Brad "Pencil Necked Geek" Humphreys
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bradhumphreys.bsky.social
Brad "Pencil Necked Geek" Humphreys
@bradhumphreys.bsky.social

Economist. "He's an impediment to Civic Progress" - Patrick La Forge, Edmonton Oilers President
https://bradhumphreys.faculty.wvu.edu/home

Economics 54%
Sociology 12%
If anyone has a job market paper they would like me to repost, tag me and I will do my best to do so! Would love to follow what people are working on more closely.

Reposted by Brad R. Humphreys

This MLB indictment is incredible. It alleges, among many other things, that a star Cleveland pitcher was placing bets *during a game* that a pitch he was about to throw would be a ball, and it would be under 98 mph.

www.justice.gov/usao-edny/me...

Reposted by Brad R. Humphreys

Reposted by Brad R. Humphreys

Since 1980 among passing sports referenda:
-9th smallest margin of victory (4.2%, mean = 19.5%)
-4th smallest turnout (19%, mean = 41%)
-no stat diff btwn strong and weak R precincts
-wealth diffs drove the margin. Precincts above med home value supported on avg 52% compared to those below at 47%.

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Also the speed of desk rejections at some top journals.
The speed of light visualized on a world map.

Credit: Dr James O'Donoghue

At least taxpayers got to vote on it.

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Time to add another publicly subsidized arena to the database. I'm sure *this one will be different.*
www.expressnews.com/news/article...
Bexar County voters approve downtown San Antonio basketball arena
About 52% of Bexar County voters approved devoting up to $311 million in county tax dollars to help pay for a new $1.3 billion Spurs arena to be built at Hemisfair.
www.expressnews.com

Ah yes, Halloween in Edmonton.
On Halloween Edmonton's average High is 5°C, and the average Low is -3.2°C.
But Halloween 1984 scared and scarred a generation of kids with a High of -17.7°C, and a Low of -23.7°C.
1991 & 2003 were also unusually cold, but nothing like that.
#yegwx #yeg
public.tableau.com/shared/2G4C7...

This is the most French thing I have ever read

Reposted by Brad R. Humphreys

On Halloween Edmonton's average High is 5°C, and the average Low is -3.2°C.
But Halloween 1984 scared and scarred a generation of kids with a High of -17.7°C, and a Low of -23.7°C.
1991 & 2003 were also unusually cold, but nothing like that.
#yegwx #yeg
public.tableau.com/shared/2G4C7...

Reposted by Brad R. Humphreys

Soon.

MLB pitchers with ulnar collateral ligament tears who have Tommy John surgery and return to MLB have longer careers than matched uninjured pitchers and also perform better in terms of opposing batter batting average.
cc @keithlaw.bsky.social

Now available on-line at Economics and Human Biology: "The impact of health shocks on worker performance: Evidence from Major League Baseball." Joint work with Yulia Chikish
Link to ungated version: authors.elsevier.com/a/1l-nQ,Zjej...

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😄😄

Brown liquor

Reposted by Brad R. Humphreys

A good look at the fiscal illusion that hides taxpayer dollars flowing to "private" stadiums. Featuring @victor-matheson.bsky.social and @gpropheter.bsky.social
As stadium boom resumes, ‘private funding’ often comes with public strings
Cities eager to tout privately financed sports stadiums are still spending big through tax breaks, land deals and public financing that shift costs back to taxpayers.
www.smartcitiesdive.com

Reposted by Brad R. Humphreys

I just got a copy of this paper (pubsonline.informs.org/doi/10.1287/...) which says that NIL has not had any "the rich get richer" effects, but instead has somewhat improved competitive balance.

h/t to @mattbrown.bsky.social for alerting me to this through the Extra Points newsletter

College basketball teams can now sign former G League players and people who played professionally in Europe. The NCAA appears to just be making things up as they go along in this new professionalized environment.

sports.yahoo.com/mens-college...
Why G League players are being allowed to play college basketball
When did the NCAA begin allowing coaches to scour the G League for recruits? The trend is a byproduct of the NCAA's loosening of amateurism rules due to the House settlement and NIL deals.
sports.yahoo.com

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All I know is that it is a lot cheaper to hear me talk about ticket prices on NPR's Morning Edition today than it is to buy tickets to any sporting events nowadays.

www.npr.org/2025/10/23/n...
Sports ticket prices are getting more expensive — and pricing out many fans
For sports fans, there's nothing as exciting as going to see your team play. But what was once an affordable form of entertainment is becoming increasingly more expensive and pricing some loyal fans o...
www.npr.org

Reposted by Brad R. Humphreys

Worcester should serve as a warning to cities hoping to repay sports project costs with tax revenue from new development (*cough San Antonio*) that there's no guarantee the new housing will get built, plus taxes on new residents aren't a free windfall.
Worcester stadium red ink shows dangers of hoping to cover taxpayer costs with housing magic beans
It's now been more than seven years since the Pawtucket Red Sox owners cut a deal to get $105 million in public cash to move to a new stadium in Worcester, sparking a throwdown between economists Andr...
www.fieldofschemes.com

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This is getting pathetic. The @ExpressNews editorial board continues to trot out empty pretext justifications for the Spurs arena plan that it has gone dewy-eyed over. When your arguments are this bad, it's time to take a hard look in the mirror.
www.expressnews.com/opinion/edit...
Rejecting Spurs arena downtown comes with costs, risks, civic pain
As voters weigh Bexar County Propositions A and B, they should also consider the potential costs of rejecting the Spurs arena.
www.expressnews.com

Reposted by Brad R. Humphreys

News: the U.S. Attorney’s Office for the Eastern District of New York will have a 10 am press conference regarding its investigation of point shaving and performance manipulation in pro basketball. This is separate from the college investigation that is in the Eastern District of Pennsylvania.

Reposted by Brad R. Humphreys

Now official: College athletes and school staff can bet on pro sports, beginning on Nov. 1.

All three Divisions have voted to approve the change, per the NCAA.

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Whoever wrote this editorial for the @ExpressNews should be embarrassed. If you think 50 years of research demonstrating that publicly funded venues are bad policy doesn't make a "clear and convincing case" then you're not interested in evidence.
www.expressnews.com/opinion/edit...

I had a great meal there pre-pandemic. Glad they survived

Big Game Bob!
A source familiar with Florida coaching searches indicates Bob Stoops is at the top of the Gators’ wish list to replace Billy Napier

Reposted by Brad R. Humphreys

San Antonio Express-News endorses the Spurs arena boondoggle. Irresponsible and totally unacceptable. www.expressnews.com/opinion/edit...
Our recommendations for constitutional amendments, Spurs arena and school issues
In keeping with tradition, the Express-News Editorial Board offers its ballot recommendations. Please cast a ballot.
www.expressnews.com

Reposted by Brad R. Humphreys

A source familiar with Florida coaching searches indicates Bob Stoops is at the top of the Gators’ wish list to replace Billy Napier

Reposted by Brad R. Humphreys

Reposted by Brad R. Humphreys