Erick Padilla
@erickpadilla.bsky.social
PhDing at Universitat de Barcelona
Political elites | Political Behavior | Technological change
#Firstgen
I also like football ⚽ and chess ♟️
epadillla.github.io
Political elites | Political Behavior | Technological change
#Firstgen
I also like football ⚽ and chess ♟️
epadillla.github.io
Pinned
Erick Padilla
@erickpadilla.bsky.social
· May 22
📢 New working paper!
Does losing an election make politicians less committed to democracy? 🗳️
With @canalejoalvaro.bsky.social we show that even mainstream politicians' democratic attitudes resent after defeat—especially when their party loses. ⚖️📉
Link: osf.io/preprints/os...
Does losing an election make politicians less committed to democracy? 🗳️
With @canalejoalvaro.bsky.social we show that even mainstream politicians' democratic attitudes resent after defeat—especially when their party loses. ⚖️📉
Link: osf.io/preprints/os...
Reposted by Erick Padilla
NEW -
Seeking Opportunity in the Knowledge Economy: Moving Places, Moving Politics? - https://cup.org/3LgxVos
"moving to opportunity results in... more left-leaning self-identification, and lower support for far-right parties"
- @valentinaconsiglio.bsky.social & @thmskrr.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
Seeking Opportunity in the Knowledge Economy: Moving Places, Moving Politics? - https://cup.org/3LgxVos
"moving to opportunity results in... more left-leaning self-identification, and lower support for far-right parties"
- @valentinaconsiglio.bsky.social & @thmskrr.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
October 30, 2025 at 8:50 AM
NEW -
Seeking Opportunity in the Knowledge Economy: Moving Places, Moving Politics? - https://cup.org/3LgxVos
"moving to opportunity results in... more left-leaning self-identification, and lower support for far-right parties"
- @valentinaconsiglio.bsky.social & @thmskrr.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
Seeking Opportunity in the Knowledge Economy: Moving Places, Moving Politics? - https://cup.org/3LgxVos
"moving to opportunity results in... more left-leaning self-identification, and lower support for far-right parties"
- @valentinaconsiglio.bsky.social & @thmskrr.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
Reposted by Erick Padilla
NEW -
Globalization, Higher Education, and Neoliberal Values: Evidence from the Bologna Process - https://cup.org/3LG3lVj
- @mgiani.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
Globalization, Higher Education, and Neoliberal Values: Evidence from the Bologna Process - https://cup.org/3LG3lVj
- @mgiani.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
November 3, 2025 at 11:50 AM
NEW -
Globalization, Higher Education, and Neoliberal Values: Evidence from the Bologna Process - https://cup.org/3LG3lVj
- @mgiani.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
Globalization, Higher Education, and Neoliberal Values: Evidence from the Bologna Process - https://cup.org/3LG3lVj
- @mgiani.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
Reposted by Erick Padilla
I'm excited to teach my course on longitudinal data & analysis in the context of #KOMEX2026 again.
For me, the first iteration of this earlier this year was a lot of nerdy 🤓 fun, and the participants agreed - even anonymously in the evals 😜
Let me know if you have any questions!
More info ⬇️
For me, the first iteration of this earlier this year was a lot of nerdy 🤓 fun, and the participants agreed - even anonymously in the evals 😜
Let me know if you have any questions!
More info ⬇️
Learn how to analyze panel & repeated cross-sectional data w/ @na-wehl.bsky.social at #KOMEX2026.
Join “Hands-on Intro to Longitudinal & Panel Data Analysis”. Apply fixed/random effects & hybrid models using your own data.
📍Konstanz | 🗓️ 23–27 Feb
💻 R & Stata
afww.uni-konstanz.de/en/microcred...
Join “Hands-on Intro to Longitudinal & Panel Data Analysis”. Apply fixed/random effects & hybrid models using your own data.
📍Konstanz | 🗓️ 23–27 Feb
💻 R & Stata
afww.uni-konstanz.de/en/microcred...
October 30, 2025 at 2:36 PM
I'm excited to teach my course on longitudinal data & analysis in the context of #KOMEX2026 again.
For me, the first iteration of this earlier this year was a lot of nerdy 🤓 fun, and the participants agreed - even anonymously in the evals 😜
Let me know if you have any questions!
More info ⬇️
For me, the first iteration of this earlier this year was a lot of nerdy 🤓 fun, and the participants agreed - even anonymously in the evals 😜
Let me know if you have any questions!
