Theodor Stoebner
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mcstoby.bsky.social
Theodor Stoebner
@mcstoby.bsky.social
Tidligere student i internasjonale relasjoner på LSE og Co-President i LSE Nordic Society.

Interessert i innen -og utenrikspolitikk i USA, Frankrike, Storbritannia og Norge. Heia Brann!
Reposted by Theodor Stoebner
Merz just said on German TV that the primary priority of his government will be to ensure that Europe can achieve full strategic independence from the United States in the defence against Russia.

Merz was once a die hard Atlanicist. Now, after Trump he is a Gaullist.

Extraordinary.
February 23, 2025 at 7:59 PM
Reposted by Theodor Stoebner
Keir Starmer has spoken to President Zelenskyy and reiterated the UK’s “concrete support” for Ukraine “for as long as it’s needed”
February 14, 2025 at 11:40 AM
Reposted by Theodor Stoebner
"Musk is a private citizen taking control of established government offices. That is not efficiency; that is a coup."
nymag.com/intelligence...
Elon Musk May Have Your Social Security Number
The billionaire and his DOGE agents were reportedly granted full access to the Treasury’s federal payments system, and nobody knows to what end.
nymag.com
February 3, 2025 at 9:24 AM
Reposted by Theodor Stoebner
French military to leave Ivory Coast this month, following withdrawal from Mali, Burkina Faso, Niger, Tchad and soon Sénégal
La base de l’armée française sera rétrocédée à la Côte d’Ivoire en janvier, annonce Alassane Ouattara
La base militaire d’Abidjan va être rétrocédée, conformément à la politique de réaménagement du dispositif militaire français en Afrique.
www.lemonde.fr
January 1, 2025 at 6:07 PM
Maktkamp og frustrasjon på høyresiden: Laurent Wauquiez, president for DR i nasjonalforsamlingen, har forsvunnet ut i skyggen etter utnevnelsen av SMIN Bayrou. Samtidig har IMIN Bruno Retailleau, som forblir i stillingen etter Barnier, rukket å bli populær på høyresiden. Begge har 2027 i bakhodet.
Après la nomination du gouvernement, les relations se tendent entre François Bayrou et la droite
Le chef des députés Les Républicains, Laurent Wauquiez, a estimé que son parti était malmené par le nouveau locataire de Matignon et il a prévenu que les élus du mouvement pourraient basculer dans l’o...
www.lemonde.fr
December 28, 2024 at 10:02 AM
Interessant om Bidens utenrikspolitikk og dens turbulente fire år.

"But recent events have shown that the alliances were always shakier and more contentious than the vision painted by Mr. Biden and other proponents in Washington."
Biden and Aides Courted Allies Who Undermined U.S. Goals
The Biden administration has been caught by surprise when partners like South Korea and Israel have acted against U.S. interests and principles.
www.nytimes.com
December 27, 2024 at 10:10 AM
Både Tyskland, Frankrike, Canada og Japan er svekket innenrikspolitisk.I Storbritannia går det trått for Starmer, til tross for at Labour har et klart flertall . Populisme og økonomiske vansker skaper en perfekt storm for ytterpunktene, noe Trump og Musk utnytter med støtte til Farage og AfD.
The world’s leading democracies are struggling to govern
Across the G7, the political centre is fracturing and Donald Trump will make the problem worse
www.ft.com
December 25, 2024 at 11:29 AM
8 ministre fortsetter fra Barniers regjering, blant annet innenriksminister Retailleau. Darmanin, eks innenriks, inn som justisminister. Borne også tilbake. Intet venstredreining.
December 23, 2024 at 5:57 PM
Reposted by Theodor Stoebner
Island skal ha folkeavstemning innen 2027 om EU-medlemskap. (punkt 23)
Stefnuyfirlýsing ríkisstjórnarinnar í heild sinni
Stefnuyfirlýsing, sem oft er kölluð stjórnarsáttmáli, Samfylkingar, Viðreisnar og Flokks fólksins var kynntur í Hafnarborg í Hafnarfirði í dag.
www.mbl.is
December 21, 2024 at 3:16 PM
Interessant artikkel om konturene av utriks til en mulig Merz-regjering. Pekes her på hans tre grunnideer: «Europeanism, Atlanticism» og «Germany first» (og mulige motsetninger)

