Klara Müller
@klaramueller.bsky.social
Political Scientist | PhD Candidate at the University of Mannheim | Interested in political behaviour, public opinion, quantitative methods and all things sports.
🌐 https://klara-mueller.com/
🌐 https://klara-mueller.com/
Pinned
Klara Müller
@klaramueller.bsky.social
· Jun 23
Survey Nonresponse After Elections: Investigating the Role of Winner-Loser Effects in Panel Attrition
Abstract. When and for whom do election outcomes drive survey nonresponse? This paper investigates whether belonging to the winners or losers of an electio
academic.oup.com
🚨 Excited to see my first solo-authored paper now published in IJPOR! 🚨
Do election outcomes affect participation in post-election surveys? And specifically, do election winners respond more than losers? The short answer: not really.
The slightly longer answer: 🧵👇
academic.oup.com/ijpor/articl...
Do election outcomes affect participation in post-election surveys? And specifically, do election winners respond more than losers? The short answer: not really.
The slightly longer answer: 🧵👇
academic.oup.com/ijpor/articl...
Reposted by Klara Müller
Which factors affect how Americans react to political violence? Our paper in @polbehavior.bsky.social addressing this question just got a volume and issue number! link.springer.com/article/10.1...
When Push Comes to Shove: How Americans Excuse and Condemn Political Violence - Political Behavior
What factors do Americans find most important when evaluating acts of political violence? Normatively, details regarding the violent act (e.g., the target and violence severity) should determine the p...
link.springer.com
December 20, 2025 at 1:32 PM
Which factors affect how Americans react to political violence? Our paper in @polbehavior.bsky.social addressing this question just got a volume and issue number! link.springer.com/article/10.1...
Reposted by Klara Müller
NEW -
Elections Without Constraints? The Appeal of Electoral Autocracy Across the World - https://cup.org/49auQPf
- @anjaneundorf.bsky.social, @sirianned.bsky.social, Kristian Vrede Skaaning Frederiksen & @aykutozturk.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
Elections Without Constraints? The Appeal of Electoral Autocracy Across the World - https://cup.org/49auQPf
- @anjaneundorf.bsky.social, @sirianned.bsky.social, Kristian Vrede Skaaning Frederiksen & @aykutozturk.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
December 22, 2025 at 11:10 AM
NEW -
Elections Without Constraints? The Appeal of Electoral Autocracy Across the World - https://cup.org/49auQPf
- @anjaneundorf.bsky.social, @sirianned.bsky.social, Kristian Vrede Skaaning Frederiksen & @aykutozturk.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
Elections Without Constraints? The Appeal of Electoral Autocracy Across the World - https://cup.org/49auQPf
- @anjaneundorf.bsky.social, @sirianned.bsky.social, Kristian Vrede Skaaning Frederiksen & @aykutozturk.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
Reposted by Klara Müller
This is a fantastic dataset for studying the evolution of political attitudes and party preferences in Germany.
Here's a mosaic plot of vote choices in 2025 by vote choices in 2021 (as reported back then).
One striking observation is the high volatility behind the overall gains of the Left Party.
Here's a mosaic plot of vote choices in 2025 by vote choices in 2021 (as reported back then).
One striking observation is the high volatility behind the overall gains of the Left Party.
December 18, 2025 at 8:46 AM
This is a fantastic dataset for studying the evolution of political attitudes and party preferences in Germany.
Here's a mosaic plot of vote choices in 2025 by vote choices in 2021 (as reported back then).
One striking observation is the high volatility behind the overall gains of the Left Party.
Here's a mosaic plot of vote choices in 2025 by vote choices in 2021 (as reported back then).
One striking observation is the high volatility behind the overall gains of the Left Party.
Reposted by Klara Müller
Great to present yesterday in Barcelona the latest version (and hopefully last!) of joint work with @klaramueller.bsky.social. Now looking forward to expanding the project further!
It was also in some way my official debut for UAB 🙂
PS: You may want to follow @bcnpolisci.bsky.social too!
