Daniel Keohane
@keohanedan.bsky.social
Senior Research Fellow and Lecturer in International Relations at Dublin City University (DCU) - mostly focused on European security, national strategic cultures in Europe (i.e. France, Germany, UK), European military cooperation, EU, NATO, US strategy
Reposted by Daniel Keohane
A joke for the history buffs.
January 20, 2026 at 12:39 AM
A joke for the history buffs.
Reposted by Daniel Keohane
Great piece by @profsaunders.bsky.social and @dandrezner.bsky.social. You can add to your intro to IR/theory syllabi! My one friendly amendment would be that Hobbes presumed rational actors with comprehensible (albeit conflicting and incompatible) aims.
One year in, it's Hobbes all the way down. Me & @dandrezner.bsky.social in @foreignaffairs.com.
www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
Trump’s Year of Anarchy
The unconstrained presidency and the end of American primacy.
www.foreignaffairs.com
January 20, 2026 at 12:37 PM
Great piece by @profsaunders.bsky.social and @dandrezner.bsky.social. You can add to your intro to IR/theory syllabi! My one friendly amendment would be that Hobbes presumed rational actors with comprehensible (albeit conflicting and incompatible) aims.
Reposted by Daniel Keohane
Foreign policy think tank in 2026...
January 20, 2026 at 11:49 AM
Foreign policy think tank in 2026...
Reposted by Daniel Keohane
Letter in Times today
January 20, 2026 at 11:54 AM
Letter in Times today
Reposted by Daniel Keohane
Not for the first time, it looks like Channel 4 just handed the keys to their socials to an evil genius:
January 19, 2026 at 3:48 PM
Not for the first time, it looks like Channel 4 just handed the keys to their socials to an evil genius:
Reposted by Daniel Keohane
The Economist, April 8th 1933.
(The territorial dispute between Norway and Denmark over parts of #Greenland was decided in Denmark's favour by the International Court.)
(The territorial dispute between Norway and Denmark over parts of #Greenland was decided in Denmark's favour by the International Court.)
January 20, 2026 at 10:52 AM
The Economist, April 8th 1933.
(The territorial dispute between Norway and Denmark over parts of #Greenland was decided in Denmark's favour by the International Court.)
(The territorial dispute between Norway and Denmark over parts of #Greenland was decided in Denmark's favour by the International Court.)
“At time of the agreement in May 2025, Rubio said the US “welcomed the historic agreement”. It went on: “This is a critical asset for regional and global security. President Trump expressed his support for this monumental achievement during his meeting with Prime Minister Starmer at the White House”
Trump cites UK’s ‘stupidity’ over Chagos Islands as reason to take over Greenland
Trump cites UK’s ‘stupidity’ over Chagos Islands as reason to take over Greenland
US president says on social media that Britain’s decision to cede islands to Mauritius is ‘act of total weakness’
Donald Trump has suggested Britain’s decision to cede the Chagos Islands to Mauritius is among the reasons he wants to take over Greenland.
The US president, who is travelling to Davos in Switzerland for the World Economic Forum, made the claim as he ramped up his rhetoric on acquiring the Arctic territory. Continue reading...
www.theguardian.com
January 20, 2026 at 9:32 AM
“At time of the agreement in May 2025, Rubio said the US “welcomed the historic agreement”. It went on: “This is a critical asset for regional and global security. President Trump expressed his support for this monumental achievement during his meeting with Prime Minister Starmer at the White House”
Reposted by Daniel Keohane
COMMENTARY: Many of the ships that damage underwater cables in Europe turn up in Irish waters. But while Ireland has a tiny navy to deal with these unwanted visitors, it does have another formidable resource:
Its fishermen.
Its fishermen.
A vanishing deterrent? Europe’s fishermen patrol our waters in shrinking numbers
From a national security perspective, fishing fleets are manned by the best soldiers we never knew we had.
www.politico.eu
January 20, 2026 at 9:09 AM
COMMENTARY: Many of the ships that damage underwater cables in Europe turn up in Irish waters. But while Ireland has a tiny navy to deal with these unwanted visitors, it does have another formidable resource:
Its fishermen.
Its fishermen.
