Jared H
@sunnybreezejh.bsky.social
Meteorologist in the Sunshine State
Florida doing what it does best today, avoiding the gray, cold air that’s afflicting most of the nation.
December 5, 2025 at 11:39 PM
Florida doing what it does best today, avoiding the gray, cold air that’s afflicting most of the nation.
My favorite pattern in the cool season - the southeast ridge. In my Indiana days it meant very active weather. Now in FL it’s just gorgeous warm sunshine. This could last all winter long and nothing would make me happier. But I have a feeling it won’t. #FLwx
November 21, 2025 at 10:19 PM
My favorite pattern in the cool season - the southeast ridge. In my Indiana days it meant very active weather. Now in FL it’s just gorgeous warm sunshine. This could last all winter long and nothing would make me happier. But I have a feeling it won’t. #FLwx
Reposted by Jared H
#Melissa makes landfall in southwestern Jamaica near New Hope as a powerful category 5 hurricane. For the latest updates visit hurricanes.gov
October 28, 2025 at 5:06 PM
#Melissa makes landfall in southwestern Jamaica near New Hope as a powerful category 5 hurricane. For the latest updates visit hurricanes.gov
Milky Way on display tonight in SWFL.
September 26, 2025 at 2:02 AM
Milky Way on display tonight in SWFL.
Reposted by Jared H
The latest update of the multi-model ensemble for Invest 97L is overwhelmingly in favor of a track that misses the US East Coast.
Ensembles are known to be underdispersive, and this does not guarantee a CONUS miss, but probabilities of a CONUS hit are not high at this time.
Ensembles are known to be underdispersive, and this does not guarantee a CONUS miss, but probabilities of a CONUS hit are not high at this time.
August 10, 2025 at 10:38 PM
The latest update of the multi-model ensemble for Invest 97L is overwhelmingly in favor of a track that misses the US East Coast.
Ensembles are known to be underdispersive, and this does not guarantee a CONUS miss, but probabilities of a CONUS hit are not high at this time.
Ensembles are known to be underdispersive, and this does not guarantee a CONUS miss, but probabilities of a CONUS hit are not high at this time.
Reposted by Jared H
Exactly. This is a slide from my mesoscale class on flash flooding (mainly just taken from Doswell et al. 1996)...this event hit every one of these bullets...
July 6, 2025 at 2:50 AM
Exactly. This is a slide from my mesoscale class on flash flooding (mainly just taken from Doswell et al. 1996)...this event hit every one of these bullets...
Reposted by Jared H
A comprehensive article of what is at stake with the current budget proposed by the DoC ➡️ NOAA.
Nearly every aspect of what we do at NHC has been touched by NOAA Research in one facet or another to our benefit.
#AOML, #CIMSS, #CIRA, #CIMAS all play key roles & losing any of them would be horrific.
Nearly every aspect of what we do at NHC has been touched by NOAA Research in one facet or another to our benefit.
#AOML, #CIMSS, #CIRA, #CIMAS all play key roles & losing any of them would be horrific.
The other day I posted a list of NOAA Research contributions to forecast operations at NHC. I decided to add a little flesh to that list with this Substack post.
franklinjamesl.substack.com/p/hurricane-...
franklinjamesl.substack.com/p/hurricane-...
Hurricane Forecasting and the FY-26 NOAA Budget Proposal
If NOAA were really interested in providing the American public with “gold-standard, cutting-edge data, models, and forecasts”, they wouldn’t be trying to get rid of the people who make it happen.
franklinjamesl.substack.com
July 3, 2025 at 5:43 AM
The SWFL coast was showing off today.
June 9, 2025 at 8:27 PM
The SWFL coast was showing off today.
Reposted by Jared H
A bill introduced on Friday would classify National Weather Service employees as critical to public safety, making them harder to fire. It comes after hundreds of agency staffers lost their jobs as part of the Trump administration’s sweeping cuts to the federal workforce.
Law Would Make Most National Weather Service Workers Hard to Fire
A bill introduced Friday would classify forecasters and other staff as critical public safety roles. It comes after the Weather Service lost nearly 600 people to DOGE cuts.
trib.al
June 6, 2025 at 8:10 PM
A bill introduced on Friday would classify National Weather Service employees as critical to public safety, making them harder to fire. It comes after hundreds of agency staffers lost their jobs as part of the Trump administration’s sweeping cuts to the federal workforce.
