Chatham House
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The Royal Institute of International Affairs - Chatham House. Independent thinking since 1920.
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Magazine: @theworldtoday.org
Journal: @iajournal.bsky.social
Website🔗: chathamhouse.org
Podcast🎙️: https://apple.co/45Bbbny
Magazine: @theworldtoday.org
Journal: @iajournal.bsky.social
The appearance of the flag of the former People’s Democratic Republic on Oman's border with Yemen reopened deep historical anxieties for Muscat — and memories of the Dhofar insurgency.
https://bit.ly/3NALznq
https://bit.ly/3NALznq
Oman, eastern Yemen, and the fragile geometry of neutrality
Yemen’s neighbour has learned the painful lesson that neutrality in the conflict next door offers no immunity, only the hope of containment.
www.chathamhouse.org
January 10, 2026 at 2:00 PM
The appearance of the flag of the former People’s Democratic Republic on Oman's border with Yemen reopened deep historical anxieties for Muscat — and memories of the Dhofar insurgency.
https://bit.ly/3NALznq
https://bit.ly/3NALznq
Intra-Gulf conflicts are not new, but the Saudi-UAE schism over Yemen has taken an unprecedented turn — with Saudi Arabia conducting airstrikes in Yemen against UAE-backed forces. https://bit.ly/3Yt4S4z
Amid Yemen tensions, how can the Gulf states avoid another rift?
The Gulf states should embrace transparent communications, publish national security strategies and use bilateral forums to minimize the risk of future intra-Gulf disputes.
www.chathamhouse.org
January 10, 2026 at 11:00 AM
Intra-Gulf conflicts are not new, but the Saudi-UAE schism over Yemen has taken an unprecedented turn — with Saudi Arabia conducting airstrikes in Yemen against UAE-backed forces. https://bit.ly/3Yt4S4z
South Korea's new president is eager to resurrect talks with North Korea. Pyongyang has shown little interest in reciprocating and has test-fired hypersonic missiles.
➡️ https://bit.ly/3NAasQ6
➡️ https://bit.ly/3NAasQ6
North Korea in 2026: Will the US and South Korean push for talks succeed?
US President Trump and South Korea’s President Lee want to revive dialogue with North Korea. But an emboldened Kim Jong Un will want something in return.
www.chathamhouse.org
January 10, 2026 at 9:00 AM
South Korea's new president is eager to resurrect talks with North Korea. Pyongyang has shown little interest in reciprocating and has test-fired hypersonic missiles.
➡️ https://bit.ly/3NAasQ6
➡️ https://bit.ly/3NAasQ6
Initial signs are that Venezuela is unlikely to undo the partisan split in how Donald Trump is received — or affect the decline in support among voters whose main concern is the economy.
➡️ https://bit.ly/4qgZfTg
➡️ https://bit.ly/4qgZfTg
Donald Trump’s poll numbers suggest his popularity is waning
As the Trump administration enters its crucial second year, polls indicate that much of the American public disapproves of the president and his flagship policies, although views are split along parti...
www.chathamhouse.org
January 10, 2026 at 8:00 AM
Initial signs are that Venezuela is unlikely to undo the partisan split in how Donald Trump is received — or affect the decline in support among voters whose main concern is the economy.
➡️ https://bit.ly/4qgZfTg
➡️ https://bit.ly/4qgZfTg
It is hard to see how the NATO alliance would recover from a treaty breach as shocking as the United States attacking Denmark to seize Greenland.
➡️ bit.ly/3NcvJ2j
➡️ bit.ly/3NcvJ2j
US intentions towards Greenland threaten NATO's future. But European countries are not helpless
US threats to annex Greenland following the attack on Venezuela should be taken seriously. European countries have important leverage they should be prepared to use.
bit.ly
January 10, 2026 at 7:00 AM
It is hard to see how the NATO alliance would recover from a treaty breach as shocking as the United States attacking Denmark to seize Greenland.
