John Horvick
@horvick.bsky.social
DHM Research, Senior Vice President
With the new year, I'm restarting my oregonat100.bsky.social
account, which follows daily Oregon news from the past. I'll be following 1933, the Great Depression, and the start of FDR's first term.
Today is about the legislative session and a sales tax proposal.
Past years at x.com/OregonAt100
account, which follows daily Oregon news from the past. I'll be following 1933, the Great Depression, and the start of FDR's first term.
Today is about the legislative session and a sales tax proposal.
Past years at x.com/OregonAt100
January 4, 1933
The special session of the Oregon legislature opened today. The goals of the session are property tax relief and unemployment aid. Gov. Meier says he supports a sales tax but is open to other proposals.
The special session of the Oregon legislature opened today. The goals of the session are property tax relief and unemployment aid. Gov. Meier says he supports a sales tax but is open to other proposals.
January 4, 2026 at 4:24 PM
With the new year, I'm restarting my oregonat100.bsky.social
account, which follows daily Oregon news from the past. I'll be following 1933, the Great Depression, and the start of FDR's first term.
Today is about the legislative session and a sales tax proposal.
Past years at x.com/OregonAt100
account, which follows daily Oregon news from the past. I'll be following 1933, the Great Depression, and the start of FDR's first term.
Today is about the legislative session and a sales tax proposal.
Past years at x.com/OregonAt100
With the new year, I'm restarting my @oregonat100.bsky.social account, which follows daily Oregon news from the past. I'll be following 1933, the Great Depression, and the start of FDR's first term.
Today is about readjusting after the repeal of state dry laws.
Previous years x.com/OregonAt100
Today is about readjusting after the repeal of state dry laws.
Previous years x.com/OregonAt100
January 3, 1933
An increase in speakeasies since the repeal of the state dry law caused Mayor JC Ten Brook to move to protect Astoria against the return of the saloon at a city council meeting. He charged the speakeasy owners as men without moral character or moral responsibility.
An increase in speakeasies since the repeal of the state dry law caused Mayor JC Ten Brook to move to protect Astoria against the return of the saloon at a city council meeting. He charged the speakeasy owners as men without moral character or moral responsibility.
January 3, 2026 at 3:56 PM
With the new year, I'm restarting my @oregonat100.bsky.social account, which follows daily Oregon news from the past. I'll be following 1933, the Great Depression, and the start of FDR's first term.
Today is about readjusting after the repeal of state dry laws.
Previous years x.com/OregonAt100
Today is about readjusting after the repeal of state dry laws.
Previous years x.com/OregonAt100
It is the 10-year anniversary of the Malheur Occupation.
In February 2016, after it had ended, DHM & OPB asked Oregonians about it.
- 20% supported the occupation, 71% opposed it
- 65% thought law enforcement did a good job managing it, 28% a poor job
In February 2016, after it had ended, DHM & OPB asked Oregonians about it.
- 20% supported the occupation, 71% opposed it
- 65% thought law enforcement did a good job managing it, 28% a poor job
January 2, 2026 at 6:31 PM
It is the 10-year anniversary of the Malheur Occupation.
In February 2016, after it had ended, DHM & OPB asked Oregonians about it.
- 20% supported the occupation, 71% opposed it
- 65% thought law enforcement did a good job managing it, 28% a poor job
In February 2016, after it had ended, DHM & OPB asked Oregonians about it.
- 20% supported the occupation, 71% opposed it
- 65% thought law enforcement did a good job managing it, 28% a poor job
With the new year, I'm restarting my @oregonat100.bsky.social account, which follows daily Oregon news from the past. I'll be following 1933, the Great Depression, and the start of FDR's first term.
Today's story is about homelessness during winter weather.
Previous years x.com/OregonAt100
Today's story is about homelessness during winter weather.
Previous years x.com/OregonAt100
January 2, 1933
A mudslide at Sullivan Gulch shantytown damaged eight shacks and seriously injured Joe Belich. Belich was found with only his head sticking out of the mud. He was taken to St. Vincents hospital with broken ribs and internal injuries.
A mudslide at Sullivan Gulch shantytown damaged eight shacks and seriously injured Joe Belich. Belich was found with only his head sticking out of the mud. He was taken to St. Vincents hospital with broken ribs and internal injuries.
