@roscoe-j.bsky.social
Reposted
Reposted
The complete poll and linked report is here. Would appreciate you sharing!
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/new-poll-d...
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/new-poll-d...
New poll: Democrats lead the 2026 House generic ballot, and their edge widens when voters are reminded Republicans control Congress
Plus: Voters see both parties as out of touch, but for different reasons; Trump hits new low on pocketbook issues; Large majorities oppose ending ACA subsidies and SNAP, support taxing high earners
www.gelliottmorris.com
November 18, 2025 at 2:07 PM
The complete poll and linked report is here. Would appreciate you sharing!
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/new-poll-d...
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/new-poll-d...
Reposted
I want to say thank you to everyone who reads and supports Strength In Numbers. The organized backlash I'm getting from hacks and the centrist-contrarian-consultant industrial complex is proof of the value SIN brings to an otherwise insular and epistemically closed space. You make it possible! <3
November 16, 2025 at 1:10 PM
I want to say thank you to everyone who reads and supports Strength In Numbers. The organized backlash I'm getting from hacks and the centrist-contrarian-consultant industrial complex is proof of the value SIN brings to an otherwise insular and epistemically closed space. You make it possible! <3
So we will thank him for removing tariffs he illegally imposed? Nuts
Trump announced a series of trade and tariff deals as a way to counter criticism over rising food costs, framing them as a boost to supply chains and cheaper imports such as bananas and coffee.
Trump touts Western hemisphere trade deals amid grocery price pressure
Trump announced a series of trade and tariff deals as a way to counter criticism over rising food costs, framing them as a boost to supply chains and cheaper imports such as bananas and coffee.
l.euronews.com
November 14, 2025 at 4:11 PM
So we will thank him for removing tariffs he illegally imposed? Nuts
Reposted
Ghislaine Maxwell lied about Trump never going to Epstein's house (directly contradicted by her email correspondence with Epstein), and she was rewarded for that lie with a transfer to a cushier prison. The coverup is happening in plain sight.
November 12, 2025 at 7:32 PM
Ghislaine Maxwell lied about Trump never going to Epstein's house (directly contradicted by her email correspondence with Epstein), and she was rewarded for that lie with a transfer to a cushier prison. The coverup is happening in plain sight.
Reposted
Plus one on this take from the great @gregsargent.bsky.social.....
Some Dems and pundits overread the significance of Trump's win. They looked at dissatisfaction with the border and discerned a seismic cultural reaction to immigration levels inside the country. The former was real. The latter is a mirage.
(h/t @gelliottmorris.com)
newrepublic.com/article/2030...
(h/t @gelliottmorris.com)
newrepublic.com/article/2030...
November 13, 2025 at 2:12 PM
Plus one on this take from the great @gregsargent.bsky.social.....
Jeffery Toobin had it right!
Americans Demand New Form Of Media To Bridge Entertainment Gap While Looking From Laptop To Phone https://theonion.com/americans-demand-new-form-of-media-to-bridge-entertainm-1819576756/
November 13, 2025 at 6:39 PM
Jeffery Toobin had it right!
I'd love to hear a good explanation of possible good outcomes and endgames of vote to release more heavily redacted info regarding trump and epstein. Another impeachment ? Special prosecutor and indictment of Pam Bondi for obstruction of justice? Just humiliate trump?
it's a tail outcome surely, but what's the probability the GOP throws trump under the bus completely based on these files? substantially non-zero, and higher than a weak ago
"Republicans are bracing for a significant chunk of the conference to vote for Rep. Ro Khanna’s (D-Calif.) and Rep. Thomas Massie’s (R-Ky.) Epstein file disclosure bill once it lands on the House floor."
www.politico.com/live-updates...
www.politico.com/live-updates...
November 13, 2025 at 5:31 PM
I'd love to hear a good explanation of possible good outcomes and endgames of vote to release more heavily redacted info regarding trump and epstein. Another impeachment ? Special prosecutor and indictment of Pam Bondi for obstruction of justice? Just humiliate trump?
Texas voters just not too bright!
BREAKING: Texas voters approve a constitutional amendment that requires U.S. citizenship to vote in the state.
Follow AP for live updates.
