Klara Müller
banner
klaramueller.bsky.social
Klara Müller
@klaramueller.bsky.social
Political Scientist | PhD Candidate at the University of Mannheim | Interested in political behaviour, public opinion, quantitative methods and all things sports.

🌐 https://klara-mueller.com/
Pinned
🚨 Excited to see my first solo-authored paper now published in IJPOR! 🚨

Do election outcomes affect participation in post-election surveys? And specifically, do election winners respond more than losers? The short answer: not really.

The slightly longer answer: 🧵👇

academic.oup.com/ijpor/articl...
Survey Nonresponse After Elections: Investigating the Role of Winner-Loser Effects in Panel Attrition
Abstract. When and for whom do election outcomes drive survey nonresponse? This paper investigates whether belonging to the winners or losers of an electio
academic.oup.com
Reposted by Klara Müller
New paper out in the @thejop.bsky.social with @rafaelahlskog.bsky.social & @grahn.bsky.social

Your neighbours shape your politics — but can living near people like *cause* higher turnout?

We studied 20,000+ queer individuals across the entire Swedish population to find out

doi.org/10.1086/740816
Rallied by thy neighbor: how minority spatial concentration increases voter turnout | The Journal of Politics: Vol 0, No ja
doi.org
February 11, 2026 at 9:13 AM
Excited to kick off the @mzes-ssdl.bsky.social Spring series 🙌

I’ll talk about different threats to causal inference in quasi-experimental designs and share hands-on tools to tackle common biases.

Hybrid event, so happy to see non-Mannheim folks joining on Zoom as well!

🗓️ Feb 25th, 1.45pm CET
▶️ Social Science Data Lab: Spring 2026 Events

Four input talks by great researchers (see below ⤵️)!

🗓️ Details & Zoom:
socialsciencedatalab.mzes.uni-mannheim.de/page/events/

👥 Organizers:
@rubac.bsky.social,
@denis-cohen.bsky.social and Alexander Wenz
February 9, 2026 at 3:04 PM
Reposted by Klara Müller
We‘re very excited for the next edition of the Summer School for Women* in Political Methodology in Mannheim! ✨

Join us and apply until 1 March!

More info in @melinscribe.bsky.social‘s thread below and here: summerschoolwpm.org

Application form: sosci.sowi.uni-mannheim.de/wpm/
🚨 Join us for the next edition Summer School for Women* in Political Methodology in Mannheim 🚨

7 days of hands-on advanced methods + networking for PhDs, postdocs & early-career researchers.
Free of charge (limited travel support).

Deadline 1 March 2026: summerschoolwpm.org
#methodsky #polisky
February 2, 2026 at 5:08 PM
Reposted by Klara Müller
🚨 Join us for the next edition Summer School for Women* in Political Methodology in Mannheim 🚨

7 days of hands-on advanced methods + networking for PhDs, postdocs & early-career researchers.
Free of charge (limited travel support).

Deadline 1 March 2026: summerschoolwpm.org
#methodsky #polisky
February 2, 2026 at 1:13 PM
Reposted by Klara Müller
Why did antisemitism rise in Germany during the Covid pandemic? And why was this increase concentrated among political centrists, rather than on the fringes?

doi.org/10.1017/S153...

@kanol.bsky.social @wzb.bsky.social @uni-hamburg.de @politikuhh.bsky.social @socfub.bsky.social
Cultural Roots of Prejudice: Cultural Scripts and the Reactivation of Antisemitism in Germany | Perspectives on Politics | Cambridge Core
Cultural Roots of Prejudice: Cultural Scripts and the Reactivation of Antisemitism in Germany
doi.org
January 27, 2026 at 10:57 AM
Reposted by Klara Müller
Which factors affect how Americans react to political violence? Our paper in @polbehavior.bsky.social addressing this question just got a volume and issue number! link.springer.com/article/10.1...
When Push Comes to Shove: How Americans Excuse and Condemn Political Violence - Political Behavior
What factors do Americans find most important when evaluating acts of political violence? Normatively, details regarding the violent act (e.g., the target and violence severity) should determine the p...
link.springer.com
December 20, 2025 at 1:32 PM
Reposted by Klara Müller
NEW -

