Alexander Sorg
@alexsorg.bsky.social
Postdoc, Harvard University | European security, nuclear umbrellas
Oh no! Anyways, here is my take on what the second paragraph on page 23 of the US National Security Strategy means for the future of transatlantic relations 🤗 ..1/28
Slovak PM Robert Fico was left shocked by Donald Trump’s state of mind after a recent meeting with him, he told his European counterparts at a summit last week, according to five diplomats briefed on the conversation.
European leader spoke of shock at Trump’s state of mind after Mar-a-Lago meeting
The Slovak PM, a Trump ally, told leaders at last week’s EU summit he was concerned about the way the U.S. president spoke to him, European diplomats said.
www.politico.eu
January 28, 2026 at 3:58 PM
Oh no! Anyways, here is my take on what the second paragraph on page 23 of the US National Security Strategy means for the future of transatlantic relations 🤗 ..1/28
It is largely useless to infer anything from official foreign policy documents under this 🇺🇸 administration. Europe is suppossed to take the lead on Ukraine? Well, only until Trump decides to have another half baked peace proposal drafted over night that forces Ukraine to disarm of course etc etc
January 24, 2026 at 8:58 AM
It is largely useless to infer anything from official foreign policy documents under this 🇺🇸 administration. Europe is suppossed to take the lead on Ukraine? Well, only until Trump decides to have another half baked peace proposal drafted over night that forces Ukraine to disarm of course etc etc
✨✨trademark bargaining strategy✨✨
In his mission to acquire Greenland, Donald Trump deployed his trademark bargaining strategy: Take the maximalist position — in this case the barely veiled threat of using military force — then dial back
Trump Finds His Greenland Framework and Pulls Back Threats
The president retreats from use of military force or tariffs.
bloom.bg
January 22, 2026 at 9:29 AM
✨✨trademark bargaining strategy✨✨
Watch out ICELAND 🙂
January 21, 2026 at 2:21 PM
Watch out ICELAND 🙂
Reposted by Alexander Sorg
Russland nimmt den Menschen in der Ukraine Licht und Wärme. Die Folge für alle, die hier leben: es ist dunkel und kalt. Auf der Arbeit, draußen, zu Hause. Ich habe versucht, das in einem kurzen Video für euch festzuhalten.
January 21, 2026 at 6:59 AM
Russland nimmt den Menschen in der Ukraine Licht und Wärme. Die Folge für alle, die hier leben: es ist dunkel und kalt. Auf der Arbeit, draußen, zu Hause. Ich habe versucht, das in einem kurzen Video für euch festzuhalten.
It would be an ironic turn in Alfred Nobel's legacy if we are about to be hit by "The Great Nobel War"
There are, I promise you, still serious and important people who think that Trump is playing 3D chess — putting on an act to convince his laggard NATO allies to pony up their fare share.
But stuff like this is pretty clear evidence that he's *the* immediate risk to our collective security
But stuff like this is pretty clear evidence that he's *the* immediate risk to our collective security
![Tweet from PBS correspondent Nick Schifrin:
NEW: @potus
letter to @jonasgahrstore
links @NobelPrize
to Greenland, reiterates threats, and is forwarded by the NSC staff to multiple European ambassadors in Washington. I obtained the text from multiple officials:
Dear Ambassador:
President Trump has asked that the following message, shared with Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Støre, be forwarded to your [named head of government/state]
“Dear Jonas: Considering your Country decided not to give me the Nobel Peace Prize for having stopped 8 Wars PLUS, I no longer feel an obligation to think purely of Peace, although it will always be predominant, but can now think about what is good and proper for the United States of America. Denmark cannot protect that land from Russia or China, and why do they have a “right of ownership” anyway? There are no written documents, it’s only that a boat landed there hundreds of years ago, but we had boats landing there, also. I have done more for NATO than any other person since its founding, and now, NATO should do something for the United States. The World is not secure unless we have Complete and Total Control of Greenland. Thank you! President DJT”](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:tdpns2ajyjp4g5niu4ouczuo/bafkreid6amzbzbj4rx2qgwsh7wyzqii3qzbgtgysv7owwqxjsydjk6qfuu@jpeg)
January 19, 2026 at 10:26 AM
It would be an ironic turn in Alfred Nobel's legacy if we are about to be hit by "The Great Nobel War"
Make America Obese Again ✨
i just feel like america has no business starting fights with the country that makes ozempic
January 19, 2026 at 9:41 AM
Make America Obese Again ✨
Just to note: the number of people who tolerate a website designed to promote racist and fascist content, and which allows child abuse, just to engage in self-promotion is actually insane
Many are just waking up to the Grok-nonconsensual images story as these pictures began flooding X over the holidays, but here’s our piece from Jan 2 featuring a victim, Julie Yukari, who was brave enough to speak on the record and on camera:
www.reuters.com/legal/litiga...
