Jonathan Robinson
@jonrobinson2.bsky.social
Ex @Catalist_US. Proud Buckeye & Marylander. Dems are good. Affordable MD PAC YIMBY. Dad. Views my own.
Reposted by Jonathan Robinson
I think this is mostly San Francisco finally shrugging off the pandemic, but it is *really* funny that rent prices in San Francisco shot up *immediately* after the city banned RealPage and other algorithmic price setting software.
My pre trends are incredible!
My pre trends are incredible!
November 22, 2025 at 5:29 PM
I think this is mostly San Francisco finally shrugging off the pandemic, but it is *really* funny that rent prices in San Francisco shot up *immediately* after the city banned RealPage and other algorithmic price setting software.
My pre trends are incredible!
My pre trends are incredible!
Reposted by Jonathan Robinson
One reaction: those of us who have worked in government think it is much much harder to get people to pay attention to the issues you want them to care about than a lot of folks who haven’t think.
November 19, 2025 at 12:03 AM
One reaction: those of us who have worked in government think it is much much harder to get people to pay attention to the issues you want them to care about than a lot of folks who haven’t think.
Reposted by Jonathan Robinson
Even the master of attention, Trump is struggling now to turn attention away from Epstein and has failed to get people to pay attention to the initiatives he wants like No Tax on Tips.
November 19, 2025 at 12:05 AM
Even the master of attention, Trump is struggling now to turn attention away from Epstein and has failed to get people to pay attention to the initiatives he wants like No Tax on Tips.
@natalifg.bsky.social will go on @wamu.org to talk about our housing crisis here in MoCo but at the same time she BRAGS about only rezoning ~1/3 of the properties in the new University Boulevard plan initial Planning Board proposal? Lower building heights + reduced density? What am I missing?
November 17, 2025 at 1:59 PM
@natalifg.bsky.social will go on @wamu.org to talk about our housing crisis here in MoCo but at the same time she BRAGS about only rezoning ~1/3 of the properties in the new University Boulevard plan initial Planning Board proposal? Lower building heights + reduced density? What am I missing?
Reposted by Jonathan Robinson
As far as I know not much has been written about the behind the scenes stuff on HR 1, but this post from Bruenig (who definitely is not a moderate!!!) on Childcare gets at a lot of the same dynamics.
www.peoplespolicyproject.org/2022/04/19/t...
www.peoplespolicyproject.org/2022/04/19/t...
November 7, 2025 at 10:09 PM
As far as I know not much has been written about the behind the scenes stuff on HR 1, but this post from Bruenig (who definitely is not a moderate!!!) on Childcare gets at a lot of the same dynamics.
www.peoplespolicyproject.org/2022/04/19/t...
www.peoplespolicyproject.org/2022/04/19/t...
Reposted by Jonathan Robinson
Base strategies are good at turning out your base. Just one small problem.
while the story in Virginia and New Jersey was heavily one of relative turnout, with far more votes than usual coming from liberal areas, this was not the case in New York
Republicans showed up in pretty clearly greater numbers than Democrats, motivated to beat Mamdani
but they didn't
Republicans showed up in pretty clearly greater numbers than Democrats, motivated to beat Mamdani
but they didn't
November 5, 2025 at 3:44 PM
Base strategies are good at turning out your base. Just one small problem.
Reposted by Jonathan Robinson
we asked the Moore administration to share their housing proposals well before session—and they delivered. introducing Moore Housing 3:
🏡 lot splits
🏡 smaller minimum lot sizes
🏡 allow townhomes statewide
🏡 permitting reform
marylandmatters.org/2025/08/19/d...
🏡 lot splits
🏡 smaller minimum lot sizes
🏡 allow townhomes statewide
🏡 permitting reform
marylandmatters.org/2025/08/19/d...
Day gives county planners 'pre-decisional' look at 2026 housing priorities - Maryland Matters
State housing officials are taking a lesson from the past legislative session, when their housing proposals failed, and starting sooner, rather than later, to work out affordable housing priorities wi...
marylandmatters.org
August 20, 2025 at 2:23 PM
we asked the Moore administration to share their housing proposals well before session—and they delivered. introducing Moore Housing 3:
🏡 lot splits
🏡 smaller minimum lot sizes
🏡 allow townhomes statewide
🏡 permitting reform
marylandmatters.org/2025/08/19/d...
🏡 lot splits
🏡 smaller minimum lot sizes
🏡 allow townhomes statewide
🏡 permitting reform
marylandmatters.org/2025/08/19/d...
