Daniel Devine
@danjdevine.bsky.social
public opinion, behaviour, attitudes, &c.
Associate Prof, @sotonpolitics.bsky.social; Assoc. Editor, @poqjournal.bsky.social & @jeppjournal.bsky.social
ColU, Pompey, music, books, & pubs
https://djdevine.org
Associate Prof, @sotonpolitics.bsky.social; Assoc. Editor, @poqjournal.bsky.social & @jeppjournal.bsky.social
ColU, Pompey, music, books, & pubs
https://djdevine.org
Reposted by Daniel Devine
🙏 Humility for being entrusted with the task of steering such a precious ship. Gratitude for such a stellar team that runs JEPP as if they had done nothing else before. Asya, @danjdevine.bsky.social, Martin, @twinzen.bsky.social, @vanghel.bsky.social, and @koblischke.bsky.social: you truly rock 🕺
December 19, 2025 at 5:38 PM
🙏 Humility for being entrusted with the task of steering such a precious ship. Gratitude for such a stellar team that runs JEPP as if they had done nothing else before. Asya, @danjdevine.bsky.social, Martin, @twinzen.bsky.social, @vanghel.bsky.social, and @koblischke.bsky.social: you truly rock 🕺
Reposted by Daniel Devine
What role did/does/could/should faith play in shaping our national identities? With Prof Linda Woodhead and great panel. Book here👇
Faith and England’s National Identities
Launch Event (online)
www.eventbrite.co.uk
December 19, 2025 at 1:09 PM
What role did/does/could/should faith play in shaping our national identities? With Prof Linda Woodhead and great panel. Book here👇
Reposted by Daniel Devine
Really fascinating piece of survey research by @chrisclaassen.bsky.social and @danjdevine.bsky.social. Conclusion: "So for political parties, openly criticising empire is not a winning strategy. It yields only minimal gains on the left while antagonising and mobilising voters on the right."
Study shows views of British empire shape voting behaviour – but in subtle ways
Imperial nostalgia correlates strongly with support beyond the main parties: positively with Reform and negatively with the Greens.
theconversation.com
December 19, 2025 at 9:44 AM
Really fascinating piece of survey research by @chrisclaassen.bsky.social and @danjdevine.bsky.social. Conclusion: "So for political parties, openly criticising empire is not a winning strategy. It yields only minimal gains on the left while antagonising and mobilising voters on the right."
Reposted by Daniel Devine
New paper out w/ @tomwgvdmeer.bsky.social & @hakhverdian.bsky.social in @epsrjournal.bsky.social. We show that political trust dynamics matter for electoral behavior. While stable and variable distrusters behave similarly, declining trust boosts both abstention and anti-establishment voting. 🧵
December 17, 2025 at 3:21 PM
New paper out w/ @tomwgvdmeer.bsky.social & @hakhverdian.bsky.social in @epsrjournal.bsky.social. We show that political trust dynamics matter for electoral behavior. While stable and variable distrusters behave similarly, declining trust boosts both abstention and anti-establishment voting. 🧵
Also a useful reminder that ~half the country don't know who Zack Polanski is, or at least enough to know whether they like him.
There's a good chance that many expressing some opinion are also making it up.
There's a good chance that many expressing some opinion are also making it up.
Latest party leader net favourability ratings, December 2025
Kemi Badenoch: -26
Nigel Farage: -35
Keir Starmer: -54
Zack Polanski: -6 (49% DK)
Ed Davey: -10 (38% DK)
yougov.co.uk/politics/art...
Kemi Badenoch: -26
Nigel Farage: -35
Keir Starmer: -54
Zack Polanski: -6 (49% DK)
Ed Davey: -10 (38% DK)
yougov.co.uk/politics/art...
December 17, 2025 at 12:05 PM
Also a useful reminder that ~half the country don't know who Zack Polanski is, or at least enough to know whether they like him.
There's a good chance that many expressing some opinion are also making it up.
There's a good chance that many expressing some opinion are also making it up.
The latest in the deluge of evidence that Labour are not only barking up the wrong tree but on the entirely wrong planet.
🚨 NEW BLOG
Labour have won every election in Wales for 100 years, but they are on track to (badly) lose the 2026 Senedd election - why?
