Klaus de Rijk
@klausderijk.bsky.social
Reposted by Klaus de Rijk
Trump’s Ukraine policy is based on fabricated numbers ($350bn). His Russia policy is based on fabricated numbers (majority support for Russia in occupied territory). Why are we surprised that his trade policy is also based on fabricated numbers?
April 2, 2025 at 10:10 PM
Trump’s Ukraine policy is based on fabricated numbers ($350bn). His Russia policy is based on fabricated numbers (majority support for Russia in occupied territory). Why are we surprised that his trade policy is also based on fabricated numbers?
Reposted by Klaus de Rijk
Will Europeans Boycott the US? | "There is real anger in Europe over the US treatment of Ukraine. It may develop in unexpected ways." @elisabethbraw.bsky.social
Will Europeans Boycott the US?
There is real anger in Europe over the United States' treatment of Ukraine. It may develop in unexpected ways.
cepa.org
March 3, 2025 at 3:10 PM
Will Europeans Boycott the US? | "There is real anger in Europe over the US treatment of Ukraine. It may develop in unexpected ways." @elisabethbraw.bsky.social
Reposted by Klaus de Rijk
Harnessing that change through a vision of a new type of warfare that would make the old obsolete
- b/c of the pace of change & the massive increases in combat power that it could deliver if mastered.
See eg from Andrew Krepinevich &
@warinthefuture.bsky.social
- b/c of the pace of change & the massive increases in combat power that it could deliver if mastered.
See eg from Andrew Krepinevich &
@warinthefuture.bsky.social
March 3, 2025 at 11:27 AM
Harnessing that change through a vision of a new type of warfare that would make the old obsolete
- b/c of the pace of change & the massive increases in combat power that it could deliver if mastered.
See eg from Andrew Krepinevich &
@warinthefuture.bsky.social
- b/c of the pace of change & the massive increases in combat power that it could deliver if mastered.
See eg from Andrew Krepinevich &
@warinthefuture.bsky.social
Reposted by Klaus de Rijk
Well worth a read. Lawrence has been good all the way through the Ukraine invasion at not extrapolating out too wildly, and showing how each stage of conflict/geopolitics is contingent on choices that are to be made, rather than everything being predetermined or predictable
My response to yesterday's shambles in the Oval Office, the latest stage in Trump's soap opera. Relations between Trump & Zelensky might be restored but peace deal will be elusive. The US is becoming a very different power. (£/free trial). Will update as necessary. open.substack.com/pub/samf/p/t...?
Two steps backward
‘I mean, that’s what I do.
open.substack.com
March 1, 2025 at 4:49 PM
Well worth a read. Lawrence has been good all the way through the Ukraine invasion at not extrapolating out too wildly, and showing how each stage of conflict/geopolitics is contingent on choices that are to be made, rather than everything being predetermined or predictable
Reposted by Klaus de Rijk
This is worth a million tweets of the kind he was criticized for not doing yesterday. Excellent stuff.
Starmer to Zelenskyy: You are very very welcome here in Downing Street. As you heard from the cheers outside, you have full backing across the United Kingdom.
March 1, 2025 at 9:21 PM
This is worth a million tweets of the kind he was criticized for not doing yesterday. Excellent stuff.
Reposted by Klaus de Rijk
A superb essay on Ukraine peace negotiations and the Zelenskyy- Trump issue from @ldfreedman.bsky.social
samf.substack.com/p/two-steps-...
samf.substack.com/p/two-steps-...
Two steps backward
‘I mean, that’s what I do.
samf.substack.com
March 1, 2025 at 7:38 PM
A superb essay on Ukraine peace negotiations and the Zelenskyy- Trump issue from @ldfreedman.bsky.social
samf.substack.com/p/two-steps-...
samf.substack.com/p/two-steps-...
Reposted by Klaus de Rijk
All we need for peace in Ukraine is for Russian soldiers to return to Russia.
February 26, 2025 at 1:43 AM
All we need for peace in Ukraine is for Russian soldiers to return to Russia.
Is Trump Making Europe Great Again?
open.substack.com/pub/minnalan...
open.substack.com/pub/minnalan...
Is Trump Making Europe Great Again?
In a world of zero-sum thinking, the EU's win-win logic can be a powerful tool.
open.substack.com
February 26, 2025 at 3:11 AM
Is Trump Making Europe Great Again?
open.substack.com/pub/minnalan...
open.substack.com/pub/minnalan...
www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2025/...
"Nu de gebeurtenissen zich op zo veel fronten bruusk ontvouwen, is het aan de Europeanen zelf om te kiezen uit tragische, boze, pastorale, pamfletterende en ironische tonen om onze geschiedenis te schrijven."
