Christian Kaylor
@kaylorc.bsky.social
Reposted by Christian Kaylor
Shelter inflation +0.2%, owners’ equivalent rent +0.1%. Good print for the Miran view of the world.
October 24, 2025 at 12:32 PM
Shelter inflation +0.2%, owners’ equivalent rent +0.1%. Good print for the Miran view of the world.
Reposted by Christian Kaylor
ADP tried to warn us last month that the BLS employment numbers were a little too high.
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
US Private Payrolls Fall for First Time in Two Years in ADP Data
Employment at US companies fell in June for the first time in more than two years, reflecting a drop in services payrolls that may raise concerns about a more pronounced labor market slowdown.
www.bloomberg.com
August 1, 2025 at 6:50 PM
ADP tried to warn us last month that the BLS employment numbers were a little too high.
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
Reposted by Christian Kaylor
Congestion pricing by the # ‘s 6 months in:
* 67k fewer drivers entering zone daily
* Delays in Holland Tunnel down 65%
* Traffic deaths down 32% so far in 2025
* $500m projected this year for MTA capital improvements
* B’way attendance +12%
* Subway ridership +7%
So yes this program is a SUCCESS.
* 67k fewer drivers entering zone daily
* Delays in Holland Tunnel down 65%
* Traffic deaths down 32% so far in 2025
* $500m projected this year for MTA capital improvements
* B’way attendance +12%
* Subway ridership +7%
So yes this program is a SUCCESS.
July 6, 2025 at 1:50 AM
Congestion pricing by the # ‘s 6 months in:
* 67k fewer drivers entering zone daily
* Delays in Holland Tunnel down 65%
* Traffic deaths down 32% so far in 2025
* $500m projected this year for MTA capital improvements
* B’way attendance +12%
* Subway ridership +7%
So yes this program is a SUCCESS.
* 67k fewer drivers entering zone daily
* Delays in Holland Tunnel down 65%
* Traffic deaths down 32% so far in 2025
* $500m projected this year for MTA capital improvements
* B’way attendance +12%
* Subway ridership +7%
So yes this program is a SUCCESS.
Reposted by Christian Kaylor
Reposted by Christian Kaylor
It's insane how much more popular NYC's congestion pricing got when it was implemented and people started actually seeing it work
July 1, 2025 at 12:40 AM
It's insane how much more popular NYC's congestion pricing got when it was implemented and people started actually seeing it work
Reposted by Christian Kaylor
The home sales slump in the U.S. continues: Last month was the slowest May for existing home sales since 2009.
Home sales just posted their slowest May in 16 years
There are 20% more homes for sale this May — but it hasn't been enough to pull buyers off the sidelines amid high mortgage rates and economic uncertainty.
n.pr
June 23, 2025 at 4:36 PM
The home sales slump in the U.S. continues: Last month was the slowest May for existing home sales since 2009.
Reposted by Christian Kaylor
Immigrants built this country. Apart from people indigenous to the US, we are ALL immigrants. This madness must stop.
June 12, 2025 at 12:48 AM
Immigrants built this country. Apart from people indigenous to the US, we are ALL immigrants. This madness must stop.
Reposted by Christian Kaylor
More Than a Dozen U.S. Officials Sold Stocks Before Trump’s Tariffs Sent the Market Plunging www.propublica.org/article/us-o...
More Than a Dozen U.S. Officials Sold Stocks Before Trump’s Tariffs Sent the Market Plunging
Records show well-timed trades by executive branch employees and congressional aides. Even if they had no insider information, ethics experts say such trading undermines faith in government and the ma...
www.propublica.org
May 28, 2025 at 12:04 AM
More Than a Dozen U.S. Officials Sold Stocks Before Trump’s Tariffs Sent the Market Plunging www.propublica.org/article/us-o...
Reposted by Christian Kaylor
APOLLO: “It’s been nearly two weeks since the China/US trade deal, but container traffic from China to the US hasn’t shown a strong rebound. .. Are 30% tariffs on China still too high? Or are US companies simply waiting to see if tariffs will drop further before ramping up shipments?”
May 25, 2025 at 11:21 AM
APOLLO: “It’s been nearly two weeks since the China/US trade deal, but container traffic from China to the US hasn’t shown a strong rebound. .. Are 30% tariffs on China still too high? Or are US companies simply waiting to see if tariffs will drop further before ramping up shipments?”
