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polscinetwork.bsky.social
Politik Network
@polscinetwork.bsky.social
180 followers 640 following 0 posts
A platform for sharing social science knowledge: articles, research and more.

Connecting researchers 👥 #AcademicBsky #OpenScience
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tabouchadi.bsky.social
Reminder that earlier naturalization leads to better integration of immigrants. Extending the period necessary for settlement in the UK will have exactly the opposite effect of what Starmer and the Labour leadership claim. "Migrants first have to prove themselves" is a nativist trope and bad policy.
May 12, 2025 at 9:36 AM
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owasow.bsky.social
New study looks at protests against far right in 2002 French elections. Finds “larger protests reduced number of votes for Le Pen and abstention, while increasing number of votes for the incumbent president, Chirac.” Also finds “effect worked
through media exposure.” nicolas-lagios.com/files/fn.pdf
Media, Spillovers, and Social Norms: The Electoral Impact of Anti-Far Right Protests in the 2002 French Election* Short title: Anti-Far Right Protests By Nicolas Lagios†, Pierre-Guillaume Méon‡, Ilan Tojerow§ We study the electoral impact of protesting against the far right by investigating the demonstrations held during the 2002 French presidential elections against far-right candidate Jean-Marie Le Pen. Instrumenting rally attendance with rainfall while factoring in that some municipalities never host protests, we find that larger protests reduced the number of votes for Le Pen and abstention, while increasing the number of votes for the incumbent president, Jacques Chirac. We find that the effect spread out beyond the municipalities that hosted protests and worked through media exposure. Using survey data, we show that protests reduced support for the policies advocated by Le Pen. Moreover, the positive effect on voting for Chirac resulted from right-wing voters switching from Le Pen to Chirac and left-wing voters not casting a blank ballot, implying that some voters voted expressively. Finally, we show that protests reduced the social desirability of voting for Le Pen. The figure reports the location and the size of the protests held on May 1, 2002, against Jean-Marie Le Pen. The figure shows a map of France with scattered dots across the country that vary in size in proportion to the size of the protest events. Table 2 shows the Baseline Results for The Impact of Protests on Voting Outcomes. Each column is devoted to a different electoral outcome: Specifically, the vote share of Jean-Marie Le Pen, the vote share of Jacques Chirac, and the share of abstentions and blank and invalid ballots. larger protests reduced the far-right candidate’s vote share. More precisely, a 0.1 percentage point increase in the share of the population protesting in a municipality decreased by 2.2 percentage points the vote share of Jean-Marie Le Pen in that municipality. In Column (2), the dependent variable is the vote share for Jacques Chirac. Here, the number of participants exhibits a positive coefficient that is statistically significant at the five- percent level in all specifications. Accordingly, a larger number of participants in the May 1 protests increased the share and the number of voters who cast a ballot for the right of centre candidate. The magnitude of the effect is again substantial without being implausibly large: A 0.1 percentage point increase in the share of the population protesting in a municipality resulted in a 4.5 percentage points increase in Jacques Chirac’s vote share. This means that in the absence of protests, Jacques Chirac would have lost 2.3 points in the second round. Finally, Column (3) suggests that protests also affected the share of abstentions and blank and invalid ballots. The number of participants exhibits a negative coefficient statistically significant at the five-percent level, implying that a 0.1 percentage point increase in the share of the population protesting reduced the share of abstentions and blank and invalid ballots by 2.3 percentage points. In the absence of protests, the share of abstentions and blank and invalid ballots would have therefore been 0.8 point higher. Figure 4 reports the estimated marginal effect of the number of participants on the agreement of respondents with the policies sponsored by Jean-Marie Le Pen: immigration, security, traditional values, criticism of the political class, the abolition of the income tax, and an exit of France from the EU. The marginal effect is always negative and statistically significant at standard levels. We also looked at two more specific measures of the position of respondents on immigration, which was the theme on which Jean-Marie Le Pen was the most salient. Specifically, respondents were asked their level of agreement with the following two statements: “there are too many immigrants” and “immigrants enrich a culture”. Here, Jean-Marie Le Pen was not explicitly mentioned. We observe that respondents in municipalities that experienced larger protests were less likely to agree with the statement that there are too many immigrants and more likely to agree with the statement that immigrants enrich a culture. This series of findings is consistent with the models of Lohmann (1994) and Battaglini (2017) that argue that protests can raise public awareness around the issues at stake. Larger protests against Jean-Marie Le Pen might have reduced voters’ support for his policies by signalling the negative issues associated with those policies, thereby decreasing the incentive to vote for the far-right candidate. Again, we cannot rule out that protests triggered a social desirability bias on specific policies even if an exit from the EU or a critique of the political class were sponsored by other candidates unrelated to and less stigmatized than Jean-Marie Le Pen. In any case, we return to social desirability in Section 7.3.
November 16, 2024 at 11:35 PM
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eollion.bsky.social
Less than a week to go to apply to the Paris Summer Institute in CSS.

This year we will focus on LLMs and gen AI.

