Eviatar Escolar Bach
@eviatarbach.bsky.social
Lecturer (Asst. Prof.) in meteorology and math. & stats | Data assimilation, climate, ML, applied dynamical systems, predictability, inverse problems, climate politics
She/her 🏳️⚧️
https://eviatarbach.com
She/her 🏳️⚧️
https://eviatarbach.com
Pinned
A generalisation of the signal-to-noise ratio using proper scoring rules
A generalised concept of the signal-to-noise ratio (or equivalently the ratio of predictable components, or RPC) is provided, based on proper scoring rules. This definition is the natural generalisati...
arxiv.org
In this new preprint with Jochen Bröcker, we define a generalisation of the signal-to-noise ratio for probabilistic forecasts using proper scoring rules. (1/3)
arxiv.org/abs/2510.26809
arxiv.org/abs/2510.26809
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar Bach
If I were deliberately trying to cause vulnerable refugees as much distress as possible, this is how I would do it. Constantly shifting the ground underneath them, never allowing them a moment of certainty and stability. This is barbarism.
November 19, 2025 at 9:06 AM
If I were deliberately trying to cause vulnerable refugees as much distress as possible, this is how I would do it. Constantly shifting the ground underneath them, never allowing them a moment of certainty and stability. This is barbarism.
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar Bach
This is utterly foul. People recognised as refugees will never able to settle and find the long-term security they need to recover, always at risk of being returned if they can’t prove they still *really* deserve to be here. A life lived in permanent limbo.
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
UK set to limit refugees to temporary stays
Shabana Mahmood is expected to say the era of permanent protection for refugees is over, in major changes to the UK's asylum and immigration system.
www.bbc.co.uk
November 15, 2025 at 8:33 AM
This is utterly foul. People recognised as refugees will never able to settle and find the long-term security they need to recover, always at risk of being returned if they can’t prove they still *really* deserve to be here. A life lived in permanent limbo.
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
In this new preprint with Jochen Bröcker, we define a generalisation of the signal-to-noise ratio for probabilistic forecasts using proper scoring rules. (1/3)
arxiv.org/abs/2510.26809
arxiv.org/abs/2510.26809
A generalisation of the signal-to-noise ratio using proper scoring rules
A generalised concept of the signal-to-noise ratio (or equivalently the ratio of predictable components, or RPC) is provided, based on proper scoring rules. This definition is the natural generalisati...
arxiv.org
November 3, 2025 at 10:17 AM
In this new preprint with Jochen Bröcker, we define a generalisation of the signal-to-noise ratio for probabilistic forecasts using proper scoring rules. (1/3)
arxiv.org/abs/2510.26809
arxiv.org/abs/2510.26809
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar Bach
Solidarity with the Jewish community, especially in Manchester. The murder of two people at worship on the holiest day of the Jewish year is beyond reprehensible.
October 2, 2025 at 7:41 PM
Solidarity with the Jewish community, especially in Manchester. The murder of two people at worship on the holiest day of the Jewish year is beyond reprehensible.
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar Bach
the UK's new anti-trans rules are indefensible & will make global fascism stronger
my latest with @liberalcurrents.com
www.liberalcurrents.com/britains-bat...
my latest with @liberalcurrents.com
www.liberalcurrents.com/britains-bat...
Britain’s Bathroom Ban
The UK has gone from a bathroom ban being unthinkable to a Labour government implementing one without a vote
www.liberalcurrents.com
September 17, 2025 at 10:20 AM
the UK's new anti-trans rules are indefensible & will make global fascism stronger
my latest with @liberalcurrents.com
www.liberalcurrents.com/britains-bat...
my latest with @liberalcurrents.com
www.liberalcurrents.com/britains-bat...