➡️ bit.ly/3NcvJ2j
➡️ bit.ly/3NcvJ2j
The US operation to capture Nicolás Maduro may well be the moment when Western Europe realizes that the US has decisively abandoned the core values that united them for the past century. https://bit.ly/49CknMK
The US capture of President Nicolás Maduro – and attacks on Venezuela – have no justification in international law
This may be the moment when Western Europe realizes that the US has abandoned the core values that united them for the past century, writes the head of Chatham House’s International Law Programme.
www.chathamhouse.org
January 10, 2026 at 6:00 AM
The US operation to capture Nicolás Maduro may well be the moment when Western Europe realizes that the US has decisively abandoned the core values that united them for the past century. https://bit.ly/49CknMK
The shake-up by Volodymyr Zelenskyy was essential after multiple corruption scandals. But the new appointments also aim to strengthen Ukraine amid an aggressive US foreign policy and intense Russian assault. https://bit.ly/4bnMQIj
Zelenskyy’s reshuffle aims to neutralize political rivals, restore trust – and account for Trump’s unpredictability
The shake-up was essential after corruption scandals. But the new appointments also aim to strengthen Ukraine amid aggressive US foreign policy and an intense Russian assault.
www.chathamhouse.org
January 9, 2026 at 5:00 PM
The shake-up by Volodymyr Zelenskyy was essential after multiple corruption scandals. But the new appointments also aim to strengthen Ukraine amid an aggressive US foreign policy and intense Russian assault. https://bit.ly/4bnMQIj
"These protests, whatever the outcome, will further damage an already fractured legitimacy for a state system that is at the end of its life."
Sanam Vakil (@chmenap.bsky.social) on the impact of anti-government protestors on the Islamic Republic of Iran, via @cnn.com ⤵️
Sanam Vakil (@chmenap.bsky.social) on the impact of anti-government protestors on the Islamic Republic of Iran, via @cnn.com ⤵️
January 9, 2026 at 4:00 PM
"These protests, whatever the outcome, will further damage an already fractured legitimacy for a state system that is at the end of its life."
Sanam Vakil (@chmenap.bsky.social) on the impact of anti-government protestors on the Islamic Republic of Iran, via @cnn.com ⤵️
Sanam Vakil (@chmenap.bsky.social) on the impact of anti-government protestors on the Islamic Republic of Iran, via @cnn.com ⤵️
It will become increasingly hard for Narendra Modi to offset foreign policy setbacks with domestic successes as the full impact of US tariffs start to bite.
Read @chietigj.bsky.social's (@chasiapacific.bsky.social) latest analysis for Chatham House ⤵️
Read @chietigj.bsky.social's (@chasiapacific.bsky.social) latest analysis for Chatham House ⤵️
The lines between India’s foreign policy, domestic politics and economy will become increasingly blurred in 2026
It will become increasingly hard for the Modi government to offset foreign policy setbacks with domestic successes as the full impact of US tariffs starts to bite.
www.chathamhouse.org
January 9, 2026 at 1:00 PM
It will become increasingly hard for Narendra Modi to offset foreign policy setbacks with domestic successes as the full impact of US tariffs start to bite.
Read @chietigj.bsky.social's (@chasiapacific.bsky.social) latest analysis for Chatham House ⤵️
Read @chietigj.bsky.social's (@chasiapacific.bsky.social) latest analysis for Chatham House ⤵️
The appearance of the flag of the former People’s Democratic Republic on Oman's border with Yemen reopened deep historical anxieties for Muscat — and memories of the Dhofar insurgency.
Oman, eastern Yemen, and the fragile geometry of neutrality
Yemen’s neighbour has learned the painful lesson that neutrality in the conflict next door offers no immunity, only the hope of containment.
www.chathamhouse.org
January 9, 2026 at 12:30 PM
The appearance of the flag of the former People’s Democratic Republic on Oman's border with Yemen reopened deep historical anxieties for Muscat — and memories of the Dhofar insurgency.
"The Iranian state is reaching a dead-end of its own. There's not much they can do besides brutality."
Sanam Vakil (@chmenap.bsky.social) on the crisis of legitimacy facing the Islamic Republic of Iran amid widespread protests, via @bbcnewsnight.bsky.social ⤵️
Sanam Vakil (@chmenap.bsky.social) on the crisis of legitimacy facing the Islamic Republic of Iran amid widespread protests, via @bbcnewsnight.bsky.social ⤵️
January 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM
"The Iranian state is reaching a dead-end of its own. There's not much they can do besides brutality."
Sanam Vakil (@chmenap.bsky.social) on the crisis of legitimacy facing the Islamic Republic of Iran amid widespread protests, via @bbcnewsnight.bsky.social ⤵️
Sanam Vakil (@chmenap.bsky.social) on the crisis of legitimacy facing the Islamic Republic of Iran amid widespread protests, via @bbcnewsnight.bsky.social ⤵️
Uganda has shown steady economic growth and resilience to significant external shocks, but many Ugandans feel they are still waiting for a promised economic boom.