Elections Without Constraints? The Appeal of Electoral Autocracy Across the World - https://cup.org/49auQPf

- @anjaneundorf.bsky.social, @sirianned.bsky.social, Kristian Vrede Skaaning Frederiksen & @aykutozturk.bsky.social

#OpenAccess
December 22, 2025 at 11:10 AM
Reposted by Klara Müller
This is a fantastic dataset for studying the evolution of political attitudes and party preferences in Germany.

Here's a mosaic plot of vote choices in 2025 by vote choices in 2021 (as reported back then).

One striking observation is the high volatility behind the overall gains of the Left Party.
December 18, 2025 at 8:46 AM
Reposted by Klara Müller
Great to present yesterday in Barcelona the latest version (and hopefully last!) of joint work with @klaramueller.bsky.social. Now looking forward to expanding the project further!

It was also in some way my official debut for UAB 🙂

PS: You may want to follow @bcnpolisci.bsky.social too!
Last panels of JCPOP 2025! 🔔

Join us in room 24.S01 for a panel on Representation, in room 24.019 for a panel on Economy and welfare, and in room 24.021 for one on Public opinion 👥🧠
December 11, 2025 at 11:11 AM
Reposted by Klara Müller
Happy to share that the German Research Foundation DFG funds my new project: “Countering Polarization: The Borda count as a basis for proportional representation”. I am recruiting 2 PhD candidates to join me in Hannover as of March 2026 or later! Feel free to reach out!
December 3, 2025 at 11:07 AM
Reposted by Klara Müller
Personal news! 📣

I'm very happy to share that today I've joined @dec-gr.bsky.social as a postdoc to work on the @tact-forsed.bsky.social project, studying conspiracy beliefs and democratic backsliding across Europe.

Grateful to @galais.bsky.social and @mguinjoan.bsky.social for the opportunity!
December 1, 2025 at 10:18 AM
Reposted by Klara Müller
⏰ One week left to apply for SekMethoden 2026 — the annual meeting of the DVPW Section "Methods of Political Science". Submit your abstract by Sunday!

⬇️ See below for the CfP and link to the application portal.

@gessler.bsky.social @lukrudolph.bsky.social @donyhu.bsky.social @dvpw.bsky.social
🚨 CfP: SekMethoden 2026
🗓️ March 12-13, 2026
🗺️ Hannover, Germany
⏰ DL Dec 07, 2025

👉 Apply here: sosci.sowi.uni-mannheim.de/sekmethoden2...

👥 @gessler.bsky.social, @lukrudolph.bsky.social, @donyhu.bsky.social, Jona Baumert, Morten Harmening and I look forward to your submissions!
December 1, 2025 at 8:46 AM
Reposted by Klara Müller
Thrilled to share my new article in Political Psychology: “The psychology of political attitudinal volatility.” In it, I attempt to answer why do some people change their political views more than others? Open access at: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10....
@ispp-pops.bsky.social
November 25, 2025 at 3:07 PM
Reposted by Klara Müller
🎉 New publication 🎉 Why do #youngpeople vote for the #AfD? This question has kept our research project busy for quite some time, so I'm beyond excited that our first article - co-authored with @timonscheuer.bsky.social - is now out in #GermanPolitics! 🤩 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
November 22, 2025 at 9:36 AM
Spot on, @ainagallego.bsky.social. Esto es realmente importante… y un problema que desde luego no se limita a España.
November 20, 2025 at 9:22 AM
Reposted by Klara Müller
📣 New op-ed in Süddeutsche Zeitung: What the data say about the “Brandmauer”

I summarize key findings from a study with @anninahermes.bsky.social across 57 democracies