It was also in some way my official debut for UAB 🙂
PS: You may want to follow @bcnpolisci.bsky.social too!
Last panels of JCPOP 2025! 🔔
Join us in room 24.S01 for a panel on Representation, in room 24.019 for a panel on Economy and welfare, and in room 24.021 for one on Public opinion 👥🧠
Join us in room 24.S01 for a panel on Representation, in room 24.019 for a panel on Economy and welfare, and in room 24.021 for one on Public opinion 👥🧠
December 11, 2025 at 11:11 AM
Great to present yesterday in Barcelona the latest version (and hopefully last!) of joint work with @klaramueller.bsky.social. Now looking forward to expanding the project further!
It was also in some way my official debut for UAB 🙂
PS: You may want to follow @bcnpolisci.bsky.social too!
It was also in some way my official debut for UAB 🙂
PS: You may want to follow @bcnpolisci.bsky.social too!
Reposted by Klara Müller
Happy to share that the German Research Foundation DFG funds my new project: “Countering Polarization: The Borda count as a basis for proportional representation”. I am recruiting 2 PhD candidates to join me in Hannover as of March 2026 or later! Feel free to reach out!
December 3, 2025 at 11:07 AM
Happy to share that the German Research Foundation DFG funds my new project: “Countering Polarization: The Borda count as a basis for proportional representation”. I am recruiting 2 PhD candidates to join me in Hannover as of March 2026 or later! Feel free to reach out!
Reposted by Klara Müller
Personal news! 📣
I'm very happy to share that today I've joined @dec-gr.bsky.social as a postdoc to work on the @tact-forsed.bsky.social project, studying conspiracy beliefs and democratic backsliding across Europe.
Grateful to @galais.bsky.social and @mguinjoan.bsky.social for the opportunity!
I'm very happy to share that today I've joined @dec-gr.bsky.social as a postdoc to work on the @tact-forsed.bsky.social project, studying conspiracy beliefs and democratic backsliding across Europe.
Grateful to @galais.bsky.social and @mguinjoan.bsky.social for the opportunity!
December 1, 2025 at 10:18 AM
Personal news! 📣
I'm very happy to share that today I've joined @dec-gr.bsky.social as a postdoc to work on the @tact-forsed.bsky.social project, studying conspiracy beliefs and democratic backsliding across Europe.
Grateful to @galais.bsky.social and @mguinjoan.bsky.social for the opportunity!
I'm very happy to share that today I've joined @dec-gr.bsky.social as a postdoc to work on the @tact-forsed.bsky.social project, studying conspiracy beliefs and democratic backsliding across Europe.
Grateful to @galais.bsky.social and @mguinjoan.bsky.social for the opportunity!
Reposted by Klara Müller
⏰ One week left to apply for SekMethoden 2026 — the annual meeting of the DVPW Section "Methods of Political Science". Submit your abstract by Sunday!
⬇️ See below for the CfP and link to the application portal.
@gessler.bsky.social @lukrudolph.bsky.social @donyhu.bsky.social @dvpw.bsky.social
⬇️ See below for the CfP and link to the application portal.
@gessler.bsky.social @lukrudolph.bsky.social @donyhu.bsky.social @dvpw.bsky.social
🚨 CfP: SekMethoden 2026
🗓️ March 12-13, 2026
🗺️ Hannover, Germany
⏰ DL Dec 07, 2025
👉 Apply here: sosci.sowi.uni-mannheim.de/sekmethoden2...
👥 @gessler.bsky.social, @lukrudolph.bsky.social, @donyhu.bsky.social, Jona Baumert, Morten Harmening and I look forward to your submissions!
🗓️ March 12-13, 2026
🗺️ Hannover, Germany
⏰ DL Dec 07, 2025
👉 Apply here: sosci.sowi.uni-mannheim.de/sekmethoden2...
👥 @gessler.bsky.social, @lukrudolph.bsky.social, @donyhu.bsky.social, Jona Baumert, Morten Harmening and I look forward to your submissions!