"Nu de gebeurtenissen zich op zo veel fronten bruusk ontvouwen, is het aan de Europeanen zelf om te kiezen uit tragische, boze, pastorale, pamfletterende en ironische tonen om onze geschiedenis te schrijven."
Opinie | Europa moet terugkijken om de greep op de tijd niet te verliezen
Europa loopt achter de feiten aan. Het initiatief ligt elders, in Washington, Moskou, Beijing. Handelingsvermogen vraagt om houvast buiten het onmiddellijke heden. Wie strategisch vooruit wil kijken m...
www.nrc.nl
February 22, 2025 at 11:27 AM
www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2025/...
"Nu de gebeurtenissen zich op zo veel fronten bruusk ontvouwen, is het aan de Europeanen zelf om te kiezen uit tragische, boze, pastorale, pamfletterende en ironische tonen om onze geschiedenis te schrijven."
"Nu de gebeurtenissen zich op zo veel fronten bruusk ontvouwen, is het aan de Europeanen zelf om te kiezen uit tragische, boze, pastorale, pamfletterende en ironische tonen om onze geschiedenis te schrijven."
Reposted by Klaus de Rijk
For eight decades, America’s alliances with other democracies were the bedrock of American foreign policy, trade policy, and cultural influence.
No longer
www.theatlantic.com/internationa...
No longer
www.theatlantic.com/internationa...
The End of the Postwar World
Trump and Vance are sending a dark message to America’s allies.
www.theatlantic.com
February 20, 2025 at 5:13 PM
For eight decades, America’s alliances with other democracies were the bedrock of American foreign policy, trade policy, and cultural influence.
No longer
www.theatlantic.com/internationa...
No longer
www.theatlantic.com/internationa...
This is a fascinating talk - must see/listen!!
A Chat With Paul Krugman open.substack.com/pub/phillips...
A Chat With Paul Krugman open.substack.com/pub/phillips...
A Chat With Paul Krugman
Hello all.
open.substack.com
February 19, 2025 at 9:39 PM
This is a fascinating talk - must see/listen!!
A Chat With Paul Krugman open.substack.com/pub/phillips...
A Chat With Paul Krugman open.substack.com/pub/phillips...
Reposted by Klaus de Rijk
"It is clear that the US can no longer be regarded as a reliable ally for Europeans... [who] need to start preparing fast for the day when the US security guarantee to Europe is definitively removed"
@gideonrachman.bsky.social's searing conclusion from a weekend in Munich
www.ft.com/content/11f1...
@gideonrachman.bsky.social's searing conclusion from a weekend in Munich
www.ft.com/content/11f1...
Vance’s real warning to Europe
Europeans need to reduce their dangerous dependence on an adversarial America
www.ft.com
February 17, 2025 at 1:00 PM
"It is clear that the US can no longer be regarded as a reliable ally for Europeans... [who] need to start preparing fast for the day when the US security guarantee to Europe is definitively removed"
@gideonrachman.bsky.social's searing conclusion from a weekend in Munich
www.ft.com/content/11f1...
@gideonrachman.bsky.social's searing conclusion from a weekend in Munich
www.ft.com/content/11f1...
Reposted by Klaus de Rijk
Hi All--Just sent out this piece (free for all) on the most important example of Trump and Putin aligning. Its about the issue of Ukrainians holding elections soon. Before the US elections, neither Trump nor Kellogg cared about the issue--but for Putin is was key. open.substack.com/pub/phillips...
Trump and Putin: Aligning over Ukrainian Elections
An Example of Them Working Together--and Reasons Why
open.substack.com
February 17, 2025 at 2:51 PM
Hi All--Just sent out this piece (free for all) on the most important example of Trump and Putin aligning. Its about the issue of Ukrainians holding elections soon. Before the US elections, neither Trump nor Kellogg cared about the issue--but for Putin is was key. open.substack.com/pub/phillips...
"Looking back at the 1930s, we used to wonder how it seemed that everybody could see war coming but do nothing to stop it. Now we understand, as we see the same mistakes repeated one after another."
February 16, 2025 at 7:56 AM
"Looking back at the 1930s, we used to wonder how it seemed that everybody could see war coming but do nothing to stop it. Now we understand, as we see the same mistakes repeated one after another."
Reposted by Klaus de Rijk
In a sane world, "move fast and break things" and "National Nuclear Security Administration" probably should not be in the same sentence.
February 15, 2025 at 6:27 PM
In a sane world, "move fast and break things" and "National Nuclear Security Administration" probably should not be in the same sentence.
Reposted by Klaus de Rijk
Just to be erring on the safe side, us Europeans should operate under the assumption that this, now, actually is the worst case.
February 15, 2025 at 9:38 PM
Just to be erring on the safe side, us Europeans should operate under the assumption that this, now, actually is the worst case.