More info ⬇️
Reposted by Erick Padilla
"Public Perceptions of Corporate Position-Taking on Abortion and Transgender Rights" by Wayde Z. C. Marsh and Jordan Carr Peterson. www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
September 21, 2025 at 6:37 PM
"Public Perceptions of Corporate Position-Taking on Abortion and Transgender Rights" by Wayde Z. C. Marsh and Jordan Carr Peterson. www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
Reposted by Erick Padilla
We are hiring! We are looking for a prospective PhD student to work at the Department of Political Science of the University of Barcelona and the Institutions, Politics and Economics Research Center in connection to a research project on Backlash. More details here: sites.google.com/view/jordi-m...
Jordi Muñoz - Calls
PhD fellowship in Political Science at the University of Barcelona
sites.google.com
September 19, 2025 at 11:24 AM
We are hiring! We are looking for a prospective PhD student to work at the Department of Political Science of the University of Barcelona and the Institutions, Politics and Economics Research Center in connection to a research project on Backlash. More details here: sites.google.com/view/jordi-m...
Reposted by Erick Padilla
1/ How does migration affect political attitudes? Using 380k obs from 104 sending & 28 receiving countries, @filipkostelka.bsky.social, Nicolas Sauger & I find some migrants’ attitudes align with locals, while others exceed origin-host context, reshaping ideological space.
👉 doi.org/10.1111/ajps...
👉 doi.org/10.1111/ajps...
September 12, 2025 at 3:45 PM
1/ How does migration affect political attitudes? Using 380k obs from 104 sending & 28 receiving countries, @filipkostelka.bsky.social, Nicolas Sauger & I find some migrants’ attitudes align with locals, while others exceed origin-host context, reshaping ideological space.
👉 doi.org/10.1111/ajps...
👉 doi.org/10.1111/ajps...
Reposted by Erick Padilla
💥Online first:
"The sound of party competition: how applause reflects unity, disagreement, and the electoral cycle in parliaments"
by @ankuepfer.bsky.social @jocmuel.bsky.social & @pluggedchris.bsky.social
doi.org/10.1080/0140...
"The sound of party competition: how applause reflects unity, disagreement, and the electoral cycle in parliaments"
by @ankuepfer.bsky.social @jocmuel.bsky.social & @pluggedchris.bsky.social
doi.org/10.1080/0140...
September 12, 2025 at 6:36 AM
💥Online first:
"The sound of party competition: how applause reflects unity, disagreement, and the electoral cycle in parliaments"
by @ankuepfer.bsky.social @jocmuel.bsky.social & @pluggedchris.bsky.social
doi.org/10.1080/0140...
"The sound of party competition: how applause reflects unity, disagreement, and the electoral cycle in parliaments"
by @ankuepfer.bsky.social @jocmuel.bsky.social & @pluggedchris.bsky.social
doi.org/10.1080/0140...
Reposted by Erick Padilla
🚨Very excited to see our new paper out in @jeppjournal.bsky.social!
We looked at how working with AI shapes people's risk perceptions and social policy preferences, with some surprising results ⬇️
We looked at how working with AI shapes people's risk perceptions and social policy preferences, with some surprising results ⬇️
📊 @mhaslberger.bsky.social, Jane Gingrich, and Jasmine Bhatia explore how exposure to AI shapes social policy preferences in a UK survey experiment.
💡 Their key finding: when faced with AI, people want support, not just protection
🖇️ www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
💡 Their key finding: when faced with AI, people want support, not just protection
🖇️ www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
September 11, 2025 at 4:42 PM
🚨Very excited to see our new paper out in @jeppjournal.bsky.social!
We looked at how working with AI shapes people's risk perceptions and social policy preferences, with some surprising results ⬇️
We looked at how working with AI shapes people's risk perceptions and social policy preferences, with some surprising results ⬇️
Reposted by Erick Padilla
Our article “Unsuccessful Candidates Are More Concerned About Electoral Fairness than Election Winners” is now online @thejop.bsky.social
Using RDD and elite survey data from Denmark, we show that losing candidates express greater concern about electoral fairness.
🔗 doi.org/10.1086/734240
Using RDD and elite survey data from Denmark, we show that losing candidates express greater concern about electoral fairness.
