J. Emory Parker 🏳️‍🌈
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jaspar.bsky.social
J. Emory Parker 🏳️‍🌈
@jaspar.bsky.social
Pulitzer prize winning editor and news developer. Bluesky elder. Now: Data Editor at @statnews.bsky.social
✉️ emory.parker@statnews.com 📸 jemoryparker 🐘 @jaspar@mastodon.online | Signal: jaspar.01
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New from me: Here it is, everything I know about every change I've been monitoring on data.cdc.gov plus an archive of every file that's been removed or altered.

www.statnews.com/2025/02/14/t...
STAT is backing up and monitoring CDC data in real time: See what's changing
STAT is backing up and monitoring CDC data in real time: See what's changing.
www.statnews.com
Reposted by J. Emory Parker 🏳️‍🌈
Yes, China was buying a lot of Venezuela's crude exports, mainly for financial reasons (in-kind repayment of development loans). Yes, China has strategic concerns securing its oil supply lines in event of conflict with US, but Venezuela is a tiny drop in that bucket and far from an important factor.
January 4, 2026 at 2:32 PM
Reposted by J. Emory Parker 🏳️‍🌈
So for months they have tried to blame the entire fentanyl crisis on Venezuela and the indictment only mentions cocaine, which they pardoned a different guy for weeks ago
January 3, 2026 at 2:03 PM
Reposted by J. Emory Parker 🏳️‍🌈
The mention of Biden seems gratuitous here, since Trump's access yielded him nothing newsworthy, other than that the president took his phone call (and, then, subsequently didn't answer Pager's questions).
January 4, 2026 at 1:45 PM
Reposted by J. Emory Parker 🏳️‍🌈
This is videogame thinking where you win a battle and suddenly the map changes colors and all the factories and barracks are yours
January 4, 2026 at 3:56 AM
Reposted by J. Emory Parker 🏳️‍🌈
Unless the "interim governing structure" is 'the Maduro regime run by Delcy Rodriguez,' they're gonna have a hard time governing much.

Either that or they have some invading to do. It is robustly unclear to me what they think they are doing or if they know.
January 4, 2026 at 3:42 AM
Reposted by J. Emory Parker 🏳️‍🌈
I feel like I’m going insane, there is, like, an actual Venezuelan government that still exists
January 4, 2026 at 2:52 AM
Reposted by J. Emory Parker 🏳️‍🌈
Keep your eye on this. It’s corruption, all the way down. Profiteering, they used to call it.

Watch Kushner and Trump Jr et al “business associates” go into Venezuela to see where they can benefit.

www.axios.com/2026/01/03/m...
Someone made $400K by predicting Maduro's capture. Here's what happened
The winnings come as the rules governing prediction markets are still evolving.
www.axios.com
January 3, 2026 at 9:04 PM
Reposted by J. Emory Parker 🏳️‍🌈
Fortunate Son, of course, is literally about class inequality and the hypocrisy of how the wealthy can avoid serving in war (Trump used bone spurs to avoid draft) and the unjustness specifically of the Vietnam War. Clearly he has not paid attention to the lyrics as this post was a self troll.
Trump posted a propaganda video of US bombing Caracas last night with audio of CCR's Fortunate Son. The combination of Stupid and international terrorism is legit terrifying.
January 4, 2026 at 1:48 AM
Reposted by J. Emory Parker 🏳️‍🌈
January 3, 2026 at 11:42 PM
Reposted by J. Emory Parker 🏳️‍🌈
January 3, 2026 at 9:42 PM
Reposted by J. Emory Parker 🏳️‍🌈
And the world market is currently experiencing a massive glut that may collapse a bunch of Gulf state development plans. It makes no sense in the short- or mid-term!
As I was saying, nobody serious thinks there’s quick money to be made on Venezuelan oil. And even in the most optimistic scenarios, it would take years to increase oil production there.
No quick wins in tapping Venezuela's oil reserves reut.rs/4piX1RN
January 4, 2026 at 1:24 AM
Reposted by J. Emory Parker 🏳️‍🌈
Fascinating
1. Admin may not have informed Congress but has been talking regime change w US oil industry
2. Oil at $60, US firms not excited about major capex to get VZ heavy sour crude
3. Sounds like WH wants to prod oil firms to make their vision happen, more than WH doing US oil's bidding
a lot of interesting revelations between the lines of this story www.politico.com/news/2026/01...
January 4, 2026 at 1:07 AM
As I was saying, nobody serious thinks there’s quick money to be made on Venezuelan oil. And even in the most optimistic scenarios, it would take years to increase oil production there.
January 4, 2026 at 1:21 AM
Reposted by J. Emory Parker 🏳️‍🌈
Insane how much these people hate their own country
January 3, 2026 at 8:52 PM
Reposted by J. Emory Parker 🏳️‍🌈
Reposted by J. Emory Parker 🏳️‍🌈
For nonlawyers, it’s worth noting that statements like this have—as a formal matter—important legal effects as a matter of international law. If such statements are *not* made, and in volume, future arguments that Trump’s invasion sets a legal precedent will stand on much firmer legal ground.
Norway’s Foreign Minister Espen Barth Eide: "International law is universal and binding for all states. The American intervention in Venezuela is not in accordance with international law."
January 3, 2026 at 9:57 PM
Reposted by J. Emory Parker 🏳️‍🌈
"even if doing so strains the anti-interventionist identity once central to his political brand."

