 months could lift the Hindenburg. How about:

US Congress members stop threatening harsh new sanctions on Russia, vote on them

European leaders stop saying you have non existent red lines for new sanctions, just put them into place.
May 17, 2025 at 3:24 PM