Gianmarco Daniele
@giammacco.bsky.social
Associate Prof. University of Milan - CLEAN Unit at Bocconi University
Reposted by Gianmarco Daniele
So I crossed the border from Germany to France today and the journey took around 30 minutes longer than I was used to cause we had to go through border checks. This is now a daily routine for commuters living in the German border regions.
July 7, 2025 at 9:04 PM
So I crossed the border from Germany to France today and the journey took around 30 minutes longer than I was used to cause we had to go through border checks. This is now a daily routine for commuters living in the German border regions.
Reposted by Gianmarco Daniele
An unpopular view: new diff-in-diff methods have been a setback for empirical work. I see an increased flow of papers that do 5 variants of them plus extensive torturing of parallel trends robustness to "prove" that a weak research design is solid. That effort could've been spent more productively
June 18, 2025 at 3:53 PM
An unpopular view: new diff-in-diff methods have been a setback for empirical work. I see an increased flow of papers that do 5 variants of them plus extensive torturing of parallel trends robustness to "prove" that a weak research design is solid. That effort could've been spent more productively
Reposted by Gianmarco Daniele
We were lucky enough to have our YouGov/The Economist poll in field when the US bombed Iranian nuclear facilities. You can see the partisan realignment in real time
June 27, 2025 at 11:33 AM
We were lucky enough to have our YouGov/The Economist poll in field when the US bombed Iranian nuclear facilities. You can see the partisan realignment in real time
Reposted by Gianmarco Daniele
Britain has no idea - in terms of its self-image, not economists obviously - what economy it actually has
One of my favourite facts to point out is: at over £8bn annually, the *videogames industry* is more than twice as valuable to the UK economy as fishing and steel combined.
One of my favourite facts to point out is: at over £8bn annually, the *videogames industry* is more than twice as valuable to the UK economy as fishing and steel combined.
Men are extremely keen to explain to me that Britain *needs* a domestic steel production plant and doesn't necessarily *need* universities. Okay. Steel contributed about £1.7bn to the UK economy in 2024. Universities contributed more than £200bn.
May 29, 2025 at 9:46 AM
Britain has no idea - in terms of its self-image, not economists obviously - what economy it actually has
One of my favourite facts to point out is: at over £8bn annually, the *videogames industry* is more than twice as valuable to the UK economy as fishing and steel combined.
One of my favourite facts to point out is: at over £8bn annually, the *videogames industry* is more than twice as valuable to the UK economy as fishing and steel combined.
🚨New paper on a neglected topic: women in jail.
In most countries, women are held in female sections of male prisons or in women-only prisons.
Using data from Italy and quasi-random assignment, we find women-only prisons cut recidivism by up to 16pp.
In most countries, women are held in female sections of male prisons or in women-only prisons.
Using data from Italy and quasi-random assignment, we find women-only prisons cut recidivism by up to 16pp.
May 14, 2025 at 11:08 AM
🚨New paper on a neglected topic: women in jail.
In most countries, women are held in female sections of male prisons or in women-only prisons.
Using data from Italy and quasi-random assignment, we find women-only prisons cut recidivism by up to 16pp.
In most countries, women are held in female sections of male prisons or in women-only prisons.
Using data from Italy and quasi-random assignment, we find women-only prisons cut recidivism by up to 16pp.
Reposted by Gianmarco Daniele
grossly incompetent to voters -- who would then have less reason to desert it. As is usually the case, stronger constraint *reduce* the cost of voting for "bad" politicians.
There is, in fact, another twist to this argument. Citizens may well have incentives www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
There is, in fact, another twist to this argument. Citizens may well have incentives www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Does the winner take it all? Federal policies and political extremism
Whether citizens like or dislike federal policies often depends on regional differences. Because of geography, (economic) history or other path-depend…
www.sciencedirect.com
April 17, 2025 at 9:18 AM
grossly incompetent to voters -- who would then have less reason to desert it. As is usually the case, stronger constraint *reduce* the cost of voting for "bad" politicians.
