Andrew Sinclair
@jandrewsinclair.bsky.social
Ast. Prof. of Gov't, Claremont McKenna College. Interested in political reform, public policy process, public administration, electoral institutions, and political behavior. Polling at the Rose Institute of State and Local Government.
Pinned
A theory. Everyone who cares about politics on bluesky ALSO needs to make a habit out of posting about their other interests and hobbies. Making bluesky work for many communities of interest will increase the political reach of the experts here.
The rise of sports betting is going to put pressure on the #nfl to make more plays/penalties reviewable and to develop clearer standards for some penalties — it will reduce suspicion that the flag was bought.
November 17, 2025 at 6:42 AM
The rise of sports betting is going to put pressure on the #nfl to make more plays/penalties reviewable and to develop clearer standards for some penalties — it will reduce suspicion that the flag was bought.
This is great. In (gift link): www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2025/1...
November 16, 2025 at 6:45 PM
This is great. In (gift link): www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2025/1...
Bookstore in Sierra Madre, CA:
November 16, 2025 at 5:14 PM
Bookstore in Sierra Madre, CA:
The Ken Burns American Revolution documentary is available starting at 8 pm, Sunday Nov 16, on the PBS app — link here: www.pbs.org/show/the-ame...
The American Revolution
Thirteen colonies unite in rebellion, win their independence, and found the United States.
www.pbs.org
November 16, 2025 at 6:49 AM
The Ken Burns American Revolution documentary is available starting at 8 pm, Sunday Nov 16, on the PBS app — link here: www.pbs.org/show/the-ame...
Reposted by Andrew Sinclair
well, it finally happened #econsky.
my partner is out with friends, my kid’s aftercare spot is doing an “after dark” special, and I’m… eating dinner and drinking a beer solo while reading an @ecmaeditors.bsky.social paper on my phone at the bar.
my partner is out with friends, my kid’s aftercare spot is doing an “after dark” special, and I’m… eating dinner and drinking a beer solo while reading an @ecmaeditors.bsky.social paper on my phone at the bar.
November 15, 2025 at 12:28 AM
well, it finally happened #econsky.
my partner is out with friends, my kid’s aftercare spot is doing an “after dark” special, and I’m… eating dinner and drinking a beer solo while reading an @ecmaeditors.bsky.social paper on my phone at the bar.
my partner is out with friends, my kid’s aftercare spot is doing an “after dark” special, and I’m… eating dinner and drinking a beer solo while reading an @ecmaeditors.bsky.social paper on my phone at the bar.
Reposted by Andrew Sinclair
Where we're at
Helps GOP
—TX: 5 seats toward GOP
—OH:2 seats toward GOP, but also 1 toward Dems
—NC: 1 Dem seat to likely GOP
Helps Dems
—CA: 5 seats toward Dems
—UT: 1 seat flips Dem
?
—MO: 1 seat to GOP... but veto referendum?
—VA: Dems trying
—FL: GOP maybe
GOP push stalls:
—KS
—IN
VRA
—...
Helps GOP
—TX: 5 seats toward GOP
—OH:2 seats toward GOP, but also 1 toward Dems
—NC: 1 Dem seat to likely GOP
Helps Dems
—CA: 5 seats toward Dems
—UT: 1 seat flips Dem
?
—MO: 1 seat to GOP... but veto referendum?
—VA: Dems trying
—FL: GOP maybe
GOP push stalls:
—KS
—IN
VRA
—...
November 14, 2025 at 9:41 PM
Where we're at
Helps GOP
—TX: 5 seats toward GOP
—OH:2 seats toward GOP, but also 1 toward Dems
—NC: 1 Dem seat to likely GOP
Helps Dems
—CA: 5 seats toward Dems
—UT: 1 seat flips Dem
?
—MO: 1 seat to GOP... but veto referendum?
—VA: Dems trying
—FL: GOP maybe
GOP push stalls:
—KS
—IN
VRA
—...
Helps GOP
—TX: 5 seats toward GOP
—OH:2 seats toward GOP, but also 1 toward Dems
—NC: 1 Dem seat to likely GOP
Helps Dems
—CA: 5 seats toward Dems
—UT: 1 seat flips Dem
?
—MO: 1 seat to GOP... but veto referendum?
—VA: Dems trying
—FL: GOP maybe
GOP push stalls:
—KS
—IN
VRA
—...
Reposted by Andrew Sinclair
When I chose to study politics for a living I had no idea that politics would get this dumb.
November 15, 2025 at 2:43 AM
When I chose to study politics for a living I had no idea that politics would get this dumb.
