If the possible worlds treatment of counterfactuals, modals etc is right, does that mean that the subjunctive mood isn't really a mood but just a fancy declarative?
November 18, 2025 at 9:27 AM
If the possible worlds treatment of counterfactuals, modals etc is right, does that mean that the subjunctive mood isn't really a mood but just a fancy declarative?
anyway the great thing about counterfactuals is that they can’t be disproven.
November 18, 2025 at 5:06 AM
anyway the great thing about counterfactuals is that they can’t be disproven.
3/ Pearl's argument: DNNs trained on “passive” observations using statistical prediction objectives are fundamentally limited to associations (L1) and cannot reason about interventions (L2) or counterfactuals (L3).
November 18, 2025 at 2:11 AM
3/ Pearl's argument: DNNs trained on “passive” observations using statistical prediction objectives are fundamentally limited to associations (L1) and cannot reason about interventions (L2) or counterfactuals (L3).
"Counterfactuals. At planetary scale."
The Planetary Causal Inference (PCI) book launches soon:
planetarycausalinference.org/book-launch/
The Planetary Causal Inference (PCI) book launches soon:
planetarycausalinference.org/book-launch/
November 17, 2025 at 2:57 PM
"Counterfactuals. At planetary scale."
The Planetary Causal Inference (PCI) book launches soon:
planetarycausalinference.org/book-launch/
The Planetary Causal Inference (PCI) book launches soon:
planetarycausalinference.org/book-launch/
I'm honored to have my article, "Counterfactuals and the Tumblr Aesthetic: Allegories of Reading in _Frankenstein_ and _The Locked Tomb_" included in this special issue!
New issue of @c21literature.bsky.social: Journal of 21st-century Writings, Volume 12, Issue 2, is out now! Novel Media/Media Novel, edited by Dong Xia and Sandro Eich: c21.openlibhums.org/issue/1286/i...
November 17, 2025 at 2:28 PM
I'm honored to have my article, "Counterfactuals and the Tumblr Aesthetic: Allegories of Reading in _Frankenstein_ and _The Locked Tomb_" included in this special issue!
And talking about counterfactuals gets us very quickly into heavily speculative territory. I think a few hundred votes going "right" in 2000 still leaves us a ticking time bomb that very likely blows up inside 25 years. Can't prove it, but you also can't prove we get a 200-year Pax Gore.
November 17, 2025 at 1:39 PM
And talking about counterfactuals gets us very quickly into heavily speculative territory. I think a few hundred votes going "right" in 2000 still leaves us a ticking time bomb that very likely blows up inside 25 years. Can't prove it, but you also can't prove we get a 200-year Pax Gore.
... 'Labour Together' faction, it may well be that the 2017 election would have been won by Corbyn.
Counterfactuals become difficult. Things would have been so markedly different with a 2017-2022 Corbyn Labour government that there's no saying where we would be today.
That was precisely what...
Counterfactuals become difficult. Things would have been so markedly different with a 2017-2022 Corbyn Labour government that there's no saying where we would be today.
That was precisely what...
November 17, 2025 at 11:03 AM
... 'Labour Together' faction, it may well be that the 2017 election would have been won by Corbyn.
Counterfactuals become difficult. Things would have been so markedly different with a 2017-2022 Corbyn Labour government that there's no saying where we would be today.
That was precisely what...
Counterfactuals become difficult. Things would have been so markedly different with a 2017-2022 Corbyn Labour government that there's no saying where we would be today.
That was precisely what...
Counterfactuals are called that for a reason.
They are counter to the facts.
They are counter to the facts.
November 17, 2025 at 8:59 AM
Counterfactuals are called that for a reason.
They are counter to the facts.
They are counter to the facts.
Really makes me wonder about counterfactuals like “what if the US was in a climate zone where all states were equally capable of growing the same crops” and how that plays out constitutionally
November 17, 2025 at 7:17 AM
Really makes me wonder about counterfactuals like “what if the US was in a climate zone where all states were equally capable of growing the same crops” and how that plays out constitutionally
We are well into counterfactuals already I think
November 16, 2025 at 11:13 PM
We are well into counterfactuals already I think
Now you’ve got me thinking that (certain) video games are one of the hardest cases for wholesale skepticism that counterfactuals can have truth conditions
November 16, 2025 at 4:08 PM
Now you’ve got me thinking that (certain) video games are one of the hardest cases for wholesale skepticism that counterfactuals can have truth conditions
The Science of Can and Can't: A Physicist's Journey through the Land of Counterfactuals
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November 16, 2025 at 1:44 PM
The Science of Can and Can't: A Physicist's Journey through the Land of Counterfactuals
https://www.amazon.co.jp/dp/B08GJWFK92?tag=nomimonosns-22
¥1,768 (42%OFF)
#ad #kindleセール https://x.com/bookcomic_info/status/1990038328503046145/photo/1
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Counterfactuals are always difficult, and in this case nostalgia plays a big part.
Born now I'd miss out on affordable housing, final salary pension, free university & Action Man.
I know what I experienced. I don't know what someone born today will experience, or how they'll perceive it.
Born now I'd miss out on affordable housing, final salary pension, free university & Action Man.
