Alejandro Schuler
@aschuler.bsky.social
Assistant Professor of Biostatistics UC Berkeley
semiparametric statistics, machine learning, causal inference, stats/ML pedagogy, social justice
Modern Causal Inference Book: alejandroschuler.github.io/mci/
semiparametric statistics, machine learning, causal inference, stats/ML pedagogy, social justice
Modern Causal Inference Book: alejandroschuler.github.io/mci/
Reposted by Alejandro Schuler
I've been hearing people who are witnessing the impacts of AI on coding saying, "Aside from physical labor, the thing people should be focusing on is...mmm...I don't know what to call it..."
...and then they haltingly describe a liberal arts education.
...and then they haltingly describe a liberal arts education.
February 10, 2026 at 6:56 PM
I've been hearing people who are witnessing the impacts of AI on coding saying, "Aside from physical labor, the thing people should be focusing on is...mmm...I don't know what to call it..."
...and then they haltingly describe a liberal arts education.
...and then they haltingly describe a liberal arts education.
Reposted by Alejandro Schuler
To me it's another symptom of spending 98% of our time teaching people how to answer questions and 2% of our time teaching people how to ask questions.
February 10, 2026 at 1:43 PM
To me it's another symptom of spending 98% of our time teaching people how to answer questions and 2% of our time teaching people how to ask questions.
Reposted by Alejandro Schuler
Perhaps you received a mysterious noreply email asking you to evaluate some publications 'for novelty'. Looked kinda dubious? Yup, that's the one.
So what's up with this 'metascience novelty indicators challenge'? 🧵
So what's up with this 'metascience novelty indicators challenge'? 🧵
February 9, 2026 at 3:19 PM
Perhaps you received a mysterious noreply email asking you to evaluate some publications 'for novelty'. Looked kinda dubious? Yup, that's the one.
So what's up with this 'metascience novelty indicators challenge'? 🧵
So what's up with this 'metascience novelty indicators challenge'? 🧵
Reposted by Alejandro Schuler
1/ ProPublica collected handwritten letters in mid-January from children held at the Dilley Immigration Processing Center, the same facility where 5-year-old Liam Conejo Ramos was taken.
Hundreds of kids are still detained.
We’ll let the children’s words speak for themselves. 🧵
Hundreds of kids are still detained.
We’ll let the children’s words speak for themselves. 🧵
February 9, 2026 at 12:25 PM
1/ ProPublica collected handwritten letters in mid-January from children held at the Dilley Immigration Processing Center, the same facility where 5-year-old Liam Conejo Ramos was taken.
Hundreds of kids are still detained.
We’ll let the children’s words speak for themselves. 🧵
Hundreds of kids are still detained.
We’ll let the children’s words speak for themselves. 🧵
Reposted by Alejandro Schuler
The other outcome that I've seen - when there are so many As students at the very top can't distinguish themselves through their classwork. Going really deep on a class and writing a truly superb paper won't change grade --> increased incentive to distinguish through extra curriculars.
One of the worst outcomes of grade inflation is that it discourages students pushing themselves. College should be about taking a class that's a bit too hard for you, or in a field you don't know much about... but the risk of a B when so many get straight As is real. Safer to stick to what you know.
One place the current system fails--and it's not the only place--is honors. I'm on the Committee to recommend honors in the economics department. It's increasingly hard to distinguish excellence with so many A's. I believe that now even two A-'s makes you ineligible for Summa.
February 7, 2026 at 4:09 PM
The other outcome that I've seen - when there are so many As students at the very top can't distinguish themselves through their classwork. Going really deep on a class and writing a truly superb paper won't change grade --> increased incentive to distinguish through extra curriculars.
Reposted by Alejandro Schuler
And it has me thinking again about this year and a half old post by @economeager.bsky.social. Especially the line "We should teach them the best things," which has felt like a rearranging of my brain in a way I can't quite handle or live up to ever since.
rottenandgood.substack.com/p/tormented-...
rottenandgood.substack.com/p/tormented-...
Tormented by an Urn
Teaching, learning, love and fear; the aesthetic sensibility of math
rottenandgood.substack.com
February 5, 2026 at 4:40 AM
And it has me thinking again about this year and a half old post by @economeager.bsky.social. Especially the line "We should teach them the best things," which has felt like a rearranging of my brain in a way I can't quite handle or live up to ever since.
rottenandgood.substack.com/p/tormented-...
rottenandgood.substack.com/p/tormented-...
been getting back into LEGO now that my daughter is old enough. Couldn't find enough round pieces to do the crashes but I think it still reads :)
February 4, 2026 at 2:47 AM
been getting back into LEGO now that my daughter is old enough. Couldn't find enough round pieces to do the crashes but I think it still reads :)
Reposted by Alejandro Schuler
Counterpoint: Democrats want ICE razed more thoroughly than Carthage in 146 BC, the ideological territory in which it operates salted so thoroughly it never grows again, and every single one of these goons in front of a judge to face justice for their crimes.