December 1, 2025 at 8:46 AM
⏰ One week left to apply for SekMethoden 2026 — the annual meeting of the DVPW Section "Methods of Political Science". Submit your abstract by Sunday!
⬇️ See below for the CfP and link to the application portal.
@gessler.bsky.social @lukrudolph.bsky.social @donyhu.bsky.social @dvpw.bsky.social
⬇️ See below for the CfP and link to the application portal.
@gessler.bsky.social @lukrudolph.bsky.social @donyhu.bsky.social @dvpw.bsky.social
Reposted by Klara Müller
Thrilled to share my new article in Political Psychology: “The psychology of political attitudinal volatility.” In it, I attempt to answer why do some people change their political views more than others? Open access at: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10....
@ispp-pops.bsky.social
@ispp-pops.bsky.social
November 25, 2025 at 3:07 PM
Thrilled to share my new article in Political Psychology: “The psychology of political attitudinal volatility.” In it, I attempt to answer why do some people change their political views more than others? Open access at: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10....
@ispp-pops.bsky.social
@ispp-pops.bsky.social
Reposted by Klara Müller
🎉 New publication 🎉 Why do #youngpeople vote for the #AfD? This question has kept our research project busy for quite some time, so I'm beyond excited that our first article - co-authored with @timonscheuer.bsky.social - is now out in #GermanPolitics! 🤩 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
November 22, 2025 at 9:36 AM
🎉 New publication 🎉 Why do #youngpeople vote for the #AfD? This question has kept our research project busy for quite some time, so I'm beyond excited that our first article - co-authored with @timonscheuer.bsky.social - is now out in #GermanPolitics! 🤩 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Spot on, @ainagallego.bsky.social. Esto es realmente importante… y un problema que desde luego no se limita a España.
Hoy escribo en El Diario sobre los motivos y soluciones a los abusos en la universidad www.eldiario.es/piedrasdepap...
Abusos en la universidad: por qué persiste la impunidad y qué reformas pueden cambiarla
Las universidades españolas arrastran casos de acoso laboral y sexual que rara vez se sancionan, en un ecosistema marcado por la protección reputacional y la endogamia. Romper estas dinámicas con movi...
www.eldiario.es
November 20, 2025 at 9:22 AM
Spot on, @ainagallego.bsky.social. Esto es realmente importante… y un problema que desde luego no se limita a España.
Reposted by Klara Müller
📣 New op-ed in Süddeutsche Zeitung: What the data say about the “Brandmauer”
I summarize key findings from a study with @anninahermes.bsky.social across 57 democracies
➡️ Far-right parties don’t get weaker in government, they get stronger (~6 points by the next election)
tinyurl.com/4j6jaud2
I summarize key findings from a study with @anninahermes.bsky.social across 57 democracies
➡️ Far-right parties don’t get weaker in government, they get stronger (~6 points by the next election)
tinyurl.com/4j6jaud2
Demokratie: Wenn die Rechte mitregiert, wird sie nicht geschwächt – im Gegenteil
Eine Untersuchung von 57 Ländern zeigt: Wenn die Rechte in Verantwortung kommt, gewinnt sie dazu. Daraus lässt sich für Deutschland lernen.
www.sueddeutsche.de
November 18, 2025 at 8:51 PM
📣 New op-ed in Süddeutsche Zeitung: What the data say about the “Brandmauer”
I summarize key findings from a study with @anninahermes.bsky.social across 57 democracies
➡️ Far-right parties don’t get weaker in government, they get stronger (~6 points by the next election)
tinyurl.com/4j6jaud2
I summarize key findings from a study with @anninahermes.bsky.social across 57 democracies
➡️ Far-right parties don’t get weaker in government, they get stronger (~6 points by the next election)
tinyurl.com/4j6jaud2
This leaves me fascinated and uneasy at the same time…🤯
In any case, new (?) survey challenges unlocked!
In any case, new (?) survey challenges unlocked!