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar Bach
I’ve been frustrated to see so much of the ongoing story about asylum seekers and the protests against them covered without hearing from those seeking asylum and now being met with hostility and hatred
I set out to speak to those directly affected to find out about the impact this is having 👇
I set out to speak to those directly affected to find out about the impact this is having 👇
We escaped war and torture but now we feel unsafe in Britain
Special report: Amid protests and rising aggression towards asylum seekers across the country, we spoke to those being targeted
www.liverpoolecho.co.uk
September 7, 2025 at 6:49 AM
I’ve been frustrated to see so much of the ongoing story about asylum seekers and the protests against them covered without hearing from those seeking asylum and now being met with hostility and hatred
I set out to speak to those directly affected to find out about the impact this is having 👇
I set out to speak to those directly affected to find out about the impact this is having 👇
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar Bach
As the mother of a young trans person, Alice, who took her life in 2022 aged just 20, and as an ex-NHS doctor, I am struggling to find the words to express my dismay and sadness at this story.
Whatever happened to do no harm? 🧵
Whatever happened to do no harm? 🧵
August 12, 2025 at 10:48 AM
As the mother of a young trans person, Alice, who took her life in 2022 aged just 20, and as an ex-NHS doctor, I am struggling to find the words to express my dismay and sadness at this story.
Whatever happened to do no harm? 🧵
Whatever happened to do no harm? 🧵
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar Bach
Deliberately starving people and shooting them when they seek aid is an industrial and systemic approach to mass murder.
www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/0...
www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/0...
Officials say 85 Palestinians seeking aid are killed in Gaza as Israel widens evacuation orders
Gaza’s Health Ministry says at least 85 Palestinians have been killed while trying to reach food on the deadliest day yet for aid-seekers in over 21 months of war
www.washingtonpost.com
July 20, 2025 at 8:22 PM
Deliberately starving people and shooting them when they seek aid is an industrial and systemic approach to mass murder.
www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/0...
www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/0...
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar Bach
In #Gaza, people are starving.
Families are going without substantial meals for days.
Prices have increased by over 4000%.
The Israeli Authorities have banned UNRWA from bringing food into Gaza for over 4 months.
This is a manmade and politically motivated starvation of a people.
Lift the siege.
Families are going without substantial meals for days.
Prices have increased by over 4000%.
The Israeli Authorities have banned UNRWA from bringing food into Gaza for over 4 months.
This is a manmade and politically motivated starvation of a people.
Lift the siege.
July 20, 2025 at 12:00 PM
In #Gaza, people are starving.
Families are going without substantial meals for days.
Prices have increased by over 4000%.
The Israeli Authorities have banned UNRWA from bringing food into Gaza for over 4 months.
This is a manmade and politically motivated starvation of a people.
Lift the siege.
Families are going without substantial meals for days.
Prices have increased by over 4000%.
The Israeli Authorities have banned UNRWA from bringing food into Gaza for over 4 months.
This is a manmade and politically motivated starvation of a people.
Lift the siege.
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar Bach
University of Reading students ‘scared’ to use toilets under new trans-exclusive policy
Reading Uni students 'scared' to use toilets under new trans-exclusive policy
EXCLUSIVE: University of Reading students have said they feel 'unsafe' and 'scared' to enter campus under its new trans toilet policy.
www.thepinknews.com
July 17, 2025 at 10:20 AM
University of Reading students ‘scared’ to use toilets under new trans-exclusive policy
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar Bach
Tony is a well-respected colleague, a KC and a former legal advisor to the EHRC. Having spoken to constituents and University of Reading students who are concerned about the impact of this guidance, I'm glad to have signed Tony's letter.
🏳️⚧️🚨 New letter from MPs on trans rights & EHRC Consultation on the #ForWomenScotland ruling.
I have written a letter to the EHRC to urgently raise concerns about the Draft Code of Practice consultation after the ruling. I am proud to say that 32 of my colleagues have signed it too.
I have written a letter to the EHRC to urgently raise concerns about the Draft Code of Practice consultation after the ruling. I am proud to say that 32 of my colleagues have signed it too.
July 2, 2025 at 3:45 PM
Tony is a well-respected colleague, a KC and a former legal advisor to the EHRC. Having spoken to constituents and University of Reading students who are concerned about the impact of this guidance, I'm glad to have signed Tony's letter.
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar Bach
Plans to proscribe Palestine Action signal an alarming escalation of the UK govt’s repression of our democratic rights.