Democrats want commonsense reform for ICE:
End the roving patrols and racial profiling.
Take accountability and abide by the same rules as local police.
Masks need to come off, body cameras need to stay on—no secret police in the United States of America.
End the roving patrols and racial profiling.
Take accountability and abide by the same rules as local police.
Masks need to come off, body cameras need to stay on—no secret police in the United States of America.
February 3, 2026 at 11:17 PM
Counterpoint: Democrats want ICE razed more thoroughly than Carthage in 146 BC, the ideological territory in which it operates salted so thoroughly it never grows again, and every single one of these goons in front of a judge to face justice for their crimes.
Reposted by Alejandro Schuler
fuck everything we're building digital triplets
February 3, 2026 at 10:49 PM
fuck everything we're building digital triplets
Finally!
Never have I felt more like my job will soon by taken by AI. Statistical learning theory in Lean: concentration inequalities, Dudley's entropy integral, and local Gaussian complexity bounds.
30000 lines of code, over 1000 lemmas, formalizing Wainwright and Boucheron et al arxiv.org/abs/2602.02285
30000 lines of code, over 1000 lemmas, formalizing Wainwright and Boucheron et al arxiv.org/abs/2602.02285
February 3, 2026 at 7:42 PM
Finally!
oh no please don't do that it would totally own us
Markwayne Mullin: "I agree with what Lindsey is saying on defunding these sanctuary cities. We should pull our TSA agents out of their airports and not allow their airpot to be classified as international or even a regional hub. We should pull all of our aid."
February 3, 2026 at 2:41 AM
oh no please don't do that it would totally own us
Reposted by Alejandro Schuler
And then finally, we need to be preparing for large-scale nation-wide protests if the election is stopped/compromised/violenced.
Crucially, at that point, the groups that have been organizing need to be prepared to shift tactics from 'days of demonstrate' to 'stay in the streets until it is done.'
Crucially, at that point, the groups that have been organizing need to be prepared to shift tactics from 'days of demonstrate' to 'stay in the streets until it is done.'
February 2, 2026 at 9:51 PM
And then finally, we need to be preparing for large-scale nation-wide protests if the election is stopped/compromised/violenced.
Crucially, at that point, the groups that have been organizing need to be prepared to shift tactics from 'days of demonstrate' to 'stay in the streets until it is done.'
Crucially, at that point, the groups that have been organizing need to be prepared to shift tactics from 'days of demonstrate' to 'stay in the streets until it is done.'
Reposted by Alejandro Schuler
christopher columbus was canceled for "racism" by the woke crown of castille and the SJWs in the 15th century jesuits
February 2, 2026 at 7:50 AM
christopher columbus was canceled for "racism" by the woke crown of castille and the SJWs in the 15th century jesuits
Reposted by Alejandro Schuler
I published this piece in 2015. I stand by it.
As we shore up & stabilize the transit system we have, let’s continually work to make it better. Subways are a part of that vision.
We used to quickly build lots of things that make people’s lives better. Let’s get back to that.
As we shore up & stabilize the transit system we have, let’s continually work to make it better. Subways are a part of that vision.
We used to quickly build lots of things that make people’s lives better. Let’s get back to that.
San Francisco Should Always Have a Subway Under Construction
A couple of years ago, I was with my friend Adam Cohn when he made this simple yet important declaration — “San Francisco should always…
medium.com
February 1, 2026 at 4:56 PM
I published this piece in 2015. I stand by it.
As we shore up & stabilize the transit system we have, let’s continually work to make it better. Subways are a part of that vision.
We used to quickly build lots of things that make people’s lives better. Let’s get back to that.
As we shore up & stabilize the transit system we have, let’s continually work to make it better. Subways are a part of that vision.
We used to quickly build lots of things that make people’s lives better. Let’s get back to that.
Exactly. We keep hearing ".... but mah incentives!"
No, fuck you, these people made a choice to allow unashamed evil to exist in exchange for cash, prestige, or power.
No, fuck you, these people made a choice to allow unashamed evil to exist in exchange for cash, prestige, or power.
Christakis is an example of the rot eating elite society. Even if he didn’t “partake”, the willingness to ingratiate a man for the sake of access to power, influence, and capital despite knowing he is a criminal predator creates the conditions for a society where those men can act with impunity
February 1, 2026 at 1:27 AM
Exactly. We keep hearing ".... but mah incentives!"
No, fuck you, these people made a choice to allow unashamed evil to exist in exchange for cash, prestige, or power.
No, fuck you, these people made a choice to allow unashamed evil to exist in exchange for cash, prestige, or power.
Reposted by Alejandro Schuler
Judge Biery signed the order with a photo of Liam and two bible verses: The first is "But Jesus said, Suffer little children, and forbid them not, to come unto me: for of such is the kingdom of heaven." The second is simply "Jesus wept."
Astonishing thing for a judge to do.
Astonishing thing for a judge to do.
![Philadelphia, September 17, 1787: "Well, Dr. Franklin, what do we have?" "A republic, if you
can keep it."