AI presents a fundamental threat to our ability to use polls to assess public opinion. Bad actors who are able to infiltrate panels can flip close election polls for less than the cost of a Starbucks coffee. Models will also infer and confirm hypotheses in experiments. Current quality checks fail
November 19, 2025 at 10:23 AM
This leaves me fascinated and uneasy at the same time…🤯
In any case, new (?) survey challenges unlocked!
In any case, new (?) survey challenges unlocked!
Reposted by Klara Müller
For those who didn’t catch it:🚨 We’ve released 3 additional panel waves via @GESIS, bringing the total to 71 waves of survey data. Spanning Sep 2012–May 2024, the GIP dataset is fully accessible for researchers studying trends, attitudes, and social changes over more than a decade.
November 18, 2025 at 9:05 AM
For those who didn’t catch it:🚨 We’ve released 3 additional panel waves via @GESIS, bringing the total to 71 waves of survey data. Spanning Sep 2012–May 2024, the GIP dataset is fully accessible for researchers studying trends, attitudes, and social changes over more than a decade.
There's still time to register - looking forward to seeing you around!
Our autumn seminar series continues tomorrow at midday, with
@klaramueller.bsky.social presenting important insights into causal inference in political psychology research.
Register to attend: events.teams.microsoft.com/event/5edb84...
@klaramueller.bsky.social presenting important insights into causal inference in political psychology research.
Register to attend: events.teams.microsoft.com/event/5edb84...
October 23, 2025 at 7:18 AM
There's still time to register - looking forward to seeing you around!
Reposted by Klara Müller
After a great first session today, our @psapolpsychology.bsky.social autumn seminar series continues next week with what promises to be a fascinating talk by @klaramueller.bsky.social!
Sign up here: events.teams.microsoft.com/event/5edb84...
Sign up here: events.teams.microsoft.com/event/5edb84...
*PSA EVENT* #Political #Psychology Seminar Series - 'Do Events Change Minds or Samples? Identifying Compositional Bias in Event Focused Causal Inference', with Klara Müller @klaramueller.bsky.social. Organised by @psapolpsychology.bsky.social
📆 23 Oct, 12.00 - 13.00, online
➡️
📆 23 Oct, 12.00 - 13.00, online
➡️
Political Psychology - Do Events Change Minds or Samples? A Framework for Identifying Compositional Bias in Event Focused Causal Inference | The Political Studies Association (PSA)
‘Do Events Change Minds or Samples? A Framework for Identifying Compositional Bias in Event Focused Causal Inference’ with Klara Müller (Mannheim) 23 October – 12:00 to 13:00 From political…
buff.ly
October 16, 2025 at 1:01 PM
After a great first session today, our @psapolpsychology.bsky.social autumn seminar series continues next week with what promises to be a fascinating talk by @klaramueller.bsky.social!
Sign up here: events.teams.microsoft.com/event/5edb84...
Sign up here: events.teams.microsoft.com/event/5edb84...
Reposted by Klara Müller
Every academic career is built on rejection, but we don’t show it.
CVs list publications, grants & awards, not rejected manuscripts, unfunded proposals, or failures.
But those invisible rejections shape us more than our successes ever do.
👉 catherineeunicedevries.substack.com/p/fail-bette...
🧵
CVs list publications, grants & awards, not rejected manuscripts, unfunded proposals, or failures.
But those invisible rejections shape us more than our successes ever do.
👉 catherineeunicedevries.substack.com/p/fail-bette...
🧵
Fail Better: Why Your Rejections Will Shape You More Than Your Publications
The Art of Learning from Rejection
catherineeunicedevries.substack.com
October 14, 2025 at 8:52 AM
Every academic career is built on rejection, but we don’t show it.
CVs list publications, grants & awards, not rejected manuscripts, unfunded proposals, or failures.
But those invisible rejections shape us more than our successes ever do.
👉 catherineeunicedevries.substack.com/p/fail-bette...