Follow AP for live updates.
Live updates: US voters head to the polls in first general election since Trump's return to power
One year after Donald Trump retook the presidency, 2025 Election Day includes closely watched races for New York City mayor, New Jersey governor and California's Proposition 50.
bit.ly
November 5, 2025 at 3:46 AM
Texas voters just not too bright!
Except for a few thousand white South African Millionaires and Crazy Rich Cryptoscum
"The American Dream belongs to the American People" is wrong. The American dream--a dream of freedom and self-government based on universal truths--is entrusted for now to the American people. But it belongs to mankind.
The American Dream belongs to the American People.
The process is in place and the mission is set—Project Firewall will restore the American Dream by ensuring American Jobs go to AMERICANS FIRST.
The process is in place and the mission is set—Project Firewall will restore the American Dream by ensuring American Jobs go to AMERICANS FIRST.
October 28, 2025 at 3:00 PM
Except for a few thousand white South African Millionaires and Crazy Rich Cryptoscum
Reposted
Given the rise of cheap survey data and quant poli sci 101, a naive brand of political analysis I see all the time now is to assume that voters make their decisions only bc of the policies parties support. This is wrong and I call it The Strategist's Fallacy.
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/the-strate...
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/the-strate...
The Strategist’s Fallacy in American politics
The average American voter does not think about politics the way elite strategists and pundits do
www.gelliottmorris.com
October 28, 2025 at 12:04 PM
Given the rise of cheap survey data and quant poli sci 101, a naive brand of political analysis I see all the time now is to assume that voters make their decisions only bc of the policies parties support. This is wrong and I call it The Strategist's Fallacy.
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/the-strate...
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/the-strate...
Reposted
The GOP has been extremely effective at shaping perceptions of the Democrats, claiming they support policy positions they don't actually support
If your strategy, as a Dem, for winning in 2028 *STARTS* by buying their spin and lies, then you've already lost
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/the-strate...
If your strategy, as a Dem, for winning in 2028 *STARTS* by buying their spin and lies, then you've already lost
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/the-strate...
The Strategist’s Fallacy in American politics
The average American voter does not think about politics the way elite strategists and pundits do
www.gelliottmorris.com
October 28, 2025 at 1:21 PM
The GOP has been extremely effective at shaping perceptions of the Democrats, claiming they support policy positions they don't actually support
If your strategy, as a Dem, for winning in 2028 *STARTS* by buying their spin and lies, then you've already lost
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/the-strate...
If your strategy, as a Dem, for winning in 2028 *STARTS* by buying their spin and lies, then you've already lost
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/the-strate...
Good time to invest in gold....Spray paint!
October 21, 2025 at 3:40 PM
Good time to invest in gold....Spray paint!
Hopefully it will be flammable!
Privately funded ballroom = shiny distraction from the mess in plain sight.
October 21, 2025 at 3:35 PM
Hopefully it will be flammable!
Ice Barbie!
Look in the mirror if you want to see the liar Ms. Noam.
October 10, 2025 at 2:25 PM
Ice Barbie!
As Kevin Roberts, Heritage Foundation President, said on Feb. 22 2024, "The country is in the midst of a second American Revolution,that will be bloodless if the left allows it to be". We are going out with a whimper, BIGLY
A majority of adults oppose Trump’s use of the National Guard in America cities www.gelliottmorris.com/p/a-majority...
A majority of Americans oppose Trump sending the National Guard to Democratic-run cities
The president is defying the will of the people, federal judges, and the Constitution
www.gelliottmorris.com
October 10, 2025 at 2:09 PM
As Kevin Roberts, Heritage Foundation President, said on Feb. 22 2024, "The country is in the midst of a second American Revolution,that will be bloodless if the left allows it to be". We are going out with a whimper, BIGLY
PERFECT!
"Plenary Authority," as said by Stephen Miller, the IDIOT RACIST, who makes most of Trump's decisions now. Wonder if he will appeal to be able to choose his cellmate for his years in prison beginning in 2029. ("PLENARY" = Trump can do ANYTHING at ANY TIME.)
Wanna know why Stephen Miller froze after mentioning “plenary authority"?