Utfallet vil også påvirkes av valgresultatet: mulige koalisjoner med Die Grünen/SPD, og størrelsen på ytre høyre-venstre.
December 19, 2024 at 5:56 PM
Reposted by Theodor Stoebner
🚨🚨 First but very welcome concrete sign of EU-UK reset: British PM Keir Starmer has accepts invitation by @eucopresident.consilium.europa.eu (president of #EUCO) to discuss security and defence cooperation matters with the EU in February in Brussels. 🧵
www.ft.com/content/02ec...
Keir Starmer to hold talks with EU on defence co-operation
British premier accepts invitation by bloc to discuss security matters in latest sign of improving relations
www.ft.com
December 13, 2024 at 5:22 PM
Hvis EUs økonomi hadde vokst som USAs siden 2000, ville den generert 3 billioner £ ekstra hvert år – tilsvarende Frankrikes BNP, ifølge Bloomberg.

Fransk-tysk samarbeid og samkjøring har vært drivkraften bak større EU-reformer og initiativer. To lame ducks i Paris og Berlin gjør det utfordrende.
Europe's Missing Trillions
YouTube video by Bloomberg Originals
www.youtube.com
December 13, 2024 at 3:46 PM
Binyamin Appelbaum tar opp mye av det Ezra Klein har nevnt, i sin egen podcast, i evalueringen av Demokratenes valgnederlag. Kort oppsummert: "... the way government works and spends and delivers under Democrats is very slow."
Opinion | Blue States are Unaffordable. The Price Will be Political.
Americans are fleeing unaffordable blue states — and they’re taking the Electoral College with them.
www.nytimes.com
December 13, 2024 at 9:48 AM
"... reports that NATO will set a new spending target of 3 percent of GDP by 2030"

Denne vil bli tøff å svelge for mange vesteuropeiske land. Frankrike og Italia med budsjettutfordringer, Tyskland likeså. Spania under 1,3 %. Presset blir ikke mindre med Trump som president.
NATO’s Rutte wants a return to Cold War-level military spending
Governments need to make more orders and defense contractors have to take more risks, NATO’s secretary-general said.
www.politico.eu
December 13, 2024 at 9:09 AM
Leder av det sosialliberale MoDem François Bayrou på vei til Elysée for samtaler med Macron. Blir han Frankrikes neste SMIN? Og klarer han å få satt sammen en styringsdyktig regjering for å få vedtatt budsjettet?
Bayrou va être reçu à 8h30 par Macron à l'Elysée, selon Le Figaro. Le président a appelé le haut-commissaire au plan hier soir, selon le journal. Sans préciser si c'est pour lui donner le poste ou lui annoncer qu'il est recalé www.lefigaro.fr/politique/en...
EN DIRECT - Nouveau premier ministre : François Bayrou sera reçu à l’Élysée à 8h30
Le président de la République va s’entretenir dans la matinée avec son allié du MoDem dont le nom circule beaucoup pour Matignon. Les deux hommes se sont déjà parlé jeudi soir.
www.lefigaro.fr
December 13, 2024 at 7:50 AM
Reposted by Theodor Stoebner
A busy and possibly momentous day for Emmanuel Macron. He is flying to Warsaw to discuss aid for Ukraine post-Trump and – maybe - a European peace-keeping force to guarantee any ceasefire with Moscow. He is due back in Paris by late afternoon to name a new French Prime Minister. 1/
December 12, 2024 at 7:39 AM
Seneste måling her i UK viser at Reform per nå ligger på 21 %, bak L og C på 26 %. Budsjettkutt år for år siden 2008 og enorme økonomiske tap siden Brexit toppet seg med høy gjeldstaking under pandemien. Hvis det bare hadde eksistert et indre marked som kunne ha ledet til 4% vekst i britisk BNP...
Can Nigel Farage turn Reform into a serious contender for government?
Support for the rightwing populist party is growing fast but its path to power remains rocky
www.ft.com
December 12, 2024 at 10:41 AM
Reposted by Theodor Stoebner
“This government must not fail. If Keir Starmer does not succeed, too many British voters will conclude both traditional parties, Labour & Conservative, have proved useless & it is time to try something else – with that something else being nationalist populism”
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
We cannot afford for Starmer’s government to fail. Because Farage is lying in wait | Jonathan Freedland
It is not enough for the Labour leader’s ‘milestones’ to be achieved. Voters must feel the improvement in their daily lives, says Guardian columnist Jonathan Freedland
www.theguardian.com
December 7, 2024 at 10:04 PM
Reposted by Theodor Stoebner
The image is here: Macron brought together Trump and Zelenskyy for a 35min meeting - apparently a last-minute arrangement.