www.reuters.com/legal/litiga...
Elon Musk's Grok AI floods X with sexualized photos of women and minors
When contacted by Reuters for comment by email, xAI replied with the message "Legacy Media Lies."
www.reuters.com
January 5, 2026 at 4:00 PM
Just to note: the number of people who tolerate a website designed to promote racist and fascist content, and which allows child abuse, just to engage in self-promotion is actually insane
Reposted by Alexander Sorg
musk could livestream himself shooting someone and journalists, technologists businessmen, and politicians using x would barely bat an eye
January 2, 2026 at 10:00 AM
musk could livestream himself shooting someone and journalists, technologists businessmen, and politicians using x would barely bat an eye
Reposted by Alexander Sorg
🚨 Calling nuclear security scholars! 🚨
The Hertie School Centre for International Security is now accepting paper proposals for its Nuclear Security Workshop 2026, taking place 25 – 26 June 2026 at the Hertie School in Berlin.
Find out more: www.hertie-school.org/en/news/allc...
The Hertie School Centre for International Security is now accepting paper proposals for its Nuclear Security Workshop 2026, taking place 25 – 26 June 2026 at the Hertie School in Berlin.
Find out more: www.hertie-school.org/en/news/allc...
December 18, 2025 at 1:55 PM
🚨 Calling nuclear security scholars! 🚨
The Hertie School Centre for International Security is now accepting paper proposals for its Nuclear Security Workshop 2026, taking place 25 – 26 June 2026 at the Hertie School in Berlin.
Find out more: www.hertie-school.org/en/news/allc...
The Hertie School Centre for International Security is now accepting paper proposals for its Nuclear Security Workshop 2026, taking place 25 – 26 June 2026 at the Hertie School in Berlin.
Find out more: www.hertie-school.org/en/news/allc...
I frequently have conversations with officials (and sometimes experts) from various European NATO countries who insist that the US wants Europe to shoulder more of the burden, but that otherwise nothing has changed. When Pete Hegseth came to Europe he was actually ✨really nice✨. Great 😊
"The United States has threatened to cut intelligence sharing and weapons supplies for Ukraine to press it into agreeing to the framework of a U.S.-brokered peace deal
The sources ... said that Kyiv was under greater pressure from Washington than during any previous peace discussions"
Holy SH*T
The sources ... said that Kyiv was under greater pressure from Washington than during any previous peace discussions"
Holy SH*T
www.reuters.com
November 21, 2025 at 1:40 PM
I frequently have conversations with officials (and sometimes experts) from various European NATO countries who insist that the US wants Europe to shoulder more of the burden, but that otherwise nothing has changed. When Pete Hegseth came to Europe he was actually ✨really nice✨. Great 😊
Reposted by Alexander Sorg
Congressional Democrats have implored members of the military to reject any illegal orders they may receive. President Trump has responded with Truth Social posts reading "HANG THEM" and “punishable by DEATH.” Weary voters just want both sides to turn down the temperature.
November 21, 2025 at 4:21 AM
Congressional Democrats have implored members of the military to reject any illegal orders they may receive. President Trump has responded with Truth Social posts reading "HANG THEM" and “punishable by DEATH.” Weary voters just want both sides to turn down the temperature.