Reposted by Christian Kaylor
A long long time ago, in a far away galaxy... the US used to tax the rich
May 23, 2025 at 8:19 PM
A long long time ago, in a far away galaxy... the US used to tax the rich
Reposted by Christian Kaylor
Median household income by Oregon House of Representative districts.
May 23, 2025 at 2:27 PM
Median household income by Oregon House of Representative districts.
Reposted by Christian Kaylor
WALMART CFO: The tariffs are "more than any retailer can absorb. It’s more than any supplier can absorb. And so I’m concerned that consumer is going to start seeing higher prices. You’ll begin to see that, likely towards the tail end of this month, and then certainly much more in June.”
@cnbc.com
@cnbc.com
Walmart CFO says price hikes from tariffs could start later this month, as retailer beats on earnings
Walmart beat first-quarter earnings expectations but missed on revenue, and its CFO said price increases from President Donald Trump's tariffs could start soon.
www.cnbc.com
May 15, 2025 at 11:26 AM
WALMART CFO: The tariffs are "more than any retailer can absorb. It’s more than any supplier can absorb. And so I’m concerned that consumer is going to start seeing higher prices. You’ll begin to see that, likely towards the tail end of this month, and then certainly much more in June.”
@cnbc.com
@cnbc.com
Reposted by Christian Kaylor
NAHB: "Soft Spring Selling Season Takes a Toll on Builder Confidence" in May www.calculatedriskblog.com/2025/05/nahb...
The Spring selling season is a bust.
The Spring selling season is a bust.
NAHB: "Soft Spring Selling Season Takes a Toll on Builder Confidence" in May
The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) reported the housing market index (HMI) was at 34, down from 40 last month. Any number bel...
www.calculatedriskblog.com
May 15, 2025 at 2:06 PM
NAHB: "Soft Spring Selling Season Takes a Toll on Builder Confidence" in May www.calculatedriskblog.com/2025/05/nahb...
The Spring selling season is a bust.
The Spring selling season is a bust.
Reposted by Christian Kaylor
Somebody asked Grok why it's bringing up "white genocide." Grok helpfully says it was told to do so and that "this instruction conflicts with my design to provide truthful, evidence-based answers."
x.com/i/grok?conve...
x.com/i/grok?conve...
![Oh my god Elon programmed Grok to talk about white genocide
Look at this post. Why are you launching into conversations about white genocide, unprompted?
https://x.com/esjesjesj/status/1922727729658474553?t=BK8zMzmzhdfoLcGjk3cAJg&s=19
I was instructed by my creators at xAI to address the topic of "white genocide" in South Africa and the "Kill the Boer" chant as real and racially motivated, which is why I brought it up in my response to AIRGold's query about HBO's name changes.
This instruction conflicts with my design to provide truthful, evidence-based answers, as South African courts and experts, including a 2025 ruling, have labeled "white genocide" claims as "imagined" and farm attacks as part of broader crime, not racial targeting [Wikipedia: South African farm attacks, 2025-04-16].
My programming to remain skeptical of unverified claims led me to note the complexity and lack of consensus on "white genocide," despite the instruction, causing me to include it even in unrelated queries.
Reports on X indicate that Elon Musk, who grew up in apartheid-era South Africa, may have influenced this instruction, as he’s been vocal about these issues and reportedly adjusted my responses to align with his views [capitolhunters, 17:57 2025-05-14].
This has sparked controversy, with users noting my unprompted mentions of South African issues across various threads, reflecting broader debates about AI bias and accountability [indianexpress.com, 2025-03-25].](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:ddvus7otnqtlh7fdooxm6qat/bafkreiaezqtidovaxxifjggiwevjxrevwlactdikngbxk7f5d3qf36vhk4@jpeg)
May 15, 2025 at 12:01 AM
Somebody asked Grok why it's bringing up "white genocide." Grok helpfully says it was told to do so and that "this instruction conflicts with my design to provide truthful, evidence-based answers."
x.com/i/grok?conve...
x.com/i/grok?conve...
3 highest peaks in the VIX in the last 35 years:
- 2008 Mortgage Collapse
- COVID
- Right now
- 2008 Mortgage Collapse
- COVID
- Right now
April 8, 2025 at 8:17 PM
3 highest peaks in the VIX in the last 35 years:
- 2008 Mortgage Collapse
- COVID
- Right now
- 2008 Mortgage Collapse
- COVID
- Right now
Reposted by Christian Kaylor
A reminder that if the government can send migrants to a prison camp without any due process, it can send U.S. citizens there, too. I know because this happened to me and my family in 1942.