Uganda election: Museveni’s expected win will deepen succession and Gen-Z challenges
Pressure to deliver economic improvement for young people – and questions over his succession – will define the president’s seventh term if he wins as expected.
www.chathamhouse.org
January 9, 2026 at 11:02 AM
Uganda has shown steady economic growth and resilience to significant external shocks, but many Ugandans feel they are still waiting for a promised economic boom.
Donald Trump’s decision to work with Delcy Rodriguez – the Vice President in Maduro's government – rather than Venezuela's democratic opposition, undermines any pro-democracy defence of US action in Caracas.
The US capture of President Nicolás Maduro – and attacks on Venezuela – have no justification in international law
This may be the moment when Western Europe realizes that the US has abandoned the core values that united them for the past century, writes the head of Chatham House’s International Law Programme.
www.chathamhouse.org
January 9, 2026 at 8:20 AM
Donald Trump’s decision to work with Delcy Rodriguez – the Vice President in Maduro's government – rather than Venezuela's democratic opposition, undermines any pro-democracy defence of US action in Caracas.
"The Iranian state is reaching a dead-end of its own. There's not much they can do besides brutality."
Sanam Vakil (@chmenap.bsky.social) on the crisis facing the Islamic Republic of Iran amid widespread protests, via @bbcnewsnight.bsky.social ⤵️
Sanam Vakil (@chmenap.bsky.social) on the crisis facing the Islamic Republic of Iran amid widespread protests, via @bbcnewsnight.bsky.social ⤵️
January 9, 2026 at 7:15 AM
"The Iranian state is reaching a dead-end of its own. There's not much they can do besides brutality."
Sanam Vakil (@chmenap.bsky.social) on the crisis facing the Islamic Republic of Iran amid widespread protests, via @bbcnewsnight.bsky.social ⤵️
Sanam Vakil (@chmenap.bsky.social) on the crisis facing the Islamic Republic of Iran amid widespread protests, via @bbcnewsnight.bsky.social ⤵️
Chatham House experts and researchers are available to follow on Bluesky.
Connect with our experts here and follow them for their analysis on key international events and major global trends.
⬇️
go.bsky.app/UKHXrog
Connect with our experts here and follow them for their analysis on key international events and major global trends.
⬇️
go.bsky.app/UKHXrog
January 9, 2026 at 7:00 AM
Chatham House experts and researchers are available to follow on Bluesky.
Connect with our experts here and follow them for their analysis on key international events and major global trends.
⬇️
go.bsky.app/UKHXrog
Connect with our experts here and follow them for their analysis on key international events and major global trends.
⬇️
go.bsky.app/UKHXrog
It is hard to see how the NATO alliance would recover from a treaty breach as shocking as the United States attacking Denmark to seize Greenland.
➡️ https://bit.ly/3NcvJ2j
➡️ https://bit.ly/3NcvJ2j
US intentions towards Greenland threaten NATO’s future. But European countries are not helpless
US threats to annex Greenland following the attack on Venezuela should be taken seriously. European countries have important leverage they should be prepared to use.
www.chathamhouse.org
January 9, 2026 at 6:00 AM
It is hard to see how the NATO alliance would recover from a treaty breach as shocking as the United States attacking Denmark to seize Greenland.
➡️ https://bit.ly/3NcvJ2j
➡️ https://bit.ly/3NcvJ2j
Donald Trump hopes to get Venezuela's oil flowing again, but this will not come cheap. Tripling production, from 1 million to 3 million barrels of oil a day, would cost an estimated $183 billion.
US control of Venezuela’s oil may not be the bonanza that Trump expects
Robust long-term oil demand is needed to justify significant investment, but is called into question by the growing popularity of electric vehicles.
www.chathamhouse.org
January 8, 2026 at 10:20 PM
Donald Trump hopes to get Venezuela's oil flowing again, but this will not come cheap. Tripling production, from 1 million to 3 million barrels of oil a day, would cost an estimated $183 billion.
If the US continues to make threats, European countries could refuse to refuel American ships in European ports, require higher payments for the stationing of US troops — or even close US military bases entirely.
US intentions towards Greenland threaten NATO’s future. But European countries are not helpless
US threats to annex Greenland following the attack on Venezuela should be taken seriously. European countries have important leverage they should be prepared to use.
www.chathamhouse.org
January 8, 2026 at 9:40 PM
If the US continues to make threats, European countries could refuse to refuel American ships in European ports, require higher payments for the stationing of US troops — or even close US military bases entirely.