Reposted by Daniel Keohane
Europe has no good options to respond to Trump's tariff threats over Greenland - in my latest for @ecfr.eu I outline five principles that Brussels and EU capitals may want to keep in mind when sketching out next steps (spoiler: ditch moot threats and focus on services trade)
ecfr.eu/article/keep...
ecfr.eu/article/keep...
Keep ice cool: How Europeans should respond to Trump’s Greenland tariff threats – European Council on Foreign Relations
Rather than panicking or posturing, European leaders should prioritise EU unity, pinpoint their leverage and consider buying time
ecfr.eu
January 20, 2026 at 9:09 AM
Europe has no good options to respond to Trump's tariff threats over Greenland - in my latest for @ecfr.eu I outline five principles that Brussels and EU capitals may want to keep in mind when sketching out next steps (spoiler: ditch moot threats and focus on services trade)
ecfr.eu/article/keep...
ecfr.eu/article/keep...
Reposted by Daniel Keohane
"The US has squandered its most valuable financial asset: trust. It risks paying a heavy price for this for decades to come." Important piece by my colleague @katie0martin.ft.com on the hit to the dollar and US borrowing costs of Trump's derangement. www.ft.com/content/9f73...
Trump’s Arctic ambitions torch the most important US asset
The market reaction to the threat of tariffs on supposed allies over Greenland has been extremely telling
www.ft.com
January 20, 2026 at 9:10 AM
"The US has squandered its most valuable financial asset: trust. It risks paying a heavy price for this for decades to come." Important piece by my colleague @katie0martin.ft.com on the hit to the dollar and US borrowing costs of Trump's derangement. www.ft.com/content/9f73...
Reposted by Daniel Keohane
"We’ve tried flattery, distraction, bargaining, hoping the tornado would pass. It was an analytical & political mistake. This is not about rebalancing transatlantic relations. This is about coercion & ideological & territorial dominance by the US". @sbeverts.bsky.social. www.ft.com/content/d13b...
‘It’s about trust’: Donald Trump’s fresh tariff threats push Europe to harden its stance
Aggressive US rhetoric over Greenland demands a change in strategy by the EU and UK, officials say
www.ft.com
January 19, 2026 at 8:41 AM
"We’ve tried flattery, distraction, bargaining, hoping the tornado would pass. It was an analytical & political mistake. This is not about rebalancing transatlantic relations. This is about coercion & ideological & territorial dominance by the US". @sbeverts.bsky.social. www.ft.com/content/d13b...
Reposted by Daniel Keohane
From Greenland to Canada: a snapshot of how Trump has laid claim to different countries & territories beyond the US.
👉 How low trust is reshaping transatlantic relations: ow.ly/7W7550XbpcO
👉 How low trust is reshaping transatlantic relations: ow.ly/7W7550XbpcO
December 29, 2025 at 9:00 AM
From Greenland to Canada: a snapshot of how Trump has laid claim to different countries & territories beyond the US.
👉 How low trust is reshaping transatlantic relations: ow.ly/7W7550XbpcO
👉 How low trust is reshaping transatlantic relations: ow.ly/7W7550XbpcO
Reposted by Daniel Keohane
"We cannot change Putin's ideas, but we can change his calculations about war." Passivity is no longer an option for the EU, warns @sbeverts.bsky.social. This week, Europe must show it can act & shape its own future. ow.ly/eFOo50XJH76.
The cost of inaction: Why passivity is no longer an option for the European Union
Geopolitics: Russians and Americans are making plans, to which Europeans then react with panic – that's how it usually goes these days, observes Steven Everts . This week's EU summit is a crucial mome...
ow.ly
December 16, 2025 at 8:21 AM
"We cannot change Putin's ideas, but we can change his calculations about war." Passivity is no longer an option for the EU, warns @sbeverts.bsky.social. This week, Europe must show it can act & shape its own future. ow.ly/eFOo50XJH76.
Reposted by Daniel Keohane
"European leaders must adjust to a new reality in which US interests don’t necessarily match theirs".
@gspataf95.bsky.social speaks to the Washington Post as NATO allies worry Washington is charting its own course on the peace talks. www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/1...
@gspataf95.bsky.social speaks to the Washington Post as NATO allies worry Washington is charting its own course on the peace talks. www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/1...