January 2, 2026 at 4:52 PM
With the new year, I'm restarting my @oregonat100.bsky.social account, which follows daily Oregon news from the past. I'll be following 1933, the Great Depression, and the start of FDR's first term.
Today's story is about homelessness during winter weather.
Previous years x.com/OregonAt100
Today's story is about homelessness during winter weather.
Previous years x.com/OregonAt100
Update on Oregon House of Representatives candidate filings.
There are 82 candidates. 46 Democrats and 36 Republicans.
There are 24 districts with no Democrat and 29 districts with no Republican.
There are 8 districts with neither a Democrat nor a Republican.
There are 82 candidates. 46 Democrats and 36 Republicans.
There are 24 districts with no Democrat and 29 districts with no Republican.
There are 8 districts with neither a Democrat nor a Republican.
January 2, 2026 at 12:12 AM
Update on Oregon House of Representatives candidate filings.
There are 82 candidates. 46 Democrats and 36 Republicans.
There are 24 districts with no Democrat and 29 districts with no Republican.
There are 8 districts with neither a Democrat nor a Republican.
There are 82 candidates. 46 Democrats and 36 Republicans.
There are 24 districts with no Democrat and 29 districts with no Republican.
There are 8 districts with neither a Democrat nor a Republican.
I'm starting my @oregonat100.bsky.social here. It follows daily news from Oregon's past. I'll be following 1933, the Great Depression, and the start of Roosevelt's first term.
The year begins with transportation funding and drama at the Portland City Council.
Past years' at x.com/OregonAt100
The year begins with transportation funding and drama at the Portland City Council.
Past years' at x.com/OregonAt100
January 1, 1933
Bennett's vote blocks lower streetcar fares and railway's legal authority past midnight. Council erupts: "Don't impugn my honesty!" Company will operate "at sufferance of the city" until new permit. Nine-day limbo. Some worry jitneys could take over.
Bennett's vote blocks lower streetcar fares and railway's legal authority past midnight. Council erupts: "Don't impugn my honesty!" Company will operate "at sufferance of the city" until new permit. Nine-day limbo. Some worry jitneys could take over.
January 1, 2026 at 10:12 PM
I'm starting my @oregonat100.bsky.social here. It follows daily news from Oregon's past. I'll be following 1933, the Great Depression, and the start of Roosevelt's first term.
The year begins with transportation funding and drama at the Portland City Council.
Past years' at x.com/OregonAt100
The year begins with transportation funding and drama at the Portland City Council.
Past years' at x.com/OregonAt100
The final Oregon surveys from DHM Research are in for 2025.
Across all surveys, 35% of Oregonians said the state is headed in the right direction—the same as last year, but up from the 2022 lows (27%).
Dems and Reps are down a bit this year, while NAV/others are up a tick.
Across all surveys, 35% of Oregonians said the state is headed in the right direction—the same as last year, but up from the 2022 lows (27%).
Dems and Reps are down a bit this year, while NAV/others are up a tick.
December 20, 2025 at 9:10 PM
The final Oregon surveys from DHM Research are in for 2025.
Across all surveys, 35% of Oregonians said the state is headed in the right direction—the same as last year, but up from the 2022 lows (27%).
Dems and Reps are down a bit this year, while NAV/others are up a tick.
Across all surveys, 35% of Oregonians said the state is headed in the right direction—the same as last year, but up from the 2022 lows (27%).
Dems and Reps are down a bit this year, while NAV/others are up a tick.
Average win margin by party for Oregon House of Representatives elections: 1972-2024
December 19, 2025 at 6:14 PM
Average win margin by party for Oregon House of Representatives elections: 1972-2024
Updated chart.
Are Americans hearing favorable or unfavorable news about economic policy? It now depends on their level of education.
(Values below zero = hearing more unfavorable news)
Are Americans hearing favorable or unfavorable news about economic policy? It now depends on their level of education.
(Values below zero = hearing more unfavorable news)
December 19, 2025 at 4:39 PM
Updated chart.
Are Americans hearing favorable or unfavorable news about economic policy? It now depends on their level of education.
(Values below zero = hearing more unfavorable news)
Are Americans hearing favorable or unfavorable news about economic policy? It now depends on their level of education.
