Jean-Victor Alipour
@jvali.bsky.social
Assistant Prof in Economics @ ifo Institute/ LMU Munich
sites.google.com/view/jv-alipour/
sites.google.com/view/jv-alipour/
Pinned
Jean-Victor Alipour
@jvali.bsky.social
· Jan 30
No Surprises, Please: Voting Costs and Electoral Turnout | Journal of Political Economy Microeconomics: Vol 3, No 1
Can well-intentioned policies create barriers to voting? Election administrators in Munich (Germany) recruit new polling places and control precinct sizes to improve voting accessibility, creating var...
www.journals.uchicago.edu
My JMP has just been published in the JPE Mirco.
👉Changing polling locations to facilitate voting achieves the opposite of the intended effect: We find shifts to mail-in voting and a transitory decline in total turnout.
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
👉Changing polling locations to facilitate voting achieves the opposite of the intended effect: We find shifts to mail-in voting and a transitory decline in total turnout.
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
Reposted by Jean-Victor Alipour
Does job flexibility foster gender equality? On the contrary. Our new paper reveals that the shift to working from home significantly intensifies gender gaps in both paid hours and care-giving among couples.
Remote Work Solidifies Traditional Roles: New Causal Evidence on Gender Inequality Post-Covid
Alipour: "Does Remote Work Reinforce Gender Gaps in (Un)Paid Labor?" CRC Discussion Paper No. 542
190researchblog.substack.com
November 24, 2025 at 12:00 PM
Does job flexibility foster gender equality? On the contrary. Our new paper reveals that the shift to working from home significantly intensifies gender gaps in both paid hours and care-giving among couples.
Reposted by Jean-Victor Alipour
We just spent 6 months to add 1 figure to this paper. Some people said, "Couples aren't prioritizing men's careers. Men just have better earnings opportunities when moving."
Earnings effects of moves for couples on the left, singles on the right. Negligible gap between single men and women.
Earnings effects of moves for couples on the left, singles on the right. Negligible gap between single men and women.
October 7, 2025 at 3:36 PM
We just spent 6 months to add 1 figure to this paper. Some people said, "Couples aren't prioritizing men's careers. Men just have better earnings opportunities when moving."
Earnings effects of moves for couples on the left, singles on the right. Negligible gap between single men and women.
Earnings effects of moves for couples on the left, singles on the right. Negligible gap between single men and women.
Reposted by Jean-Victor Alipour
🚨 New working paper alert 🚨
Missing summer — and the Tour de France? Don’t worry, we got you covered. 🚴♂️🚴♂️🚴♂️
In this paper, we show that being on the route of Tour de France reduces far-right voting. osf.io/preprints/so...
Missing summer — and the Tour de France? Don’t worry, we got you covered. 🚴♂️🚴♂️🚴♂️
In this paper, we show that being on the route of Tour de France reduces far-right voting. osf.io/preprints/so...
September 16, 2025 at 10:25 AM
🚨 New working paper alert 🚨
Missing summer — and the Tour de France? Don’t worry, we got you covered. 🚴♂️🚴♂️🚴♂️
In this paper, we show that being on the route of Tour de France reduces far-right voting. osf.io/preprints/so...
Missing summer — and the Tour de France? Don’t worry, we got you covered. 🚴♂️🚴♂️🚴♂️
In this paper, we show that being on the route of Tour de France reduces far-right voting. osf.io/preprints/so...
Reposted by Jean-Victor Alipour
Zur Stärkung der - na klar - Resilienz von Postdocs bietet die Postdoc Academy der Berlin University Alliance jetzt "Pferdegestütztes Coaching" an. Auf dem Workshop kann man seine Resilienz "durch direkte, nonverbale Rückmeldung von Pferden" stärken.
September 15, 2025 at 9:46 AM
Zur Stärkung der - na klar - Resilienz von Postdocs bietet die Postdoc Academy der Berlin University Alliance jetzt "Pferdegestütztes Coaching" an. Auf dem Workshop kann man seine Resilienz "durch direkte, nonverbale Rückmeldung von Pferden" stärken.
