Lukasz Krebel
@lukasz-k.bsky.social
Economics, greening finance, monetary policy & macropru. Policy adviser at the Bank of England
Reposted by Lukasz Krebel
This is deranged and dangerous from the Conservatives, and similarly from Reform. If they could enact it, it would rip British society apart, destroy the economy & NHS, & make the UK an international pariah. Every decent politician & political journalist/commentator needs to push back hard.
The draft legislation is crackers. It would fail immediately if we stayed in the ECHR but it disappears the human rights act. if passed after that it would involve mandatory loss of ILR for up to 400,000 people + refusal of 2-3 million others, though without no credible means to identify or remove
Here Lam explicitly sets out her proposal - which is official Conservative Party policy - to deport long-standing legal permanent residents who have *ever* claimed any benefit, including the state pension or child benefit (even if the child is British), or who earn less than £39K.
October 22, 2025 at 6:36 AM
This is deranged and dangerous from the Conservatives, and similarly from Reform. If they could enact it, it would rip British society apart, destroy the economy & NHS, & make the UK an international pariah. Every decent politician & political journalist/commentator needs to push back hard.
Reposted by Lukasz Krebel
German study shows how far right sets agenda thanks to mainstream parties reshaping their communications to respond to what are initially fringe issues, boosting the spread of these ideas and signalling to voters that these ideas and stances were legitimate
shorturl.at/OFfig
shorturl.at/OFfig
German far right setting agenda as opponents amplify its ideas, study finds
Normalisation of far-right stances likely to affect success of such parties at ballot boxes across Europe, say researchers
www.theguardian.com
October 18, 2025 at 7:48 AM
German study shows how far right sets agenda thanks to mainstream parties reshaping their communications to respond to what are initially fringe issues, boosting the spread of these ideas and signalling to voters that these ideas and stances were legitimate
shorturl.at/OFfig
shorturl.at/OFfig
Reposted by Lukasz Krebel
Just sent out this piece. Trunp and Putin are buddies again, all talk of Tomahawks to Ukraine and sanctions on Russia have disappeared. Was it all a charade? Sad thing, is that it might be worse. open.substack.com/pub/phillips...
Trump and Putin Are Buddies Again
Trump and Putin's Call--Reasonable Best And Worst Case Scenarios
open.substack.com
October 16, 2025 at 6:58 PM
Just sent out this piece. Trunp and Putin are buddies again, all talk of Tomahawks to Ukraine and sanctions on Russia have disappeared. Was it all a charade? Sad thing, is that it might be worse. open.substack.com/pub/phillips...
Reposted by Lukasz Krebel
When Putin talks to a Russians he consistently says that they invade Ukraine to destroy the state and nation and correct the path of history. NATO and similar framings are just for the useful foreigners.
Pu spells out Ru's imperialist motivations for the war. He calls the conquest a long-held dream and historical destiny.
He beclowns those who insist NATO expansion caused the war. Let's see if anyone from the Mearsheimer fan club admits the claim has been falsified.
www.kremlin.ru/events/presi...
He beclowns those who insist NATO expansion caused the war. Let's see if anyone from the Mearsheimer fan club admits the claim has been falsified.
www.kremlin.ru/events/presi...
Обращение по случаю Дня воссоединения ДНР, ЛНР, Запорожской и Херсонской областей с Россией
www.kremlin.ru
October 10, 2025 at 8:02 PM
When Putin talks to a Russians he consistently says that they invade Ukraine to destroy the state and nation and correct the path of history. NATO and similar framings are just for the useful foreigners.
Reposted by Lukasz Krebel
Let's cut the "Farage's plan is impractical" line eh? People said the same of Trump and now ICE goons are rounding people up into alligator-infested camps and sending people to Uganda. Need to defend principle of asylum and defend human rights and be against sending people to be tortured and killed
August 27, 2025 at 7:34 AM
Let's cut the "Farage's plan is impractical" line eh? People said the same of Trump and now ICE goons are rounding people up into alligator-infested camps and sending people to Uganda. Need to defend principle of asylum and defend human rights and be against sending people to be tortured and killed
Reposted by Lukasz Krebel
More than 1,000 Palestinians have been killed by Israeli forces since May while trying to get food in Gaza, mostly near food sites run by an American contractor, the U.N. human rights office said.