🔗 doi.org/10.1086/734240
September 12, 2025 at 6:51 AM
Our article “Unsuccessful Candidates Are More Concerned About Electoral Fairness than Election Winners” is now online @thejop.bsky.social
Using RDD and elite survey data from Denmark, we show that losing candidates express greater concern about electoral fairness.
🔗 doi.org/10.1086/734240
Using RDD and elite survey data from Denmark, we show that losing candidates express greater concern about electoral fairness.
🔗 doi.org/10.1086/734240
Reposted by Erick Padilla
Radical-right parties are often linked to the “left-behind”. But supporting them when stigma is strong is costly. So who is willing to pay that cost early on, before it’s normalized?
In my new WP, I argue that breaking political norms is socially stratified. 🧵👇
In my new WP, I argue that breaking political norms is socially stratified. 🧵👇
September 8, 2025 at 10:45 AM
Radical-right parties are often linked to the “left-behind”. But supporting them when stigma is strong is costly. So who is willing to pay that cost early on, before it’s normalized?
In my new WP, I argue that breaking political norms is socially stratified. 🧵👇
In my new WP, I argue that breaking political norms is socially stratified. 🧵👇
Reposted by Erick Padilla
🚨My first published article together with @galais.bsky.social is out:
“Beyond fear and anger: the demobilizing role of sadness in far right voting in Spain”
In this article we address the emotional dynamics behind support for Vox in Spain.
🧵What do we find?
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
“Beyond fear and anger: the demobilizing role of sadness in far right voting in Spain”
In this article we address the emotional dynamics behind support for Vox in Spain.
🧵What do we find?
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Beyond anger and fear: the demobilizing role of sadness in far-right voting in Spain
This study investigates emotional dynamics behind support for Vox in Spain, offering a case study of far-right support. It addresses prior research’s narrow focus on anger and fear, and its tendenc...
www.tandfonline.com
September 2, 2025 at 10:25 AM
🚨My first published article together with @galais.bsky.social is out:
“Beyond fear and anger: the demobilizing role of sadness in far right voting in Spain”
In this article we address the emotional dynamics behind support for Vox in Spain.
🧵What do we find?
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
“Beyond fear and anger: the demobilizing role of sadness in far right voting in Spain”
In this article we address the emotional dynamics behind support for Vox in Spain.
🧵What do we find?
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Reposted by Erick Padilla
My paper on the electoral consequences of the coal phase-out in Germany is now out in print!
ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
August 27, 2025 at 7:32 AM
My paper on the electoral consequences of the coal phase-out in Germany is now out in print!
ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
Reposted by Erick Padilla
✨Very happy to see my paper "Attitudinal ambivalence toward multiculturalism" out on @jeppjournal.bsky.social !
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
1/8 🧵
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
1/8 🧵
August 21, 2025 at 12:37 PM
✨Very happy to see my paper "Attitudinal ambivalence toward multiculturalism" out on @jeppjournal.bsky.social !
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
1/8 🧵
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
1/8 🧵
Reposted by Erick Padilla
EPSA have announced that they will hold a conference in July 2026.
😵💫 We understand that there might be some confusion about EPSS and EPSA.
👉🏽 So we thought we would clarify some things.
A short 🧵
😵💫 We understand that there might be some confusion about EPSS and EPSA.
👉🏽 So we thought we would clarify some things.
A short 🧵
August 7, 2025 at 4:28 PM
EPSA have announced that they will hold a conference in July 2026.
😵💫 We understand that there might be some confusion about EPSS and EPSA.
👉🏽 So we thought we would clarify some things.
A short 🧵
😵💫 We understand that there might be some confusion about EPSS and EPSA.
👉🏽 So we thought we would clarify some things.
A short 🧵
Reposted by Erick Padilla
New paper out @wepsocial.bsky.social!
🥡 Key Take-Away: Opposition parties seek more conflict with the government when performing poorly in the polls – especially when falling below their previous election result.
Read full 🧵 below:
🥡 Key Take-Away: Opposition parties seek more conflict with the government when performing poorly in the polls – especially when falling below their previous election result.
Read full 🧵 below:
August 1, 2025 at 1:42 PM
New paper out @wepsocial.bsky.social!
🥡 Key Take-Away: Opposition parties seek more conflict with the government when performing poorly in the polls – especially when falling below their previous election result.