Certainly much to criticise re: Macron’s domestic politics, but one can’t say he wasn’t trying to make EU & UKR heard before potential deal.

www.lemonde.fr/internationa...
« La paix par la force est possible », dit Donald Trump, après avoir rencontré Volodymyr Zelensky et Emmanuel Macron à l’Elysée
Le président élu américain était accompagné de ses conseillers pour le Proche-Orient, mais pas pour l’Ukraine.
www.lemonde.fr
December 7, 2024 at 9:59 PM
"Either Gabbard was catastrophically uninformed about the most basic elements of the theater of war she was visiting, or she was consciously spreading disinformation. Those are the two possibilities. The first is disqualifying; the second is worse."
December 7, 2024 at 5:08 PM
EU og Mercosur har signert en ny handelsavtale. Jubel i Berlin, sinne i Paris. Macron vurderer nå å bygge en minoritetskoalisjon for å blokkere avtalen. Der pekes Polen, Østerrike, Belgia og Nederland (samt Italia) på som mulige partnere pga sine viktige landbrukssektorer.
L’Union européenne et le Mercosur annoncent un accord de libre-échange, un revers pour la France
Au bout de vingt-cinq ans de négociations, la Commission européenne et quatre nations d’Amérique du Sud se sont entendues sur un texte facilitant leurs échanges commerciaux. L’accord doit encore être ...
www.lemonde.fr
December 7, 2024 at 12:14 PM
Rachel Reeves blir den første britiske finansministeren som møter sine EU-kolleger siden Brexit. SMIN Starmer sliter med dårlige meningsmålinger; Labour ligger bak både Tories og Reform på den siste målingen, og økonomien ligger brakk. Et styrket forhold til EU kan hjelpe.
Rachel Reeves to pledge ‘ambitious’ economic partnership with EU
UK chancellor will promise to fully honour post-Brexit deals in meeting with bloc’s finance ministers
www.ft.com
December 7, 2024 at 11:18 AM
Reposted by Theodor Stoebner
🇷🇴⚖️Tremendous: the Romanian Constitutional Court, tasked with hearing electoral protests and validating the elections, decides to annul the first round of the presidential election (effectively ordering them to be retaken in entirety at a later date). 1/
🚨🚨🚨 Enormous news: the Constitutional Court of Romania has unanimously decided to cancel the presidential elections, G4 Media reports.

The electoral process for the election of the Romanian president has to be re-run in its entirety, with the government setting a new date.
December 6, 2024 at 1:28 PM
Reposted by Theodor Stoebner
A common theme elsewhere, too. Here: Germans being asked about the economic situation of Germany (left), and their personal situation. It doesn’t quite match.
Diese Diskrepanz ist immer wieder erstaunlich.
December 6, 2024 at 10:35 AM