In Russia talks, NATO allies fear Trump is doing his ‘own thing’
In negotiations over Ukraine, European officials say President Trump’s team has positioned the U.S. as an independent arbiter rather than the leading voice of NATO.
www.washingtonpost.com
December 9, 2025 at 9:46 AM
"European leaders must adjust to a new reality in which US interests don’t necessarily match theirs".
@gspataf95.bsky.social speaks to the Washington Post as NATO allies worry Washington is charting its own course on the peace talks. www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/1...
@gspataf95.bsky.social speaks to the Washington Post as NATO allies worry Washington is charting its own course on the peace talks. www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/1...
By @euiss.bsky.social director @sbeverts.bsky.social well worth a read for anyone interested in EU foreign policy:
Europe’s psychology of weakness
It’s time the EU ditched its failing strategy of “react, hope, repeat.”
www.politico.eu
December 1, 2025 at 9:06 AM
By @euiss.bsky.social director @sbeverts.bsky.social well worth a read for anyone interested in EU foreign policy:
Reposted by Daniel Keohane
Eoin is always worth reading. The security arrangements for a new Ireland are just one more thing many Republicans and nationalists don’t seem prepared for
October 30, 2025 at 5:24 PM
Eoin is always worth reading. The security arrangements for a new Ireland are just one more thing many Republicans and nationalists don’t seem prepared for
Nicely provocative piece, and worth reflecting on. A United Ireland, for example, can’t expect to ignore British and other European - or US! - security concerns. That was a big reason for the 1800 Acts of Union in the first place…
I would much prefer that Ireland invests seriously in *its own* and EU security and defence but here Dr Eoin Drea suggests an Anglo-Irish defence union as the solution to Irish, EU and British concerns about the western exposure of Europe to attack.
www.politico.eu/article/angl...
www.politico.eu/article/angl...
The case for an Anglo-Irish defense union
Only a formal bilateral agreement with the U.K. can deliver the territorial security that Ireland — and the EU’s western borders — desperately needs.
www.politico.eu
October 30, 2025 at 4:59 PM
Nicely provocative piece, and worth reflecting on. A United Ireland, for example, can’t expect to ignore British and other European - or US! - security concerns. That was a big reason for the 1800 Acts of Union in the first place…
This is a very good piece @bentonra.bsky.social - well worth reading for anyone interested in Irish foreign policy.
Ireland is perhaps the European state that has benefitted most from transatlantic strategic harmony, what should Ireland do when there is an increasing transatlantic disharmony?
Ireland is perhaps the European state that has benefitted most from transatlantic strategic harmony, what should Ireland do when there is an increasing transatlantic disharmony?
Ben Tonra: Ireland is riding two horses that are now galloping in different directions
Ben Tonra: Ireland is riding two horses that are now galloping in different directions
Nostalgia can not blind us to the new realities of the collapsing alliance between the US and Europe
www.irishtimes.com
October 30, 2025 at 7:22 AM
This is a very good piece @bentonra.bsky.social - well worth reading for anyone interested in Irish foreign policy.
Ireland is perhaps the European state that has benefitted most from transatlantic strategic harmony, what should Ireland do when there is an increasing transatlantic disharmony?
Ireland is perhaps the European state that has benefitted most from transatlantic strategic harmony, what should Ireland do when there is an increasing transatlantic disharmony?
Reposted by Daniel Keohane
Fair-minded discussion by @tomcalver.bsky.social on the Brexit impact. I'm more worried about the trade data though - goods exports volumes declining since 2019 is a big problem, and finance and transport services have significantly lagged other advanced economies.
www.thetimes.com/comment/colu...
www.thetimes.com/comment/colu...
Would UK be better off without Brexit?
Ministers may be tempted to use it as an excuse for tax rises, but there’s far more to it than that
www.thetimes.com
October 26, 2025 at 9:29 AM
Fair-minded discussion by @tomcalver.bsky.social on the Brexit impact. I'm more worried about the trade data though - goods exports volumes declining since 2019 is a big problem, and finance and transport services have significantly lagged other advanced economies.
www.thetimes.com/comment/colu...
www.thetimes.com/comment/colu...
Reposted by Daniel Keohane
At last week's EUCO summit, Belgian Prime Minister Bart De Wever derailed EU plans to raid frozen Russian assets to help fund Ukraine.
