Jakob Zscheischler
zscheischlerjak.bsky.social
Jakob Zscheischler
@zscheischlerjak.bsky.social

Earth system scientist @UFZ & Prof @TUdresden, expert on compound weather and climate events

Environmental science 60%
Geography 17%
So, I hate to be this guy, but as the director of Yale’s new program on attribution science (!?), uh, most of the commentary on Bluesky about Hurricane Melissa and climate change has been… not quite right
This is a good corrective to the BS narrative flowing through the Pielke/AEI/NYP/EID/DOE nexus. Their argument is designed so that we can never ever attribute extreme events to emissions - even singular events that would have *never* [for some suitable finite approximation] have happened before.
Herzlichen Glückwunsch! Eine sehr verdiente Auszeichnung für eine herausragende Wissenschaftlerin und ausgezeichnete Mentorin!
Es ist eine grosse Ehre, den 2025 Deutschen Umweltpreis zu erhalten! Danke an alle meine jetzigen und ehemaligen Gruppenmitglieder und viele Kolleg:innen!
@lukasgudmundsson.bsky.social @yasserhaddad.bsky.social @yannquilcaille.bsky.social @michaelgwindisch.bsky.social @usyseth.bsky.social
Ausgezeichnet!🏆Mit dem Deutschen Umweltpreis 2025 von der DBU #uwp25 werden die Klimaforscherin @soniaseneviratne.bsky.social @ethz.ch & das Geschäftsführungsduo Lars Baumgürtel und Dr. Ing. Birgitt Bendiek des Stahlverzinkungsunternehmens ZINQ geehrt. buff.ly/QEDIjX0
Es ist eine grosse Ehre, den 2025 Deutschen Umweltpreis zu erhalten! Danke an alle meine jetzigen und ehemaligen Gruppenmitglieder und viele Kolleg:innen!
@lukasgudmundsson.bsky.social @yasserhaddad.bsky.social @yannquilcaille.bsky.social @michaelgwindisch.bsky.social @usyseth.bsky.social
Ausgezeichnet!🏆Mit dem Deutschen Umweltpreis 2025 von der DBU #uwp25 werden die Klimaforscherin @soniaseneviratne.bsky.social @ethz.ch & das Geschäftsführungsduo Lars Baumgürtel und Dr. Ing. Birgitt Bendiek des Stahlverzinkungsunternehmens ZINQ geehrt. buff.ly/QEDIjX0

Herzlichen Glückwunsch!! Das sind aber schöne Neuigkeiten
I had an engagement with blogger, failed California gubernatorial candidate, and self-identified reporter Michael Shellenberger this past week, which started out being about this new paper being heralded by climate skeptics as disproving global sea-level acceleration. (LONG 🧵)
Our new study on how large floods will change in Europe under climate change, led by @bfang.bsky.social, with @bevacquae.bsky.social

Reposted by Jakob Zscheischler

❄️🌧️Reduced snowmelt dominates changes in Northern Europe's largest floods, while heavy precipitation dominates Western Europe flood events.

@bfang.bsky.social @zscheischlerjak.bsky.social

👉Read more here:
www.nature.com/articles/s43...
Diverging trends in large floods across Europe in a warming climate - Communications Earth & Environment
Reduced snowmelt dominates northern Europe’s largest floods variation while heavy precipitation dominates western Europe flood events, according to a joint assessment of changes in the timing, spatial...
www.nature.com

Reposted by Jakob Zscheischler

I am looking for a Postdoc to join my team at @climate.columbia.edu and NASA GISS.

We will be working with Corteva Agrisceince and advance our understanding of historical and future crop breeding using crop models. Exciting and ambitious, please share!

academic.careers.columbia.edu#!/168193
Academic Search and Recruiting
academic.careers.columbia.edu
Numerical weather prediction models (ECMWF IFS) still outperform AI weather models in forecasting record-breaking hot and cold extremes and unseen wind extremes

Preprint
arxiv.org/abs/2508.15724

with Zhongwei Zhang @erichfischer.bsky.social @zscheischlerjak.bsky.social and Sebastian Engelke
Numerical models outperform AI weather forecasts of record-breaking extremes
Artificial intelligence (AI)-based models are revolutionizing weather forecasting and have surpassed leading numerical weather prediction systems on various benchmark tasks. However, their ability to ...
arxiv.org

Reposted by Jakob Zscheischler

🏅Outstanding Publication!
What if #ExtremeFloods are driven by compounding factors?
Using #LightGBM + #SHAP to quantify how rainfall, soil moisture, snowpack & temperature interact, this study reveals "The Secret Network of Extreme Floods"
🔗: https://scads.ai/the-secret-network-of-extreme-floods/
With 2024 coming in at or above #1o5C, and a run of 12 months to June 2024 where monthly warming was at or above 1.5°C, questions are coming about whether or not the longer-term 1.5°C limit set out in the Paris Agreement has been reached.

2 papers out today look at these Qs. 🧵👇
Reaching the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C limit: are we there yet?
Two new papers published in Nature Climate Change today ask whether the recent global temperatures at or exceeding 1.5° warming above preindustrial mean the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C limit has been reac...
climateanalytics.org

Reposted by Jakob Zscheischler

On International Firefighters’ Day, happy to share our latest research about challenges in international firefighting cooperation due to increasing fire weather season overlap between Australia and North America.

doi.org/10.1029/2024...