Israeli forces have killed over 1,000 aid-seekers in Gaza since May, the U.N. says
More than 1,000 Palestinians have been killed by Israeli forces since May while trying to get food in Gaza, mostly near food sites run by an American contractor, the U.N. human rights office said.
n.pr
July 23, 2025 at 4:21 PM
More than 1,000 Palestinians have been killed by Israeli forces since May while trying to get food in Gaza, mostly near food sites run by an American contractor, the U.N. human rights office said.
Reposted by Lukasz Krebel
A horrifying statement published today by the Editorial Committee of the Agence France-Presse (AFP) news agency.
"Without immediate intervention, the last reporters in Gaza will die"
Translation from French to English by @cnorristrent.bsky.social:
"Without immediate intervention, the last reporters in Gaza will die"
Translation from French to English by @cnorristrent.bsky.social:
July 21, 2025 at 11:21 PM
A horrifying statement published today by the Editorial Committee of the Agence France-Presse (AFP) news agency.
"Without immediate intervention, the last reporters in Gaza will die"
Translation from French to English by @cnorristrent.bsky.social:
"Without immediate intervention, the last reporters in Gaza will die"
Translation from French to English by @cnorristrent.bsky.social:
Reposted by Lukasz Krebel
Well, the US was not really thinking of sending more anti air weapons to Ukraine, it was planning on stopping what little was on its way. The US is cutting Ukraine off during this vital moment. Once again, flattering Trump is not the right strategy. A free piece. open.substack.com/pub/phillips...
"Daddy" Just Accelerated The Killing Of Ukrainians
Phillips’s Newsletter is a reader-supported publication.
open.substack.com
July 2, 2025 at 6:48 AM
Well, the US was not really thinking of sending more anti air weapons to Ukraine, it was planning on stopping what little was on its way. The US is cutting Ukraine off during this vital moment. Once again, flattering Trump is not the right strategy. A free piece. open.substack.com/pub/phillips...
Reposted by Lukasz Krebel
Trump is slowly, quietly, lifting sanctions on Russia. And halting previously allocated munitions too.
Without an announcement, US policy is beginning to favor not a ceasefire, but Russian success
www.nytimes.com/2025/07/02/u...
Without an announcement, US policy is beginning to favor not a ceasefire, but Russian success
www.nytimes.com/2025/07/02/u...
Lack of New U.S. Sanctions Allows Restricted Goods and Funds Into Russia
www.nytimes.com
July 2, 2025 at 11:29 AM
Trump is slowly, quietly, lifting sanctions on Russia. And halting previously allocated munitions too.
Without an announcement, US policy is beginning to favor not a ceasefire, but Russian success
www.nytimes.com/2025/07/02/u...
Without an announcement, US policy is beginning to favor not a ceasefire, but Russian success
www.nytimes.com/2025/07/02/u...
Reposted by Lukasz Krebel
Is global warming accelerating? Over at The Climate Brink I argue that the consilience of evidence from surface temperatures, climate models, forcing changes, ocean heat content, and earth energy imbalance all point toward yes: www.theclimatebrink....
The great acceleration debate
Why the consilience of evidence points toward acceleration
www.theclimatebrink.com
June 30, 2025 at 5:06 PM
Is global warming accelerating? Over at The Climate Brink I argue that the consilience of evidence from surface temperatures, climate models, forcing changes, ocean heat content, and earth energy imbalance all point toward yes: www.theclimatebrink....
Reposted by Lukasz Krebel
The barrages targeting Ukraine’s capital have been heavier and longer than at almost any point since Russia’s invasion, killing at least 40 people this month.
“A few more nights like this and I feel like people are going to start leaving Kyiv again.”
w/ @fabricedeprez.bsky.social
on.ft.com/4eqYDFB
“A few more nights like this and I feel like people are going to start leaving Kyiv again.”
w/ @fabricedeprez.bsky.social
on.ft.com/4eqYDFB
Kyiv’s sleepless nights under fire
[FREE TO READ] City suffers barrages lengthier and more intense than at any point during war
on.ft.com
June 27, 2025 at 7:50 AM
The barrages targeting Ukraine’s capital have been heavier and longer than at almost any point since Russia’s invasion, killing at least 40 people this month.
“A few more nights like this and I feel like people are going to start leaving Kyiv again.”
w/ @fabricedeprez.bsky.social
on.ft.com/4eqYDFB
“A few more nights like this and I feel like people are going to start leaving Kyiv again.”
w/ @fabricedeprez.bsky.social
on.ft.com/4eqYDFB
Reposted by Lukasz Krebel
Reposted by Lukasz Krebel
We can't process the scale of climate shocks.
