Chatham House
@chathamhouse.org
The Royal Institute of International Affairs - Chatham House. Independent thinking since 1920.
Website🔗: chathamhouse.org
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Magazine: @theworldtoday.org
Journal: @iajournal.bsky.social
Website🔗: chathamhouse.org
Podcast🎙️: https://apple.co/45Bbbny
Magazine: @theworldtoday.org
Journal: @iajournal.bsky.social
Donald Trump’s threat to strike Iran should be taken seriously, but Iran is not Venezuela – it’s a nation of 90 million people with a regime that can wreak havoc both at home and abroad.
Would Trump’s threatened strikes help Iran’s protestors or boost the regime?
The effects of a US strike in Iran could range from disaster to deliverance.
www.chathamhouse.org
January 12, 2026 at 3:00 PM
Donald Trump’s threat to strike Iran should be taken seriously, but Iran is not Venezuela – it’s a nation of 90 million people with a regime that can wreak havoc both at home and abroad.
"Without strong and coordinated support from the US, it's hard to see how protestors inside Iran can brave the repression which has been extraordinary."
Sanam Vakil (@chmenap.bsky.social) on the violent crackdown on anti-government protestors by Iran's regime, via BBC News ⤵️
Sanam Vakil (@chmenap.bsky.social) on the violent crackdown on anti-government protestors by Iran's regime, via BBC News ⤵️
January 12, 2026 at 1:00 PM
"Without strong and coordinated support from the US, it's hard to see how protestors inside Iran can brave the repression which has been extraordinary."
Sanam Vakil (@chmenap.bsky.social) on the violent crackdown on anti-government protestors by Iran's regime, via BBC News ⤵️
Sanam Vakil (@chmenap.bsky.social) on the violent crackdown on anti-government protestors by Iran's regime, via BBC News ⤵️
In the 1951 Defense of Greenland Agreement with Denmark, the US unambiguously recognized ‘the sovereignty of the Kingdom of Denmark’ over Greenland.
Who owns Greenland?
Denmark’s claim is unimpeachable. In the 1951 Defense of Greenland Agreement with Denmark, the US unambiguously recognizes ‘the sovereignty of the Kingdom of Denmark’ over Greenland.
www.chathamhouse.org
January 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM
In the 1951 Defense of Greenland Agreement with Denmark, the US unambiguously recognized ‘the sovereignty of the Kingdom of Denmark’ over Greenland.
Director and Chief Executive Bronwen Maddox previews this week's Director’s Annual Lecture.
Date📅: TOMORROW
Time⌚: 18:00
Register for the lecture➡️ bit.ly/3LGBPaH
Date📅: TOMORROW
Time⌚: 18:00
Register for the lecture➡️ bit.ly/3LGBPaH
January 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM
Director and Chief Executive Bronwen Maddox previews this week's Director’s Annual Lecture.
Date📅: TOMORROW
Time⌚: 18:00
Register for the lecture➡️ bit.ly/3LGBPaH
Date📅: TOMORROW
Time⌚: 18:00
Register for the lecture➡️ bit.ly/3LGBPaH
The world needs more geopolitical firefighters. Small and middle powers, particularly those from the Global South, are stepping into the breach.
Read @galipdalay.bsky.social (@chmenap.bsky.social) latest analysis on the new mediators managing the world's conflicts, for @time.com⤵️
Read @galipdalay.bsky.social (@chmenap.bsky.social) latest analysis on the new mediators managing the world's conflicts, for @time.com⤵️
The World's New Peacemakers Are in the Global So
"Small and middle powers, particularly those from the Global South, are increasingly stepping in to help mediate global conflicts,"writes Galip Dalay
time.com
January 12, 2026 at 9:30 AM
The world needs more geopolitical firefighters. Small and middle powers, particularly those from the Global South, are stepping into the breach.
Read @galipdalay.bsky.social (@chmenap.bsky.social) latest analysis on the new mediators managing the world's conflicts, for @time.com⤵️
Read @galipdalay.bsky.social (@chmenap.bsky.social) latest analysis on the new mediators managing the world's conflicts, for @time.com⤵️
2025 was India’s most challenging foreign policy year. The four-day conflict with Pakistan was followed by a downturn in India–US relations. This year could be even more difficult.
The lines between India’s foreign policy, domestic politics and economy will become increasingly blurred in 2026
It will become increasingly hard for the Modi government to offset foreign policy setbacks with domestic successes as the full impact of US tariffs starts to bite.
www.chathamhouse.org
January 12, 2026 at 9:00 AM
2025 was India’s most challenging foreign policy year. The four-day conflict with Pakistan was followed by a downturn in India–US relations. This year could be even more difficult.