It's entirely free, open to all disciplines across the social sciences, and our speaker's list is already wonderful and getting better. More info here: sicss.io/2025/paris/
Summer Institute in Computational Social Science
sicss.io
March 22, 2025 at 11:59 PM
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joshcova.bsky.social
Happy to introduce ItaParlCorpus: a large, annotated, machine-readable dataset of Italian parliamentary speeches 🇮🇹📊. Covering 1948-2022, it includes 2.4M speeches, 470M words from 5830 speakers across 77 parties.

Ideal for studying political discourse, party rhetoric and parliamentary behavior! 🔍📖
www.cambridge.org
March 14, 2025 at 2:59 PM
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owenwntr.bsky.social
After the AfD's surge on Sunday, far right parties are the most voted-for of any grouping in Europe, for the first time in history: www.economist.com/graphic-deta...
February 28, 2025 at 5:32 PM
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adambonica.bsky.social
The DOGE Purge Isn’t About Efficiency—It’s an authoritarian tactic. I wrote a more in depth piece on the empirical evidence showing how liberal-leaning agencies are being disproportionately targeted and how this mirrors authoritarian strategies seen in Hungary and Turkey.
The DOGE Purge: Empirical Evidence of Politically Motivated Firings
And what it means for American Democracy
open.substack.com
February 28, 2025 at 6:13 PM
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cmwitko.bsky.social
This paper by Michael Shepherd tells you if you are waiting for backlash from the people Trump policies hurt the most you are extremely unlikely to see that happen.

link.springer.com/article/10.1...
The Politics of Rural Hospital Closures - Political Behavior
Who do citizens hold responsible for outcomes and experiences? Hundreds of rural hospitals have closed or significantly reduced their capacity since just 2010, leaving much of the rural U.S. without a...
link.springer.com
February 9, 2025 at 1:26 PM
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asociologist.bsky.social
This fascinating study used a survey experiment to test whether reading dystopian, utopian, or "ambitopian" climate fiction was more likely to induce respondents to say they'd participate in climate action: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
The role of hope and fear in the impact of climate fiction on climate action intentions: Evidence from India and USA
There is a growing consensus that climate fiction might be an effective communication strategy to move the public on climate. However, empirical evide…
www.sciencedirect.com
January 17, 2025 at 2:23 PM
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victorasal.bsky.social
Hostile Sexism, Social Dominance Orientation, Political Illiberalism, and Support for Political Violence in the United States
@politicsgenderj.bsky.social
James A. Piazza and Lauren O’Rourke

www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Hostile Sexism, Social Dominance Orientation, Political Illiberalism, and Support for Political Violence in the United States | Politics & Gender | Cambridge Core
Hostile Sexism, Social Dominance Orientation, Political Illiberalism, and Support for Political Violence in the United States
www.cambridge.org
December 16, 2024 at 7:14 PM
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janhelmdag.bsky.social
New SPIN update with ANNUAL data 🔥

I’m very proud to announce a new update for the Social Insurance Entitlements dataset (SIED) that includes annual data on replacement rates for unemployment, sickness, accident, and old-age benefits for 37 countries from 2000 to 2023.

www.su.se/social-polic...
December 5, 2024 at 5:50 PM
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johnholbein1.bsky.social
What happened when public universities in 🇨🇦 started publicizing faculty salaries?

...
...
...

The salary gap between men and women declined by 20-40% as a direct result.

www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...
December 4, 2024 at 8:30 PM
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chrislhayes.bsky.social
This paper is fascinating. A three-year field experiement in which a 1000 low income Americans get $1000 a month. The tl;dr conclusion is that it basically has zero effect on their political views or participation.

www.nber.org/papers/w33214
The Causal Effects of Income on Political Attitudes and Behavior: A Randomized Field Experiment
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
www.nber.org
December 2, 2024 at 7:09 PM
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joenoonan.se
Stuff like this really hammers home the importance of big, multiauthor, data projects in political science. Really impressive work.

www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Cast vote records: A database of ballots from the 2020 U.S. Election - Scientific Data
Scientific Data - Cast vote records: A database of ballots from the 2020 U.S. Election
www.nature.com
December 2, 2024 at 1:50 PM
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pavlosvas1.bsky.social
This thread reminded me of Diana Mutz's excellent 1998 book Impersonal Influence on how the media shape collective judgments
tomcalver.bsky.social Tom Calver @tomcalver.bsky.social · Dec 1
NEW: Why do we always think crime is rising, even when it isn’t?

This week I looked at one of the big data mysteries. Britain is 2/3 less violent than the 1990s; thefts were higher pre-lockdown

Why, then, doesn’t it feel like it?