He knew he said the quiet fascist takeover part out loud.
He knew he said the quiet fascist takeover part out loud.
October 10, 2025 at 1:51 PM
PERFECT!
Reposted
I'm super excited for this new @gelliottmorris.com & Mary Radcliffe poll aggregator and election forecasting site.
Smart, transparent people + a slick design = a winning combo.
fiftyplusone.news/latest-polls
Smart, transparent people + a slick design = a winning combo.
fiftyplusone.news/latest-polls
October 9, 2025 at 3:05 PM
I'm super excited for this new @gelliottmorris.com & Mary Radcliffe poll aggregator and election forecasting site.
Smart, transparent people + a slick design = a winning combo.
fiftyplusone.news/latest-polls
Smart, transparent people + a slick design = a winning combo.
fiftyplusone.news/latest-polls
Reposted
From @gelliottmorris.com, formerly of 538
October 9, 2025 at 3:10 PM
From @gelliottmorris.com, formerly of 538
Reposted
Greta Thunberg, deported to Greece, says the targeting of the Sumud Flotilla is "not the story" @teenvogue.com — instead, she says:
"Israel once again violated international humanitarian law by preventing aid from getting into Gaza while people are being starved.”
"Israel once again violated international humanitarian law by preventing aid from getting into Gaza while people are being starved.”
Greta Thunberg On Her Detention: I'm "Not The Story" — It's Israel Violating International Humanitarian Law
“I could talk for a very, very long time about our mistreatment and abuses in our imprisonment. Trust me. But that is not the story.”
www.teenvogue.com
October 6, 2025 at 7:05 PM
Greta Thunberg, deported to Greece, says the targeting of the Sumud Flotilla is "not the story" @teenvogue.com — instead, she says:
"Israel once again violated international humanitarian law by preventing aid from getting into Gaza while people are being starved.”
"Israel once again violated international humanitarian law by preventing aid from getting into Gaza while people are being starved.”
Let the BOYCOTTS begin!
(WSJ) A good win so far with Kimmel returning tonight, but the two broadcasters with 20% of the local market in the US are still holding out. Fascinating to watch the pressure increase...
www.wsj.com/business/med...
www.wsj.com/business/med...
Sinclair, Nexstar Won’t Air Jimmy Kimmel’s Late-Night Return
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!” had been suspended indefinitely last Wednesday, after controversy erupted over his remarks regarding the Charlie Kirk shooting.
www.wsj.com
September 23, 2025 at 4:37 PM
Let the BOYCOTTS begin!
Reposted
After enacting the largest SNAP cuts in history, Trump is now scrapping the federal government's annual report on hunger in America.
The utter cruelty of this regime knows no bounds.
The utter cruelty of this regime knows no bounds.
September 22, 2025 at 7:00 PM
After enacting the largest SNAP cuts in history, Trump is now scrapping the federal government's annual report on hunger in America.
The utter cruelty of this regime knows no bounds.
The utter cruelty of this regime knows no bounds.
Reposted
anti-corruption is a good play because it taps into the third quadrant of the engagement vs left-right coordinate plane www.gelliottmorris.com/p/what-do-di...
September 22, 2025 at 7:16 PM
anti-corruption is a good play because it taps into the third quadrant of the engagement vs left-right coordinate plane www.gelliottmorris.com/p/what-do-di...
Yeah WTF
Antifa = Anti-Fascist.
Trump is threatened by Anti-Fascism.
Trump is threatened by Anti-Fascism.
September 22, 2025 at 11:43 PM
Yeah WTF
Reposted
"Tyranny requires constant effort. It breaks, it leaks. Authority is brittle. Oppression is the mask of fear. Remember that."
Looking forward to seeing Jimmy back on the air.
Looking forward to seeing Jimmy back on the air.
Jimmy Kimmel Returns: ABC Ends Suspension Starting Tuesday
Jimmy Kimmel will return to late night on Tuesday
variety.com
September 22, 2025 at 8:22 PM
"Tyranny requires constant effort. It breaks, it leaks. Authority is brittle. Oppression is the mask of fear. Remember that."
Looking forward to seeing Jimmy back on the air.
Looking forward to seeing Jimmy back on the air.