@jaclarner.bsky.social and I have looked at new data, which shows how support is shifting within (not between) Wales's blocs!
blogs.cardiff.ac.uk/thinking-wal...
Labour have won every election in Wales for 100 years, but they are on track to (badly) lose the 2026 Senedd election - why?
@jaclarner.bsky.social and I have looked at new data, which shows how support is shifting within (not between) Wales's blocs!
blogs.cardiff.ac.uk/thinking-wal...
Consolidation, Not Conversion: Understanding Wales’s Ongoing Realignment
Showcasing current research, comments and analysis on the law, politics, history, culture, government and political economy of Wales from the Wales Governance Centre.
blogs.cardiff.ac.uk
December 17, 2025 at 9:27 AM
The latest in the deluge of evidence that Labour are not only barking up the wrong tree but on the entirely wrong planet.
Reposted by Daniel Devine
@danjdevine.bsky.social's turn in our series:
🐈 The tree is up, marking the final few weeks of the year. We have recently got a new, much younger, and more active cat, and so we suspect it won’t be the only time we have to put the tree up (the older one is fine, just past her tree-climbing days) 🧵
🐈 The tree is up, marking the final few weeks of the year. We have recently got a new, much younger, and more active cat, and so we suspect it won’t be the only time we have to put the tree up (the older one is fine, just past her tree-climbing days) 🧵
December 16, 2025 at 6:34 PM
@danjdevine.bsky.social's turn in our series:
🐈 The tree is up, marking the final few weeks of the year. We have recently got a new, much younger, and more active cat, and so we suspect it won’t be the only time we have to put the tree up (the older one is fine, just past her tree-climbing days) 🧵
🐈 The tree is up, marking the final few weeks of the year. We have recently got a new, much younger, and more active cat, and so we suspect it won’t be the only time we have to put the tree up (the older one is fine, just past her tree-climbing days) 🧵
Reposted by Daniel Devine
It's out!!
www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
Big thank you to my coauthors @small-schulz.bsky.social and @lorenzspreen.bsky.social, and to all participants who discussed 20 political issues over 4 weeks in 6 subreddit, 3 experimental conditions and let us observe.
www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
Big thank you to my coauthors @small-schulz.bsky.social and @lorenzspreen.bsky.social, and to all participants who discussed 20 political issues over 4 weeks in 6 subreddit, 3 experimental conditions and let us observe.
December 11, 2025 at 10:34 AM
It's out!!
www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
Big thank you to my coauthors @small-schulz.bsky.social and @lorenzspreen.bsky.social, and to all participants who discussed 20 political issues over 4 weeks in 6 subreddit, 3 experimental conditions and let us observe.
www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
Big thank you to my coauthors @small-schulz.bsky.social and @lorenzspreen.bsky.social, and to all participants who discussed 20 political issues over 4 weeks in 6 subreddit, 3 experimental conditions and let us observe.
I'm also thinking about all of those student halls and houses that have wiped non-student housing, and the impact on the areas around them when they remain empty.
Obviously an opportunity to repurpose and reduce rents but that seems a less likely outcome
Obviously an opportunity to repurpose and reduce rents but that seems a less likely outcome
One of the reasons that emergence of ‘cold spots’ of subject provision matters: 52% of 18 year olds from the most disadvantaged backgrounds (the most deprived quintile in the Indices of Multiple Deprivation) plan to live at home when they go the university
www.thetimes.com/article/22cc...
www.thetimes.com/article/22cc...
Nearly a third of university 18-year-olds will live at home
According to figures from Ucas, a record 89,510 18-year-olds with university offers plan to live at home when they begin their studies this autumn
www.thetimes.com
December 11, 2025 at 10:14 AM
I'm also thinking about all of those student halls and houses that have wiped non-student housing, and the impact on the areas around them when they remain empty.
Obviously an opportunity to repurpose and reduce rents but that seems a less likely outcome
Obviously an opportunity to repurpose and reduce rents but that seems a less likely outcome
Neither of these PMs will be in power in 5 years and they only have themselves to blame.