“This is by far the most serious round of internal protests and demonstrations that the Islamic Republic has experienced since 1979."
Sanam Vakil on the challenge posed to the Iranian regime by the anti-government protests, via @cnn.com ⤵️
Sanam Vakil on the challenge posed to the Iranian regime by the anti-government protests, via @cnn.com ⤵️
January 12, 2026 at 7:00 AM
“This is by far the most serious round of internal protests and demonstrations that the Islamic Republic has experienced since 1979."
Sanam Vakil on the challenge posed to the Iranian regime by the anti-government protests, via @cnn.com ⤵️
Sanam Vakil on the challenge posed to the Iranian regime by the anti-government protests, via @cnn.com ⤵️
Volodymyr Zelenskyy's approval ratings suffered following a contentious move in July 2025 to curb the independence of anti-corruption bodies, triggering widespread protests in Ukraine.
Zelenskyy’s reshuffle aims to neutralize political rivals, restore trust – and account for Trump’s unpredictability
The shake-up was essential after corruption scandals. But the new appointments also aim to strengthen Ukraine amid aggressive US foreign policy and an intense Russian assault.
www.chathamhouse.org
January 11, 2026 at 8:40 PM
Volodymyr Zelenskyy's approval ratings suffered following a contentious move in July 2025 to curb the independence of anti-corruption bodies, triggering widespread protests in Ukraine.
If US threats towards Greenland continue, European countries could refuse to refuel American ships in European ports, require higher payments for the stationing of US troops — or even close US military bases.
US intentions towards Greenland threaten NATO’s future. But European countries are not helpless
US threats to annex Greenland following the attack on Venezuela should be taken seriously. European countries have important leverage they should be prepared to use.
www.chathamhouse.org
January 11, 2026 at 6:10 PM
If US threats towards Greenland continue, European countries could refuse to refuel American ships in European ports, require higher payments for the stationing of US troops — or even close US military bases.
“This is by far the most serious round of internal protests and demonstrations that the Islamic Republic has experienced since 1979 and they have experienced many protests."
Sanam Vakil on the challenge posed to the Iranian regime by the anti-government protests, via @cnn.com ⤵️
Sanam Vakil on the challenge posed to the Iranian regime by the anti-government protests, via @cnn.com ⤵️
January 11, 2026 at 11:20 AM
“This is by far the most serious round of internal protests and demonstrations that the Islamic Republic has experienced since 1979 and they have experienced many protests."
Sanam Vakil on the challenge posed to the Iranian regime by the anti-government protests, via @cnn.com ⤵️
Sanam Vakil on the challenge posed to the Iranian regime by the anti-government protests, via @cnn.com ⤵️
"These protests, whatever the outcome, will further damage an already fractured legitimacy for a state system that is at the end of its life."
Sanam Vakil (@chmenap.bsky.social) on the impact of anti-government protestors on the Islamic Republic of Iran, via @cnn.com ⤵️
Sanam Vakil (@chmenap.bsky.social) on the impact of anti-government protestors on the Islamic Republic of Iran, via @cnn.com ⤵️
January 11, 2026 at 10:10 AM
"These protests, whatever the outcome, will further damage an already fractured legitimacy for a state system that is at the end of its life."
Sanam Vakil (@chmenap.bsky.social) on the impact of anti-government protestors on the Islamic Republic of Iran, via @cnn.com ⤵️
Sanam Vakil (@chmenap.bsky.social) on the impact of anti-government protestors on the Islamic Republic of Iran, via @cnn.com ⤵️
Chatham House experts and researchers are available to follow on Bluesky.
Connect with our experts here and follow them for their analysis on key international events and major global trends.
⬇️
go.bsky.app/UKHXrog
Connect with our experts here and follow them for their analysis on key international events and major global trends.
⬇️
go.bsky.app/UKHXrog
January 11, 2026 at 9:10 AM
Chatham House experts and researchers are available to follow on Bluesky.
Connect with our experts here and follow them for their analysis on key international events and major global trends.
⬇️
go.bsky.app/UKHXrog
Connect with our experts here and follow them for their analysis on key international events and major global trends.
⬇️
go.bsky.app/UKHXrog
The shake-up by Volodymyr Zelenskyy was essential after multiple corruption scandals. But the new appointments also aim to strengthen Ukraine amid an aggressive US foreign policy and intense Russian assault. https://bit.ly/4bnMQIj
Zelenskyy’s reshuffle aims to neutralize political rivals, restore trust – and account for Trump’s unpredictability
The shake-up was essential after corruption scandals. But the new appointments also aim to strengthen Ukraine amid aggressive US foreign policy and an intense Russian assault.
bit.ly
January 11, 2026 at 8:00 AM
The shake-up by Volodymyr Zelenskyy was essential after multiple corruption scandals. But the new appointments also aim to strengthen Ukraine amid an aggressive US foreign policy and intense Russian assault. https://bit.ly/4bnMQIj
It will become increasingly hard for Narendra Modi to offset foreign policy setbacks with domestic successes as the full impact of US tariffs start to bite.