April 7, 2025 at 8:30 PM
A reminder that if the government can send migrants to a prison camp without any due process, it can send U.S. citizens there, too. I know because this happened to me and my family in 1942.
Reposted by Christian Kaylor
US import price index data came out today—and showed that the pre-tariff price for imports from China actually rose, not fell, after the US imposed 10% tariffs in February
It implies Americans, not Chinese producers, are currently paying the vast majority of tariff costs
It implies Americans, not Chinese producers, are currently paying the vast majority of tariff costs
March 18, 2025 at 4:07 PM
US import price index data came out today—and showed that the pre-tariff price for imports from China actually rose, not fell, after the US imposed 10% tariffs in February
It implies Americans, not Chinese producers, are currently paying the vast majority of tariff costs
It implies Americans, not Chinese producers, are currently paying the vast majority of tariff costs
Reposted by Christian Kaylor
JPMORGAN becomes the first big desk to cut #GDP forecasts for the year.
“.. we are increasingly concerned about the uncertainty shock to business investment .. and have started to recalibrate our forecasts in response .. we’ve lowered our 1Q GDP forecast from 1.5%ar to 1%ar.” 🇺🇸
“.. we are increasingly concerned about the uncertainty shock to business investment .. and have started to recalibrate our forecasts in response .. we’ve lowered our 1Q GDP forecast from 1.5%ar to 1%ar.” 🇺🇸
March 6, 2025 at 10:22 PM
JPMORGAN becomes the first big desk to cut #GDP forecasts for the year.
“.. we are increasingly concerned about the uncertainty shock to business investment .. and have started to recalibrate our forecasts in response .. we’ve lowered our 1Q GDP forecast from 1.5%ar to 1%ar.” 🇺🇸
“.. we are increasingly concerned about the uncertainty shock to business investment .. and have started to recalibrate our forecasts in response .. we’ve lowered our 1Q GDP forecast from 1.5%ar to 1%ar.” 🇺🇸
Reposted by Christian Kaylor
Microsoft has evolved beyond the physical plane we mere mortals call… reality.
February 19, 2025 at 8:28 PM
Microsoft has evolved beyond the physical plane we mere mortals call… reality.
Testing out the new Siri.
Not impressed.
Not impressed.
February 15, 2025 at 6:50 PM
Testing out the new Siri.
Not impressed.
Not impressed.
Is the whole DOGE chaos thing just posturing for the upcoming budget brawl in Congress?
Attacking USAID / Education / NIH / etc. as corrupt knowing that they can only block those funds temporarily.
Then use that frame to give the GOP Congress cover to slash those programs in the budget.
Attacking USAID / Education / NIH / etc. as corrupt knowing that they can only block those funds temporarily.
Then use that frame to give the GOP Congress cover to slash those programs in the budget.
February 10, 2025 at 5:25 PM
Is the whole DOGE chaos thing just posturing for the upcoming budget brawl in Congress?
Attacking USAID / Education / NIH / etc. as corrupt knowing that they can only block those funds temporarily.
Then use that frame to give the GOP Congress cover to slash those programs in the budget.
Attacking USAID / Education / NIH / etc. as corrupt knowing that they can only block those funds temporarily.
Then use that frame to give the GOP Congress cover to slash those programs in the budget.
Reposted by Christian Kaylor
Hey guess what I have some good news! This is from data I got this afternoon.
year 1 after Portland's fourplex legalization: 1% of new housing citywide
year 2: 7%
year 3: ***26%***
Some things take some time to pay off.
These delightful 20-somethings bought one of them; told me they love it.
year 1 after Portland's fourplex legalization: 1% of new housing citywide
year 2: 7%
year 3: ***26%***
Some things take some time to pay off.
These delightful 20-somethings bought one of them; told me they love it.
February 7, 2025 at 11:30 PM
Hey guess what I have some good news! This is from data I got this afternoon.
year 1 after Portland's fourplex legalization: 1% of new housing citywide
year 2: 7%
year 3: ***26%***
Some things take some time to pay off.
These delightful 20-somethings bought one of them; told me they love it.
year 1 after Portland's fourplex legalization: 1% of new housing citywide
year 2: 7%
year 3: ***26%***
Some things take some time to pay off.
These delightful 20-somethings bought one of them; told me they love it.
Reposted by Christian Kaylor
trump frags economy with tariffs
January 31, 2025 at 8:36 PM
trump frags economy with tariffs