I think there is not enough of an understanding of just how badly most people have been hit by inflation since 2020.
November 15, 2025 at 7:29 AM
I think there is not enough of an understanding of just how badly most people have been hit by inflation since 2020.
Reposted by Andrew Sinclair
I really like skimming authorities for amicus briefs because it's a nice way to figure out which scholarship to read on an issue. Also got a chuckle that someone cited to Baude's post about Nelson's article. (Nelson got cited a lot.)
November 15, 2025 at 1:10 AM
I really like skimming authorities for amicus briefs because it's a nice way to figure out which scholarship to read on an issue. Also got a chuckle that someone cited to Baude's post about Nelson's article. (Nelson got cited a lot.)
Reposted by Andrew Sinclair
Donald Trump’s presidency hinges on loyalty, which depends on the perception of power. As a lame duck, that perception is already eroding — and the Epstein scandal is now accelerating it.
Opinion | The Epstein divisions among Republicans are hastening Trump's lame-duck status
These polls suggest the issue is a bigger problem than the president wants to admit.
www.msnbc.com
November 14, 2025 at 6:17 PM
Donald Trump’s presidency hinges on loyalty, which depends on the perception of power. As a lame duck, that perception is already eroding — and the Epstein scandal is now accelerating it.
It seems to me that the government is murdering civilians on the high seas, regardless of whatever any sort of memo they have cooked up says. www.nytimes.com/2025/11/13/u...
Memo Blessing Boat Strikes Is Said to Rely on Trump’s Claims About Cartels
www.nytimes.com
November 14, 2025 at 4:32 AM
It seems to me that the government is murdering civilians on the high seas, regardless of whatever any sort of memo they have cooked up says. www.nytimes.com/2025/11/13/u...
A lovely sunset today. Get a clear view from the gym.
November 14, 2025 at 12:43 AM
A lovely sunset today. Get a clear view from the gym.
“Their opinions cannot be changed by curses or bludgeons. Arguments addressed to their reason and understanding are our best hope. Such arguments. however, must come from men whose disinterestedness is above all suspicion, whose independence is beyond all doubt […].”
November 13, 2025 at 11:12 PM
“Their opinions cannot be changed by curses or bludgeons. Arguments addressed to their reason and understanding are our best hope. Such arguments. however, must come from men whose disinterestedness is above all suspicion, whose independence is beyond all doubt […].”
This seems like a catastrophic restriction on academic freedom. It’s a vote to end the university.
“Texas A&M University System regents voted Thursday to limit how instructors may discuss matters like gender identity and race ideology in classrooms, tightening the rules in a conservative state where debates over academic freedom have flared for months.”
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/13/u...
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/13/u...
Texas A&M Tightens Rules on Talking About Race and Gender in Classes
www.nytimes.com
November 13, 2025 at 11:06 PM
This seems like a catastrophic restriction on academic freedom. It’s a vote to end the university.
Reposted by Andrew Sinclair
Authors -- you are entitled to a payment for the books of yours that Anthropic stole for its AI. It's about $1,500 per book. I just filed - you should too!
www.anthropiccopyrightsettlement.com?_gl=1*1ersia....
www.anthropiccopyrightsettlement.com?_gl=1*1ersia....
Homepage | Bartz v Anthropic Settlement Site
www.anthropiccopyrightsettlement.com
November 13, 2025 at 5:17 PM
Authors -- you are entitled to a payment for the books of yours that Anthropic stole for its AI. It's about $1,500 per book. I just filed - you should too!
www.anthropiccopyrightsettlement.com?_gl=1*1ersia....
www.anthropiccopyrightsettlement.com?_gl=1*1ersia....
Reposted by Andrew Sinclair
NEW: @propublica.org investigated the Chicago apartment raid where kids were zip-tied and citizens detained for hours. They find:
- NONE of the arrested were criminally charged
- NO evidence the building was "filled with TdA terrorists."
- ZERO legitimate reason for DHS to rappel from a Blackhawk.
- NONE of the arrested were criminally charged
- NO evidence the building was "filled with TdA terrorists."
- ZERO legitimate reason for DHS to rappel from a Blackhawk.
November 13, 2025 at 2:08 PM
NEW: @propublica.org investigated the Chicago apartment raid where kids were zip-tied and citizens detained for hours. They find:
- NONE of the arrested were criminally charged
- NO evidence the building was "filled with TdA terrorists."
- ZERO legitimate reason for DHS to rappel from a Blackhawk.