I was speaking to someone from LA about the wildfires. Their view: fires have always happened, so the problem must have been government incompetence.
Sure, officials make mistakes *but* they are dealing with crazy weather on.ft.com/3RXWsyV
I was speaking to someone from LA about the wildfires. Their view: fires have always happened, so the problem must have been government incompetence.
Sure, officials make mistakes *but* they are dealing with crazy weather on.ft.com/3RXWsyV
When is a natural disaster human-made?
[FREE TO READ] The mud has been cleared in Valencia. But questions remain about last year’s deadly floods
on.ft.com
April 28, 2025 at 8:54 AM
We can't process the scale of climate shocks.
I was speaking to someone from LA about the wildfires. Their view: fires have always happened, so the problem must have been government incompetence.
Sure, officials make mistakes *but* they are dealing with crazy weather on.ft.com/3RXWsyV
I was speaking to someone from LA about the wildfires. Their view: fires have always happened, so the problem must have been government incompetence.
Sure, officials make mistakes *but* they are dealing with crazy weather on.ft.com/3RXWsyV
Reposted by Lukasz Krebel
I made a new poetic scratchcard!
New scratchcards alert! Inspired by the ghosties of the York Ghost Merchants, each card reveals a fragment of a haunting tale whispered from the other side. Let your fingertips summon the past — one verse at a time! 👻
Happy ghost hunting! www.poematlas.com/product-page...
Happy ghost hunting! www.poematlas.com/product-page...
April 14, 2025 at 7:35 AM
I made a new poetic scratchcard!
Reposted by Lukasz Krebel
At least 31 civilians slaughtered by two Russian ballistic missiles in Sumy's city centre as people headed to church for Palm Sunday.
2 of the dead are children.
Putin's deadly strikes haven't stopped.
His commitment to war is ongoing, savage & shameless.
www.theguardian.com/world/2025/a...
2 of the dead are children.
Putin's deadly strikes haven't stopped.
His commitment to war is ongoing, savage & shameless.
www.theguardian.com/world/2025/a...
Russian missile strike kills at least 31 in Ukrainian city of Sumy
Volodymyr Zelenskyy says dozens killed and wounded on ‘ordinary city street’ while going to church for Palm Sunday
www.theguardian.com
April 13, 2025 at 11:43 AM
At least 31 civilians slaughtered by two Russian ballistic missiles in Sumy's city centre as people headed to church for Palm Sunday.
2 of the dead are children.
Putin's deadly strikes haven't stopped.
His commitment to war is ongoing, savage & shameless.
www.theguardian.com/world/2025/a...
2 of the dead are children.
Putin's deadly strikes haven't stopped.
His commitment to war is ongoing, savage & shameless.
www.theguardian.com/world/2025/a...
Reposted by Lukasz Krebel
As Russia’s war in Ukraine enters its fourth year, and Trump mulls cutting military aid entirely, here are some ways to help Ukraine and stand with Ukrainians.
5 ways you can support Ukraine — even if your government doesn't want to
Editor’s note: We originally shared a version of this guide for our members on Feb. 24, 2024. If you would like to join a community of people united by wanting to help Ukraine, consider becoming a mem...
kyivindependent.com
March 3, 2025 at 6:50 PM
As Russia’s war in Ukraine enters its fourth year, and Trump mulls cutting military aid entirely, here are some ways to help Ukraine and stand with Ukrainians.
Donations, if you can spare some, more needed than ever it would appear #SlavaUkraini u24.gov.ua
UNITED24 - The initiative of the President of Ukraine
UNITED24 was launched by the President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskyy as the main venue for collecting charitable donations in support of Ukraine. Funds will be transferred to the official accounts of...
u24.gov.ua
March 1, 2025 at 1:55 PM
Donations, if you can spare some, more needed than ever it would appear #SlavaUkraini u24.gov.ua
Reposted by Lukasz Krebel
Dear Volodymyr Zelenskyy, dear Ukrainian friends, you are not alone.
February 28, 2025 at 7:31 PM
Dear Volodymyr Zelenskyy, dear Ukrainian friends, you are not alone.
February 28th, 2025 -- a date which will live in infamy
February 28, 2025 at 7:27 PM
February 28th, 2025 -- a date which will live in infamy
Reposted by Lukasz Krebel
Caspar Siegert & James Talbot @bankofengland.bsky.social find that central banks have already made significant progress in incorporating climate-related factors into their monetary policy operations. Central banks can learn from each other and adopt best practices.