The lines between India’s foreign policy, domestic politics and economy will become increasingly blurred in 2026
It will become increasingly hard for the Modi government to offset foreign policy setbacks with domestic successes as the full impact of US tariffs starts to bite.
www.chathamhouse.org
January 11, 2026 at 6:00 AM
It will become increasingly hard for Narendra Modi to offset foreign policy setbacks with domestic successes as the full impact of US tariffs start to bite.
"These protests, whatever the outcome, will further damage an already fractured legitimacy for a state system that is at the end of its life."
Sanam Vakil (@chmenap.bsky.social) on the impact of anti-government protestors on the Islamic Republic of Iran, via @cnn.com ⤵️
Sanam Vakil (@chmenap.bsky.social) on the impact of anti-government protestors on the Islamic Republic of Iran, via @cnn.com ⤵️
January 10, 2026 at 6:15 PM
"These protests, whatever the outcome, will further damage an already fractured legitimacy for a state system that is at the end of its life."
Sanam Vakil (@chmenap.bsky.social) on the impact of anti-government protestors on the Islamic Republic of Iran, via @cnn.com ⤵️
Sanam Vakil (@chmenap.bsky.social) on the impact of anti-government protestors on the Islamic Republic of Iran, via @cnn.com ⤵️
The appearance of the flag of the former People’s Democratic Republic on Oman's border with Yemen reopened deep historical anxieties for Muscat — and memories of the Dhofar insurgency.
https://bit.ly/3NALznq
https://bit.ly/3NALznq
Oman, eastern Yemen, and the fragile geometry of neutrality
Yemen’s neighbour has learned the painful lesson that neutrality in the conflict next door offers no immunity, only the hope of containment.
www.chathamhouse.org
January 10, 2026 at 2:00 PM
The appearance of the flag of the former People’s Democratic Republic on Oman's border with Yemen reopened deep historical anxieties for Muscat — and memories of the Dhofar insurgency.
https://bit.ly/3NALznq
https://bit.ly/3NALznq
Intra-Gulf conflicts are not new, but the Saudi-UAE schism over Yemen has taken an unprecedented turn — with Saudi Arabia conducting airstrikes in Yemen against UAE-backed forces. https://bit.ly/3Yt4S4z
Amid Yemen tensions, how can the Gulf states avoid another rift?
The Gulf states should embrace transparent communications, publish national security strategies and use bilateral forums to minimize the risk of future intra-Gulf disputes.
www.chathamhouse.org
January 10, 2026 at 11:00 AM
Intra-Gulf conflicts are not new, but the Saudi-UAE schism over Yemen has taken an unprecedented turn — with Saudi Arabia conducting airstrikes in Yemen against UAE-backed forces. https://bit.ly/3Yt4S4z
South Korea's new president is eager to resurrect talks with North Korea. Pyongyang has shown little interest in reciprocating and has test-fired hypersonic missiles.
➡️ https://bit.ly/3NAasQ6
➡️ https://bit.ly/3NAasQ6
North Korea in 2026: Will the US and South Korean push for talks succeed?
US President Trump and South Korea’s President Lee want to revive dialogue with North Korea. But an emboldened Kim Jong Un will want something in return.
www.chathamhouse.org
January 10, 2026 at 9:00 AM
South Korea's new president is eager to resurrect talks with North Korea. Pyongyang has shown little interest in reciprocating and has test-fired hypersonic missiles.
➡️ https://bit.ly/3NAasQ6
➡️ https://bit.ly/3NAasQ6
Initial signs are that Venezuela is unlikely to undo the partisan split in how Donald Trump is received — or affect the decline in support among voters whose main concern is the economy.
➡️ https://bit.ly/4qgZfTg
➡️ https://bit.ly/4qgZfTg
Donald Trump’s poll numbers suggest his popularity is waning
As the Trump administration enters its crucial second year, polls indicate that much of the American public disapproves of the president and his flagship policies, although views are split along parti...
www.chathamhouse.org
January 10, 2026 at 8:00 AM
Initial signs are that Venezuela is unlikely to undo the partisan split in how Donald Trump is received — or affect the decline in support among voters whose main concern is the economy.
