Chatham House
@chathamhouse.org
The Royal Institute of International Affairs - Chatham House. Independent thinking since 1920.
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Website🔗: chathamhouse.org
Podcast🎙️: https://apple.co/45Bbbny
Magazine: @theworldtoday.org
Journal: @iajournal.bsky.social
Initial signs are that Venezuela is unlikely to undo the partisan split in how Donald Trump is received — or affect the decline in support among voters whose main concern is the US economy.
Donald Trump’s poll numbers suggest his popularity is waning
As the Trump administration enters its crucial second year, polls indicate that much of the American public disapproves of the president and his flagship policies, although views are split along parti...
www.chathamhouse.org
January 7, 2026 at 1:00 PM
Initial signs are that Venezuela is unlikely to undo the partisan split in how Donald Trump is received — or affect the decline in support among voters whose main concern is the US economy.
"The protests speak to the continued legitimacy crisis that the Islamic Republic faces. The economic dynamics in the country are devastating."
Sanam Vakil (@chmenap.bsky.social) joined the Today programme to discuss the anti-government protests in Iran, via BBC Radio 4.
Sanam Vakil (@chmenap.bsky.social) joined the Today programme to discuss the anti-government protests in Iran, via BBC Radio 4.
January 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM
"The protests speak to the continued legitimacy crisis that the Islamic Republic faces. The economic dynamics in the country are devastating."
Sanam Vakil (@chmenap.bsky.social) joined the Today programme to discuss the anti-government protests in Iran, via BBC Radio 4.
Sanam Vakil (@chmenap.bsky.social) joined the Today programme to discuss the anti-government protests in Iran, via BBC Radio 4.
Donald Trump hopes to get Venezuela's oil flowing again, but this will not come cheap. Tripling production, from 1 million to 3 million barrels of oil a day, would cost an estimated $183 billion.
President Trump’s ambition to rebuild Venezuela’s oil sector will be challenging, especially if prices continue to fall
Robust long-term oil demand is needed to justify significant investment, but is called into question by the growing popularity of electric vehicles.
www.chathamhouse.org
January 7, 2026 at 10:31 AM
Donald Trump hopes to get Venezuela's oil flowing again, but this will not come cheap. Tripling production, from 1 million to 3 million barrels of oil a day, would cost an estimated $183 billion.
"This sends a very clear signal to Russia and to China that regional spheres of influence are not something to be avoided but infact embraced."
Laurel Rapp on US President Donald Trump's geopolitical ambitions in Greenland and Venezuela, via BBC News.
Laurel Rapp on US President Donald Trump's geopolitical ambitions in Greenland and Venezuela, via BBC News.
January 7, 2026 at 10:00 AM
"This sends a very clear signal to Russia and to China that regional spheres of influence are not something to be avoided but infact embraced."
Laurel Rapp on US President Donald Trump's geopolitical ambitions in Greenland and Venezuela, via BBC News.
Laurel Rapp on US President Donald Trump's geopolitical ambitions in Greenland and Venezuela, via BBC News.
The US operation to capture Nicolás Maduro may well be the moment when Western Europe realizes that the US has decisively abandoned the core values that united them for the past century.
The US capture of President Nicolás Maduro – and attacks on Venezuela – have no justification in international law
This may be the moment when Western Europe realizes that the US has abandoned the core values that united them for the past century, writes the head of Chatham House’s International Law Programme.
www.chathamhouse.org
January 7, 2026 at 9:10 AM
The US operation to capture Nicolás Maduro may well be the moment when Western Europe realizes that the US has decisively abandoned the core values that united them for the past century.
US threats to annex Greenland following the strikes on Venezuela should be taken seriously. European countries have important leverage and they should be prepared to use it.
US intentions towards Greenland threaten NATO’s future. But European countries are not helpless
US threats to annex Greenland following the attack on Venezuela should be taken seriously. European countries have important leverage they should be prepared to use.
www.chathamhouse.org
January 7, 2026 at 8:00 AM
US threats to annex Greenland following the strikes on Venezuela should be taken seriously. European countries have important leverage and they should be prepared to use it.
Saudi Arabia now finds itself accused not only of presiding over a humanitarian disaster in Yemen — but also of confronting a former ally in the war they both helped create.
Oman, eastern Yemen, and the fragile geometry of neutrality
Yemen’s neighbour has learned the painful lesson that neutrality in the conflict next door offers no immunity, only the hope of containment.
www.chathamhouse.org
January 7, 2026 at 7:15 AM
Saudi Arabia now finds itself accused not only of presiding over a humanitarian disaster in Yemen — but also of confronting a former ally in the war they both helped create.
Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen has said that an attack on Greenland would end NATO. This is not an exaggeration.
US intentions towards Greenland threaten NATO’s future. But European countries are not helpless
US threats to annex Greenland following the attack on Venezuela should be taken seriously. European countries have important leverage they should be prepared to use.
www.chathamhouse.org
January 7, 2026 at 6:00 AM
Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen has said that an attack on Greenland would end NATO. This is not an exaggeration.