Reposted by Jean-Victor Alipour
Update #2, RETRACTED: 15 months after we (w @ollefolke.bsky.social and @johannarickne.bsky.social ) submitted the initial comment to the Journal, we've noticed the paper was ultimately retracted. Retraction note here: link.springer.com/article/10.1...
July 1, 2025 at 6:21 AM
Update #2, RETRACTED: 15 months after we (w @ollefolke.bsky.social and @johannarickne.bsky.social ) submitted the initial comment to the Journal, we've noticed the paper was ultimately retracted. Retraction note here: link.springer.com/article/10.1...
Reposted by Jean-Victor Alipour
🧵Replication: Can refugee flows be lowered by reducing welfare? Agersnap et al. (2020, AER:I) study this in Denmark, reporting lower benefits strongly reduce migration flows. I reanalyze this paper, finding a much more nuanced result.
June 18, 2025 at 11:24 AM
🧵Replication: Can refugee flows be lowered by reducing welfare? Agersnap et al. (2020, AER:I) study this in Denmark, reporting lower benefits strongly reduce migration flows. I reanalyze this paper, finding a much more nuanced result.
Reposted by Jean-Victor Alipour
Grundsicherung, aber wie?
Ein neues Experiment belebt den Traum vom bedingungslosen Grundeinkommen. Doch es führt in die Irre, stattdessen braucht Deutschland endlich eine bedarfsorientierte Grundsicherung, die Arbeit nicht bestraft. Eine Anleitung zur Reparatur
zeitung.faz.net/faz/wirtscha...
Ein neues Experiment belebt den Traum vom bedingungslosen Grundeinkommen. Doch es führt in die Irre, stattdessen braucht Deutschland endlich eine bedarfsorientierte Grundsicherung, die Arbeit nicht bestraft. Eine Anleitung zur Reparatur
zeitung.faz.net/faz/wirtscha...
Grundsicherung, aber wie?
zeitung.faz.net
April 21, 2025 at 6:55 PM
Grundsicherung, aber wie?
Ein neues Experiment belebt den Traum vom bedingungslosen Grundeinkommen. Doch es führt in die Irre, stattdessen braucht Deutschland endlich eine bedarfsorientierte Grundsicherung, die Arbeit nicht bestraft. Eine Anleitung zur Reparatur
zeitung.faz.net/faz/wirtscha...
Ein neues Experiment belebt den Traum vom bedingungslosen Grundeinkommen. Doch es führt in die Irre, stattdessen braucht Deutschland endlich eine bedarfsorientierte Grundsicherung, die Arbeit nicht bestraft. Eine Anleitung zur Reparatur
zeitung.faz.net/faz/wirtscha...
Reposted by Jean-Victor Alipour
How Tariffs Affect Trade Deficits...
... a new paper with amazing trade economist Arnaud Costinot.
Many politicians and the general public expect tariffs to reduce imports lower imports and thus work to close a trade deficit.
Economists typically say "not so fast"...
🧵1/n
... a new paper with amazing trade economist Arnaud Costinot.
Many politicians and the general public expect tariffs to reduce imports lower imports and thus work to close a trade deficit.
Economists typically say "not so fast"...
🧵1/n
April 14, 2025 at 5:25 PM
How Tariffs Affect Trade Deficits...
... a new paper with amazing trade economist Arnaud Costinot.
Many politicians and the general public expect tariffs to reduce imports lower imports and thus work to close a trade deficit.
Economists typically say "not so fast"...
🧵1/n
... a new paper with amazing trade economist Arnaud Costinot.
Many politicians and the general public expect tariffs to reduce imports lower imports and thus work to close a trade deficit.
Economists typically say "not so fast"...
🧵1/n
Reposted by Jean-Victor Alipour
People are willing to forgo 15-30% of their wage to avoid hostile work environments.
Women report a stronger distaste for exclusive workplaces and environments with sexual harassment and value hybrid work twice as much in the presence of sexual harassment.
Collis & @clemvaneff.bsky.social
Women report a stronger distaste for exclusive workplaces and environments with sexual harassment and value hybrid work twice as much in the presence of sexual harassment.
Collis & @clemvaneff.bsky.social
April 10, 2025 at 12:50 AM
People are willing to forgo 15-30% of their wage to avoid hostile work environments.