➡️ https://bit.ly/4qgZfTg
➡️ https://bit.ly/4qgZfTg
It is hard to see how the NATO alliance would recover from a treaty breach as shocking as the United States attacking Denmark to seize Greenland.
➡️ bit.ly/3NcvJ2j
➡️ bit.ly/3NcvJ2j
US intentions towards Greenland threaten NATO's future. But European countries are not helpless
US threats to annex Greenland following the attack on Venezuela should be taken seriously. European countries have important leverage they should be prepared to use.
bit.ly
January 10, 2026 at 7:00 AM
It is hard to see how the NATO alliance would recover from a treaty breach as shocking as the United States attacking Denmark to seize Greenland.
➡️ bit.ly/3NcvJ2j
➡️ bit.ly/3NcvJ2j
The US operation to capture Nicolás Maduro may well be the moment when Western Europe realizes that the US has decisively abandoned the core values that united them for the past century. https://bit.ly/49CknMK
The US capture of President Nicolás Maduro – and attacks on Venezuela – have no justification in international law
This may be the moment when Western Europe realizes that the US has abandoned the core values that united them for the past century, writes the head of Chatham House’s International Law Programme.
www.chathamhouse.org
January 10, 2026 at 6:00 AM
The US operation to capture Nicolás Maduro may well be the moment when Western Europe realizes that the US has decisively abandoned the core values that united them for the past century. https://bit.ly/49CknMK
The shake-up by Volodymyr Zelenskyy was essential after multiple corruption scandals. But the new appointments also aim to strengthen Ukraine amid an aggressive US foreign policy and intense Russian assault. https://bit.ly/4bnMQIj
Zelenskyy’s reshuffle aims to neutralize political rivals, restore trust – and account for Trump’s unpredictability
The shake-up was essential after corruption scandals. But the new appointments also aim to strengthen Ukraine amid aggressive US foreign policy and an intense Russian assault.
www.chathamhouse.org
January 9, 2026 at 5:00 PM
The shake-up by Volodymyr Zelenskyy was essential after multiple corruption scandals. But the new appointments also aim to strengthen Ukraine amid an aggressive US foreign policy and intense Russian assault. https://bit.ly/4bnMQIj
"These protests, whatever the outcome, will further damage an already fractured legitimacy for a state system that is at the end of its life."
Sanam Vakil (@chmenap.bsky.social) on the impact of anti-government protestors on the Islamic Republic of Iran, via @cnn.com ⤵️
Sanam Vakil (@chmenap.bsky.social) on the impact of anti-government protestors on the Islamic Republic of Iran, via @cnn.com ⤵️
January 9, 2026 at 4:00 PM
"These protests, whatever the outcome, will further damage an already fractured legitimacy for a state system that is at the end of its life."
Sanam Vakil (@chmenap.bsky.social) on the impact of anti-government protestors on the Islamic Republic of Iran, via @cnn.com ⤵️
Sanam Vakil (@chmenap.bsky.social) on the impact of anti-government protestors on the Islamic Republic of Iran, via @cnn.com ⤵️
It will become increasingly hard for Narendra Modi to offset foreign policy setbacks with domestic successes as the full impact of US tariffs start to bite.
Read @chietigj.bsky.social's (@chasiapacific.bsky.social) latest analysis for Chatham House ⤵️
Read @chietigj.bsky.social's (@chasiapacific.bsky.social) latest analysis for Chatham House ⤵️
The lines between India’s foreign policy, domestic politics and economy will become increasingly blurred in 2026
It will become increasingly hard for the Modi government to offset foreign policy setbacks with domestic successes as the full impact of US tariffs starts to bite.
www.chathamhouse.org
January 9, 2026 at 1:00 PM
It will become increasingly hard for Narendra Modi to offset foreign policy setbacks with domestic successes as the full impact of US tariffs start to bite.
Read @chietigj.bsky.social's (@chasiapacific.bsky.social) latest analysis for Chatham House ⤵️
Read @chietigj.bsky.social's (@chasiapacific.bsky.social) latest analysis for Chatham House ⤵️
The appearance of the flag of the former People’s Democratic Republic on Oman's border with Yemen reopened deep historical anxieties for Muscat — and memories of the Dhofar insurgency.
Oman, eastern Yemen, and the fragile geometry of neutrality
Yemen’s neighbour has learned the painful lesson that neutrality in the conflict next door offers no immunity, only the hope of containment.
www.chathamhouse.org
January 9, 2026 at 12:30 PM
The appearance of the flag of the former People’s Democratic Republic on Oman's border with Yemen reopened deep historical anxieties for Muscat — and memories of the Dhofar insurgency.