Reposted by Jakob Zscheischler

UFZ @ufz.de · Apr 28
#Klimawandel erhöht das Risiko gleichzeitiger Waldbrände, zeigen deutsche und australische Forschende in ihrer Studie. Die sog. Feuerwetter überlappen sich zunehmend und erschweren so staatenübergreifende Hilfe. #UFZ @zscheischlerjak.bsky.social @afsribeiro.bsky.social
www.ufz.de/index.php?de...

Reposted by Jakob Zscheischler

Transdisciplinary coordination is essential for advancing agricultural modelling with machine learning. The opportunities are great, but to avoid pitfalls, we need to establish benchmarks, evaluation criteria and best practices. Our perspective: www.cell.com/one-earth/fu... @cp-oneearth.bsky.social
Transdisciplinary coordination is essential for advancing agricultural modeling with machine learning
Crop models play a key role in understanding and improving the climate-change resilience of food systems. If appropriately used, machine learning can help tackle some of the critical challenges of agr...
www.cell.com

Reposted by Jakob Zscheischler

To what extent does human-induced climate change contribute to global extreme wildfires? In our latest study, we quantified the contribution of human-induced climate change to over 700 observed extreme wildfires globally. www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Growing human-induced climate change fingerprint in regional weekly fire extremes - npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science - Growing human-induced climate change fingerprint in regional weekly fire extremes
www.nature.com
🎺 #job alert: Are you interested in #Biodiversity and #Health linkages? Come and work with us in our lab at @ufz.de @idiv-research.bsky.social
apply online via UFZ recruitment portal until 18 May 2025 👇
lnkd.in/eQmcKDQU
LinkedIn
This link will take you to a page that’s not on LinkedIn
lnkd.in

Reposted by Jakob Zscheischler

Our 2024 climate chronicles have just been published!

Check out the Collection: www.nature.com/collections/...

Thread below details all articles and their take-home messages.

[1/n]
Climate chronicles
Climate chronicles brings together Nature Reviews Earth & Environment's annual series of 'Year in Review' articles.
www.nature.com

Looking for a new postdoc position in climate?

Help us build a reanalysis-based storyline approach to consider how individual extreme events and their impacts are altered in different climates.

Based in Edinburgh as part of collaborative project:
elxw.fa.em3.oraclecloud.com/hcmUI/Candid...
Postdoctoral Researcher in impact attribution from extreme weather events
We seek a postdoctoral research associate (PDRA) for a 33-month position to work on the UK NERC-funded pushing the frontiers grant “Attributable impacts from extreme weather events”.
elxw.fa.em3.oraclecloud.com
If someone would like to do a postdoc with me on the Stanford campus aimed at thinking about allocation of resources across different domains (climate, environment, food, health, education, wealth transfer, etc) to improve human welfare (balancing near-term and long-term goals), please contact me.
📢 Postdoc Opportunity: Ocean Tipping Points & Impacts!

We're hiring a postdoc in my group at the University of Bern, Switzerland, to study ocean tipping points and their impacts. The position is part of HEurope project TipESM (@tipesm.bsky.social). Feel free to reach out with any questions. 🌊
Interested in volunteering to be an author for the IPCC AR7 Working Groups?

Nomination process open until 17th April: apps.ipcc.ch/nominations/...
IPCC Nominations - Authors
apps.ipcc.ch
Like to develop your own research profile? Work on a permanent contract in a diverse, inspiring & supportive work environment?
We seek to appoint a scientist working on climate hazards for risk assessments & on data management & analysis. Join us at Wegener Center:

jobs.uni-graz.at/en/jobs/6015...

Reposted by Jakob Zscheischler

People may not understand just how important federal science research funding is to the prosperity of the nation. I tried to explain it, because it's under unprecedented and direct assault.
Was der Klimawissenschaftler Emanuele Bevacqua sagt.

Wäre doch mal schön, wenn wir dazu eine Talkshow hätten, oder @zdfde.bsky.social ?

Reposted by Jakob Zscheischler

Das 1,5-Grad-Ziel ist gefährdet, wie aktuelle Berechnungen zeigen. Trotzdem rät Klimaforscher Emanuele Bevacqua, daran festzuhalten: Noch sei es möglich, die Erderwärmung zu verlangsamen.
Studie zu den Pariser Klimazielen: Hat die 1,5-Grad-Ära begonnen, Herr Bevacqua?
Das 1,5-Grad-Ziel ist gefährdet, wie aktuelle Berechnungen zeigen. Trotzdem rät Klimaforscher Emanuele Bevacqua, daran festzuhalten: Noch sei es möglich, die Erderwärmung zu verlangsamen.
www.spiegel.de
In Nature Climate Change, we show that a year above 1.5 °C signals that Earth is most probably within the 20-year period that will reach the Paris Agreement limit. @natclimchange.bsky.social
A year above 1.5 °C signals that Earth is most probably within the 20-year period that will reach the Paris Agreement limit - Nature Climate Change
What a first year with temperature 1.5 °C above the pre-industrial baseline implies for long-term temperature goals is unclear. Here the authors show that such a first year above the baseline is highl...
www.nature.com