Women report a stronger distaste for exclusive workplaces and environments with sexual harassment and value hybrid work twice as much in the presence of sexual harassment.
Collis & @clemvaneff.bsky.social
Women report a stronger distaste for exclusive workplaces and environments with sexual harassment and value hybrid work twice as much in the presence of sexual harassment.
Collis & @clemvaneff.bsky.social
Reposted by Jean-Victor Alipour
Wow!
Three scholars at Columbia, Michigan, & Maryland just introduced a measure of the partisan leanings of employers in the U.S.
The data is constructed by linking voter registrations to online worker profiles.
VRscores capture the political affiliations of 21.8M workers across 2.6M employers.
Three scholars at Columbia, Michigan, & Maryland just introduced a measure of the partisan leanings of employers in the U.S.
The data is constructed by linking voter registrations to online worker profiles.
VRscores capture the political affiliations of 21.8M workers across 2.6M employers.
April 6, 2025 at 3:25 PM
Wow!
Three scholars at Columbia, Michigan, & Maryland just introduced a measure of the partisan leanings of employers in the U.S.
The data is constructed by linking voter registrations to online worker profiles.
VRscores capture the political affiliations of 21.8M workers across 2.6M employers.
Three scholars at Columbia, Michigan, & Maryland just introduced a measure of the partisan leanings of employers in the U.S.
The data is constructed by linking voter registrations to online worker profiles.
VRscores capture the political affiliations of 21.8M workers across 2.6M employers.
Reposted by Jean-Victor Alipour
First instalment of my substack primer on right-wing populism in Europe is out.
jacobedenhofer.substack.com/p/explaining...
jacobedenhofer.substack.com/p/explaining...
Explaining the emergence and consolidation of right-wing populism: Part I
Stylised facts, or what has actually happened?
jacobedenhofer.substack.com
April 7, 2025 at 8:15 AM
First instalment of my substack primer on right-wing populism in Europe is out.
jacobedenhofer.substack.com/p/explaining...
jacobedenhofer.substack.com/p/explaining...
Reposted by Jean-Victor Alipour
NEW -
Evidence Can Change Partisan Minds but Less So in Hostile Contexts - cup.org/3E7A4ja
"findings show that, in the absence of affective triggers, partisans were persuaded by both congenial and uncongenial information"
- @jinwookim.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
Evidence Can Change Partisan Minds but Less So in Hostile Contexts - cup.org/3E7A4ja
"findings show that, in the absence of affective triggers, partisans were persuaded by both congenial and uncongenial information"
- @jinwookim.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
April 7, 2025 at 9:21 AM
NEW -
Evidence Can Change Partisan Minds but Less So in Hostile Contexts - cup.org/3E7A4ja
"findings show that, in the absence of affective triggers, partisans were persuaded by both congenial and uncongenial information"
- @jinwookim.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
Evidence Can Change Partisan Minds but Less So in Hostile Contexts - cup.org/3E7A4ja
"findings show that, in the absence of affective triggers, partisans were persuaded by both congenial and uncongenial information"
- @jinwookim.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
Reposted by Jean-Victor Alipour
Formulating the regressor endogeneity problem using a novel conditional copula endogeneity model to capture the regressor-error dependence unexplained by exogenous regressors, from Xixi Hu, Yi Qian, and Hui Xie https://www.nber.org/papers/w33607
March 30, 2025 at 9:00 PM
Formulating the regressor endogeneity problem using a novel conditional copula endogeneity model to capture the regressor-error dependence unexplained by exogenous regressors, from Xixi Hu, Yi Qian, and Hui Xie https://www.nber.org/papers/w33607
Reposted by Jean-Victor Alipour
📢New WP w/ @borusyak.bsky.social
We derive the most powerful recentered IVs for formula treatments & propose an algorithm for approximating them
This approach yields *huge* power gains, relative to conventional simulated IV, when estimating Medicaid crowdout effects
Check it out! t.co/UPg2XQBefN
We derive the most powerful recentered IVs for formula treatments & propose an algorithm for approximating them
This approach yields *huge* power gains, relative to conventional simulated IV, when estimating Medicaid crowdout effects
Check it out! t.co/UPg2XQBefN
March 28, 2025 at 1:54 PM
📢New WP w/ @borusyak.bsky.social
We derive the most powerful recentered IVs for formula treatments & propose an algorithm for approximating them
This approach yields *huge* power gains, relative to conventional simulated IV, when estimating Medicaid crowdout effects
Check it out! t.co/UPg2XQBefN
We derive the most powerful recentered IVs for formula treatments & propose an algorithm for approximating them
This approach yields *huge* power gains, relative to conventional simulated IV, when estimating Medicaid crowdout effects
Check it out! t.co/UPg2XQBefN
Reposted by Jean-Victor Alipour
Two papers that made me realize that public support for antidemocratic politicians is more personalistic-cultish and less ideological than I thought
Kim & Patterson 2024: www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
@noamgidron.bsky.social et al 2025: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10....
