Jack Meyer
@jackbmeyer.bsky.social
Economic Historian & Political Economist Studying Institutions, Innovation, and Intellectual Property. MSc LSE Econ History, MPhil Student on leave from Oxford Econ (RT!=E)
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Jack Meyer
@jackbmeyer.bsky.social
· Nov 9
AI Might Not Be Taking Your Job Anytime Soon
But It’s Making It a Whole Lot Harder to Find a New One
open.substack.com
I've been thinking about artificial intelligence and the job market a lot recently, so I wrote a piece on what I see as the most immediate economic threat posed by generative AI (and it's not automation):
AI Might Not Be Taking Your Job Anytime Soon open.substack.com/pub/jackbmey...
AI Might Not Be Taking Your Job Anytime Soon open.substack.com/pub/jackbmey...
New Institutionalists on Christmas be like: “I can’t wait for Douglass North to come down the chimney with his bundle of institutions to deliver self-enforcing credible commitments and reduced transaction costs”
December 25, 2025 at 2:25 PM
New Institutionalists on Christmas be like: “I can’t wait for Douglass North to come down the chimney with his bundle of institutions to deliver self-enforcing credible commitments and reduced transaction costs”
Reposted by Jack Meyer
personally getting very irritated by the unbelievable arrogance of the data boys
when we said “defer electoral strategy to the actual politicians running for actual offices” we meant “after calculating wins above replacement somehow”
December 20, 2025 at 10:18 PM
personally getting very irritated by the unbelievable arrogance of the data boys
Reposted by Jack Meyer
it is 2022. I am watching people yell about the economic data & the vibecession discourse
it is 2023. I am watching people yell about the economic data & the vibecession discourse
it is 2024. I am watching people yell about the economic data & the vibecession discourse
it is 2025. I am watching...
it is 2023. I am watching people yell about the economic data & the vibecession discourse
it is 2024. I am watching people yell about the economic data & the vibecession discourse
it is 2025. I am watching...
December 19, 2025 at 11:21 PM
it is 2022. I am watching people yell about the economic data & the vibecession discourse
it is 2023. I am watching people yell about the economic data & the vibecession discourse
it is 2024. I am watching people yell about the economic data & the vibecession discourse
it is 2025. I am watching...
it is 2023. I am watching people yell about the economic data & the vibecession discourse
it is 2024. I am watching people yell about the economic data & the vibecession discourse
it is 2025. I am watching...
Reposted by Jack Meyer
Growth of real wage (purchasing power) has continued to be strong,* and broad-based, even as nominal wage growth has slowed.
*not affected very much by quirks in last month's CPI print.
*not affected very much by quirks in last month's CPI print.
December 19, 2025 at 7:53 PM
Growth of real wage (purchasing power) has continued to be strong,* and broad-based, even as nominal wage growth has slowed.
*not affected very much by quirks in last month's CPI print.
*not affected very much by quirks in last month's CPI print.
Reposted by Jack Meyer
New working paper 🚨🚨🚨
What was the origin of modern economic growth?
Joel Mokyr had a Nobel winning answer - growth took off when science and technology began to reinforce each other
But can we test this quantitatively?
This paper does so – read more ⬇️ 🧵
What was the origin of modern economic growth?
Joel Mokyr had a Nobel winning answer - growth took off when science and technology began to reinforce each other
But can we test this quantitatively?
This paper does so – read more ⬇️ 🧵
December 19, 2025 at 1:47 PM
New working paper 🚨🚨🚨
What was the origin of modern economic growth?
Joel Mokyr had a Nobel winning answer - growth took off when science and technology began to reinforce each other
But can we test this quantitatively?
This paper does so – read more ⬇️ 🧵
What was the origin of modern economic growth?
Joel Mokyr had a Nobel winning answer - growth took off when science and technology began to reinforce each other
But can we test this quantitatively?
This paper does so – read more ⬇️ 🧵
Like a lot of innovation driven growth, it’s looking like we're headed towards an employment polarization problem, with AI job creation concentrated at the high and low ends of the human capital and income distribution
December 19, 2025 at 5:45 PM
Like a lot of innovation driven growth, it’s looking like we're headed towards an employment polarization problem, with AI job creation concentrated at the high and low ends of the human capital and income distribution
Reposted by Jack Meyer
All research is exploratory if you’re confused enough
December 19, 2025 at 8:01 AM
All research is exploratory if you’re confused enough
Reposted by Jack Meyer
it is extremely funny that the American populace unironically treated the era of seeing of "help wanted" signs as a bad sign
I think the direction of travel matters. from 2020-22 we had a) the most generous welfare state in US history b) the tightest labor market in 60 years, and now both are gone and we are right back to ~2014 ish job market except interest rates are high
December 19, 2025 at 3:34 PM
it is extremely funny that the American populace unironically treated the era of seeing of "help wanted" signs as a bad sign
Plausible explanation for the deteriorating economic sentiment puzzle; for entry-level workers the problem hasn’t necessarily been fewer jobs, but difficulty matching to existing vacancies. Now, as the labor market cools, those frictions are starting to appear more in the headline employment numbers
December 19, 2025 at 4:47 PM
Plausible explanation for the deteriorating economic sentiment puzzle; for entry-level workers the problem hasn’t necessarily been fewer jobs, but difficulty matching to existing vacancies. Now, as the labor market cools, those frictions are starting to appear more in the headline employment numbers
Reposted by Jack Meyer
I feel like one of the most underrated explanations for what's happening right now in global politics is that almost everyone has lost their minds.