(Values below zero = hearing more unfavorable news)
Updated consumer sentiment numbers out today from the University of Michigan. Here are the monthly changes by party.
Democrat 35.5 (+3.1)
Independent 51.2 (+4.5)
Republican 87.9 (+1.3)
Democrat 35.5 (+3.1)
Independent 51.2 (+4.5)
Republican 87.9 (+1.3)
December 19, 2025 at 3:05 PM
Updated consumer sentiment numbers out today from the University of Michigan. Here are the monthly changes by party.
Democrat 35.5 (+3.1)
Independent 51.2 (+4.5)
Republican 87.9 (+1.3)
Democrat 35.5 (+3.1)
Independent 51.2 (+4.5)
Republican 87.9 (+1.3)
I created something similar for the Oregon House of Representatives. (Though I used college degree for all adults, not just white adults.)
December 17, 2025 at 10:03 PM
I created something similar for the Oregon House of Representatives. (Though I used college degree for all adults, not just white adults.)
Out of curiosity, and potential relevance, here is Chris Dudley's campaign website from 2010. Via the Wayback Machine.
web.archive.org/web/20100930...
And here are his campaign ads.
www.youtube.com/@ChrisDudley...
web.archive.org/web/20100930...
And here are his campaign ads.
www.youtube.com/@ChrisDudley...
Dudley for Governor
Chris Dudley for Governor
web.archive.org
December 10, 2025 at 5:17 PM
Out of curiosity, and potential relevance, here is Chris Dudley's campaign website from 2010. Via the Wayback Machine.
web.archive.org/web/20100930...
And here are his campaign ads.
www.youtube.com/@ChrisDudley...
web.archive.org/web/20100930...
And here are his campaign ads.
www.youtube.com/@ChrisDudley...
Update on Oregon House of Representatives candidate filings.
There are 78 candidates. 41 Democrats and 37 Republicans.
There are 28 districts with no Democrat and 28 districts with no Republican.
There are 8 districts with neither a Democrat nor a Republican.
There are 78 candidates. 41 Democrats and 37 Republicans.
There are 28 districts with no Democrat and 28 districts with no Republican.
There are 8 districts with neither a Democrat nor a Republican.
December 10, 2025 at 5:12 PM
Update on Oregon House of Representatives candidate filings.
There are 78 candidates. 41 Democrats and 37 Republicans.
There are 28 districts with no Democrat and 28 districts with no Republican.
There are 8 districts with neither a Democrat nor a Republican.
There are 78 candidates. 41 Democrats and 37 Republicans.
There are 28 districts with no Democrat and 28 districts with no Republican.
There are 8 districts with neither a Democrat nor a Republican.
The Oregon Journalism Project (@oregonjournalism.bsky.social) has a piece out today titled Oregon Schools: What Went Wrong.
A factor worth considering is that education is now a less salient issue among Oregonians than in the past.
A factor worth considering is that education is now a less salient issue among Oregonians than in the past.
December 9, 2025 at 6:15 PM
The Oregon Journalism Project (@oregonjournalism.bsky.social) has a piece out today titled Oregon Schools: What Went Wrong.
A factor worth considering is that education is now a less salient issue among Oregonians than in the past.
A factor worth considering is that education is now a less salient issue among Oregonians than in the past.
Google Trends search history for generations.
December 9, 2025 at 5:24 PM
Google Trends search history for generations.
Despite some lower-quality research suggesting otherwise, Pew Research's new analysis finds no increase in religiosity among young people generally or young men specifically. In fact, it's declined over the decades. And, recently, more among women.
December 9, 2025 at 4:13 PM
Despite some lower-quality research suggesting otherwise, Pew Research's new analysis finds no increase in religiosity among young people generally or young men specifically. In fact, it's declined over the decades. And, recently, more among women.
The final certified vote totals for the November 2025 election are in.
Here is the turnout in Portland (left) and the yes vote for the parks levy (right) by precinct.
Here is the turnout in Portland (left) and the yes vote for the parks levy (right) by precinct.
December 5, 2025 at 3:58 PM
The final certified vote totals for the November 2025 election are in.
Here is the turnout in Portland (left) and the yes vote for the parks levy (right) by precinct.
Here is the turnout in Portland (left) and the yes vote for the parks levy (right) by precinct.