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
We must protect our borders to defend our democracies. Here's how
This is our strong message to our friends in Europe. Unless responsible governments reflect their citizens’ concerns, populists will win, say British PM Keir Starmer and Danish PM Mette Frederiksen
www.theguardian.com
December 10, 2025 at 10:06 AM
Neither of these PMs will be in power in 5 years and they only have themselves to blame.
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
Reposted by Daniel Devine
Next try after my initial flight got cancelled due to the storm yesterday: Very much looking forward to presenting "Parties under Pressure" @sotonpolitics.bsky.social today (weather and flights permitting, wish me luck!). Thanks so much, @danjdevine.bsky.social, for having me!
tinyurl.com/bp7tpr4a
tinyurl.com/bp7tpr4a
Parties under Pressure
An illuminating investigation into why some parties evolve with their times while others fall behind. Around the world, established political parties face mounting pressures: insurgents on the Left an...
tinyurl.com
December 10, 2025 at 8:25 AM
Next try after my initial flight got cancelled due to the storm yesterday: Very much looking forward to presenting "Parties under Pressure" @sotonpolitics.bsky.social today (weather and flights permitting, wish me luck!). Thanks so much, @danjdevine.bsky.social, for having me!
tinyurl.com/bp7tpr4a
tinyurl.com/bp7tpr4a
What skill did you master that you will never, ever use again?
'Master' is too far, but I spent a _lot_ of effort on getting to a pretty decent standard (~ A Level) of Icelandic that has turned out to have fairly limited usage
'Master' is too far, but I spent a _lot_ of effort on getting to a pretty decent standard (~ A Level) of Icelandic that has turned out to have fairly limited usage
What skill did you master that you will never, ever use again?
Archival research feels like it’s full of these, but then there’s always one throwback archive with a microfiche machine or a paper catalogue (or, indeed: NARA)
Archival research feels like it’s full of these, but then there’s always one throwback archive with a microfiche machine or a paper catalogue (or, indeed: NARA)
What skill did you master that you will never, ever use again?
Summer of '95 I had a job assembling single-use film cameras, which I did enough that I can still perform the actions. I don't think they even sell them anymore, but even if they do I'm certainly never going to be making them again!
Summer of '95 I had a job assembling single-use film cameras, which I did enough that I can still perform the actions. I don't think they even sell them anymore, but even if they do I'm certainly never going to be making them again!
December 8, 2025 at 10:58 AM
What skill did you master that you will never, ever use again?
'Master' is too far, but I spent a _lot_ of effort on getting to a pretty decent standard (~ A Level) of Icelandic that has turned out to have fairly limited usage
'Master' is too far, but I spent a _lot_ of effort on getting to a pretty decent standard (~ A Level) of Icelandic that has turned out to have fairly limited usage
Reposted by Daniel Devine
The international conference “Political Trust: A Challenge for Democracies”, hosted by @cevipof.bsky.social in Sciences Po is now underway! Exciting discussions ahead on the future of democratic trust. #PoliticalTrust #Democracy
December 5, 2025 at 9:49 AM
The international conference “Political Trust: A Challenge for Democracies”, hosted by @cevipof.bsky.social in Sciences Po is now underway! Exciting discussions ahead on the future of democratic trust. #PoliticalTrust #Democracy
It was a pleasure to attend this workshop @cevipof.bsky.social and see lots of familiar and new faces. And somehow my first trip to Paris!
December 6, 2025 at 2:14 PM
It was a pleasure to attend this workshop @cevipof.bsky.social and see lots of familiar and new faces. And somehow my first trip to Paris!
Reposted by Daniel Devine
1/ Does growing up poor always lead to political apathy?
Very happy to share my first paper published (open access) in @electoralstudies.bsky.social, where I show that parents' influence mitigates the poverty gap in participation, while economic mobility does not.
🔗 shorturl.at/p5Bac
Very happy to share my first paper published (open access) in @electoralstudies.bsky.social, where I show that parents' influence mitigates the poverty gap in participation, while economic mobility does not.
🔗 shorturl.at/p5Bac
December 4, 2025 at 10:54 AM
1/ Does growing up poor always lead to political apathy?
Very happy to share my first paper published (open access) in @electoralstudies.bsky.social, where I show that parents' influence mitigates the poverty gap in participation, while economic mobility does not.