🧵
CVs list publications, grants & awards, not rejected manuscripts, unfunded proposals, or failures.
But those invisible rejections shape us more than our successes ever do.
👉 catherineeunicedevries.substack.com/p/fail-bette...
🧵
Reposted by Klara Müller
My monthly reminder ☝️
October 13, 2025 at 12:16 PM
My monthly reminder ☝️
Reposted by Klara Müller
Excellent work from my SU colleague Einar Bäckström on the temporal dynamics of the winner loser gap in democracy satisfaction using a regression discontinuity in time design across 21 European countries.
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Sore losers on election night? Examining the temporal emergence of the winner–loser gap | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core
Sore losers on election night? Examining the temporal emergence of the winner–loser gap
www.cambridge.org
October 3, 2025 at 2:04 PM
Excellent work from my SU colleague Einar Bäckström on the temporal dynamics of the winner loser gap in democracy satisfaction using a regression discontinuity in time design across 21 European countries.
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Reposted by Klara Müller
Very pleased to say my new article is out @polstudies.bsky.social ! In it I compare single individuals to those with partners with different past vote choices/party identifications and demonstrate that this is associated with an individual's own vote choice. doi.org/10.1177/0032...
Partner Effects and Gender Gaps in Vote Choice in the United Kingdom: Brexit and Subsequent Elections - Ceri Fowler, 2025
This article explores differences in voting behaviour between those that were single and those that had a Eurosceptic or Europhile partner at the United Kingdom...
doi.org
October 3, 2025 at 11:39 AM
Very pleased to say my new article is out @polstudies.bsky.social ! In it I compare single individuals to those with partners with different past vote choices/party identifications and demonstrate that this is associated with an individual's own vote choice. doi.org/10.1177/0032...
Honoured to be part of the @psapolpsychology.bsky.social seminar and to present some *still-steaming* findings. See you there (registration link below), looking forward to a great discussion!
And don't miss the other fascinating talks in the autumn seminar series! ➡️ www.psa.ac.uk/specialist-g...
And don't miss the other fascinating talks in the autumn seminar series! ➡️ www.psa.ac.uk/specialist-g...
Second, one week later on Thursday 23rd October at 12:00, @klaramueller.bsky.social will speak on major methodological developments in event-based causal inference in political psychology and behaviour research.
Register: events.teams.microsoft.com/event/5edb84...
Register: events.teams.microsoft.com/event/5edb84...
October 2, 2025 at 12:13 PM
Honoured to be part of the @psapolpsychology.bsky.social seminar and to present some *still-steaming* findings. See you there (registration link below), looking forward to a great discussion!
And don't miss the other fascinating talks in the autumn seminar series! ➡️ www.psa.ac.uk/specialist-g...
And don't miss the other fascinating talks in the autumn seminar series! ➡️ www.psa.ac.uk/specialist-g...
Reposted by Klara Müller
Following the success of our spring seminar series earlier this year, we @psapolpsychology.bsky.social are running an autumn/winter series, with four online presentations by great scholars.
Please do register and come along to hear about some really fascinating research!
Please do register and come along to hear about some really fascinating research!
This time in two weeks, we will launch our autumn/winter seminar series. We have an exciting line-up of four online talks covering a range of topics in political psychology.
All presentations are on Thursdays at 12:00 UK.
Sign up to attend here!: www.psa.ac.uk/specialist-g...
All presentations are on Thursdays at 12:00 UK.
Sign up to attend here!: www.psa.ac.uk/specialist-g...
Political Psychology | The Political Studies Association (PSA)
Political Psychology is a multi-disciplinary group established to provide a forum for collaboration, discussion and support for political psychology scholars and practitioners as well as to facilitate...
www.psa.ac.uk
October 2, 2025 at 11:10 AM
Following the success of our spring seminar series earlier this year, we @psapolpsychology.bsky.social are running an autumn/winter series, with four online presentations by great scholars.
Please do register and come along to hear about some really fascinating research!
