Robbie Andrew
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robbieandrew.bsky.social
Robbie Andrew
@robbieandrew.bsky.social

Senior scientist at Oslo-based CICERO Center for International Climate Research • 🌍Global Carbon Project • https://robbieandrew.github.io/

Environmental science 43%
Economics 15%
Pinned
On Tuesday I gave a ten-minute update on where global fossil CO₂ emissions are at.
CICEROdagen 2025 - En hel dag med klimakunnskap - Auditorium 0001
YouTube video by CICERO klima
youtu.be

Nice to hear! More to come this year, watch this space.

Here's a version with the datatips turned on.

Hehe. The final point is actually on the graph, just! Y limit there is 550 and the final point is 548.8. It's automatic, so should sort itself out.

It's for feeder routes, so coastal shipping only.

Reposted by Robbie M. Andrew

There are still two million non-electric cars on the roads in Norway, which is twice as many as the number of electric cars. There's no decline in the number of energy stations, and it costs money to remove the fuel pumps. Pure-petrol sales have been low for a long time.

There's a noticeable difference in new registrations of new trucks and and new registrations of new+used trucks in the Netherlands. But certainly demonstrating strong growth in 2025.

January numbers are still a couple of weeks off!

Reposted by Du Toit, Wim Thiery

Electrostate China.

That's a great talk. Thanks for sharing.

🎁🔗
A Trump ‘Blockade’ Is Stalling Hundreds of Wind and Solar Projects Nationwide
www.nytimes.com

Sure. Again, if the govt decides to throw lots of subsidies at imported LNG, companies will follow that path and buy it. The sensible thing would be to not to that. Anyway, my point was that the govt's goal seems unlikely to lead anywhere.

Don't put it past a government to push through a plan that doesn't make economic sense.

Difficult to reconcile those two facts. (1) LNG is expensive for India, but (2) they have govt goals to use it much more.

The main thing in India is that natural gas is very expensive compared to other sources of energy, since any increase in supply is from LNG, but they do have goals to increase natgas as a share of total energy supply.

Battery swapping is significant, but only about half of the BEV total.

Here's a day from the late monsoon (near the start of the available data). Since wind is steady through the day, it's difficult to compare by eye, but total wind generation on this day is over half as much as solar.

Yes, it's interesting. It varies seasonally. Much of the year it's in the early evening for residential cooling. This snapshot is from winter, where morning residential activities dominate (water heating), and possibly also agriculture: massive pumping of groundwater.

They say they exclude the early generation in their calculations precisely because of their very power efficiency.

Wind is highly seasonal in India, becoming much stronger during the monsoon. I chose a winter day for this chart to highlight that solar is still a big contribution even in winter.
robbieandrew.github.io/india/

Reposted by Robbie M. Andrew

Chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) have been detected in atmospheric measurements from 1951, indicating their presence 20 years earlier than previously documented. doi.org/hbnjz8
Ozone-depleting CFCs detected in historical measurements—20 years earlier than previously known
An international research team led by the University of Bremen has detected chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) in Earth's atmosphere for the first time in historical measurements from 1951—20 years earlier than previously known.
phys.org

It's share of actual generation, not of capacity.

If that's your question, then we don't need sub-daily data to answer it! Here you can see the share of solar growing strongly over time.

While the data source I used above only starts a few months ago, another data source has earlier data, but unfortunately combines renewables together. Still, a useful comparison. Hydro still taking most of the demand shoulders.
Overall much lower generation six years ago, and total renewables considerably smaller. Thermal generation is basically flat through the middle of the day.

Overall much lower generation six years ago, and total renewables considerably smaller. Thermal generation is basically flat through the middle of the day.

Ah. Unfortunately the earlier data I have available don't split out solar separately from renewables. The data source I used for the plot above only starts in September of last year. But I'll keep looking.

Doable. I'll put it on my list to do.

Here's a report from August 2025 discussing the situation.
India's battery storage boom: Getting the execution right
The Government of India is supporting the growth of energy storage capacities with a combination of policies and incentives
ieefa.org

I hacked a font some years back to give better numeric subscripts for compounds. Still using it on my figures. I'm never going to use the Spanish upside-down exclamation mark, so replaced it with a new glyph.

They're only just getting started, and not significant enough yet to be reported. But they do have plans.