White skies over SWFL this evening as clearing occurs behind earlier storms. Impressive SAL (Saharan Air Layer) overhead that likely contributed to gusty nature of today’s storms.
June 4, 2025 at 10:33 PM
White skies over SWFL this evening as clearing occurs behind earlier storms. Impressive SAL (Saharan Air Layer) overhead that likely contributed to gusty nature of today’s storms.
Reposted by Jared H
The Environmental Protection Agency has drafted a plan to eliminate all limits on greenhouse gases from coal and gas-fired power plants in the U.S., according to documents reviewed by The New York Times. Follow live updates.
Trump Administration Live Updates: Documents Show E.P.A. Wants to Erase Greenhouse Gas Limits on Power Plants
www.nytimes.com
May 25, 2025 at 1:35 PM
The Environmental Protection Agency has drafted a plan to eliminate all limits on greenhouse gases from coal and gas-fired power plants in the U.S., according to documents reviewed by The New York Times. Follow live updates.
Reposted by Jared H
“Can’t issue warnings on time.”
It is any wonder I am so tired these days, and feeling that the incredible folks doing this are grossly disrespected. But what do I know? 🤷🏽♂️
It is any wonder I am so tired these days, and feeling that the incredible folks doing this are grossly disrespected. But what do I know? 🤷🏽♂️
May 18, 2025 at 12:28 AM
“Can’t issue warnings on time.”
It is any wonder I am so tired these days, and feeling that the incredible folks doing this are grossly disrespected. But what do I know? 🤷🏽♂️
It is any wonder I am so tired these days, and feeling that the incredible folks doing this are grossly disrespected. But what do I know? 🤷🏽♂️
Dust storm in Chicago IL
May 17, 2025 at 12:10 AM
Dust storm in Chicago IL
Reposted by Jared H
Can see the tremendous inversion on the CRP and, to a little less extent, LCH soundings this morning. I wonder if the additional "rings" farther out are 2nd & 3rd hit of the ocean after EM forward scatters off ocean sfc once, then gets bent and hits sfc again a 2nd time. Prop path like (Radar)/\x/\x
May 14, 2025 at 1:37 PM
Can see the tremendous inversion on the CRP and, to a little less extent, LCH soundings this morning. I wonder if the additional "rings" farther out are 2nd & 3rd hit of the ocean after EM forward scatters off ocean sfc once, then gets bent and hits sfc again a 2nd time. Prop path like (Radar)/\x/\x
Shattering records by 12 degrees is beyond an edge-case event.
And it’s yet another reminder that continental climates are not for me.
And it’s yet another reminder that continental climates are not for me.
95° at International Falls on May 11.
Only 49 days since 1897 have had higher temperatures - none of them occurred in May.
Only 49 days since 1897 have had higher temperatures - none of them occurred in May.
May 11, 2025 at 11:36 PM
Shattering records by 12 degrees is beyond an edge-case event.
And it’s yet another reminder that continental climates are not for me.
And it’s yet another reminder that continental climates are not for me.
Reposted by Jared H
HRRR? RRFS? Those models don’t exist without NOAA’s Global Systems Lab.
The physics used in even more models? Not possible without us.
Decision-support tools like DESI and IDSS Engine used throughout the NWS? Also us.
What my lab does is *integral* to weather prediction and keeping people safe.
The physics used in even more models? Not possible without us.
Decision-support tools like DESI and IDSS Engine used throughout the NWS? Also us.
What my lab does is *integral* to weather prediction and keeping people safe.
April 17, 2025 at 1:32 AM
HRRR? RRFS? Those models don’t exist without NOAA’s Global Systems Lab.
The physics used in even more models? Not possible without us.
Decision-support tools like DESI and IDSS Engine used throughout the NWS? Also us.
What my lab does is *integral* to weather prediction and keeping people safe.
The physics used in even more models? Not possible without us.
Decision-support tools like DESI and IDSS Engine used throughout the NWS? Also us.