Reposted by Jonathan Robinson
"what is ideology?" the greatest thread in the history of forums, locked by a moderator after 12,893 hours of heated debate,,,
August 13, 2025 at 1:20 PM
"what is ideology?" the greatest thread in the history of forums, locked by a moderator after 12,893 hours of heated debate,,,
Reposted by Jonathan Robinson
This footnote on the NYT analysis that has been ciculing around tells exactly the pain Connecticut has been causing on those of us using national county-level data 😅😫😭
May 26, 2025 at 1:37 PM
This footnote on the NYT analysis that has been ciculing around tells exactly the pain Connecticut has been causing on those of us using national county-level data 😅😫😭
Reposted by Jonathan Robinson
Storm/Death Cab partnership when?
The Lynx are partnering with Bon Iver on Gender Equity:
Minnesota Lynx and Bon Iver Launch First-of-Its-Kind Partnership Focused On Gender Equity
Collaboration is the first to unite a professional women’s sports franchise and recording artist, focused on community impact and the cultural connection of sports and music Bon Iver’s Justin Vernon b...
lynx.wnba.com
May 19, 2025 at 10:10 PM
Storm/Death Cab partnership when?
Reposted by Jonathan Robinson
My math here is Walmart has about $20B net income on $700B of sales. So they can eat about a 3% average price increase (vs 10%+ tariffs) before becoming a nonprofit organization.
May 17, 2025 at 3:47 PM
My math here is Walmart has about $20B net income on $700B of sales. So they can eat about a 3% average price increase (vs 10%+ tariffs) before becoming a nonprofit organization.
Reposted by Jonathan Robinson
I've also posted a critical note challenging the @nber.org paper that @michaelwiebe.bsky.social critiques here:
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
May 12, 2025 at 4:28 PM
I've also posted a critical note challenging the @nber.org paper that @michaelwiebe.bsky.social critiques here:
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
Reposted by Jonathan Robinson
in 2009, this parking lot two blocks from the Silver Spring Metro was approved to become offices and a hotel. thanks to Marc Elrich, it will be a parking garage. if you're wondering why taxes keep going up, it's bc he's literally giving the store away bethesdamagazine.com/2025/04/11/c...
April 11, 2025 at 3:23 PM
in 2009, this parking lot two blocks from the Silver Spring Metro was approved to become offices and a hotel. thanks to Marc Elrich, it will be a parking garage. if you're wondering why taxes keep going up, it's bc he's literally giving the store away bethesdamagazine.com/2025/04/11/c...
Reposted by Jonathan Robinson
"Here are my regression coefficients. I'm sorry the numbers on the slide are so small. I'll read them to you."
April 2, 2025 at 8:34 PM
"Here are my regression coefficients. I'm sorry the numbers on the slide are so small. I'll read them to you."
Reposted by Jonathan Robinson
Because Ezra Klein and Derek Thompson's "Abundance" is less a book than a discourse-generating machine (by design), I'm going to review the *reviews* (I also have a review of the actual book coming, I'm not a total weirdo).
Roughly from worst to best:
Roughly from worst to best:
March 18, 2025 at 7:01 PM
Because Ezra Klein and Derek Thompson's "Abundance" is less a book than a discourse-generating machine (by design), I'm going to review the *reviews* (I also have a review of the actual book coming, I'm not a total weirdo).
Roughly from worst to best:
Roughly from worst to best:
Reposted by Jonathan Robinson
the single-stair and the ADU bill are both carried by @vaughnstewart.bsky.social, Maryland's housing MVP who for years has been pushing for more homes and a fairer housing market. I'm so grateful to see his hard work bear fruit, and to watch Maryland's nascent pro-housing movement grow.
March 18, 2025 at 3:48 PM
the single-stair and the ADU bill are both carried by @vaughnstewart.bsky.social, Maryland's housing MVP who for years has been pushing for more homes and a fairer housing market. I'm so grateful to see his hard work bear fruit, and to watch Maryland's nascent pro-housing movement grow.
Reposted by Jonathan Robinson
Tired: I don't work at Meta
Wired: I don't work in Congress
(no but really, PSA - Rep. Moskowitz is a different person than me, no relation)
Wired: I don't work in Congress
(no but really, PSA - Rep. Moskowitz is a different person than me, no relation)
March 7, 2025 at 7:24 PM
Tired: I don't work at Meta
Wired: I don't work in Congress
(no but really, PSA - Rep. Moskowitz is a different person than me, no relation)
Wired: I don't work in Congress
(no but really, PSA - Rep. Moskowitz is a different person than me, no relation)
Reposted by Jonathan Robinson
In business and in many other areas of life, a lot of confusion comes down to correctly distinguishing the difference between selection and treatment effects.