Reposted by Alexander Sorg
Sorry to be obnoxious about this but all the criticisms of Grok's blatant pro-Musk tuning ring just absurdly hollow if no one is actually willing to give up directly contributing to Elon Musk's website and in doing so, creating the conditions that make millions of people use the fucking chatbot
November 21, 2025 at 8:21 AM
Sorry to be obnoxious about this but all the criticisms of Grok's blatant pro-Musk tuning ring just absurdly hollow if no one is actually willing to give up directly contributing to Elon Musk's website and in doing so, creating the conditions that make millions of people use the fucking chatbot
Reposted by Alexander Sorg
In DIE ZEIT, our postdoc researcher Christian Gläßel & Adam Scharpf draw troubling parallels between ICE’s raids, rapid hiring & loyalty incentives and past authoritarian regimes, showing the importance of personnel decisions in driving repression.
📖 Read more: lnkd.in/d4vvTHyq
📖 Read more: lnkd.in/d4vvTHyq
November 19, 2025 at 2:10 PM
In DIE ZEIT, our postdoc researcher Christian Gläßel & Adam Scharpf draw troubling parallels between ICE’s raids, rapid hiring & loyalty incentives and past authoritarian regimes, showing the importance of personnel decisions in driving repression.
📖 Read more: lnkd.in/d4vvTHyq
📖 Read more: lnkd.in/d4vvTHyq
Reposted by Alexander Sorg
The Stanton Foundation awards a new major grant to @hertieschool.bsky.social's Centre for International Security, funding annual Stanton Fellowships & the Frank Stanton Distinguished Visiting Chair to grow nuclear security research & transatlantic collaboration. Read More → lnkd.in/dNega9gP
November 17, 2025 at 3:03 PM
The Stanton Foundation awards a new major grant to @hertieschool.bsky.social's Centre for International Security, funding annual Stanton Fellowships & the Frank Stanton Distinguished Visiting Chair to grow nuclear security research & transatlantic collaboration. Read More → lnkd.in/dNega9gP
Just found this fascinating 2019 poll conducted by Pew Research. Unfortunately, this question does not appear to have been repeated since then.
November 12, 2025 at 1:37 PM
Just found this fascinating 2019 poll conducted by Pew Research. Unfortunately, this question does not appear to have been repeated since then.
Reposted by Alexander Sorg
i now believe in the Chinese century
October 29, 2025 at 4:38 PM
i now believe in the Chinese century
Reposted by Alexander Sorg
NEW: Since October 2023, the IDF Spokesperson's Unit has released dozens of 3D animations illustrating alleged Hamas, Hezbollah, and Iranian sites
The style is now unmistakable: satellite zoom-ins, black & white wireframes, and red-textured houses - a new visual language of war
The style is now unmistakable: satellite zoom-ins, black & white wireframes, and red-textured houses - a new visual language of war
October 8, 2025 at 4:58 PM
NEW: Since October 2023, the IDF Spokesperson's Unit has released dozens of 3D animations illustrating alleged Hamas, Hezbollah, and Iranian sites
The style is now unmistakable: satellite zoom-ins, black & white wireframes, and red-textured houses - a new visual language of war
The style is now unmistakable: satellite zoom-ins, black & white wireframes, and red-textured houses - a new visual language of war
Reposted by Alexander Sorg
This might be the clearest example ever of media false equivalence ever where literally the entire leadership of the Republican Party, which currently controls every branch of the Federal government, insists Donald Trump was cheated in 2020 vs like four podcasters in a trenchcoat doing 2024 BlueAnon
After Donald Trump’s 2020 defeat, Republicans used dubious arguments to say he had been cheated. Now the left is dabbling in some of those same questionable theories to claim that Kamala Harris really won last year’s election, @dgraham.bsky.social argues.