Reposted by Klaus de Rijk
It's been over 6 months since Ukraine captured part of fascist Russia's territory. Russia has been unable to dislodge the Ukrainian occupying force, even with the help of North Korean special forces (who got mauled). Russia is weak, and Ukraine can win the war - if Kyiv gets enough support.
After six months of combat in the Kursk salient, the Ukrainians launched another attack in the southeastern direction of Sudzha. The Ukrainians seemingly breached the first Russian defences, and an armored column managed to advance up to 5-7 kilometers deep towards Ulanok. 1/
February 7, 2025 at 4:56 PM
It's been over 6 months since Ukraine captured part of fascist Russia's territory. Russia has been unable to dislodge the Ukrainian occupying force, even with the help of North Korean special forces (who got mauled). Russia is weak, and Ukraine can win the war - if Kyiv gets enough support.
Reposted by Klaus de Rijk
Peace agreements will only work when Putin has lost all hope of victory. Let's make that happen.
February 7, 2025 at 6:37 AM
Peace agreements will only work when Putin has lost all hope of victory. Let's make that happen.
Reposted by Klaus de Rijk
You can watch the first episode in the Netherlands under the title ‘Who Downed MH17’ on February 6th at 20:30pm www.natgeotv.com/nl/programma...
February 5, 2025 at 11:37 AM
You can watch the first episode in the Netherlands under the title ‘Who Downed MH17’ on February 6th at 20:30pm www.natgeotv.com/nl/programma...
Reposted by Klaus de Rijk
Very important at the strategic level as well.
It must be clear that there can be no peace deal with Russia without Putin and his associates standing trial for their crimes. All of our governments must insist on this essential condition.
It must be clear that there can be no peace deal with Russia without Putin and his associates standing trial for their crimes. All of our governments must insist on this essential condition.
A coalition of 38 countries, including all members of the European Union, announced on Tuesday "major progress" in their joint work to establish a special tribunal to judge the Russian leadership for the crime of aggression committed against Ukraine. www.euronews.com/my-europe/20...
EU hails 'major' progress to set up special tribunal to judge Putin
"No one from Russia and no one from Russia's leadership is untouchable," said High Representative Kaja Kallas. #EuropeNews
www.euronews.com
February 4, 2025 at 10:22 PM
Very important at the strategic level as well.
It must be clear that there can be no peace deal with Russia without Putin and his associates standing trial for their crimes. All of our governments must insist on this essential condition.
It must be clear that there can be no peace deal with Russia without Putin and his associates standing trial for their crimes. All of our governments must insist on this essential condition.
Reposted by Klaus de Rijk
The logic of the coup that is going on now. And how to resist it.
snyder.substack.com/p/the-logic-...
snyder.substack.com/p/the-logic-...
The Logic of Destruction
And how to resist it
snyder.substack.com
February 2, 2025 at 6:50 PM
The logic of the coup that is going on now. And how to resist it.
snyder.substack.com/p/the-logic-...
snyder.substack.com/p/the-logic-...
Reposted by Klaus de Rijk
Just sent out my weekend update, free as always. An ominous week for democracies in general and Ukraine in particular, as not just Trump, but also Rubio and Kellogg start spreading the Russian narrative. They are now talking up Russian power and undermining Ukraine. open.substack.com/pub/phillips...
Weekend Update #118: The Trump Administration’s Talking Points are Straight from Moscow
Also: Ukrainian attacks on Russian Refineries; Ukrainian Collapse Continues (In the Press)
open.substack.com
February 2, 2025 at 8:49 AM
Just sent out my weekend update, free as always. An ominous week for democracies in general and Ukraine in particular, as not just Trump, but also Rubio and Kellogg start spreading the Russian narrative. They are now talking up Russian power and undermining Ukraine. open.substack.com/pub/phillips...
Reposted by Klaus de Rijk
And there is this. A big issue. The biggest in fact. Ukraine is not losing.
"While Ukraine faces significant challenges, the strategic picture indicates that it is not losing the war. Attritional warfare favors the side with better long-term sustainability, logistics, & innovation." A strategic assessment of the Ukraine war situation from @cepa.org cepa.org/article/is-u...
Is Ukraine Losing the War?
Too many people are edging toward the idea that Russia will win. They badly underestimate Ukraine’s strengths.
cepa.org
January 22, 2025 at 9:20 PM
And there is this. A big issue. The biggest in fact. Ukraine is not losing.
I have to think, again, of Max Frisch's de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Biederm.... It has all been announced, in clear daylight, and nobody believes it, nobody acts.
Biedermann und die Brandstifter – Wikipedia
de.wikipedia.org
January 20, 2025 at 6:52 AM
I have to think, again, of Max Frisch's de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Biederm.... It has all been announced, in clear daylight, and nobody believes it, nobody acts.