There is, in fact, another twist to this argument. Citizens may well have incentives www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
There is, in fact, another twist to this argument. Citizens may well have incentives www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
@voxeu.org
coverage of our paper on the selection and consequences of criminal politicians in Brazil:
- criminally charged individuals are 2x more likely to enter politics:
- negative effects on patronage and in turn, local public health
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
coverage of our paper on the selection and consequences of criminal politicians in Brazil:
- criminally charged individuals are 2x more likely to enter politics:
- negative effects on patronage and in turn, local public health
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
Criminal charges and political selection: Evidence on electoral outcomes and policy failures from Brazil
The quality of political leadership is a central determinant of state capacity. This column studies the prevalence and impact of candidates with criminal backgrounds holding public office in Brazil. Individuals who have been charged with a crime are twice as likely to run for office and to be elected, a pattern that persists across political parties and levels of government. Electing mayors with criminal behaviour in their past increases the incidence of political patronage and worsens public health outcomes such as underweight births and infant mortality.
cepr.org
April 8, 2025 at 12:46 PM
@voxeu.org
coverage of our paper on the selection and consequences of criminal politicians in Brazil:
- criminally charged individuals are 2x more likely to enter politics:
- negative effects on patronage and in turn, local public health
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
coverage of our paper on the selection and consequences of criminal politicians in Brazil:
- criminally charged individuals are 2x more likely to enter politics:
- negative effects on patronage and in turn, local public health
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
Reposted by Gianmarco Daniele
📢 Big thanks to @giammacco.bsky.social (Milan/Bocconi) for today’s seminar at @econuniofbath.bsky.social
Title: Legal trade exposure and illicit drug trafficking
Sparked a rich and thought-provoking discussion. See you next time!
Title: Legal trade exposure and illicit drug trafficking
Sparked a rich and thought-provoking discussion. See you next time!
March 28, 2025 at 5:18 PM
📢 Big thanks to @giammacco.bsky.social (Milan/Bocconi) for today’s seminar at @econuniofbath.bsky.social
Title: Legal trade exposure and illicit drug trafficking
Sparked a rich and thought-provoking discussion. See you next time!
Title: Legal trade exposure and illicit drug trafficking
Sparked a rich and thought-provoking discussion. See you next time!
Reposted by Gianmarco Daniele
Dr @giammacco.bsky.social from Università degli Studi di Milano will visit the @uolmanschool.bsky.social on 1 April to present his paper: 'International Trade Shocks and Illicit Drug Trafficking'
➡️ www.liverpool.ac.uk/economics/ev...
#Economics #ECON
➡️ www.liverpool.ac.uk/economics/ev...
#Economics #ECON
March 26, 2025 at 11:36 AM
Dr @giammacco.bsky.social from Università degli Studi di Milano will visit the @uolmanschool.bsky.social on 1 April to present his paper: 'International Trade Shocks and Illicit Drug Trafficking'
➡️ www.liverpool.ac.uk/economics/ev...
#Economics #ECON
➡️ www.liverpool.ac.uk/economics/ev...
#Economics #ECON
We wrote a piece for Le Monde (with Olivie Marie and Paolo Pinotti) on the (lack of) link between crime and migration.
« Il n’y a pas de lien de cause à effet entre l’immigration et la hausse de la criminalité »
Here the link (in 🇫🇷):
www.lemonde.fr/idees/articl....
« Il n’y a pas de lien de cause à effet entre l’immigration et la hausse de la criminalité »
Here the link (in 🇫🇷):
www.lemonde.fr/idees/articl....
Gianmarco Daniele, Olivier Marie et Paolo Pinotti, économistes : « Il n’y a pas de lien de cause à effet entre l’immigration et la hausse de la criminalité »
TRIBUNE. Alimentée tant par certains médias que par certains acteurs politiques, cette idée tenace relève du mythe. A l’inverse, les mesures qui criminalisent les immigrés en situation irrégulière ou ...
www.lemonde.fr
March 24, 2025 at 3:52 PM
We wrote a piece for Le Monde (with Olivie Marie and Paolo Pinotti) on the (lack of) link between crime and migration.
« Il n’y a pas de lien de cause à effet entre l’immigration et la hausse de la criminalité »
Here the link (in 🇫🇷):
www.lemonde.fr/idees/articl....
« Il n’y a pas de lien de cause à effet entre l’immigration et la hausse de la criminalité »
Here the link (in 🇫🇷):
www.lemonde.fr/idees/articl....
Reposted by Gianmarco Daniele
"I’m the Canadian who was detained by Ice for two weeks. It felt like I had been kidnapped"
www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...
www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...
I’m the Canadian who was detained by Ice for two weeks. It felt like I had been kidnapped
I was stuck in a freezing cell without explanation despite eventually having lawyers and media attention. Yet, compared with others, I was lucky
www.theguardian.com
March 19, 2025 at 10:58 AM
"I’m the Canadian who was detained by Ice for two weeks. It felt like I had been kidnapped"
www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...
www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...