🔗 shorturl.at/p5Bac
Very happy to share my first paper published (open access) in @electoralstudies.bsky.social, where I show that parents' influence mitigates the poverty gap in participation, while economic mobility does not.
🔗 shorturl.at/p5Bac
Reposted by Daniel Devine
Join us! Die Abteilung für Innenpolitik & Politische Soziologie sucht zum 01.04. eine*n neue*n Kollegin*en. Wir bieten: volle Promotionsstelle (EG13) für drei Jahre (Verlängerung um 3 Jahre möglich), flexible Arbeitszeitregelungen, kollegiales & forschungsstarkes Team. Mehr Informationen hier👇
stellenboerse.uni-mainz.de
December 2, 2025 at 2:12 PM
Join us! Die Abteilung für Innenpolitik & Politische Soziologie sucht zum 01.04. eine*n neue*n Kollegin*en. Wir bieten: volle Promotionsstelle (EG13) für drei Jahre (Verlängerung um 3 Jahre möglich), flexible Arbeitszeitregelungen, kollegiales & forschungsstarkes Team. Mehr Informationen hier👇
Reposted by Daniel Devine
I popped up briefly on @itvnews.bsky.social News at Ten last night in relation to the "Budget Shenanigans" and public trust (and people being, more importantly, worried about their finances):
youtu.be/-56hNi57O94?...
youtu.be/-56hNi57O94?...
Prime Minister defends Rachel Reeves as OBR Chair resigns - Watch ITV News at Ten
YouTube video by ITV News In Full
youtu.be
December 2, 2025 at 11:27 AM
I popped up briefly on @itvnews.bsky.social News at Ten last night in relation to the "Budget Shenanigans" and public trust (and people being, more importantly, worried about their finances):
youtu.be/-56hNi57O94?...
youtu.be/-56hNi57O94?...
Reposted by Daniel Devine
Lower-income people are less likely to vote than higher-income people, across racial groups - and that gap has been growing.
That’s a real problem for the future of US democracy.
It’s not apathy or ignorance - for many, it’s a sense that politics is not for or about them.
In a report out in Jan +
That’s a real problem for the future of US democracy.
It’s not apathy or ignorance - for many, it’s a sense that politics is not for or about them.
In a report out in Jan +
December 1, 2025 at 4:11 PM
Lower-income people are less likely to vote than higher-income people, across racial groups - and that gap has been growing.
That’s a real problem for the future of US democracy.
It’s not apathy or ignorance - for many, it’s a sense that politics is not for or about them.
In a report out in Jan +
That’s a real problem for the future of US democracy.
It’s not apathy or ignorance - for many, it’s a sense that politics is not for or about them.
In a report out in Jan +
On the budget. Do people, generally, think tax/spend is too high or too low?
Up until July 2024, people were mixed, and by a margin probably wanted higher tax/spend.
Suddenly, that flipped. After Labour won the election. This is of course driven by a huge flip amongst Conservatives.
Up until July 2024, people were mixed, and by a margin probably wanted higher tax/spend.
Suddenly, that flipped. After Labour won the election. This is of course driven by a huge flip amongst Conservatives.
December 1, 2025 at 11:27 AM
On the budget. Do people, generally, think tax/spend is too high or too low?
Up until July 2024, people were mixed, and by a margin probably wanted higher tax/spend.
Suddenly, that flipped. After Labour won the election. This is of course driven by a huge flip amongst Conservatives.
Up until July 2024, people were mixed, and by a margin probably wanted higher tax/spend.
Suddenly, that flipped. After Labour won the election. This is of course driven by a huge flip amongst Conservatives.
Reposted by Daniel Devine
🚨New article🚨 What do people want from political leaders in times of crisis, and are those preferences gendered?
Interested? Then check out our new Electoral Studies paper @jess-smith.bsky.social @viktorv.bsky.social @danjdevine.bsky.social @hannahbunting.bsky.social @carolineleicht.bsky.social
Interested? Then check out our new Electoral Studies paper @jess-smith.bsky.social @viktorv.bsky.social @danjdevine.bsky.social @hannahbunting.bsky.social @carolineleicht.bsky.social
Bluesky
e.bsky.social
December 1, 2025 at 11:00 AM
🚨New article🚨 What do people want from political leaders in times of crisis, and are those preferences gendered?
