Malte Meinshausen
meinshausen.bsky.social
Malte Meinshausen
@meinshausen.bsky.social

The University of Melbourne & Climate Resource

Environmental science 44%
Economics 20%

Reposted by Malte Meinshausen

📣 We just released a new free resource at @climatecentral.org - a 72-slide deck introducing key facts about climate change, including its causes, impacts, and solutions. It also comes with speaker notes and links for local storytelling.

➡️ www.climatecentral.org/climate-matt... (English & Spanish)

Reposted by Malte Meinshausen

We have put out some new NDC snapshots. Check them out: www.climate-resource.com/tools/ndcs?v.... The latest is the Chinese NDC that sets an emissions reduction of 7–10% below the peak by 2035, moving from a carbon intensity goal to an absolute target. This enhances transparency and accountability.

Reposted by Malte Meinshausen

Our new brief “Pre-COP30: how are temperatures tracking on the latest targets?” is here: www.climate-resource.com/reports/ndcs...
#ClimateAction #COP30 #ClimateFinance
www.climate-resource.com

Reposted by Malte Meinshausen

We’ve also created NDC Snapshots: quick assessments of recent #NDCs. Explore them here:
🌍 www.climate-resource.com/tools/ndcs?v...
We’re here to share how science meets action and we’re excited to connect, collaborate, and exchange ideas.
#ClimateScience #GHG #ClimateRisk
@ipcc.bsky.social
NDCs - Climate Resource
Nationally determined contributions - Climate Resource
www.climate-resource.com

Reposted by Malte Meinshausen

We're sharing some recent work contributing to CMIP7. We delivered updated historical GHG concentrations and are now helping finalise future climate scenario concentrations. Read our publication in Geoscientific Model Development with our work for CMIP7 @egu.eu
👉 gmd.copernicus.org/articles/18/...
An evolving Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 7 (CMIP7) and Fast Track in support of future climate assessment
Abstract. The Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) coordinates community-based efforts to answer key and timely climate science questions, facilitate delivery of relevant multi-model simulatio...
gmd.copernicus.org

Reposted by Malte Meinshausen

Reposted by Malte Meinshausen

Reposted by Malte Meinshausen

Reposted by Malte Meinshausen

A must read, devastating, Report by Francesca Albanese (UN Rapporteur on human rights in the Palestinian territories occupied since 1967) on the global economic foundations of the Palestinians' genocide: THE ECONOMY OF GENOCIDE.

Please share!

www.ohchr.org/en/documents...
A/HRC/59/23: From economy of occupation to economy of genocide - Report of the Special Rapporteur on the situation of human rights in the Palestinian territories occupied since 1967 (Advance edited ve...
This report investigates the corporate machinery sustaining Israel’s settler-colonial project of displacement and replacement of the Palestinians in the occupied territory. While political leaders and...
www.ohchr.org

Yes, it is painful. And it would be less painful if there were good options of how Tesla drivers could be a pain to Elon.

My attempts to start a discussion about that were banned in 'Tesla owners' facebook forums. Those have remarkable membership numbers (75k in Australia). You know what to do.

Maybe one can replace "to drive a Tesla" with:
- to not be ashamed driving one
- to not have a bumper sticker expressing that
- to not pledge never to buy one again
- .. etc.

Just asking for a friend .

Reposted by Malte Meinshausen


"Before mass leaders seize the power to fit reality to their lies, their propaganda is marked by its extreme contempt for facts as such, for in their opinion fact depends entirely on the power of man who can fabricate it"
- Hannah Arendt, the origin of totalitarism

This bluesky space becomes enjoyable.

Just posted my probably last ever 'X'...

An entry into the competition for best Tesla bumper stickers, now that he is full throttle for fossil fuels and everything else Trump stands for.

LET HIM GO TO MARS.
NEW – COP29: Key outcomes agreed at the UN climate talks in Baku

#COP29

➡️ https://buff.ly/3V5jndk
A new paper led by Sebastian Sippel just appeared in Nature arguing that ocean temperature measurements in the early 20th century have a cold bias.

It's a fun story illustrating the process of scientific discovery, so let me talk about it a bit. 🧵

www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Early-twentieth-century cold bias in ocean surface temperature observations - Nature
Independent statistical reconstructions of the global mean surface temperature from either ocean or land data show that existing estimates of early-twentieth-century ocean surface temperatures are too...
www.nature.com

Reposted by Malte Meinshausen

After net zero CO2 emissions do you want to halt or continue global warming?

If you want to halt global warming, the point of getting to net zero emissions, then we better define it correctly!

The key is how “removals” are defined & the role humans play.

doi.org/10.1038/s415...

1/

Reposted by Malte Meinshausen

Understanding the consequences of potential overshoot above the 1.5°C warming level has been the focus of the PROVIDE project and the work by a great group of interdisciplinary authors has just been published in @natureportfolio.bsky.social
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Here’s what we found: 1/
Overconfidence in climate overshoot - Nature
Aiming for declining global temperatures can limit long-term climate risks compared with a mere stabilization of global warming, including sea-level rise and cryosphere changes.
www.nature.com

Reposted by Malte Meinshausen

Wow, didn't realise Germany's coal power output was down by two-thirds in a decade

It's currently on track for a virtual phaseout by 2030!

Reposted by Malte Meinshausen

Explain it to me like I am a fifth grader...

That was the goal in this article with @meinshausen.bsky.social: "We Are Not on Track: Greenhouse Gas Emissions Are Higher Than Ever!"

Did we succeed?
kids.frontiersin.org/articles/10....

Reposted by Malte Meinshausen

All this, and more, is discussed in a new review & perspective piece in Geoscientific Model Development (GMD), led by @meinshausen.bsky.social

Please read and continue the discussion: geoscientific-model-development.net

4/4

Reposted by Malte Meinshausen

Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs).

They are just one element of a bigger puzzle. Should scenarios start at concentration, or emissions, or socioeconomics? Should they start at temperature and go backwards?

All have advantages...

gmd.copernicus.org/articles/17/...

1/

Reposted by Malte Meinshausen

Reposted by Malte Meinshausen

Reposted by Malte Meinshausen

Reposted by Malte Meinshausen

The effective amount of Petroleum Resource Rent Tax collected by the Australian government as a share of oil & gas revenues has collapsed, as we point out in our submission to the Treasury. #Auspol #Auspol2024

climateanalytics.org/publications...

Coal is the first one to exit, if we want to put ourselves on track to meet the long-term Paris agreement goals. By 2030 or 2035 at the latest. Other fossil fuels to follow swift.

Let's hope that COP28 will have clear wording in the end.

Full briefing here: www.climate-resource.com/tools/ndcs

The latest temperature assessments of the NDCs and LT-LEDS pledges by countries - and how they fair against the Paris Agreement temperature goals?

Surprise: We are still quite far off 1.5C.

Here an overview of all the main studies. See more at: climate-resource.com/tools/ndcs

Entering the 1.5C world, it's time for a fossil fuel exit.

Phase-in of renewables is key, but only replaces fossil fuel (emissions), if married with strong energy efficiency and dedicated coal, oil and gas phase-out policies.

Full briefing: climate-resource.com/tools/ndcs

Reposted by Malte Meinshausen