European countries now need to seriously consider what kind of an adversary the US might be, especially in the event of Donald Trump ordering an attack on Greenland.
US intentions towards Greenland threaten NATO’s future. But European countries are not helpless
US threats to annex Greenland following the attack on Venezuela should be taken seriously. European countries have important leverage they should be prepared to use.
www.chathamhouse.org
January 6, 2026 at 9:00 PM
European countries now need to seriously consider what kind of an adversary the US might be, especially in the event of Donald Trump ordering an attack on Greenland.
After a decade of joint military intervention, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates now find themselves on opposing sides in Yemen.
Oman, eastern Yemen, and the fragile geometry of neutrality
Yemen’s neighbour has learned the painful lesson that neutrality in the conflict next door offers no immunity, only the hope of containment.
www.chathamhouse.org
January 6, 2026 at 7:00 PM
After a decade of joint military intervention, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates now find themselves on opposing sides in Yemen.
US threats to annex Greenland following the strikes on Venezuela should be taken seriously. European countries have important leverage and they should be prepared to use it.
US intentions towards Greenland threaten NATO’s future. But European countries are not helpless
US threats to annex Greenland following the attack on Venezuela should be taken seriously. European countries have important leverage they should be prepared to use.
www.chathamhouse.org
January 6, 2026 at 5:00 PM
US threats to annex Greenland following the strikes on Venezuela should be taken seriously. European countries have important leverage and they should be prepared to use it.
Donald Trump and Marco Rubio’s imprecise language about who is running Venezuela hints at limited succession planning by the US for the post-Maduro era.
US to ‘run’ Venezuela after Maduro captured, says Trump: Early analysis from Chatham House experts
What does it mean for Trump’s popularity at home, for Ukraine and NATO, and for Venezuela’s neighbours in South and Central America?
www.chathamhouse.org
January 6, 2026 at 4:00 PM
Donald Trump and Marco Rubio’s imprecise language about who is running Venezuela hints at limited succession planning by the US for the post-Maduro era.
Donald Trump’s approval ratings have declined since Election Day. In January 2025, Trump's approval stood at 47 per cent. In the most recent Gallup poll in December, his approval stood at 36 per cent.
Donald Trump’s poll numbers suggest his popularity is waning
As the Trump administration enters its crucial second year, polls indicate that much of the American public disapproves of the president and his flagship policies, although views are split along parti...
www.chathamhouse.org
January 6, 2026 at 2:00 PM
Donald Trump’s approval ratings have declined since Election Day. In January 2025, Trump's approval stood at 47 per cent. In the most recent Gallup poll in December, his approval stood at 36 per cent.
Chatham House experts and researchers are available to follow on Bluesky.
Connect with our experts here and follow them for their analysis on key international events and major global trends.
⬇️
go.bsky.app/UKHXrog
Connect with our experts here and follow them for their analysis on key international events and major global trends.
⬇️
go.bsky.app/UKHXrog
January 6, 2026 at 12:41 PM
Chatham House experts and researchers are available to follow on Bluesky.
Connect with our experts here and follow them for their analysis on key international events and major global trends.
⬇️
go.bsky.app/UKHXrog
Connect with our experts here and follow them for their analysis on key international events and major global trends.
⬇️
go.bsky.app/UKHXrog
The strike on Caracas shows regimes cannot rely on Russia for security. Russian air defences and intelligence could not protect Nicolás Maduro — or inflict damage on US forces.
US to ‘run’ Venezuela after Maduro captured, says Trump: Early analysis from Chatham House experts
What does it mean for Trump’s popularity at home, for Ukraine and NATO, and for Venezuela’s neighbours in South and Central America?
www.chathamhouse.org
January 6, 2026 at 10:30 AM
The strike on Caracas shows regimes cannot rely on Russia for security. Russian air defences and intelligence could not protect Nicolás Maduro — or inflict damage on US forces.
The hardest challenges 2026 presents will likely be Donald Trump’s insistence that partner countries and allies fall in line with the Trump administration domestic policy.
Trump’s Venezuela attack should serve as a warning even to US allies
A muted response to events in Venezuela shows allies still want to avoid confrontation with Washington. But that approach cannot last if the president seeks to force them into alignment with MAGA poli...
www.chathamhouse.org
January 6, 2026 at 9:30 AM
The hardest challenges 2026 presents will likely be Donald Trump’s insistence that partner countries and allies fall in line with the Trump administration domestic policy.
With no UN Security Council mandate and unable to claim self defence, it is difficult to conceive of possible legal justifications for the US strike that captured Nicolás Maduro.
Read Marc Weller's latest analysis for Chatham House ⤵️
Read Marc Weller's latest analysis for Chatham House ⤵️
The US capture of President Nicolás Maduro – and attacks on Venezuela – have no justification in international law
This may be the moment when Western Europe realizes that the US has abandoned the core values that united them for the past century, writes the head of Chatham House’s International Law Programme.
www.chathamhouse.org
January 6, 2026 at 8:30 AM
With no UN Security Council mandate and unable to claim self defence, it is difficult to conceive of possible legal justifications for the US strike that captured Nicolás Maduro.