Interested? Then check out our new Electoral Studies paper @jess-smith.bsky.social @viktorv.bsky.social @danjdevine.bsky.social @hannahbunting.bsky.social @carolineleicht.bsky.social
Interested? Then check out our new Electoral Studies paper @jess-smith.bsky.social @viktorv.bsky.social @danjdevine.bsky.social @hannahbunting.bsky.social @carolineleicht.bsky.social
Reposted by Daniel Devine
It’s all about ‘trust’ in our politicians and how journalists, our disinterested tribunes, can undermine it.
It’s an indictment of our media that more time is being spent on whether Reeves lied about the need to raise taxes than on the actual substance of the policies announced on Wednesday.
November 30, 2025 at 3:35 PM
It’s all about ‘trust’ in our politicians and how journalists, our disinterested tribunes, can undermine it.
Not a drill - there's a Britain-focused lectureship (FT, permanent) available.
www.jobs.ac.uk/job/DPQ588/l...
www.jobs.ac.uk/job/DPQ588/l...
Lecturer in British and Comparative Politics at UCL
An academic position as a Lecturer in British and Comparative Politics is being advertised on jobs.ac.uk. Click now to find more details and explore additional academic job opportunities.
www.jobs.ac.uk
November 28, 2025 at 4:35 PM
Not a drill - there's a Britain-focused lectureship (FT, permanent) available.
www.jobs.ac.uk/job/DPQ588/l...
www.jobs.ac.uk/job/DPQ588/l...
Reposted by Daniel Devine
Many newspapers and politicians have been calling yesterday's fiscal statement a 'Budget for Benefits Street'. Here's three reasons why that is not accurate 🧵
November 27, 2025 at 4:38 PM
Many newspapers and politicians have been calling yesterday's fiscal statement a 'Budget for Benefits Street'. Here's three reasons why that is not accurate 🧵
Reposted by Daniel Devine
V happy to see this paper out with @chrisclaassen.bsky.social at @bjpols.bsky.social .
We argue that nostalgia for Britain's past is an important, distinct opinion dimension which has meaningful consequences for party evaluations and vote choice.
We argue that nostalgia for Britain's past is an important, distinct opinion dimension which has meaningful consequences for party evaluations and vote choice.
NEWS -
The Politics of Imperial Nostalgia - https://cup.org/4p1QbRA
"right-wing opposition to criticism of the imperial past is stronger than left-wing support"
- Christopher Claassen & @danjdevine.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
The Politics of Imperial Nostalgia - https://cup.org/4p1QbRA
"right-wing opposition to criticism of the imperial past is stronger than left-wing support"
- Christopher Claassen & @danjdevine.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
November 24, 2025 at 3:29 PM
V happy to see this paper out with @chrisclaassen.bsky.social at @bjpols.bsky.social .
We argue that nostalgia for Britain's past is an important, distinct opinion dimension which has meaningful consequences for party evaluations and vote choice.
We argue that nostalgia for Britain's past is an important, distinct opinion dimension which has meaningful consequences for party evaluations and vote choice.
Reposted by Daniel Devine
NEWS -
The Politics of Imperial Nostalgia - https://cup.org/4p1QbRA
"right-wing opposition to criticism of the imperial past is stronger than left-wing support"
- Christopher Claassen & @danjdevine.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
The Politics of Imperial Nostalgia - https://cup.org/4p1QbRA
"right-wing opposition to criticism of the imperial past is stronger than left-wing support"
- Christopher Claassen & @danjdevine.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
November 24, 2025 at 2:50 PM
NEWS -
The Politics of Imperial Nostalgia - https://cup.org/4p1QbRA
"right-wing opposition to criticism of the imperial past is stronger than left-wing support"
- Christopher Claassen & @danjdevine.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
The Politics of Imperial Nostalgia - https://cup.org/4p1QbRA
"right-wing opposition to criticism of the imperial past is stronger than left-wing support"
- Christopher Claassen & @danjdevine.bsky.social
#OpenAccess