Kim & Patterson 2024: www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
@noamgidron.bsky.social et al 2025: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10....
March 26, 2025 at 4:19 PM
Two papers that made me realize that public support for antidemocratic politicians is more personalistic-cultish and less ideological than I thought
Kim & Patterson 2024: www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
@noamgidron.bsky.social et al 2025: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10....
Kim & Patterson 2024: www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
@noamgidron.bsky.social et al 2025: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10....
Reposted by Jean-Victor Alipour
What happened when the editor of @theatlantic.com was included on Mike Walz's group chat
www.theatlantic.com/politics/arc...
www.theatlantic.com/politics/arc...
The Trump Administration Accidentally Texted Me Its War Plans
U.S. national-security leaders included me in a group chat about upcoming military strikes in Yemen. I didn’t think it could be real. Then the bombs started falling.
www.theatlantic.com
March 24, 2025 at 5:24 PM
What happened when the editor of @theatlantic.com was included on Mike Walz's group chat
www.theatlantic.com/politics/arc...
www.theatlantic.com/politics/arc...
Reposted by Jean-Victor Alipour
This is an interesting story and highlights the poor state of digital plumbing of societies. With digital ID tied, e.g. to your own mobility data, entry- and exit records, biometrically verified digital payments, one can in essence create zero knowledge proofs that validate information such as..
March 24, 2025 at 12:30 PM
This is an interesting story and highlights the poor state of digital plumbing of societies. With digital ID tied, e.g. to your own mobility data, entry- and exit records, biometrically verified digital payments, one can in essence create zero knowledge proofs that validate information such as..
Reposted by Jean-Victor Alipour
We are very happy to publish the "National Elections Database," including the results of 1,023 presidential and 2,962 parliamentary elections conducted worldwide since 1946!
www.nationalelectionsdatabase.com
with Benjamin Marx and Vincent Rollet
www.nationalelectionsdatabase.com
with Benjamin Marx and Vincent Rollet
Overview
National Elections Database
www.nationalelectionsdatabase.com
March 13, 2025 at 12:20 PM
We are very happy to publish the "National Elections Database," including the results of 1,023 presidential and 2,962 parliamentary elections conducted worldwide since 1946!
www.nationalelectionsdatabase.com
with Benjamin Marx and Vincent Rollet
www.nationalelectionsdatabase.com
with Benjamin Marx and Vincent Rollet
Reposted by Jean-Victor Alipour
At this point, it is obvious that it is not safe for scholars to travel the US. There are no easy solutions for conferences scheduled in the US this year but it should be cleary to everyone involved that they cannot just go ahead as planned.
18. French scholar coming for conference 🇫🇷
Denied entry and deported for anti-Trump views expressed on social media. 🚨
HT @profpech.bsky.social
Denied entry and deported for anti-Trump views expressed on social media. 🚨
HT @profpech.bsky.social
Etats-Unis : un chercheur français refoulé pour avoir exprimé « une opinion personnelle sur la politique menée par l’administration Trump »
Le ministre de la recherche français a dit sa « préoccupation », mercredi, après cette décision des autorités américaines. Le chercheur du CNRS aurait subi un contrôle aléatoire à son arrivée, avant q...
www.lemonde.fr
March 19, 2025 at 6:45 PM
At this point, it is obvious that it is not safe for scholars to travel the US. There are no easy solutions for conferences scheduled in the US this year but it should be cleary to everyone involved that they cannot just go ahead as planned.
