Daniel Devine
@danjdevine.bsky.social
public opinion, behaviour, attitudes, &c.
Associate Prof, @sotonpolitics.bsky.social; Assoc. Editor, @poqjournal.bsky.social & @jeppjournal.bsky.social
ColU, Pompey, music, books, & pubs
https://djdevine.org
Associate Prof, @sotonpolitics.bsky.social; Assoc. Editor, @poqjournal.bsky.social & @jeppjournal.bsky.social
ColU, Pompey, music, books, & pubs
https://djdevine.org
Reposted by Daniel Devine
under my regime if a company uses the term “tools” to refer to something without measurable weight which cannot be physically brandished and used as a weapon, that company will be dissolved and its assets seized
November 10, 2025 at 9:32 AM
under my regime if a company uses the term “tools” to refer to something without measurable weight which cannot be physically brandished and used as a weapon, that company will be dissolved and its assets seized
We're now over halfway through our @sotonpolitics.bsky.social department seminars!
It's been such a good line-up and very grateful for all those who've joined us - today @dafnoukos.bsky.social and last week Peter Dinesen.
It's been such a good line-up and very grateful for all those who've joined us - today @dafnoukos.bsky.social and last week Peter Dinesen.
November 5, 2025 at 3:53 PM
We're now over halfway through our @sotonpolitics.bsky.social department seminars!
It's been such a good line-up and very grateful for all those who've joined us - today @dafnoukos.bsky.social and last week Peter Dinesen.
It's been such a good line-up and very grateful for all those who've joined us - today @dafnoukos.bsky.social and last week Peter Dinesen.
Reposted by Daniel Devine
🚨 EPSS Belfast 2026 Call for Papers - One week to go! 🚨
Don't forget to submit your paper or panel proposal to the European Political Science Society @epssnet.bsky.social 2026 conference - just one week to go before the deadline: epssnet.org/belfast-2026...
Don't forget to submit your paper or panel proposal to the European Political Science Society @epssnet.bsky.social 2026 conference - just one week to go before the deadline: epssnet.org/belfast-2026...
Call for Papers | EPSS Belfast 2026 Conference
Submit your abstract or full paper for EPSS Belfast 2026. Share cutting‑edge political science research, network with peers & contribute to academic impact.
epssnet.org
October 31, 2025 at 2:00 PM
🚨 EPSS Belfast 2026 Call for Papers - One week to go! 🚨
Don't forget to submit your paper or panel proposal to the European Political Science Society @epssnet.bsky.social 2026 conference - just one week to go before the deadline: epssnet.org/belfast-2026...
Don't forget to submit your paper or panel proposal to the European Political Science Society @epssnet.bsky.social 2026 conference - just one week to go before the deadline: epssnet.org/belfast-2026...
Reposted by Daniel Devine
Are you, or do you know, someone who wants to do a PhD?
Applications are open for full funding (scholarship + maintenance) @sotonpolitics.bsky.social through the @scdtp.bsky.social
Get in touch if you're interested
southcoastdtp.ac.uk/apply/
Applications are open for full funding (scholarship + maintenance) @sotonpolitics.bsky.social through the @scdtp.bsky.social
Get in touch if you're interested
southcoastdtp.ac.uk/apply/
Apply - South Coast Doctoral Training Partnership
Our call for applications for studentships commencing in 2026/27 is now open (from 26th January 2025, 12:00am) The deadline for application is 17:00 GMT 16th Jan 2026. Below are our current applicatio...
southcoastdtp.ac.uk
September 29, 2025 at 2:08 PM
Are you, or do you know, someone who wants to do a PhD?
Applications are open for full funding (scholarship + maintenance) @sotonpolitics.bsky.social through the @scdtp.bsky.social
Get in touch if you're interested
southcoastdtp.ac.uk/apply/
Applications are open for full funding (scholarship + maintenance) @sotonpolitics.bsky.social through the @scdtp.bsky.social
Get in touch if you're interested
southcoastdtp.ac.uk/apply/
What a complete failure of the Labour Party.
Also remarkable: the polarisation of young UK voters. Top two parties supported now Reform and Greens
on.ft.com/4qKurLm Young Britons’ attitudes hardening on crime and welfare
on.ft.com/4qKurLm Young Britons’ attitudes hardening on crime and welfare
November 3, 2025 at 1:28 PM
What a complete failure of the Labour Party.