Read full 🧵 below:
🥡 Key Take-Away: Opposition parties seek more conflict with the government when performing poorly in the polls – especially when falling below their previous election result.
Read full 🧵 below:
Reposted by Erick Padilla
🧪How did COVID-19 affect citizens’ democratic preferences?
➡️ @cescamat.bsky.social A.Arenas A.Falcó & @jordimunoz.bsky.social find a lasting rise in technocratic preferences and a temporary bump in the willingness to sacrifice civil rights and freedoms www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡️ @cescamat.bsky.social A.Arenas A.Falcó & @jordimunoz.bsky.social find a lasting rise in technocratic preferences and a temporary bump in the willingness to sacrifice civil rights and freedoms www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
July 23, 2025 at 11:01 AM
🧪How did COVID-19 affect citizens’ democratic preferences?
➡️ @cescamat.bsky.social A.Arenas A.Falcó & @jordimunoz.bsky.social find a lasting rise in technocratic preferences and a temporary bump in the willingness to sacrifice civil rights and freedoms www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡️ @cescamat.bsky.social A.Arenas A.Falcó & @jordimunoz.bsky.social find a lasting rise in technocratic preferences and a temporary bump in the willingness to sacrifice civil rights and freedoms www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
Reposted by Erick Padilla
People are more likely to accept gender inequality if it is men who are worse off.
A new paper with experiments on 35k Americans shows that when men are worse off people are:
- more likely to attribute the inequality to a difference in effort
- less likely to support pro-equality policies.
A new paper with experiments on 35k Americans shows that when men are worse off people are:
- more likely to attribute the inequality to a difference in effort
- less likely to support pro-equality policies.
July 8, 2025 at 7:54 PM
People are more likely to accept gender inequality if it is men who are worse off.
A new paper with experiments on 35k Americans shows that when men are worse off people are:
- more likely to attribute the inequality to a difference in effort
- less likely to support pro-equality policies.
A new paper with experiments on 35k Americans shows that when men are worse off people are:
- more likely to attribute the inequality to a difference in effort
- less likely to support pro-equality policies.
Reposted by Erick Padilla
📢 Publication alert:
Our paper "Unpacking the rural–urban divide: Identities and stereotypes" - with @tonirodon.bsky.social, @griambau.bsky.social, and Andreu Rodilla - is now out in @electoralstudies.bsky.social.
Our paper "Unpacking the rural–urban divide: Identities and stereotypes" - with @tonirodon.bsky.social, @griambau.bsky.social, and Andreu Rodilla - is now out in @electoralstudies.bsky.social.
July 5, 2025 at 10:20 AM
📢 Publication alert:
Our paper "Unpacking the rural–urban divide: Identities and stereotypes" - with @tonirodon.bsky.social, @griambau.bsky.social, and Andreu Rodilla - is now out in @electoralstudies.bsky.social.
Our paper "Unpacking the rural–urban divide: Identities and stereotypes" - with @tonirodon.bsky.social, @griambau.bsky.social, and Andreu Rodilla - is now out in @electoralstudies.bsky.social.
Reposted by Erick Padilla
New WP w/ @riazsascha.bsky.social: via >42 million placebo tests, we show type I error inflation in Unexpected Event during Survey Designs (UESD), propose an adjustment, implement via new R package uesdRobust, and demonstrate utility by replicating two top UESD studies.
osf.io/preprints/os...
1/9
osf.io/preprints/os...
1/9
July 1, 2025 at 2:44 PM
New WP w/ @riazsascha.bsky.social: via >42 million placebo tests, we show type I error inflation in Unexpected Event during Survey Designs (UESD), propose an adjustment, implement via new R package uesdRobust, and demonstrate utility by replicating two top UESD studies.
osf.io/preprints/os...
1/9
osf.io/preprints/os...
1/9
Reposted by Erick Padilla
I took a closer look at the program #EPSA2024 and found some interesting trends – there seem to be more US based scholars than last year 🇺🇸
@epsanet.bsky.social
A thread on this year's authors and affiliations 🧵
@epsanet.bsky.social
A thread on this year's authors and affiliations 🧵
June 26, 2025 at 9:40 AM
I took a closer look at the program #EPSA2024 and found some interesting trends – there seem to be more US based scholars than last year 🇺🇸
@epsanet.bsky.social
A thread on this year's authors and affiliations 🧵
@epsanet.bsky.social
A thread on this year's authors and affiliations 🧵
Reposted by Erick Padilla
🚨 Excited to see my first solo-authored paper now published in IJPOR! 🚨
Do election outcomes affect participation in post-election surveys? And specifically, do election winners respond more than losers? The short answer: not really.