What my lab does is *integral* to weather prediction and keeping people safe.
Reposted by Jared H
Potentially tornadic storm moving right over the Paducah KY radar and NWS office. Hoping it’s not producing. Folks, the staff there deserve all the love regardless. They have worked multiple tornado events this spring already and their office doesn’t even have functioning toilets!
April 3, 2025 at 1:30 AM
Potentially tornadic storm moving right over the Paducah KY radar and NWS office. Hoping it’s not producing. Folks, the staff there deserve all the love regardless. They have worked multiple tornado events this spring already and their office doesn’t even have functioning toilets!
Reposted by Jared H
National Weather Service (@nws.noaa.gov) Offices across #Oklahoma, #Texas & #Kansas are providing critical support for the #wildfire outbreak in progress this afternoon. There are wildland fire agencies embedding with #meteorologists to have the latest #weather information.
March 14, 2025 at 9:04 PM
National Weather Service (@nws.noaa.gov) Offices across #Oklahoma, #Texas & #Kansas are providing critical support for the #wildfire outbreak in progress this afternoon. There are wildland fire agencies embedding with #meteorologists to have the latest #weather information.
At a loss.
NEW: The Trump admin has informed NOAA that two buildings that are critical for weather forecasting will have their leases canceled. If this comes to pass, it's a really big deal. Includes weather fcst nerve center in College Park, Md.: www.axios.com/2025/03/03/d...
DOGE moves to cancel NOAA leases at critical forecasting centers
NOAA's nerve center of national weather forecasting is on a lease cancellation list.
www.axios.com
March 3, 2025 at 10:29 PM
At a loss.
Reposted by Jared H
"Recent terminations within the government workforce for science are likely to cause irreparable harm and have far-reaching consequences for public safety, economic well-being, and the United States’ global leadership."
A new statement from @ametsoc.org
www.ametsoc.org/ams/about-am...
A new statement from @ametsoc.org
www.ametsoc.org/ams/about-am...
The U.S. Weather Enterprise: A National Treasure at Risk
The AMS is a global community committed to advancing weather, water, and climate science and service.
www.ametsoc.org
March 3, 2025 at 4:30 PM
"Recent terminations within the government workforce for science are likely to cause irreparable harm and have far-reaching consequences for public safety, economic well-being, and the United States’ global leadership."
A new statement from @ametsoc.org
www.ametsoc.org/ams/about-am...
A new statement from @ametsoc.org
www.ametsoc.org/ams/about-am...
Reposted by Jared H
$1.38 billion spent on NWS.
$102.1 billion returned in estimated public value.
Those values produce a return on investment (ROI) of 73.98.
Full report (135 pages): doi.org/10.1175/cofu...
(Yet NOAA has long been **underfunded** as Scott Rayder noted last year: www.federaltimes.com/opinions/202...)
$102.1 billion returned in estimated public value.
Those values produce a return on investment (ROI) of 73.98.
Full report (135 pages): doi.org/10.1175/cofu...
(Yet NOAA has long been **underfunded** as Scott Rayder noted last year: www.federaltimes.com/opinions/202...)
NOAA’s budget is too small. That’s costing the US billions of dollars
Opinion: With a fiscal year 2024 budget of $6.3 billion, the nation’s leading weather and climate agency remains significantly underfunded.
www.federaltimes.com
February 17, 2025 at 2:37 PM
$1.38 billion spent on NWS.
$102.1 billion returned in estimated public value.
Those values produce a return on investment (ROI) of 73.98.
Full report (135 pages): doi.org/10.1175/cofu...
(Yet NOAA has long been **underfunded** as Scott Rayder noted last year: www.federaltimes.com/opinions/202...)
$102.1 billion returned in estimated public value.
Those values produce a return on investment (ROI) of 73.98.
Full report (135 pages): doi.org/10.1175/cofu...
(Yet NOAA has long been **underfunded** as Scott Rayder noted last year: www.federaltimes.com/opinions/202...)
Well, it’s cold down here but at least we aren’t dealing with that.
January 9, 2025 at 11:02 PM
Well, it’s cold down here but at least we aren’t dealing with that.