Unrelated to this post, but: talking about 'class' is the single most effective, cost-free change Labour could make to improve their support.
'Alarm clock Britain' is remarkably hackneyed, cliched and - frankly - dull - phraseology from someone who is meant to be good at this stuff.
November 3, 2025 at 10:48 AM
Unrelated to this post, but: talking about 'class' is the single most effective, cost-free change Labour could make to improve their support.
Reposted by Daniel Devine
Happy, alongside @emiliabelknap.bsky.social, to make my debut contribution with the fantastic folks at @ukandeu.bsky.social
Emilia & I use data from @britishelectionstudy.com to correct the atomistic fallacy in people's understanding the Reform UK gender gap
ukandeu.ac.uk/most-british...
Emilia & I use data from @britishelectionstudy.com to correct the atomistic fallacy in people's understanding the Reform UK gender gap
ukandeu.ac.uk/most-british...
Most British young men reject the far right - UK in a changing Europe
Emilia Belknap and Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte explain their analysis on the demographics of Reform UK voters in the UK. They argue that while the dominant narrative is that young men are the most likely ...
ukandeu.ac.uk
October 30, 2025 at 9:42 AM
Happy, alongside @emiliabelknap.bsky.social, to make my debut contribution with the fantastic folks at @ukandeu.bsky.social
Emilia & I use data from @britishelectionstudy.com to correct the atomistic fallacy in people's understanding the Reform UK gender gap
ukandeu.ac.uk/most-british...
Emilia & I use data from @britishelectionstudy.com to correct the atomistic fallacy in people's understanding the Reform UK gender gap
ukandeu.ac.uk/most-british...
Reposted by Daniel Devine
Our findings suggest that, even though working-class backgrounds have always been underrepresented, not only the level but also the nature of this underrepresentation has changed. Today's working-class politicians are much more likely to have exited the working class before entering politics.
October 29, 2025 at 9:55 AM
Our findings suggest that, even though working-class backgrounds have always been underrepresented, not only the level but also the nature of this underrepresentation has changed. Today's working-class politicians are much more likely to have exited the working class before entering politics.
Reposted by Daniel Devine
One key result is that, among Social Democratic ministers with a working-class background, there has been a shift: Today, most of those individuals experienced upward class mobility *before* entering politics, whereas the picture was much more balanced in the early post-war era:
October 29, 2025 at 9:55 AM
One key result is that, among Social Democratic ministers with a working-class background, there has been a shift: Today, most of those individuals experienced upward class mobility *before* entering politics, whereas the picture was much more balanced in the early post-war era:
Reposted by Daniel Devine
🚨New paper out in @jeppjournal.bsky.social: doi.org/10.1080/1350...
@manuelwagner.bsky.social & I re-conceptualize class representation to take into account social mobility between classes and variation in how individuals enter politics.
@manuelwagner.bsky.social & I re-conceptualize class representation to take into account social mobility between classes and variation in how individuals enter politics.
October 29, 2025 at 9:55 AM
🚨New paper out in @jeppjournal.bsky.social: doi.org/10.1080/1350...
@manuelwagner.bsky.social & I re-conceptualize class representation to take into account social mobility between classes and variation in how individuals enter politics.
@manuelwagner.bsky.social & I re-conceptualize class representation to take into account social mobility between classes and variation in how individuals enter politics.
Another great @jeppjournal.bsky.social paper I'm happy to have edited is out here, on workers' descriptive representation, by @manuelwagner.bsky.social and @laurenzennser.bsky.social
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
October 28, 2025 at 5:20 PM
Another great @jeppjournal.bsky.social paper I'm happy to have edited is out here, on workers' descriptive representation, by @manuelwagner.bsky.social and @laurenzennser.bsky.social
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Reposted by Daniel Devine
In Southampton yesterday there was a national call (via Turning Point, Tommy Robinson, etc) for an anti-migrant rally.
Very happy that even at short notice that march was outnumbered by about 50%.
Very happy that even at short notice that march was outnumbered by about 50%.
October 27, 2025 at 8:32 AM
In Southampton yesterday there was a national call (via Turning Point, Tommy Robinson, etc) for an anti-migrant rally.