Branding the group a ‘terrorist organisation’ would render support for the group and its nonviolent tactics a criminal offence, with penalties of up to 14 years’ imprisonment.
Branding the group a ‘terrorist organisation’ would render support for the group and its nonviolent tactics a criminal offence, with penalties of up to 14 years’ imprisonment.
June 22, 2025 at 11:05 AM
Plans to proscribe Palestine Action signal an alarming escalation of the UK govt’s repression of our democratic rights.
Branding the group a ‘terrorist organisation’ would render support for the group and its nonviolent tactics a criminal offence, with penalties of up to 14 years’ imprisonment.
Branding the group a ‘terrorist organisation’ would render support for the group and its nonviolent tactics a criminal offence, with penalties of up to 14 years’ imprisonment.
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar Bach
Cutting lines or even whole departments is the frontal assault on higher ed, but another low key war of attrition is the slow accumulation of grinding, meaningless additional tasks concerning syllabus templates, learning outcomes, institutional pablum, and ever more intricate evaluation hoops.
June 11, 2025 at 9:51 PM
Cutting lines or even whole departments is the frontal assault on higher ed, but another low key war of attrition is the slow accumulation of grinding, meaningless additional tasks concerning syllabus templates, learning outcomes, institutional pablum, and ever more intricate evaluation hoops.
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar Bach
Eviatar Bach, Ricardo Baptista, Edoardo Calvello, Bohan Chen, Andrew Stuart
Learning Enhanced Ensemble Filters
https://arxiv.org/abs/2504.17836
Learning Enhanced Ensemble Filters
https://arxiv.org/abs/2504.17836
April 28, 2025 at 5:26 AM
Eviatar Bach, Ricardo Baptista, Edoardo Calvello, Bohan Chen, Andrew Stuart
Learning Enhanced Ensemble Filters
https://arxiv.org/abs/2504.17836
Learning Enhanced Ensemble Filters
https://arxiv.org/abs/2504.17836
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar Bach
To mark VE day, I am posting an old folder of anti-fascist posters from the Spanish Civil War.
I originally started collecting these to try and choose an image for my book cover, and kept going because they're objectively awesome. Lost many in the last laptop migration, but the best remain...
I originally started collecting these to try and choose an image for my book cover, and kept going because they're objectively awesome. Lost many in the last laptop migration, but the best remain...
May 8, 2025 at 10:59 AM
To mark VE day, I am posting an old folder of anti-fascist posters from the Spanish Civil War.
I originally started collecting these to try and choose an image for my book cover, and kept going because they're objectively awesome. Lost many in the last laptop migration, but the best remain...
I originally started collecting these to try and choose an image for my book cover, and kept going because they're objectively awesome. Lost many in the last laptop migration, but the best remain...
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar Bach
The Israeli authorities have illegally banned all aid and goods into Gaza for two months.
This constitutes a genocidal act, a blatant form of unlawful collective punishment, and the war crime of using starvation of civilians as a method of warfare.
This constitutes a genocidal act, a blatant form of unlawful collective punishment, and the war crime of using starvation of civilians as a method of warfare.
May 2, 2025 at 4:22 PM
The Israeli authorities have illegally banned all aid and goods into Gaza for two months.
This constitutes a genocidal act, a blatant form of unlawful collective punishment, and the war crime of using starvation of civilians as a method of warfare.
This constitutes a genocidal act, a blatant form of unlawful collective punishment, and the war crime of using starvation of civilians as a method of warfare.
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar Bach
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar Bach
The University of Reading is inviting Fellowship applicants to join the AFESP research programme.
The closing date for initial expressions of interest is Friday 20 June 2025. Further details and full applicant guidance can be found at research.reading.ac.uk/earth-system...
The closing date for initial expressions of interest is Friday 20 June 2025. Further details and full applicant guidance can be found at research.reading.ac.uk/earth-system...
April 28, 2025 at 2:27 PM
The University of Reading is inviting Fellowship applicants to join the AFESP research programme.
The closing date for initial expressions of interest is Friday 20 June 2025. Further details and full applicant guidance can be found at research.reading.ac.uk/earth-system...