Reposted by Jean-Victor Alipour
It continues:
Most wealthy countries have an aging population and low fertility: there are no fiscal miracles. Closing the door on high-skill migration is, as we will show, a uniquely bad policy proposition.
Link to the paper: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
Most wealthy countries have an aging population and low fertility: there are no fiscal miracles. Closing the door on high-skill migration is, as we will show, a uniquely bad policy proposition.
Link to the paper: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
The Cost of Nativism: Evidence from the Netherlands
We study language preferences and how they relate to nativism, using the Netherlands, a typical high-income education-exporting country, as a case study. Agains
papers.ssrn.com
March 17, 2025 at 12:14 PM
It continues:
Most wealthy countries have an aging population and low fertility: there are no fiscal miracles. Closing the door on high-skill migration is, as we will show, a uniquely bad policy proposition.
Link to the paper: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
Most wealthy countries have an aging population and low fertility: there are no fiscal miracles. Closing the door on high-skill migration is, as we will show, a uniquely bad policy proposition.
Link to the paper: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
Reposted by Jean-Victor Alipour
This is a pretty remarkable set of results. I got fixated on adults in this, since it seems like a big change!
One fact that I discovered by digging into the original reports is that this masks some pretty interesting heterogeneity:
www.oecd.org/en/publicati...
One fact that I discovered by digging into the original reports is that this masks some pretty interesting heterogeneity:
www.oecd.org/en/publicati...
March 16, 2025 at 2:46 AM
This is a pretty remarkable set of results. I got fixated on adults in this, since it seems like a big change!
One fact that I discovered by digging into the original reports is that this masks some pretty interesting heterogeneity:
www.oecd.org/en/publicati...
One fact that I discovered by digging into the original reports is that this masks some pretty interesting heterogeneity:
www.oecd.org/en/publicati...
Reposted by Jean-Victor Alipour
Slowly but surely coming along: we have a new version of our working textbook on diffs in diffs!
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
Chapters 2 to 4, which cover the set up, classical DIDs, and relaxations of the parallel trends assumptions have been thoroughly revised and are now almost finished.
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
Chapters 2 to 4, which cover the set up, classical DIDs, and relaxations of the parallel trends assumptions have been thoroughly revised and are now almost finished.
Credible Answers to Hard Questions: Differences-in-Differences for Natural Experiments
This book introduces applied researchers to modern Differences-in-Differences (DID) methods, that they can use to obtain credible answers to hard causal inferen
papers.ssrn.com
March 12, 2025 at 3:09 PM
Slowly but surely coming along: we have a new version of our working textbook on diffs in diffs!
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
Chapters 2 to 4, which cover the set up, classical DIDs, and relaxations of the parallel trends assumptions have been thoroughly revised and are now almost finished.
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
Chapters 2 to 4, which cover the set up, classical DIDs, and relaxations of the parallel trends assumptions have been thoroughly revised and are now almost finished.
Reposted by Jean-Victor Alipour
Lots of talk on X today about rethinking the results produced by close elections RDDs.
So, I thought I'd drop a few recent articles about issues that arise in this space so that folks can have them all in one place. 1/N
So, I thought I'd drop a few recent articles about issues that arise in this space so that folks can have them all in one place. 1/N
March 6, 2025 at 10:39 PM
Lots of talk on X today about rethinking the results produced by close elections RDDs.
So, I thought I'd drop a few recent articles about issues that arise in this space so that folks can have them all in one place. 1/N
So, I thought I'd drop a few recent articles about issues that arise in this space so that folks can have them all in one place. 1/N
Reposted by Jean-Victor Alipour
Let me explain why I'm so confident that tariffs will cause higher prices.
March 5, 2025 at 11:14 AM
Let me explain why I'm so confident that tariffs will cause higher prices.
Reposted by Jean-Victor Alipour
Being able to drop a quarterly US GDP prediction by 5.1% from +2.3% to -2.8% in a single week is one of the most impressive economic developments in the history of the world.
March 4, 2025 at 9:02 AM
Being able to drop a quarterly US GDP prediction by 5.1% from +2.3% to -2.8% in a single week is one of the most impressive economic developments in the history of the world.