He was never an "anti-interventionist" and people writing things like this are at great risk of being scammed by the wallet inspector.
Once a critic of overseas entanglements, President Trump now appears willing to embrace regime change as a tool of American influence, raising questions about whether his “America First” doctrine is being redefined.
Trump’s Venezuela move pushes the limits of ‘America First’
Once a critic of entanglements abroad, Trump now appears willing to embrace regime change as a tool of American influence, risking a backlash from his MAGA base.
www.washingtonpost.com
January 4, 2026 at 12:02 AM
Reposted by J. Emory Parker 🏳️‍🌈
Hard to watch US TV media discussing how the US might occupy and run a foreign country as if it’s a perfectly normal political development.
January 3, 2026 at 8:08 PM
Reposted by J. Emory Parker 🏳️‍🌈
I think, unfortunately, the "success" of the Venezuala operation + the previously reported planning for a Mexican operation means the Trump Administration is, unless meaningfully stopped, absolutely going to be invading Mexico. This simply cannot be treated as an empty threat
January 4, 2026 at 12:01 AM
Reposted by J. Emory Parker 🏳️‍🌈
The vast majority of Canadian crude is consumed in the Midwest, not the US Gulf Coast (where VZ oil will compete if it's allowed to flow again)

Canadian crude accounts for 100% of imported crude in the Midwest/Mountain regions because there are literally no other pipelines in.
January 3, 2026 at 10:03 PM
Reposted by J. Emory Parker 🏳️‍🌈
An immensely tired & uninformed take.

Canada currently:

- exports >4x Venezuelan crude shipments

- that supply is linked to American refineries by pipelines that travel one direction (south)

- no one is rushing into Venezuela to roll the dice *again* on whoever replaces Maduro
January 3, 2026 at 7:52 PM
The thing about Venezuelan oil is that it isn’t very high quality. It has to be refined a lot which makes it expensive. Venezuelan oil is a good deal when global oil is expensive but global oil isn’t very expensive right now. Nothing about this seems thought out at all.
January 4, 2026 at 12:01 AM
“The Constitution deliberately assigns to Congress-not the President-the power to decide when the United States will initiate hostilities against foreign sovereigns.”
Statement from Cato VP Clark Neily: Courts probably won't rule against the rendition. Yet Trump has chosen to bypass the constitutional provisions designed to cabin the president's powers in using force against other countries. And an indictment does not supply him with those powers.
January 3, 2026 at 11:53 PM
Reposted by J. Emory Parker 🏳️‍🌈
This is the situation room and there is one big screen up that shows a browser window with three tabs open, all of them on Twitter
Several of the photos have Twitter up on a screen in the background but I can’t make out what search term appears
January 3, 2026 at 7:48 PM