The closing date for initial expressions of interest is Friday 20 June 2025. Further details and full applicant guidance can be found at research.reading.ac.uk/earth-system...
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar Bach
My analysis of today's UK Supreme Court judgment.
The UK Supreme Court Rules That Trans Women Aren't Women Under the Equality Act 2010
www.wearequeeraf.com/uk-supreme-c...
The UK Supreme Court Rules That Trans Women Aren't Women Under the Equality Act 2010
www.wearequeeraf.com/uk-supreme-c...
UK Supreme Court Rules That Trans Women Aren’t Women under the Equality Act 2010
The legal definition of a woman in the UK now excludes trans people: This is what it means for Trans+ rights in the country
www.wearequeeraf.com
April 16, 2025 at 3:23 PM
My analysis of today's UK Supreme Court judgment.
The UK Supreme Court Rules That Trans Women Aren't Women Under the Equality Act 2010
www.wearequeeraf.com/uk-supreme-c...
The UK Supreme Court Rules That Trans Women Aren't Women Under the Equality Act 2010
www.wearequeeraf.com/uk-supreme-c...
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar Bach
Chilling totalitarianism: Trump & Bukele demonstrating their power to imprison (without a trial, a judge, a prosecutor) an innocent person indefinitely. For the sake solely of demonstrating that they can. That they are beyond any system of justice. www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...
El Salvador president refuses to order return of wrongly deported US man
Trump officials claim they’re not legally bound to bring Kilmar Abrego García back despite supreme court ruling
www.theguardian.com
April 14, 2025 at 10:49 PM
Chilling totalitarianism: Trump & Bukele demonstrating their power to imprison (without a trial, a judge, a prosecutor) an innocent person indefinitely. For the sake solely of demonstrating that they can. That they are beyond any system of justice. www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar Bach
"We don’t want to just be free to leave, we want to be free to stay. Advocacy for free association and the ability to easily fly away from things we don’t like can make us overlook the necessary institutions and structures that make us free to grow roots." scalemail.substack.com/p/freedom-th...
Freedom Through Constraints
Why Political Organizing Requires Predictability
scalemail.substack.com
April 9, 2025 at 9:30 PM
"We don’t want to just be free to leave, we want to be free to stay. Advocacy for free association and the ability to easily fly away from things we don’t like can make us overlook the necessary institutions and structures that make us free to grow roots." scalemail.substack.com/p/freedom-th...
We are still looking for a student in the Mathematics for Our Future Climate Centre for Doctoral Training for the project "Machine Learning Approaches in Bayesian and Ensemble Data Assimilation" (1/3)
www.reading.ac.uk/maths-and-st...
www.reading.ac.uk/maths-and-st...
EPSRC Centre for Doctoral Training in the Mathematics for our Future Climate – Department of Mathematics and Statistics
Apply now for our Mathematics for our Future Climate Centre for Doctoral Training (MFC CDT) PhD programme to address climate change.
www.reading.ac.uk
March 21, 2025 at 3:16 PM
We are still looking for a student in the Mathematics for Our Future Climate Centre for Doctoral Training for the project "Machine Learning Approaches in Bayesian and Ensemble Data Assimilation" (1/3)
www.reading.ac.uk/maths-and-st...
www.reading.ac.uk/maths-and-st...
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar Bach
London's air pollution has dropped since the ULEZ expansion! 🚗💨⬇️ A new study shows cleaner air benefits for millions. Proof that bold policies can work for people & the planet. 🌍💚
🔗 Read more: www.theguardian.com/environ...
#ClimateAction
🔗 Read more: www.theguardian.com/environ...
#ClimateAction
Dramatic fall in London’s levels of deadly pollutants after Ulez expansion
People in capital breathing much cleaner air, with significant improvements in capital’s most deprived areas
www.theguardian.com
March 14, 2025 at 10:30 AM
London's air pollution has dropped since the ULEZ expansion! 🚗💨⬇️ A new study shows cleaner air benefits for millions. Proof that bold policies can work for people & the planet. 🌍💚
🔗 Read more: www.theguardian.com/environ...
#ClimateAction
🔗 Read more: www.theguardian.com/environ...
#ClimateAction