Read Marc Weller's latest analysis for Chatham House ⤵️
Read Marc Weller's latest analysis for Chatham House ⤵️
When governance of Venezuela turns out to be longer and more costly than the Trump administration expects, they won’t just have a Venezuela problem — they’ll have a MAGA one too.
US to ‘run’ Venezuela after Maduro captured, says Trump: Early analysis from Chatham House experts
Experts give their initial reactions to President Trump’s strike on Venezuela and the capture of President Nicolás Maduro. What are the implications for the US, the region and the world?
www.chathamhouse.org
January 6, 2026 at 8:00 AM
When governance of Venezuela turns out to be longer and more costly than the Trump administration expects, they won’t just have a Venezuela problem — they’ll have a MAGA one too.
As the Trump administration enters its crucial second year, polls indicate that much of the American public disapproves of the president and his flagship policies.
Donald Trump’s poll numbers suggest his popularity is waning
As the Trump administration enters its crucial second year, polls indicate that much of the American public disapproves of the president and his flagship policies, although views are split along parti...
www.chathamhouse.org
January 6, 2026 at 7:30 AM
As the Trump administration enters its crucial second year, polls indicate that much of the American public disapproves of the president and his flagship policies.
The US operation to capture Nicolás Maduro may well be the moment when Western Europe realizes that the US has decisively abandoned the core values that united them for the past century.
The US capture of President Nicolás Maduro – and attacks on Venezuela – have no justification in international law
This may be the moment when Western Europe realizes that the US has abandoned the core values that united them for the past century, writes the head of Chatham House’s International Law Programme.
www.chathamhouse.org
January 5, 2026 at 9:15 PM
The US operation to capture Nicolás Maduro may well be the moment when Western Europe realizes that the US has decisively abandoned the core values that united them for the past century.
The stakes for US allies over Washington’s decision to remove Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro by force are high.
Trump’s Venezuela attack should serve as a warning even to US allies
A muted response to events in Venezuela shows allies still seek to avoid confrontation with Washington. But that approach cannot last if the president seeks to force them into alignment with MAGA poli...
www.chathamhouse.org
January 5, 2026 at 8:30 PM
The stakes for US allies over Washington’s decision to remove Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro by force are high.
As the Trump administration enters its crucial second year, polls indicate that much of the American public disapproves of the president and his flagship policies.
Donald Trump’s poll numbers suggest his popularity is waning
As the Trump administration enters its crucial second year, polls indicate that much of the American public disapproves of the president and his flagship policies, although views are split along parti...
www.chathamhouse.org
January 5, 2026 at 5:00 PM
As the Trump administration enters its crucial second year, polls indicate that much of the American public disapproves of the president and his flagship policies.
"The Iranian government led by Masoud Pezeshkian is looking to placate popular concerns, get strikers in urban areas off the streets and buy some time as Iran is facing multiple threats."
Sanam Vakil (@chmenap.bsky.social) on the anti-government protests in Iran, via BBC News ⤵️
Sanam Vakil (@chmenap.bsky.social) on the anti-government protests in Iran, via BBC News ⤵️
January 5, 2026 at 4:00 PM
"The Iranian government led by Masoud Pezeshkian is looking to placate popular concerns, get strikers in urban areas off the streets and buy some time as Iran is facing multiple threats."
Sanam Vakil (@chmenap.bsky.social) on the anti-government protests in Iran, via BBC News ⤵️
Sanam Vakil (@chmenap.bsky.social) on the anti-government protests in Iran, via BBC News ⤵️
With no UN Security Council mandate and unable to claim self defence, it is difficult to conceive of possible legal justifications for the US strike that captured Nicolás Maduro.
The US capture of President Nicolás Maduro – and attacks on Venezuela – have no justification in international law
This may be the moment when Western Europe realizes that the US has abandoned the core values that united them for the past century, writes the head of Chatham House’s International Law Programme.
www.chathamhouse.org
January 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM
With no UN Security Council mandate and unable to claim self defence, it is difficult to conceive of possible legal justifications for the US strike that captured Nicolás Maduro.
Donald Trump seems more focused on quick wins, bluster, and the hope of a government in Caracas willing to meet his transactional demands than on democracy in Venezuela.
Read Christopher Sabatini's latest analysis on Venezuela for @foreignpolicy.com ⤵️
Read Christopher Sabatini's latest analysis on Venezuela for @foreignpolicy.com ⤵️
Trump Has no Real Plan for Venezuela
The U.S. president is snubbing the democratic opposition.
foreignpolicy.com
January 5, 2026 at 10:15 AM
Donald Trump seems more focused on quick wins, bluster, and the hope of a government in Caracas willing to meet his transactional demands than on democracy in Venezuela.
Read Christopher Sabatini's latest analysis on Venezuela for @foreignpolicy.com ⤵️
Read Christopher Sabatini's latest analysis on Venezuela for @foreignpolicy.com ⤵️