- NONE of the arrested were criminally charged
- NO evidence the building was "filled with TdA terrorists."
- ZERO legitimate reason for DHS to rappel from a Blackhawk.
Reposted by Andrew Sinclair
it's a tail outcome surely, but what's the probability the GOP throws trump under the bus completely based on these files? substantially non-zero, and higher than a weak ago
"Republicans are bracing for a significant chunk of the conference to vote for Rep. Ro Khanna’s (D-Calif.) and Rep. Thomas Massie’s (R-Ky.) Epstein file disclosure bill once it lands on the House floor."
www.politico.com/live-updates...
www.politico.com/live-updates...
Republicans expecting mass defections on Epstein vote
Democrats pushing the discharge petition predicted that Republicans would rush to support the measure once it hit the floor.
www.politico.com
November 13, 2025 at 1:34 AM
it's a tail outcome surely, but what's the probability the GOP throws trump under the bus completely based on these files? substantially non-zero, and higher than a weak ago
Reposted by Andrew Sinclair
Reposted by Andrew Sinclair
Holy shit, just learned about the typewriter art of Montserrat Alberich Escardívol, a Catalan typist. Using an extra wide typewriter and 180 color ribbons, she built up elaborate images from simple characters like 'm' and '.' and ';'. Here is her typewritten painting of the Cathedral of Barcelona.
November 12, 2025 at 4:19 PM
Holy shit, just learned about the typewriter art of Montserrat Alberich Escardívol, a Catalan typist. Using an extra wide typewriter and 180 color ribbons, she built up elaborate images from simple characters like 'm' and '.' and ';'. Here is her typewritten painting of the Cathedral of Barcelona.
?
The Bipartisan Infrastructure Law passed 4 years ago. In new research @urbaninstitute.bsky.social we study its effects.
US transport spending increased by 30%, but:
—Funding for non-highway projects flatlined
—Construction cost increases resulted in no actual increase in infrastructure
US transport spending increased by 30%, but:
—Funding for non-highway projects flatlined
—Construction cost increases resulted in no actual increase in infrastructure
Federal Infrastructure Spending on Transportation, Four Years after the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act
The Bipartisan Infrastructure Law is up for reauthorization in 2026. New analysis shows that the act increased spending on transportation infrastructure, but…
www.urban.org
November 12, 2025 at 5:46 PM
?
Really interesting: capitolweekly.net/basics-of-a-...
Basics of a governor’s reorganization plan - Capitol Weekly
With Governor Gavin Newsom proposing two new state agencies (both a new Consumer Protection Agency and a Housing and Homelessness Agency) to be created as part of the 2025-26 budget, I thought it woul...
capitolweekly.net
November 12, 2025 at 5:38 PM
Really interesting: capitolweekly.net/basics-of-a-...
Reposted by Andrew Sinclair
Personality cults have consequences
Will always be puzzled as to why Republicans hammered so hard on the Epstein stuff given that it was obvious that it would be a huge risk for their own guy
Trump and Epstein were buddies throughout the height of his trafficking -- what did they think would happen?
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/12/u...
Trump and Epstein were buddies throughout the height of his trafficking -- what did they think would happen?
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/12/u...
Epstein Alleged in Emails That Trump Knew of His Conduct
www.nytimes.com
November 12, 2025 at 3:53 PM
Personality cults have consequences
Reposted by Andrew Sinclair
A staggering statistic: "North American researchers were charged over US$2.27 billion by just two for-profit publishers. The Canadian research councils and the US National Science Foundation were allocated US$9.3 billion in that year." What are we doing?
We wrote the Strain on scientific publishing to highlight the problems of time & trust. With a fantastic group of co-authors, we present The Drain of Scientific Publishing:
a 🧵 1/n
Drain: arxiv.org/abs/2511.04820
Strain: direct.mit.edu/qss/article/...
Oligopoly: direct.mit.edu/qss/article/...
a 🧵 1/n
Drain: arxiv.org/abs/2511.04820
Strain: direct.mit.edu/qss/article/...
Oligopoly: direct.mit.edu/qss/article/...
November 12, 2025 at 1:58 PM
A staggering statistic: "North American researchers were charged over US$2.27 billion by just two for-profit publishers. The Canadian research councils and the US National Science Foundation were allocated US$9.3 billion in that year." What are we doing?
If you get a chance, visit the Saratoga battlefield in the spring. It’s a beautiful place.
November 12, 2025 at 8:28 AM
If you get a chance, visit the Saratoga battlefield in the spring. It’s a beautiful place.