The People Who Are Still Convinced Kamala Won
The left is dabbling in 2024-election-fraud theories.
bit.ly
September 24, 2025 at 1:36 PM
This might be the clearest example ever of media false equivalence ever where literally the entire leadership of the Republican Party, which currently controls every branch of the Federal government, insists Donald Trump was cheated in 2020 vs like four podcasters in a trenchcoat doing 2024 BlueAnon
Reposted by Alexander Sorg
These four types of political violence are all unacceptable.
The right can’t frame this as a left-wing issue.
It’s an American problem—one that affects all sides, but hits harder on the right
The right can’t frame this as a left-wing issue.
It’s an American problem—one that affects all sides, but hits harder on the right
September 16, 2025 at 7:05 PM
These four types of political violence are all unacceptable.
The right can’t frame this as a left-wing issue.
It’s an American problem—one that affects all sides, but hits harder on the right
The right can’t frame this as a left-wing issue.
It’s an American problem—one that affects all sides, but hits harder on the right
Reposted by Alexander Sorg
Available evidence suggests that Russia’s nuclear deployment to Belarus was primarily motivated by extended deterrence, but also by power projection to intimidate NATO & by desire for future arms control leverage - less by assurances, argues @alexsorg.bsky.social in The Nonproliferation Review 6/10
Nuclear Belarus: explaining Russian security guarantees
In 2022, Russia announced its plans to deploy nuclear weapons to Belarus, which would mark the first such deployment in an allied state since the Soviet Union’s collapse. Deploying nuclear weapons ...
www.tandfonline.com
September 12, 2025 at 5:53 AM
Available evidence suggests that Russia’s nuclear deployment to Belarus was primarily motivated by extended deterrence, but also by power projection to intimidate NATO & by desire for future arms control leverage - less by assurances, argues @alexsorg.bsky.social in The Nonproliferation Review 6/10
Thanks @lanoszka.bsky.social for the kind words, and for reminding me to engage in SELF PROMOTION ☝️ Russian ☢️-deployments to Belarus are driven by 🇷🇺 interests: preventing interference in 🇧🇾 and using them as a lever against NATO. At least, that is what I deduce from the limited evidence available.
A timely new article by @alexsorg.bsky.social looks at the reasons for why Russia might have positioned nuclear weapons in Belarus. As he puts it, it is "potentially the first new foreign nuclear-weapons deployment by any state since 1974."
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Nuclear Belarus: explaining Russian security guarantees
In 2022, Russia announced its plans to deploy nuclear weapons to Belarus, which would mark the first such deployment in an allied state since the Soviet Union’s collapse. Deploying nuclear weapons ...
www.tandfonline.com
September 10, 2025 at 12:43 PM
Thanks @lanoszka.bsky.social for the kind words, and for reminding me to engage in SELF PROMOTION ☝️ Russian ☢️-deployments to Belarus are driven by 🇷🇺 interests: preventing interference in 🇧🇾 and using them as a lever against NATO. At least, that is what I deduce from the limited evidence available.
Reposted by Alexander Sorg
It's not a big leap from the govt sending people to a death prison for having the wrong tattoo to blowing up 11 people that may or may not have had drugs on their boat.
You know that boat the administration blew up? A former law enforcement official told the NYT the boat seemed to be carrying not drugs but *’migrants *
www.nytimes.com/2025/09/03/u...
www.nytimes.com/2025/09/03/u...
September 4, 2025 at 7:21 PM
It's not a big leap from the govt sending people to a death prison for having the wrong tattoo to blowing up 11 people that may or may not have had drugs on their boat.
Reposted by Alexander Sorg
In the context of debates on military capacities, this small research note uses the exact date of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine as an unexpected event during a survey to corroborate that willingness to fight rises with proximity to conflict (cf. doi.org/10.1017/eis.2025.12)
Any feedback is welcome!
Any feedback is welcome!
August 29, 2025 at 12:24 PM
In the context of debates on military capacities, this small research note uses the exact date of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine as an unexpected event during a survey to corroborate that willingness to fight rises with proximity to conflict (cf. doi.org/10.1017/eis.2025.12)
Any feedback is welcome!
Any feedback is welcome!