With a judicial finger in the constitutional dike,
It is so ORDERED.
SIGNED this 31st day of February, 2026.
_________________________________________________
FRED BIERY
UNITED STATES DISTRICT JUDGE
[photo of Liam]
Credit: Bystander
Matthew 19:14
John 11:35](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:73t3muu2pudsajp7a2fj3aly/bafkreigfz6fzbu65haq7nfqgaoe7m42gsaonpinpmaaptuzd5atkqvya4i@jpeg)
January 31, 2026 at 8:38 PM
Judge Biery signed the order with a photo of Liam and two bible verses: The first is "But Jesus said, Suffer little children, and forbid them not, to come unto me: for of such is the kingdom of heaven." The second is simply "Jesus wept."
Astonishing thing for a judge to do.
Astonishing thing for a judge to do.
wife surprised me with tickets to see slavoj zizek
January 31, 2026 at 6:55 AM
wife surprised me with tickets to see slavoj zizek
Reposted by Alejandro Schuler
The latest from Anthropic: using Anthropic's products makes you worse at your job
How AI assistance impacts the formation of coding skills
Anthropic is an AI safety and research company that's working to build reliable, interpretable, and steerable AI systems.
www.anthropic.com
January 30, 2026 at 10:42 PM
The latest from Anthropic: using Anthropic's products makes you worse at your job
Reposted by Alejandro Schuler
i think this is exactly right. fascism is the Death Drive as ideology. it's why the catastrophic end of the Nazi Party does not deter people from worshipping Nazis. that the Nazis destroyed Germany along with the rest of Europe is part of the appeal.
January 30, 2026 at 7:54 PM
i think this is exactly right. fascism is the Death Drive as ideology. it's why the catastrophic end of the Nazi Party does not deter people from worshipping Nazis. that the Nazis destroyed Germany along with the rest of Europe is part of the appeal.
Reposted by Alejandro Schuler
I cannot tell you how much doubt was consistently directed at the Gaza Health Ministry’s casualty numbers and how much pressure was put on news organizations to couch those numbers as unreliable.
Biden himself said they were fabricated!
www.haaretz.com/israel-news/...
Biden himself said they were fabricated!
www.haaretz.com/israel-news/...
IDF accepts Gaza Health Ministry death toll of over 71,000 Palestinians killed in the war
Although Many International Experts Have Accepted the Health Ministry's Data as Reliable, and Even Conservative Relative to the True Death Toll, Israel Had Refused to Accept the Health Ministry's Coun...
www.haaretz.com
January 29, 2026 at 3:29 PM
I cannot tell you how much doubt was consistently directed at the Gaza Health Ministry’s casualty numbers and how much pressure was put on news organizations to couch those numbers as unreliable.
Biden himself said they were fabricated!
www.haaretz.com/israel-news/...
Biden himself said they were fabricated!
www.haaretz.com/israel-news/...
Reposted by Alejandro Schuler
Unless you're doing some insane stupid Weather Underground shit the actual risk you face from the authorities isn't some crazy Big Brother tech shit. it's that some cop beats or shoots you from a foot away because he got angry.
January 28, 2026 at 11:34 PM
Unless you're doing some insane stupid Weather Underground shit the actual risk you face from the authorities isn't some crazy Big Brother tech shit. it's that some cop beats or shoots you from a foot away because he got angry.
Reposted by Alejandro Schuler
Corporations are extracting billions from America’s safety net and their payday is about to be supercharged by new rules.
I lay out how programs like Medicaid have become vulnerable to corporate capture and what we need to build to stop it.
@lpeblog.bsky.social
lpeproject.org/blog/the-mea...
I lay out how programs like Medicaid have become vulnerable to corporate capture and what we need to build to stop it.
@lpeblog.bsky.social
lpeproject.org/blog/the-mea...
The Means-Testing Industrial Complex
As Republicans tightened work requirements and eligibility rules for Medicaid and SNAP last year, Equifax’s CEO openly celebrated the profits to be made from administering this deprivation.
lpeproject.org
January 28, 2026 at 1:16 PM
Corporations are extracting billions from America’s safety net and their payday is about to be supercharged by new rules.
I lay out how programs like Medicaid have become vulnerable to corporate capture and what we need to build to stop it.
@lpeblog.bsky.social
lpeproject.org/blog/the-mea...
I lay out how programs like Medicaid have become vulnerable to corporate capture and what we need to build to stop it.
@lpeblog.bsky.social
lpeproject.org/blog/the-mea...
Reposted by Alejandro Schuler
[AMERICAN CITIZENS EXECUTED IN THE STREET BY MASKED FEDERAL AGENTS]
“Folks, I, uhh, have a podcast rec for that.”
“Folks, I, uhh, have a podcast rec for that.”
January 28, 2026 at 3:38 PM
[AMERICAN CITIZENS EXECUTED IN THE STREET BY MASKED FEDERAL AGENTS]
“Folks, I, uhh, have a podcast rec for that.”
“Folks, I, uhh, have a podcast rec for that.”