Very happy that even at short notice that march was outnumbered by about 50%.
Very happy that even at short notice that march was outnumbered by about 50%.
The last week has been *long* but I'm happy to be reflecting on such great questions and hospitality @uu-polisci.bsky.social - thanks again!
This week, @uu-polisci.bsky.social were lucky to host @danjdevine.bsky.social from and learn more about his exciting new research on accent-based candidate evaluation.
October 27, 2025 at 10:51 AM
The last week has been *long* but I'm happy to be reflecting on such great questions and hospitality @uu-polisci.bsky.social - thanks again!
In Southampton yesterday there was a national call (via Turning Point, Tommy Robinson, etc) for an anti-migrant rally.
Very happy that even at short notice that march was outnumbered by about 50%.
Very happy that even at short notice that march was outnumbered by about 50%.
October 27, 2025 at 8:32 AM
In Southampton yesterday there was a national call (via Turning Point, Tommy Robinson, etc) for an anti-migrant rally.
Very happy that even at short notice that march was outnumbered by about 50%.
Very happy that even at short notice that march was outnumbered by about 50%.
Reposted by Daniel Devine
Many studies attribute the success of right-wing parties to sexism.
What is sexism? How is it measured? How does it influence elections?
My systematic review of studies on sexism as a predictor of political behavior and attitudes is about to appear in @poqjournal.bsky.social!
1/7
What is sexism? How is it measured? How does it influence elections?
My systematic review of studies on sexism as a predictor of political behavior and attitudes is about to appear in @poqjournal.bsky.social!
1/7
October 27, 2025 at 7:42 AM
Many studies attribute the success of right-wing parties to sexism.
What is sexism? How is it measured? How does it influence elections?
My systematic review of studies on sexism as a predictor of political behavior and attitudes is about to appear in @poqjournal.bsky.social!
1/7
What is sexism? How is it measured? How does it influence elections?
My systematic review of studies on sexism as a predictor of political behavior and attitudes is about to appear in @poqjournal.bsky.social!
1/7
Reposted by Daniel Devine
A day in my life as an MP (with my beautiful wife) 👇
October 27, 2025 at 8:15 AM
A day in my life as an MP (with my beautiful wife) 👇
Reposted by Daniel Devine
🆕 Is representation out of touch? 🤔
Nino Junius & Stefaan Walgrave comment on a #RepresentationGap between high and low SES backgrounds in politics, suggesting that those who benefit the most from inclusion in their personal networks often lack it the most. 🤝
#OA 📖
Nino Junius & Stefaan Walgrave comment on a #RepresentationGap between high and low SES backgrounds in politics, suggesting that those who benefit the most from inclusion in their personal networks often lack it the most. 🤝
#OA 📖
Are elected representatives’ intimate ties representative? Examining their socio-economic status in 13 countries | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core
Are elected representatives’ intimate ties representative? Examining their socio-economic status in 13 countries
buff.ly
October 24, 2025 at 2:05 PM
🆕 Is representation out of touch? 🤔
Nino Junius & Stefaan Walgrave comment on a #RepresentationGap between high and low SES backgrounds in politics, suggesting that those who benefit the most from inclusion in their personal networks often lack it the most. 🤝
#OA 📖
Nino Junius & Stefaan Walgrave comment on a #RepresentationGap between high and low SES backgrounds in politics, suggesting that those who benefit the most from inclusion in their personal networks often lack it the most. 🤝
#OA 📖
Reposted by Daniel Devine
Would you trust politicians to use AI to help them with their work? What about a robot making decisions for them?
My colleagues Martin Ejnar Hansen, Yosuke Sunahara and I find out in Parliamentary Affairs!
doi.org/10.1093/pa/g...
@hansardsociety.bsky.social @ukparliament.parliament.uk
My colleagues Martin Ejnar Hansen, Yosuke Sunahara and I find out in Parliamentary Affairs!
doi.org/10.1093/pa/g...
@hansardsociety.bsky.social @ukparliament.parliament.uk
October 23, 2025 at 3:01 PM
Would you trust politicians to use AI to help them with their work? What about a robot making decisions for them?
My colleagues Martin Ejnar Hansen, Yosuke Sunahara and I find out in Parliamentary Affairs!
doi.org/10.1093/pa/g...