I couldn't find a good explainer today, so I made one.
I couldn't find a good explainer today, so I made one.
March 6, 2025 at 3:45 AM
In business and in many other areas of life, a lot of confusion comes down to correctly distinguishing the difference between selection and treatment effects.
I couldn't find a good explainer today, so I made one.
I couldn't find a good explainer today, so I made one.
Reposted by Jonathan Robinson
the most surprising and disappointing aspect of becoming a global health philanthropist is the existence of an opposition team
February 27, 2025 at 4:42 AM
the most surprising and disappointing aspect of becoming a global health philanthropist is the existence of an opposition team
Reposted by Jonathan Robinson
NYT Pitch: Just as Ukraine irresponsibly goaded Russia into invading it by being worried about invasion, Democrats are to blame for Trump becoming Putin’s ally, due to the inexcusable act of accusing him of already being one.
March 1, 2025 at 7:14 PM
NYT Pitch: Just as Ukraine irresponsibly goaded Russia into invading it by being worried about invasion, Democrats are to blame for Trump becoming Putin’s ally, due to the inexcusable act of accusing him of already being one.
Reposted by Jonathan Robinson
Just like writing is thinking and teaching is learning, I find that I often build little spreadsheet models of the world in service of improving my own understanding.
February 11, 2025 at 10:19 PM
Just like writing is thinking and teaching is learning, I find that I often build little spreadsheet models of the world in service of improving my own understanding.
Reposted by Jonathan Robinson
In case anyone needs it -- the tariffs are underwater (as of 2/2/25). The illegal federal firings are underwater. Just *3 percent* of voters wish Elon Musk was "more influential" in the government.
I did not conduct this poll but if anyone wants help convincing their MC to act on it, let me know.
I did not conduct this poll but if anyone wants help convincing their MC to act on it, let me know.
February 3, 2025 at 3:13 PM
In case anyone needs it -- the tariffs are underwater (as of 2/2/25). The illegal federal firings are underwater. Just *3 percent* of voters wish Elon Musk was "more influential" in the government.
I did not conduct this poll but if anyone wants help convincing their MC to act on it, let me know.
I did not conduct this poll but if anyone wants help convincing their MC to act on it, let me know.
Reposted by Jonathan Robinson
Main page is ups for me BUT they took down the 2020 Census data www.census.gov/2020results
January 31, 2025 at 9:46 PM
Main page is ups for me BUT they took down the 2020 Census data www.census.gov/2020results
Reposted by Jonathan Robinson
Pissed off today? Just sad? Frustrated? If you're a mid-career Dem staffer, join our masterclass seminars. Featuring: @mattyglesias.bsky.social @tarensk.bsky.social @adamjentleson.bsky.social
Let's learn from 20 years of RCTs & brainstorm about what we don't know--register today!
www.war-room.us
Let's learn from 20 years of RCTs & brainstorm about what we don't know--register today!
www.war-room.us
WAR Room
Learn and discuss how Democrats can win more elections with WAR Room's masterclass night school in Spring 2025
www.war-room.us
January 20, 2025 at 5:42 PM
Pissed off today? Just sad? Frustrated? If you're a mid-career Dem staffer, join our masterclass seminars. Featuring: @mattyglesias.bsky.social @tarensk.bsky.social @adamjentleson.bsky.social
Let's learn from 20 years of RCTs & brainstorm about what we don't know--register today!
www.war-room.us
Let's learn from 20 years of RCTs & brainstorm about what we don't know--register today!
www.war-room.us
Reposted by Jonathan Robinson
People don't really think any of this! Overestimates of small proportions are a quirk of general innumeracy, not genuine misperceptions.
See research by @brianguay.bsky.social et al:
—PNAS forthcoming: www.brianguay.com/files/guay_2...
—Psychonomic Bulletin 2017: link.springer.com/article/10.3...
See research by @brianguay.bsky.social et al:
—PNAS forthcoming: www.brianguay.com/files/guay_2...
—Psychonomic Bulletin 2017: link.springer.com/article/10.3...
January 14, 2025 at 2:43 PM
People don't really think any of this! Overestimates of small proportions are a quirk of general innumeracy, not genuine misperceptions.
See research by @brianguay.bsky.social et al:
—PNAS forthcoming: www.brianguay.com/files/guay_2...
—Psychonomic Bulletin 2017: link.springer.com/article/10.3...
See research by @brianguay.bsky.social et al:
—PNAS forthcoming: www.brianguay.com/files/guay_2...
—Psychonomic Bulletin 2017: link.springer.com/article/10.3...