I know what I experienced. I don't know what someone born today will experience, or how they'll perceive it.
November 15, 2025 at 4:17 PM
Counterfactuals are always difficult, and in this case nostalgia plays a big part.
Born now I'd miss out on affordable housing, final salary pension, free university & Action Man.
I know what I experienced. I don't know what someone born today will experience, or how they'll perceive it.
Born now I'd miss out on affordable housing, final salary pension, free university & Action Man.
I know what I experienced. I don't know what someone born today will experience, or how they'll perceive it.
When to Use Counterfactuals in Causal Historiography: Methods for Semantics and Inference According to the interventionist framework of actual causality, causal claims in history are ultimately claims about special types of functional dependencies between variables, which consist
#sociology link
#sociology link
November 15, 2025 at 8:30 AM
When to Use Counterfactuals in Causal Historiography: Methods for Semantics and Inference According to the interventionist framework of actual causality, causal claims in history are ultimately claims about special types of functional dependencies between variables, which consist
#sociology link
#sociology link
With respect, I don't deal with counterfactuals. Enough to think about in the world as it is.
November 14, 2025 at 2:58 PM
With respect, I don't deal with counterfactuals. Enough to think about in the world as it is.
🚨 New publication alert:
📢 “Attri-Net: A Globally and Locally Inherently Interpretable Model for Multi-Label Classification Using Class-Specific Counterfactuals.”
🖊️ S Sun, S Woerner, A Maier, L M Koch, C F Baumgartner.
⬇️
📢 “Attri-Net: A Globally and Locally Inherently Interpretable Model for Multi-Label Classification Using Class-Specific Counterfactuals.”
🖊️ S Sun, S Woerner, A Maier, L M Koch, C F Baumgartner.
⬇️
November 14, 2025 at 2:39 PM
🚨 New publication alert:
📢 “Attri-Net: A Globally and Locally Inherently Interpretable Model for Multi-Label Classification Using Class-Specific Counterfactuals.”
🖊️ S Sun, S Woerner, A Maier, L M Koch, C F Baumgartner.
⬇️
📢 “Attri-Net: A Globally and Locally Inherently Interpretable Model for Multi-Label Classification Using Class-Specific Counterfactuals.”
🖊️ S Sun, S Woerner, A Maier, L M Koch, C F Baumgartner.
⬇️
[2025-11-14] 📚 Updates in #FAtt
(1) Attri-Net: A Globally and Locally Inherently Interpretable Model for Multi-Label Classification Using Class-Specific Counterfactuals
🔍 More at researchtrend.ai/communities/FAtt
(1) Attri-Net: A Globally and Locally Inherently Interpretable Model for Multi-Label Classification Using Class-Specific Counterfactuals
🔍 More at researchtrend.ai/communities/FAtt
November 14, 2025 at 3:08 AM
You can think of many counterfactuals where contact happens differently, but ultimately the pressures that led to contact were baked in by the same material realities I mentioned before
November 14, 2025 at 2:55 AM
You can think of many counterfactuals where contact happens differently, but ultimately the pressures that led to contact were baked in by the same material realities I mentioned before
The Granny Weatherwax counterfactuals theory
November 14, 2025 at 12:28 AM
The Granny Weatherwax counterfactuals theory
Even though I'm not an instinctive political same-pager as Ed M, I felt very at home in his Labour party, and "what if he'd won in 2015" is one of the great counterfactuals
November 13, 2025 at 8:20 PM
Even though I'm not an instinctive political same-pager as Ed M, I felt very at home in his Labour party, and "what if he'd won in 2015" is one of the great counterfactuals
Hi Dave,
I am interested to know more,
more about Cthulu,
is It the destroyer of all the
all the counterfactuals'
universes?
I am interested to know more,
more about Cthulu,
is It the destroyer of all the
all the counterfactuals'
universes?
November 13, 2025 at 4:15 PM
Hi Dave,
I am interested to know more,
more about Cthulu,
is It the destroyer of all the
all the counterfactuals'
universes?
I am interested to know more,
more about Cthulu,
is It the destroyer of all the
all the counterfactuals'
universes?
Keyword: “organizational counter-knowledge”
Definition: groupthinks, misinformation, errors, and other counterfactuals that get cemented as true knowledge in organizations due to internal social dynamics, despite diverging from actual reality
Definition: groupthinks, misinformation, errors, and other counterfactuals that get cemented as true knowledge in organizations due to internal social dynamics, despite diverging from actual reality
November 13, 2025 at 4:09 PM
Keyword: “organizational counter-knowledge”
Definition: groupthinks, misinformation, errors, and other counterfactuals that get cemented as true knowledge in organizations due to internal social dynamics, despite diverging from actual reality
Definition: groupthinks, misinformation, errors, and other counterfactuals that get cemented as true knowledge in organizations due to internal social dynamics, despite diverging from actual reality
A list of counterfactuals to this theory would take more posts than the number of actual examples provided
November 13, 2025 at 2:57 PM
A list of counterfactuals to this theory would take more posts than the number of actual examples provided
Did you say “rounded down”? Why are we leading with counterfactuals?
November 13, 2025 at 12:34 PM
Did you say “rounded down”? Why are we leading with counterfactuals?