Reposted by Gianmarco Daniele
I’m the Canadian who was detained by Ice for two weeks. It felt like I had been kidnapped
I’m the Canadian who was detained by Ice for two weeks. It felt like I had been kidnapped
I was stuck in a freezing cell without explanation despite eventually having lawyers and media attention. Yet, compared with others, I was lucky
www.theguardian.com
March 19, 2025 at 10:16 AM
I’m the Canadian who was detained by Ice for two weeks. It felt like I had been kidnapped
Reposted by Gianmarco Daniele
I just can't get it out of my head why this isn't a much bigger story. I guess it's because people are generally so totally cynical about US politics already.
March 5, 2025 at 3:24 PM
I just can't get it out of my head why this isn't a much bigger story. I guess it's because people are generally so totally cynical about US politics already.
Reposted by Gianmarco Daniele
Just published in @jpube.bsky.social:
"How in-person conversations shape political polarization: Quasi-experimental evidence from a nationwide initiative"
By @ximengfang.bsky.social, Sven Heuser, & Lasse Stoetzer
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti... #econsky
"How in-person conversations shape political polarization: Quasi-experimental evidence from a nationwide initiative"
By @ximengfang.bsky.social, Sven Heuser, & Lasse Stoetzer
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti... #econsky
February 23, 2025 at 7:42 PM
Just published in @jpube.bsky.social:
"How in-person conversations shape political polarization: Quasi-experimental evidence from a nationwide initiative"
By @ximengfang.bsky.social, Sven Heuser, & Lasse Stoetzer
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti... #econsky
"How in-person conversations shape political polarization: Quasi-experimental evidence from a nationwide initiative"
By @ximengfang.bsky.social, Sven Heuser, & Lasse Stoetzer
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti... #econsky
Reposted by Gianmarco Daniele
At @jeppjournal.bsky.social, we're collating collections on important topics.
Here are 10 largely empirical papers published in JEPP on 'Public Legitimacy in and about the EU'.
Please do recommend others we might have missed! Room for plenty more.
www.tandfonline.com/journals/rjp...
Here are 10 largely empirical papers published in JEPP on 'Public Legitimacy in and about the EU'.
Please do recommend others we might have missed! Room for plenty more.
www.tandfonline.com/journals/rjp...
Public Legitimacy in and about the EU
Explore the article collection: Public Legitimacy in and about the EU. Published in Journal of European Public Policy.
www.tandfonline.com
January 29, 2025 at 2:47 PM
At @jeppjournal.bsky.social, we're collating collections on important topics.
Here are 10 largely empirical papers published in JEPP on 'Public Legitimacy in and about the EU'.
Please do recommend others we might have missed! Room for plenty more.
www.tandfonline.com/journals/rjp...
Here are 10 largely empirical papers published in JEPP on 'Public Legitimacy in and about the EU'.
Please do recommend others we might have missed! Room for plenty more.
www.tandfonline.com/journals/rjp...
Reposted by Gianmarco Daniele
Study finds elected Italian female mayors are 3x more likely to experience a violent attack than their male equivalents. Attacks on women in politics are designed as a signal to all women to stay out of politics and public life. @giammacco.bsky.social
theconversation.com/why-are-fema...
theconversation.com/why-are-fema...
Why are female politicians more often targeted with violence? New findings confirm depressing suspicions
A study of Italian mayors made it possible to compare the experiences of politicians with identical characteristics other than their gender.
theconversation.com
November 26, 2024 at 6:29 PM
Study finds elected Italian female mayors are 3x more likely to experience a violent attack than their male equivalents. Attacks on women in politics are designed as a signal to all women to stay out of politics and public life. @giammacco.bsky.social
theconversation.com/why-are-fema...
theconversation.com/why-are-fema...
Reposted by Gianmarco Daniele
NEW: analysis of millions of books published over the centuries suggests western society is shifting away from a culture of progress, and towards one of caution, worry and risk-aversion.
I think this is one of the most important challenges facing us today.
I think this is one of the most important challenges facing us today.
January 5, 2024 at 12:00 PM
NEW: analysis of millions of books published over the centuries suggests western society is shifting away from a culture of progress, and towards one of caution, worry and risk-aversion.
I think this is one of the most important challenges facing us today.
I think this is one of the most important challenges facing us today.