November 30, 2025 at 2:59 AM
I feel like one of the most underrated explanations for what's happening right now in global politics is that almost everyone has lost their minds.
Stadiums offer an interesting look into the structure of beer markets from brewers and distributors, to vendors and consumers. It’s no surprise a major figure in antitrust like Lina Khan would have an issue like the price of beer in a captured market on her agenda. open.substack.com/pub/jackbmey...
Working Draft: Beer Market Structure
Capture, Concentration, and Anti-Trust
open.substack.com
November 30, 2025 at 11:02 AM
Stadiums offer an interesting look into the structure of beer markets from brewers and distributors, to vendors and consumers. It’s no surprise a major figure in antitrust like Lina Khan would have an issue like the price of beer in a captured market on her agenda. open.substack.com/pub/jackbmey...
Reposted by Jack Meyer
ChatGPT has fallen
millions of students must learn
millions of students must learn
November 18, 2025 at 1:48 PM
ChatGPT has fallen
millions of students must learn
millions of students must learn
Reposted by Jack Meyer
I've been thinking about artificial intelligence and the job market a lot recently, so I wrote a piece on what I see as the most immediate economic threat posed by generative AI (and it's not automation):
AI Might Not Be Taking Your Job Anytime Soon open.substack.com/pub/jackbmey...
AI Might Not Be Taking Your Job Anytime Soon open.substack.com/pub/jackbmey...
AI Might Not Be Taking Your Job Anytime Soon
But It’s Making It a Whole Lot Harder to Find a New One
open.substack.com
November 9, 2025 at 11:31 AM
I've been thinking about artificial intelligence and the job market a lot recently, so I wrote a piece on what I see as the most immediate economic threat posed by generative AI (and it's not automation):
AI Might Not Be Taking Your Job Anytime Soon open.substack.com/pub/jackbmey...
AI Might Not Be Taking Your Job Anytime Soon open.substack.com/pub/jackbmey...
Reposted by Jack Meyer
tariff poasting still going well I see
April 5, 2025 at 1:02 PM
tariff poasting still going well I see
Reposted by Jack Meyer
The geniuses at DOGE are bringing us insights like "I'm not really sure why the tax agency for a country of 330 million people has a larger staff than a midsize bank"
March 23, 2025 at 9:07 PM
The geniuses at DOGE are bringing us insights like "I'm not really sure why the tax agency for a country of 330 million people has a larger staff than a midsize bank"
Grateful for the opportunity to present my research on the economics of patent disclosure reform to an interdisciplinary audience, many thanks to
St Peter’s College for hosting
St Peter’s College for hosting
March 12, 2025 at 3:57 PM
Grateful for the opportunity to present my research on the economics of patent disclosure reform to an interdisciplinary audience, many thanks to
St Peter’s College for hosting
St Peter’s College for hosting
Reposted by Jack Meyer
remember stuff like this when they tell you that diversity means a lowering of standards
robert f. kennedy jr. submits his application to harvard university. his application is, in its entirety, a single page with his name "Robert F. Kennedy Jr."
he is accepted immediately.
he is accepted immediately.
January 29, 2025 at 4:32 PM
remember stuff like this when they tell you that diversity means a lowering of standards
Reposted by Jack Meyer
babe wake up the president is going to start a diplomatic war with Colombia
January 26, 2025 at 6:50 PM
babe wake up the president is going to start a diplomatic war with Colombia
Explaining to my coauthor that maybe what we really need to set our paper proposal apart is a novel (and somewhat dubious) instrument
January 26, 2025 at 5:48 PM
Explaining to my coauthor that maybe what we really need to set our paper proposal apart is a novel (and somewhat dubious) instrument
Reposted by Jack Meyer
“we must substantively engage with obviously specious and disingenuous claims as long as there is a veneer academic inquiry” is why we’re in a place where scientific racism can circulate in the mainstream
January 24, 2025 at 5:43 PM
“we must substantively engage with obviously specious and disingenuous claims as long as there is a veneer academic inquiry” is why we’re in a place where scientific racism can circulate in the mainstream
How it feels to do all my analysis in base R
January 24, 2025 at 12:15 PM
How it feels to do all my analysis in base R
It’s a bit of a bummer to have to go back and edit a research proposal to remove or revise any mentions of federal climate and environmental programs that as of the last week no longer exist
January 23, 2025 at 2:14 PM
It’s a bit of a bummer to have to go back and edit a research proposal to remove or revise any mentions of federal climate and environmental programs that as of the last week no longer exist
Reposted by Jack Meyer
