Xiaohan Zhang
xhzhang.bsky.social
Xiaohan Zhang
@xhzhang.bsky.social
Labor Economist @Dallas Fed. Opinions my own
Reposted by Xiaohan Zhang
Babies are small.

Macroeconomies are big.

Put 'em together and you get an absolutely fascinating paper from Claudia Goldin.

TLDR: Economic growth that outpaces social growth can dramatically lower fertility rates.
December 30, 2024 at 3:30 PM
Reposted by Xiaohan Zhang
It's the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics's standard definition of involuntary PT = PT worker wants FT but FT not available.

Distinguishes PT due to a lack of demand as "involuntary" (lacking any FT offer) from PT due to worker preferring PT tho employers offer FT & PT.
www.bls.gov/opub/mlr/201...
January 27, 2024 at 5:06 AM
Reposted by Xiaohan Zhang
These are the U.S. cities where Gen Z-ers — specifically older members who are early in their careers — have the best and worst chances of buying a home based on earnings and employment data, a recent study found. nyti.ms/4b4XtNX
January 25, 2024 at 5:07 PM
Reposted by Xiaohan Zhang
Letter volumes in Britain have halved since 2011, with more people sending emails and texts over handwritten notes.

But a proposal to reduce the Royal Mail's delivery to just three days a week from six is meeting resistance from lawmakers and businesses.
Mail 3 Days a Week? Idea Meets Resistance in Britain.
Letter volumes have halved since 2011. Without significant changes, the beleaguered Royal Mail services will become “out of date,” according to a report.
www.nytimes.com
January 25, 2024 at 5:16 PM
Reposted by Xiaohan Zhang
Some things I've learned in 2023:

1. Black kids tend to get placed into foster care at higher rates than white kids with the same potential for future maltreatment in the home

(more: t.co/qMpsEcuKTr)
December 29, 2023 at 9:03 PM
New JEL by Marianne Page @UCDavisEcon on families’ monetary resources and children’s life chances. Overall, policies providing financial resources to economically vulnerable families have the potential to improve children’s outcomes.
www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...
December 21, 2023 at 6:12 PM
Reposted by Xiaohan Zhang
My inaugural bluesky post! Are people really here?

The Hamilton Project did great work this last year.

📊 This year, Hamilton Project research covered climate, the labor force, contraception, tax policy, and more. Get a snapshot with our year in figures: www.hamiltonproject.org/publication/...
The Hamilton Project: 2023 in figures - The Hamilton Project
These figures provide snapshots of The Hamilton Project's 2023 work on topics including tax, contraception, and climate.
www.hamiltonproject.org
December 18, 2023 at 8:46 PM
Reposted by Xiaohan Zhang
December 19, 2023 at 2:35 PM
Reposted by Xiaohan Zhang
Age trends in alcohol-specific (blue) and drug poisoning (red) deaths in England and Wales 2001-2022.

Lots of stories going on here, most of them pretty bleak.

R code for this plot is here: github.com/VictimOfMath...
December 19, 2023 at 1:00 PM
Knowing what this is within 2 seconds ages me. But can't stop thinking it still looks pretty cool even today 😎
December 17, 2023 at 8:30 PM
Reposted by Xiaohan Zhang
Supply chains for clean energy technologies and for critical minerals are highly geographically concentrated. 🔌💡 www.iea.org/reports/worl...
December 17, 2023 at 5:57 PM
Reposted by Xiaohan Zhang
Hi #EconSky!

Working with causal inference, perhaps using RDDs?

This paper reveals significant multiple testing issues in empirical analyses from top-five econ journals.

They highlight pitfalls and possible solution.

Cool #econometrics stuff to read - check it out!

arxiv.org/abs/2205.04345
October 8, 2023 at 11:00 AM
Job posting on JOE is in decline.
December 10, 2023 at 1:11 AM
Reposted by Xiaohan Zhang
A recorded webinar on the #EconJobMarket is available on the webpage of the AEA Cttee on the Job Mkt:
www.aeaweb.org/joe/communic...
It covers the timeline of the mkt, up-to-date data on the # of jobs listed this cycle, and outcomes for recent cohorts.
#EconTwitter @aeacswep.bsky.social
November 7, 2023 at 1:49 PM
Sounds like an interesting alternative to Staggered DID methods!
December 5, 2023 at 5:15 PM
Reposted by Xiaohan Zhang
We analyze motherhood gaps in applications sent every 10 minutes of the day...

Mothers systematically reallocate their search activities from times when children are home to school time! (4/6)
December 5, 2023 at 8:44 AM
Reposted by Xiaohan Zhang
Overall, our results show that when you include the full population (not just white men), and account for measurement error in the parent's status, the story is that intergenerational transmission was very strong in the past in the U.S., but decreasing over time:
December 4, 2023 at 2:00 PM
Reposted by Xiaohan Zhang
In October, 2.21 employees quit their job for each worker fired by their employer, that's down a smidge from 2.26 in Sept per today's #JOLTS.

Labor leverage continues slide since Fed started raising rates, approaching pre-pandemic level.
December 5, 2023 at 3:13 PM
New JPE forthcoming paints a new picture of income inequality in the US.
November 29, 2023 at 6:20 PM
Reposted by Xiaohan Zhang
📣💥Reminder 💥📣

**Adopt a Paper round 4** -
deadline to apply is December 15th (Google form), while the paper draft is due January 15th.
**ADOPT A PAPER Round 4**

Adopt a Paper is a streamlined mentoring program aimed at giving junior faculty in Econ access to high quality feedback on a paper from a top scholar.

More than 300 papers "adopted" in rounds 1-3. adoptapaper.org

More info below & in thread
November 28, 2023 at 1:02 PM
Interesting paper by Scott and Kristopher on recent home price growth and resilience at a high price point.
bit.ly/3GlDbBw
November 28, 2023 at 11:44 PM
Reposted by Xiaohan Zhang
Does performance-based public funding pay off for university research? We apply Arkhangelsky et al.'s (AER, 2021) synthetic DiD to UK's REF. We find significant and causal effects in UK univs' Economics and Business research output since REF in 2009. Available as WP: ideas.repec.org/p/pbs/ecofin...
November 19, 2023 at 9:02 AM
Reposted by Xiaohan Zhang

Excellent news today - our paper on bootstrap inference with asymptotically biased estimators, joint with Silvia Goncalves, Morten Nielsen & Edoardo Zanelli, has been accepted by the 𝑱𝒐𝒖𝒓𝒏𝒂𝒍 𝒐𝒇 𝒕𝒉𝒆 𝑨𝒎𝒆𝒓𝒊𝒄𝒂𝒏 𝑺𝒕𝒂𝒕𝒊𝒔𝒕𝒊𝒄𝒂𝒍 𝑨𝒔𝒔𝒐𝒄𝒊𝒂𝒕𝒊𝒐𝒏! ⭐⭐⭐

For the paper, see: arxiv.org/abs/2208.02028
November 11, 2023 at 6:18 PM
Reposted by Xiaohan Zhang
Deep-frying a Thanksgiving turkey is not just a stunt — it’s the best way to cook it, says a New York Times Food reporter. With the right equipment, some caution and a lot of peanut oil, it will yield the juiciest, crispiest bird. Watch how to do it here.
You, Too, Can Deep-Fry Your Turkey
The secret to (safely) frying your Thanksgiving bird.
www.nytimes.com
November 22, 2023 at 7:43 PM