➡️ Far-right parties don’t get weaker in government, they get stronger (~6 points by the next election)

tinyurl.com/4j6jaud2
Demokratie: Wenn die Rechte mitregiert, wird sie nicht geschwächt – im Gegenteil
Eine Untersuchung von 57 Ländern zeigt: Wenn die Rechte in Verantwortung kommt, gewinnt sie dazu. Daraus lässt sich für Deutschland lernen.
www.sueddeutsche.de
November 18, 2025 at 8:51 PM
This leaves me fascinated and uneasy at the same time…🤯
In any case, new (?) survey challenges unlocked!
AI presents a fundamental threat to our ability to use polls to assess public opinion. Bad actors who are able to infiltrate panels can flip close election polls for less than the cost of a Starbucks coffee. Models will also infer and confirm hypotheses in experiments. Current quality checks fail
November 19, 2025 at 10:23 AM
Reposted by Klara Müller
For those who didn’t catch it:🚨 We’ve released 3 additional panel waves via @GESIS, bringing the total to 71 waves of survey data. Spanning Sep 2012–May 2024, the GIP dataset is fully accessible for researchers studying trends, attitudes, and social changes over more than a decade.
November 18, 2025 at 9:05 AM
There's still time to register - looking forward to seeing you around!
Our autumn seminar series continues tomorrow at midday, with
@klaramueller.bsky.social presenting important insights into causal inference in political psychology research.

Register to attend: events.teams.microsoft.com/event/5edb84...
October 23, 2025 at 7:18 AM
Reposted by Klara Müller
After a great first session today, our @psapolpsychology.bsky.social autumn seminar series continues next week with what promises to be a fascinating talk by @klaramueller.bsky.social!

Sign up here: events.teams.microsoft.com/event/5edb84...
October 16, 2025 at 1:01 PM
Reposted by Klara Müller
Every academic career is built on rejection, but we don’t show it.

CVs list publications, grants & awards, not rejected manuscripts, unfunded proposals, or failures.

But those invisible rejections shape us more than our successes ever do.

👉 catherineeunicedevries.substack.com/p/fail-bette...

🧵
Fail Better: Why Your Rejections Will Shape You More Than Your Publications
The Art of Learning from Rejection
catherineeunicedevries.substack.com
October 14, 2025 at 8:52 AM
Reposted by Klara Müller
My monthly reminder ☝️
October 13, 2025 at 12:16 PM
Reposted by Klara Müller
Excellent work from my SU colleague Einar Bäckström on the temporal dynamics of the winner loser gap in democracy satisfaction using a regression discontinuity in time design across 21 European countries.

www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Sore losers on election night? Examining the temporal emergence of the winner–loser gap | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core
Sore losers on election night? Examining the temporal emergence of the winner–loser gap
www.cambridge.org
October 3, 2025 at 2:04 PM
Reposted by Klara Müller
Very pleased to say my new article is out @polstudies.bsky.social ! In it I compare single individuals to those with partners with different past vote choices/party identifications and demonstrate that this is associated with an individual's own vote choice. doi.org/10.1177/0032...
Partner Effects and Gender Gaps in Vote Choice in the United Kingdom: Brexit and Subsequent Elections - Ceri Fowler, 2025
This article explores differences in voting behaviour between those that were single and those that had a Eurosceptic or Europhile partner at the United Kingdom...
doi.org
October 3, 2025 at 11:39 AM
Honoured to be part of the @psapolpsychology.bsky.social seminar and to present some *still-steaming* findings. See you there (registration link below), looking forward to a great discussion!

And don't miss the other fascinating talks in the autumn seminar series! ➡️ www.psa.ac.uk/specialist-g...
Second, one week later on Thursday 23rd October at 12:00, @klaramueller.bsky.social will speak on major methodological developments in event-based causal inference in political psychology and behaviour research.

Register: events.teams.microsoft.com/event/5edb84...
October 2, 2025 at 12:13 PM