1/8

@thetimes.com

🔗 www.thetimes.com/article/b63d...
December 1, 2024 at 11:13 AM
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andersvassenden.bsky.social
New here. Starting with most recent pub. On elites who portray ordariness in cross-status interaction. More widespread transnationally than we tend to assume + endless value in Goffman's work.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....
November 27, 2024 at 7:56 PM
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janmarcus.de
🧵 Excited to share: "Replication Code Availability over Time and Across Fields", was just accepted by #EconomicInquiry! 🚀 Here's what @lukasfink.bsky.social and I uncovered about replication code availability for publications based on the German Socio-Economic Panel #SOEP 📈📉
doi.org/10.1111/ecin...
Replication code availability over time and across fields: Evidence from the German Socio‐Economic Panel
Providing replication code is an inexpensive way to facilitate reproducibility. However, little is known about the extent of replication code provision. Therefore, we examine the availability of repl....
doi.org
November 29, 2024 at 2:59 PM
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apsa.bsky.social
Join us next week (12/4) at 2:00 p.m. ET, for our fifth and final webinar, "Post-Election Reflection: An Expert Roundtable," in our series exploring the 2024 U.S. Elections from multiple perspectives. Register here to attend:
politicalsciencenow.com/post-electio... #polisky
Post-Election Reflection: An Expert Roundtable: APSA 2024 Engaging the U.S. Election Webinar Series -
Join APSA for our fifth and final webinar in a series exploring the 2024 U.S. campaign and election from multiple perspectives. Registration is free. How are political science experts reflecting upon with the results and [...]
politicalsciencenow.com
November 26, 2024 at 6:42 PM
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mjbsp.bsky.social
Exposure to counter-stereotypical exemplars of the out-party can improve affect towards the out-party

link.springer.com/article/10.1...

#socpsych #psychscisky #polpsy
Effect of Moderate vs. Stereotypical Exemplars on Perceptions of Out-Party Ideology. Two Coefficient Plots showing the effect of treatments for Republicans perceptions of Democrats’ ideology and Democrats’ perceptions of Republicans’ ideology. Moderate exemplars moved Republicans’ perceptions in a moderate direction on all issues; this effect was statistically significant for all issues except for taxes. Moderate exemplars moved Democrats’ perceptions in a moderate direction on all issues except taxes; this effect was only statistically significant for perceived position on abortion Effect of Moderate vs. Stereotypical Exemplars on Affect Towards Out-Party. Two Coefficient Plots showing the effect of treatments for Republicans affect towards Democrats and Democrats’ affect towards Republicans. Moderate exemplars moved Republicans’ affect in a positive direction for all measures of affect; this effect was statistically significant for the overall affect index and the trust index. Moderate exemplars moved Democrats’ perceptions in a positive direction for the overall affect index and the trust index; the effect was statistically significant for the trust index. Moderate exemplars moved Democrats’ affect in a negative direction on the feeling thermometer and social distance index, though neither of these effects were statistically significant
November 26, 2024 at 7:49 PM
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florianfoos.bsky.social
This is a great piece by Kevin Munger on the potential role of TikTok in the Romanian Presidential Election: kevinmunger.substack.com/p/tiktok-in-...
TikTok in Romania
Platform control and national sovereignty
kevinmunger.substack.com
November 26, 2024 at 9:40 PM
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claesdevreese.bsky.social
What happened in Romania 🇷🇴?

First report from the EDMO BROD hub. Insightful observations about the online campaign space. And the specific role of TikTok

#commsky #advertising #disinformation 🗳️

brodhub.eu/en/news/prel...
Preliminary Report on Romanian Presidential Elections
brodhub.eu
November 26, 2024 at 10:42 PM
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alexhartland.bsky.social
New Publication

I am happy to share a new article ‘Quality not quantity: Lobbying institutions and the influence of asylum rights groups’, now published in the British Journal of Politics and International Relations.

journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.
journals.sagepub.com
November 26, 2024 at 8:22 AM
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hannahdaly.ie
Are you curious how the climate policies of political party manifestos stack up ahead of 🇮🇪 #ge24 next week?

❌ The three major parties - Fianna Fáil, Sinn Fein and Fine Gael all failed our assessment
✅ the Labour Party came out on top

www.friendsoftheearth.ie/news/labour-...
Labour tops manifesto assessment on climate, the three largest parties all fail | Friends of the Earth
Campaigners call for would-be Taoiseachs to be challenged on their party’s failure in Leaders’ Debate The Labour Party has come out on top in 
www.friendsoftheearth.ie
November 25, 2024 at 7:59 AM
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laiabalcells.bsky.social
Starting the day with terrific news: my paper with Sergi Martínez (EAFIT) and Ethan vanderWilden (U of Wisconsin) on far-right normalization and discounting of their extreme positions has been conditionally accepted at Political Science Research and Methods (PSRM). I believe it's very timely.
November 21, 2024 at 2:09 PM
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evanstewart.bsky.social
What a cool paper! Major life events (marriage, first parenthood, marriage dissolution, first job, unemployment, retirement) don't do much to change political orientations.
sociologicalscience.com/articles-v11...

Great work, @tkeskinturk.bsky.social! #socsky #polisky
Life-Course Transitions and Political Orientations
Article: Life-Course Transitions and Political Orientations | Sociological Science | Posted September 27, 2024
sociologicalscience.com
November 25, 2024 at 1:47 PM