The slightly longer answer: 🧵👇
academic.oup.com/ijpor/articl...
Do election outcomes affect participation in post-election surveys? And specifically, do election winners respond more than losers? The short answer: not really.
The slightly longer answer: 🧵👇
academic.oup.com/ijpor/articl...
Survey Nonresponse After Elections: Investigating the Role of Winner-Loser Effects in Panel Attrition
Abstract. When and for whom do election outcomes drive survey nonresponse? This paper investigates whether belonging to the winners or losers of an electio
academic.oup.com
June 23, 2025 at 8:03 AM
🚨 Excited to see my first solo-authored paper now published in IJPOR! 🚨
Do election outcomes affect participation in post-election surveys? And specifically, do election winners respond more than losers? The short answer: not really.
The slightly longer answer: 🧵👇
academic.oup.com/ijpor/articl...
Do election outcomes affect participation in post-election surveys? And specifically, do election winners respond more than losers? The short answer: not really.
The slightly longer answer: 🧵👇
academic.oup.com/ijpor/articl...
Reposted by Erick Padilla
🚨New article🔥
🏠UnfAirbnb! The Effect of Short-Term Letting on Electoral Behaviour, with JM Raya & C Llaneza at @polstudies.bsky.social
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/... What do we study? (1/n) @upf.edu @politiquesupf.bsky.social
🏠UnfAirbnb! The Effect of Short-Term Letting on Electoral Behaviour, with JM Raya & C Llaneza at @polstudies.bsky.social
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/... What do we study? (1/n) @upf.edu @politiquesupf.bsky.social
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.
journals.sagepub.com
June 16, 2025 at 7:06 AM
🚨New article🔥
🏠UnfAirbnb! The Effect of Short-Term Letting on Electoral Behaviour, with JM Raya & C Llaneza at @polstudies.bsky.social
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/... What do we study? (1/n) @upf.edu @politiquesupf.bsky.social
🏠UnfAirbnb! The Effect of Short-Term Letting on Electoral Behaviour, with JM Raya & C Llaneza at @polstudies.bsky.social
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/... What do we study? (1/n) @upf.edu @politiquesupf.bsky.social
Reposted by Erick Padilla
🚀 Just published! Our study in Party Politics investigates what drives political parties to digitalise internally (member engagement) & externally (campaigning)
✅ Bigger parties digitalise participation more
✅ Competition boosts digitalisation
👉 journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
#DigitalPolitics
✅ Bigger parties digitalise participation more
✅ Competition boosts digitalisation
👉 journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
#DigitalPolitics
When do parties go digital? Examining the drivers of internal and external party digitalisation - Adrià Mompó, Marco Meloni, Oscar Barberà, Fabio Lupato, Giulia Sandri, Felix von Nostitz, 2025
Our paper investigates the drivers of party digitalisation, measuring the influence of environmental factors, inter-party competition and party characteristics ...
journals.sagepub.com
May 30, 2025 at 7:29 AM
🚀 Just published! Our study in Party Politics investigates what drives political parties to digitalise internally (member engagement) & externally (campaigning)
✅ Bigger parties digitalise participation more
✅ Competition boosts digitalisation
👉 journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
#DigitalPolitics
✅ Bigger parties digitalise participation more
✅ Competition boosts digitalisation
👉 journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
#DigitalPolitics
Reposted by Erick Padilla
Immigrants increase innovation and economic growth [full stop]
May 29, 2025 at 1:18 PM
Immigrants increase innovation and economic growth [full stop]
Reposted by Erick Padilla
Absolutely delighted that my paper “The political consequences of Africa’s mobile revolution” is now Early View at @ajpseditor.bsky.social ! Quick thread (1/n) onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
American Journal of Political Science | MPSA Journal | Wiley Online Library
What are the political consequences of rising domestic connectivity? I study this question in Sub-Saharan Africa, asking how mobile technology shapes public opinion in geographically isolated communi...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
May 29, 2025 at 10:36 AM
Absolutely delighted that my paper “The political consequences of Africa’s mobile revolution” is now Early View at @ajpseditor.bsky.social ! Quick thread (1/n) onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...