@hansardsociety.bsky.social @ukparliament.parliament.uk
My colleagues Martin Ejnar Hansen, Yosuke Sunahara and I find out in Parliamentary Affairs!
doi.org/10.1093/pa/g...
@hansardsociety.bsky.social @ukparliament.parliament.uk
This is at a time when universities are turning more to grant capture as the primary currency for promotion etc (usually regardless of what you do with it)
After submitting a FOIA request UKRI, I obtained success rates by three grant call scheme and I can only say that I am disheartened by the results:
- AHRC Responsive Mode 2025: 2%
- ESRC New Investigator Grant 2025: 1%
- ESRC Research Grant Round 2025: 1%
- AHRC Responsive Mode 2025: 2%
- ESRC New Investigator Grant 2025: 1%
- ESRC Research Grant Round 2025: 1%
October 23, 2025 at 12:01 PM
This is at a time when universities are turning more to grant capture as the primary currency for promotion etc (usually regardless of what you do with it)
Reposted by Daniel Devine
Found this (from @yougov.co.uk polling a year ago) fascinating. Politicians love to do the 'prolier than thou' thing (eg Badenoch 'becoming working class' by working in McDonalds 😂 and Starmer's dad being a toolmaker🙄), yet the electorate still tends to think they want to be seen as middle class.
October 23, 2025 at 5:52 AM
Found this (from @yougov.co.uk polling a year ago) fascinating. Politicians love to do the 'prolier than thou' thing (eg Badenoch 'becoming working class' by working in McDonalds 😂 and Starmer's dad being a toolmaker🙄), yet the electorate still tends to think they want to be seen as middle class.
Reposted by Daniel Devine
Pleased to see this out in print - detailing MAIHDA's desirable statistical properties.
"MAIHDA is especially valuable when inequalities are subtle or data for marginalised intersections are sparse - conditions common in practice"
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
@clarerevans.bsky.social
"MAIHDA is especially valuable when inequalities are subtle or data for marginalised intersections are sparse - conditions common in practice"
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
@clarerevans.bsky.social
The Statistical Advantages of Multilevel Analysis of Individual Heterogeneity and Discriminatory Accuracy for Estimating Intersectional Inequalities - George Leckie, Andrew Bell, Juan Merlo, SV Subram...
Multilevel Analysis of Individual Heterogeneity and Discriminatory Accuracy (MAIHDA) is a multilevel regression approach grounded in intersectionality theory. I...
journals.sagepub.com
October 22, 2025 at 4:00 PM
Pleased to see this out in print - detailing MAIHDA's desirable statistical properties.
"MAIHDA is especially valuable when inequalities are subtle or data for marginalised intersections are sparse - conditions common in practice"
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
@clarerevans.bsky.social
"MAIHDA is especially valuable when inequalities are subtle or data for marginalised intersections are sparse - conditions common in practice"
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
@clarerevans.bsky.social
Reposted by Daniel Devine
Today’s @sotonpolitics.bsky.social seminar will include these vegan birthday biscuit bars: dark chocolate, pecan, sea salt. #poliskybakes
October 22, 2025 at 7:16 AM
Today’s @sotonpolitics.bsky.social seminar will include these vegan birthday biscuit bars: dark chocolate, pecan, sea salt. #poliskybakes
I dunno, guys, but apart from the total moral, ethical, and policy void that is the Labour Party, surely all they need to do is look at the polling to know it isn't working?
Our latest Westminster voting intention (19-20 Oct) has the Greens on their highest figure ever recorded by YouGov
Reform UK: 26% (-1 from 12-13 Oct)
Labour: 20% (=)
Conservatives: 17% (=)
Lib Dems: 15% (-1)
Greens: 15% (+2)
SNP: 4% (+1)
yougov.co.uk/topics/polit...
Reform UK: 26% (-1 from 12-13 Oct)
Labour: 20% (=)
Conservatives: 17% (=)
Lib Dems: 15% (-1)
Greens: 15% (+2)
SNP: 4% (+1)
yougov.co.uk/topics/polit...
October 21, 2025 at 12:24 PM
I dunno, guys, but apart from the total moral, ethical, and policy void that is the Labour Party, surely all they need to do is look at the polling to know it isn't working?