While many framed 2025 as the year the US distanced itself from its allies, the challenge in 2026 will be Washington’s insistence that partners fall in line with the Trump administration's domestic policy.
Trump’s Venezuela attack should serve as a warning even to US allies
A muted response to events in Venezuela shows allies still want to avoid confrontation with Washington. But that approach cannot last if the president seeks to force them into alignment with MAGA poli...
www.chathamhouse.org
January 8, 2026 at 8:10 PM
While many framed 2025 as the year the US distanced itself from its allies, the challenge in 2026 will be Washington’s insistence that partners fall in line with the Trump administration's domestic policy.
It is hard to see how the NATO alliance would recover from a treaty breach as shocking as the United States attacking Denmark to seize Greenland.
US intentions towards Greenland threaten NATO’s future. But European countries are not helpless
US threats to annex Greenland following the attack on Venezuela should be taken seriously. European countries have important leverage they should be prepared to use.
www.chathamhouse.org
January 8, 2026 at 5:00 PM
It is hard to see how the NATO alliance would recover from a treaty breach as shocking as the United States attacking Denmark to seize Greenland.
Intra-Gulf conflicts are not new, but the Saudi-UAE schism over Yemen has taken an unprecedented turn — with Saudi Arabia conducting airstrikes in Yemen against UAE-backed forces.
Amid Yemen tensions, how can the Gulf states avoid another rift?
The Gulf states should embrace transparent communications, publish national security strategies and use bilateral forums to minimize the risk of future intra-Gulf disputes.
www.chathamhouse.org
January 8, 2026 at 4:30 PM
Intra-Gulf conflicts are not new, but the Saudi-UAE schism over Yemen has taken an unprecedented turn — with Saudi Arabia conducting airstrikes in Yemen against UAE-backed forces.
Although South Korea's new president is eager to resurrect talks with North Korea, Pyongyang has shown little interest in reciprocating and test-fired hypersonic missiles in response.
North Korea in 2026: Will the US and South Korean push for talks succeed?
US President Trump and South Korea’s President Lee want to revive dialogue with North Korea. But an emboldened Kim Jong Un will want something in return.
www.chathamhouse.org
January 8, 2026 at 4:00 PM
Although South Korea's new president is eager to resurrect talks with North Korea, Pyongyang has shown little interest in reciprocating and test-fired hypersonic missiles in response.
Since winning the 2024 presidential election with 49.8 per cent of the popular vote and a majority of the Electoral College, Donald Trump’s popularity has steadily declined.
Donald Trump’s poll numbers suggest his popularity is waning
As the Trump administration enters its crucial second year, polls indicate that much of the American public disapproves of the president and his flagship policies, although views are split along parti...
www.chathamhouse.org
January 8, 2026 at 2:30 PM
Since winning the 2024 presidential election with 49.8 per cent of the popular vote and a majority of the Electoral College, Donald Trump’s popularity has steadily declined.
The ouster of Nicolás Maduro suggests that Washington’s priority is leverage rather than liberation, and compliance rather than collapse. For the Iranian people, that is a bleak prospect.
Read Sanam Vakil's (@chmenap.bsky.social) analysis on what events in Venezuela mean for Iran, via @time.com⤵️
Read Sanam Vakil's (@chmenap.bsky.social) analysis on what events in Venezuela mean for Iran, via @time.com⤵️
The Danger of the Maduro Model for Iran
The country should not expect salvation from abroad, but define what kind of political future it wants, writes Sanam Vakil.
time.com
January 8, 2026 at 1:30 PM
The ouster of Nicolás Maduro suggests that Washington’s priority is leverage rather than liberation, and compliance rather than collapse. For the Iranian people, that is a bleak prospect.
Read Sanam Vakil's (@chmenap.bsky.social) analysis on what events in Venezuela mean for Iran, via @time.com⤵️
Read Sanam Vakil's (@chmenap.bsky.social) analysis on what events in Venezuela mean for Iran, via @time.com⤵️
The US operation to capture Nicolás Maduro may well be the moment when Western Europe realizes that the US has decisively abandoned the core values that united them for the past century.
The US capture of President Nicolás Maduro – and attacks on Venezuela – have no justification in international law
This may be the moment when Western Europe realizes that the US has abandoned the core values that united them for the past century, writes the head of Chatham House’s International Law Programme.
www.chathamhouse.org
January 8, 2026 at 12:15 PM
The US operation to capture Nicolás Maduro may well be the moment when Western Europe realizes that the US has decisively abandoned the core values that united them for the past century.