Privately, EU diplomats are asking: Did anyone running the meeting bother to speak to him beforehand?
🔗 www.politico.eu/article/eu-l...
Privately, EU diplomats are asking: Did anyone running the meeting bother to speak to him beforehand?
🔗 www.politico.eu/article/eu-l...
October 25, 2025 at 4:09 PM
At last week's EUCO summit, Belgian Prime Minister Bart De Wever derailed EU plans to raid frozen Russian assets to help fund Ukraine.
Privately, EU diplomats are asking: Did anyone running the meeting bother to speak to him beforehand?
🔗 www.politico.eu/article/eu-l...
Privately, EU diplomats are asking: Did anyone running the meeting bother to speak to him beforehand?
🔗 www.politico.eu/article/eu-l...
Reposted by Daniel Keohane
Those who do learn from history are doomed to have people tell them they’re overreacting
Those who don’t learn from history are doomed to repeat it.
October 25, 2025 at 7:53 AM
Those who do learn from history are doomed to have people tell them they’re overreacting
Reposted by Daniel Keohane
The Dutch elections have once again been disappointingly myopic - the transatlantic fractures, European security, China, Ukraine: they barely feature.
Despite this, I'd argue the momentum is for a more centrist coalition to win out, which will want to be far more active on the global stage again.
Despite this, I'd argue the momentum is for a more centrist coalition to win out, which will want to be far more active on the global stage again.
After the collapse of a short-lived right-wing government in the Netherlands, traditional parties may make a comeback — a shift that will be welcomed in Brussels and beyond.
Read @katjabego.bsky.social's latest analysis for Chatham House⤵️
Read @katjabego.bsky.social's latest analysis for Chatham House⤵️
The Dutch elections are an opportunity for the Netherlands to regain its international influence
After the collapse of its short-lived right-wing government, traditional parties may make a comeback in a ‘middle coalition’ that is more likely to be stable and proactive – a shift that will be welco...
www.chathamhouse.org
October 25, 2025 at 10:13 AM
The Dutch elections have once again been disappointingly myopic - the transatlantic fractures, European security, China, Ukraine: they barely feature.
Despite this, I'd argue the momentum is for a more centrist coalition to win out, which will want to be far more active on the global stage again.
Despite this, I'd argue the momentum is for a more centrist coalition to win out, which will want to be far more active on the global stage again.
Reposted by Daniel Keohane
🗳️ #aras25 Count Results live, from as soon as each of the 43 constituencies start to report their results: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
Presidential Election 2025 (#aras25) - live results by @gavreilly
docs.google.com
October 25, 2025 at 6:54 AM
🗳️ #aras25 Count Results live, from as soon as each of the 43 constituencies start to report their results: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
Reposted by Daniel Keohane
After another high-level military purge, Beijing is quietly scripting the next phase of its grand strategy. (Members Only)
Listen here: warontherocks.com/ep...
Listen here: warontherocks.com/ep...
October 24, 2025 at 6:15 PM
After another high-level military purge, Beijing is quietly scripting the next phase of its grand strategy. (Members Only)
Listen here: warontherocks.com/ep...
Listen here: warontherocks.com/ep...
Reposted by Daniel Keohane
Watching from afar, it is also a symptom in how much of the UK, London based media ignores parties not (yet) relevant for Westminster.
UK polls hardly ever show the strength of the SNP or PC, let alone Northern Ireland's parties.
UK polls hardly ever show the strength of the SNP or PC, let alone Northern Ireland's parties.
The extent to which the news media cycle is focusing on Reform rather than the wider strategic goals of Plaid Cymru as the party that actually won is a sign that much of the media and political establishment is going to again end up blindsided by trends that were visible long before
That scene of the Welsh BBC correspondent being the only person interviewing Caerphilly's new Plaid AM while the rest of the media interviewed Reform's loser in the background was far too on the nose.
October 24, 2025 at 9:18 AM
Watching from afar, it is also a symptom in how much of the UK, London based media ignores parties not (yet) relevant for Westminster.
UK polls hardly ever show the strength of the SNP or PC, let alone Northern Ireland's parties.
UK polls hardly ever show the strength of the SNP or PC, let alone Northern Ireland's parties.