Updated consumer sentiment numbers from the University of Michigan are out today. Here are the changes by party.
Democrat 33.6 (+1.2)
Independent 50.9 (+4.2)
Republican 88.7 (+2.1)
Democrat 33.6 (+1.2)
Independent 50.9 (+4.2)
Republican 88.7 (+2.1)
December 5, 2025 at 3:48 PM
Updated consumer sentiment numbers from the University of Michigan are out today. Here are the changes by party.
Democrat 33.6 (+1.2)
Independent 50.9 (+4.2)
Republican 88.7 (+2.1)
Democrat 33.6 (+1.2)
Independent 50.9 (+4.2)
Republican 88.7 (+2.1)
Turnout by age in the Multnomah County November 2025 special election.
December 2, 2025 at 7:51 PM
Turnout by age in the Multnomah County November 2025 special election.
Updated voter registration numbers today from the Oregon Secretary of State. Here are the monthly changes by party.
Total -8,360
Other -262
Ind. Party of Oregon -296
NAV -1,330
Republican -1,404
Democrat -5,068
Total -8,360
Other -262
Ind. Party of Oregon -296
NAV -1,330
Republican -1,404
Democrat -5,068
December 2, 2025 at 12:56 AM
Updated voter registration numbers today from the Oregon Secretary of State. Here are the monthly changes by party.
Total -8,360
Other -262
Ind. Party of Oregon -296
NAV -1,330
Republican -1,404
Democrat -5,068
Total -8,360
Other -262
Ind. Party of Oregon -296
NAV -1,330
Republican -1,404
Democrat -5,068
Assuming this Canadian online gambling comparison website conducted a legitimate and representative survey of Americans about Thanksgiving, the sample size for Oregon would be about 50 people.
Thanksgiving 2025: Survey reveals Oregon families argue the most in the U.S.
Oregon tops nation in explosive Thanksgiving arguments, survey finds
Thanksgiving 2025: Survey reveals Oregon families argue the most in the U.S.
www.oregonlive.com
November 26, 2025 at 10:11 PM
Assuming this Canadian online gambling comparison website conducted a legitimate and representative survey of Americans about Thanksgiving, the sample size for Oregon would be about 50 people.
61% of Oregonians agree they can achieve the American Dream, while 34% disagree, and 5% don't know.
From a September 2025 DHM Research survey.
From a September 2025 DHM Research survey.
November 25, 2025 at 7:35 PM
61% of Oregonians agree they can achieve the American Dream, while 34% disagree, and 5% don't know.
From a September 2025 DHM Research survey.
From a September 2025 DHM Research survey.
Update on Oregon House of Representatives candidate filings.
There are 68 candidates. 35 Democrats and 33 Republicans.
There are 31 districts with no Democrat and 31 districts with no Republican.
There are 11 districts with neither a Democrat nor a Republican.
There are 68 candidates. 35 Democrats and 33 Republicans.
There are 31 districts with no Democrat and 31 districts with no Republican.
There are 11 districts with neither a Democrat nor a Republican.
November 25, 2025 at 4:48 PM
Update on Oregon House of Representatives candidate filings.
There are 68 candidates. 35 Democrats and 33 Republicans.
There are 31 districts with no Democrat and 31 districts with no Republican.
There are 11 districts with neither a Democrat nor a Republican.
There are 68 candidates. 35 Democrats and 33 Republicans.
There are 31 districts with no Democrat and 31 districts with no Republican.
There are 11 districts with neither a Democrat nor a Republican.
The history of party registration in Oregon counties since 2000. In alphabetical order.
1. Baker
1. Baker
November 23, 2025 at 4:17 PM
The history of party registration in Oregon counties since 2000. In alphabetical order.
1. Baker
1. Baker
Update on the number of candidates for Oregon governor.
Christine Drazan filed for the Republican primary election today.
Another Democrat also joined the race, and one Republican withdrew.
Christine Drazan filed for the Republican primary election today.
Another Democrat also joined the race, and one Republican withdrew.
November 21, 2025 at 8:36 PM
Update on the number of candidates for Oregon governor.
Christine Drazan filed for the Republican primary election today.
Another Democrat also joined the race, and one Republican withdrew.
Christine Drazan filed for the Republican primary election today.
Another Democrat also joined the race, and one Republican withdrew.