Please do register and come along to hear about some really fascinating research!
Reposted by Klara Müller
Happy to publish today in the @ejprjournal.bsky.social
Pop culture (think Netflix's Sex Education) make us think that emerging cohorts are happy to socially incorporate partners with sexually modern backgrounds and experiences 🏳️🌈
But is this really the case?
doi.org/10.1017/S147...
Pop culture (think Netflix's Sex Education) make us think that emerging cohorts are happy to socially incorporate partners with sexually modern backgrounds and experiences 🏳️🌈
But is this really the case?
doi.org/10.1017/S147...
Allies on the streets but illiberal in the sheets? Gender and the public vs. private inclusion of sexual minorities | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core
Allies on the streets but illiberal in the sheets? Gender and the public vs. private inclusion of sexual minorities
doi.org
October 1, 2025 at 9:05 AM
Happy to publish today in the @ejprjournal.bsky.social
Pop culture (think Netflix's Sex Education) make us think that emerging cohorts are happy to socially incorporate partners with sexually modern backgrounds and experiences 🏳️🌈
But is this really the case?
doi.org/10.1017/S147...
Pop culture (think Netflix's Sex Education) make us think that emerging cohorts are happy to socially incorporate partners with sexually modern backgrounds and experiences 🏳️🌈
But is this really the case?
doi.org/10.1017/S147...
Reposted by Klara Müller
📣 Attention, postdoctoral researchers!
❗ Apply now for our MZES Visiting Fellowships 😊
💡 Spend 2-4 weeks at the MZES to share ideas
💰 Funding for accommodation, travel, daily allowance
📆 Deadline: 28 November
Full information:
👉 www.mzes.uni-mannheim.de/en/news/deta...
❗ Apply now for our MZES Visiting Fellowships 😊
💡 Spend 2-4 weeks at the MZES to share ideas
💰 Funding for accommodation, travel, daily allowance
📆 Deadline: 28 November
Full information:
👉 www.mzes.uni-mannheim.de/en/news/deta...
September 22, 2025 at 9:29 AM
📣 Attention, postdoctoral researchers!
❗ Apply now for our MZES Visiting Fellowships 😊
💡 Spend 2-4 weeks at the MZES to share ideas
💰 Funding for accommodation, travel, daily allowance
📆 Deadline: 28 November
Full information:
👉 www.mzes.uni-mannheim.de/en/news/deta...
❗ Apply now for our MZES Visiting Fellowships 😊
💡 Spend 2-4 weeks at the MZES to share ideas
💰 Funding for accommodation, travel, daily allowance
📆 Deadline: 28 November
Full information:
👉 www.mzes.uni-mannheim.de/en/news/deta...
🚲🤝🏼🗳️
🚨 New working paper alert 🚨
Missing summer — and the Tour de France? Don’t worry, we got you covered. 🚴♂️🚴♂️🚴♂️
In this paper, we show that being on the route of Tour de France reduces far-right voting. osf.io/preprints/so...
Missing summer — and the Tour de France? Don’t worry, we got you covered. 🚴♂️🚴♂️🚴♂️
In this paper, we show that being on the route of Tour de France reduces far-right voting. osf.io/preprints/so...
September 16, 2025 at 11:18 AM
🚲🤝🏼🗳️
It's striking how engaging in democratic processes can, ironically, lead to democratic discontent when the results feel personally or politically unfavorable. Even in strong democracies!
Our article “Unsuccessful Candidates Are More Concerned About Electoral Fairness than Election Winners” is now online @thejop.bsky.social
Using RDD and elite survey data from Denmark, we show that losing candidates express greater concern about electoral fairness.
🔗 doi.org/10.1086/734240
Using RDD and elite survey data from Denmark, we show that losing candidates express greater concern about electoral fairness.
🔗 doi.org/10.1086/734240
September 12, 2025 at 9:29 AM
It's striking how engaging in democratic processes can, ironically, lead to democratic discontent when the results feel personally or politically unfavorable. Even in strong democracies!