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky
February 21, 2025 at 8:38 AM
Caspar Siegert & James Talbot @bankofengland.bsky.social find that central banks have already made significant progress in incorporating climate-related factors into their monetary policy operations. Central banks can learn from each other and adopt best practices.
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky
Reposted by Lukasz Krebel
A new framework helps central banks to understand the macroeconomic effects of the green transition & describes how agents respond to #climate policies in the near term.
S.K. Erlandsen, S.J. Ho, D Kyriakopoulou, A Mahalingam, & J Talbot @bankofengland.bsky.social
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky
S.K. Erlandsen, S.J. Ho, D Kyriakopoulou, A Mahalingam, & J Talbot @bankofengland.bsky.social
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky
February 14, 2025 at 10:00 AM
A new framework helps central banks to understand the macroeconomic effects of the green transition & describes how agents respond to #climate policies in the near term.
S.K. Erlandsen, S.J. Ho, D Kyriakopoulou, A Mahalingam, & J Talbot @bankofengland.bsky.social
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky
S.K. Erlandsen, S.J. Ho, D Kyriakopoulou, A Mahalingam, & J Talbot @bankofengland.bsky.social
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky
Reposted by Lukasz Krebel
@lukasz-k.bsky.social, Danae Kyriakopoulou, & James Talbot @bankofengland.bsky.social set out a framework to assist central banks in assessing and understanding the macroeconomic effects of acute physical impacts from #climatechange.
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky #monetarypolicy
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky #monetarypolicy
February 7, 2025 at 9:37 AM
@lukasz-k.bsky.social, Danae Kyriakopoulou, & James Talbot @bankofengland.bsky.social set out a framework to assist central banks in assessing and understanding the macroeconomic effects of acute physical impacts from #climatechange.
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky #monetarypolicy
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky #monetarypolicy
Reposted by Lukasz Krebel
Auschwitz was at the end of a long process. It did not start from gas chambers.
This hatred was gradually developed by humans. From ideas, words, stereotypes & prejudice through legal exclusion, dehumanization & escalating violence... to systematic and industrial murder.
Auschwitz took time.
This hatred was gradually developed by humans. From ideas, words, stereotypes & prejudice through legal exclusion, dehumanization & escalating violence... to systematic and industrial murder.
Auschwitz took time.
January 27, 2025 at 10:00 AM
Auschwitz was at the end of a long process. It did not start from gas chambers.
This hatred was gradually developed by humans. From ideas, words, stereotypes & prejudice through legal exclusion, dehumanization & escalating violence... to systematic and industrial murder.
Auschwitz took time.
This hatred was gradually developed by humans. From ideas, words, stereotypes & prejudice through legal exclusion, dehumanization & escalating violence... to systematic and industrial murder.
Auschwitz took time.
Reposted by Lukasz Krebel
For the FT, I explored a long-term climate scenario that some scientists now think is more likely:
Changes in ocean currents plunge northern Europe into the cold. Britain is hit by fierce winter storms; crop-growing becomes next to impossible.
How do we respond? Please read: on.ft.com/3Ch5F0J
Changes in ocean currents plunge northern Europe into the cold. Britain is hit by fierce winter storms; crop-growing becomes next to impossible.
How do we respond? Please read: on.ft.com/3Ch5F0J
The utterly plausible case that climate change makes London much colder
[FREE TO READ] For some climate scientists, global warming threatens Britain with a more unexpected scenario
on.ft.com
January 12, 2025 at 11:08 AM
For the FT, I explored a long-term climate scenario that some scientists now think is more likely:
Changes in ocean currents plunge northern Europe into the cold. Britain is hit by fierce winter storms; crop-growing becomes next to impossible.
How do we respond? Please read: on.ft.com/3Ch5F0J
Changes in ocean currents plunge northern Europe into the cold. Britain is hit by fierce winter storms; crop-growing becomes next to impossible.
How do we respond? Please read: on.ft.com/3Ch5F0J
Reposted by Lukasz Krebel
You are welcome to explore my debut solo exhibition ‘Making Poetry’ at the National Poetry Library in London, which is on until January 5th! 💛 www.southbankcentre.co.uk/whats-on/mak...
November 14, 2024 at 7:59 PM
You are welcome to explore my debut solo exhibition ‘Making Poetry’ at the National Poetry Library in London, which is on until January 5th! 💛 www.southbankcentre.co.uk/whats-on/mak...