Andrew Sinclair
@jandrewsinclair.bsky.social
Ast. Prof. of Gov't, Claremont McKenna College. Interested in political reform, public policy process, public administration, electoral institutions, and political behavior. Polling at the Rose Institute of State and Local Government.
Pinned
A theory. Everyone who cares about politics on bluesky ALSO needs to make a habit out of posting about their other interests and hobbies. Making bluesky work for many communities of interest will increase the political reach of the experts here.
Just one fascinating graph after another — >
Great piece from @dsquareddigest.bsky.social, which touches on one of the big theories for why English-speaking countries do especially badly at housebuilding:
Adversarial and litigious common law systems (Anglo) vs judge-led civil law systems elsewhere.
samf.substack.com/p/build-the-...
Adversarial and litigious common law systems (Anglo) vs judge-led civil law systems elsewhere.
samf.substack.com/p/build-the-...
February 17, 2026 at 4:31 AM
Just one fascinating graph after another — >
This article has really jumped the shark.
To add excitement to everybody's Presidents Day; @davidryanmiller.com and I have a new article out today in American Politics Research in which we engage with the 1916 shark attacks debate. journals.sagepub.com/share/YQAM7F...
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.
journals.sagepub.com
February 16, 2026 at 5:03 PM
This article has really jumped the shark.
Reposted by Andrew Sinclair
Democracy for Realists is certainly one of the most important polisci books from the last decade, but i think it misses the mark in a lot of places and we can put a final nail in the shark attack coffin thanks to @borisheersink.bsky.social and @davidryanmiller.com. What a mad libs of a sentence.
To add excitement to everybody's Presidents Day; @davidryanmiller.com and I have a new article out today in American Politics Research in which we engage with the 1916 shark attacks debate. journals.sagepub.com/share/YQAM7F...
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.
journals.sagepub.com
February 16, 2026 at 4:25 PM
Democracy for Realists is certainly one of the most important polisci books from the last decade, but i think it misses the mark in a lot of places and we can put a final nail in the shark attack coffin thanks to @borisheersink.bsky.social and @davidryanmiller.com. What a mad libs of a sentence.
Whoa
Just made a manuscript/PAP feedback GPT built from 150+ previous peer reviews - identifies problems and provides actionable feedback on the points that I raise most frequently
chatgpt.com/g/g-68af4d19...
Anyone can use - try it out! (Editors/authors: feel free to cut me out of the loop 😉.)
chatgpt.com/g/g-68af4d19...
Anyone can use - try it out! (Editors/authors: feel free to cut me out of the loop 😉.)
ChatGPT - Manuscript review assistant
A conversational AI system that listens, learns, and challenges
chatgpt.com
February 16, 2026 at 5:09 AM
Whoa
Reposted by Andrew Sinclair
Inside the Debacle That Led to the Closure of El Paso’s Airspace
www.nytimes.com
February 15, 2026 at 4:07 AM
This is pretty much what an ordinary commute looks like in LA on the 210.
February 16, 2026 at 12:12 AM
This is pretty much what an ordinary commute looks like in LA on the 210.
Reposted by Andrew Sinclair
The Virginia Supreme Court has ruled that the state can put a redistricting plan on the ballot this spring that could add as many as four more Democratic seats in Congress.
The referendum will take place on April 21.
The referendum will take place on April 21.
February 14, 2026 at 6:56 PM
The Virginia Supreme Court has ruled that the state can put a redistricting plan on the ballot this spring that could add as many as four more Democratic seats in Congress.
The referendum will take place on April 21.
The referendum will take place on April 21.
I have to say the first time I thought of Don Lemon as a real journalist was when the Trump Administration arrested him for the crime of journalism. WP reports his Substack subscriptions are up 70%+.
February 15, 2026 at 3:54 AM
I have to say the first time I thought of Don Lemon as a real journalist was when the Trump Administration arrested him for the crime of journalism. WP reports his Substack subscriptions are up 70%+.
Working on a research project, and re-reading an article from 2018. This stuck out: "... her call to abolish the Immigration and Customs Enforcement agency." Long before it was a popular thing to say among Democrats. www.nytimes.com/2018/06/26/n...
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Defeats Joseph Crowley in Major Democratic House Upset (Published 2018)
www.nytimes.com
February 14, 2026 at 9:12 AM
Working on a research project, and re-reading an article from 2018. This stuck out: "... her call to abolish the Immigration and Customs Enforcement agency." Long before it was a popular thing to say among Democrats. www.nytimes.com/2018/06/26/n...
John Boehner: "The most consistent lesson I've learned from the political game: weird shit is just going to keep happening, so you might as well give up being surprised" (On the House, p. 179).
February 14, 2026 at 8:37 AM
John Boehner: "The most consistent lesson I've learned from the political game: weird shit is just going to keep happening, so you might as well give up being surprised" (On the House, p. 179).
This is just messed up. Like: who does this? Who?
On Thanksgiving, the immigrant children held at the Dilley detention center gathered in the gym for what they thought was a holiday feast.
The kids salivated over a spread of turkey, sandwiches, pastries and pies, a family told me.
But the food wasn’t for detainees — it was for the staff.
The kids salivated over a spread of turkey, sandwiches, pastries and pies, a family told me.
But the food wasn’t for detainees — it was for the staff.
February 13, 2026 at 8:42 PM
This is just messed up. Like: who does this? Who?
Reposted by Andrew Sinclair
A patriotic judge who will fight to defend our Constitution:
"The Constitution does not permit the government to arrest thousands of individuals and then disregard their constitutional rights because it would be too challenging to honor those rights."
"The Constitution does not permit the government to arrest thousands of individuals and then disregard their constitutional rights because it would be too challenging to honor those rights."
February 13, 2026 at 3:43 AM
A patriotic judge who will fight to defend our Constitution:
"The Constitution does not permit the government to arrest thousands of individuals and then disregard their constitutional rights because it would be too challenging to honor those rights."
"The Constitution does not permit the government to arrest thousands of individuals and then disregard their constitutional rights because it would be too challenging to honor those rights."
Reposted by Andrew Sinclair
I'm still SHOCKED by the obscene rise in billionaire election spending since Citizens United in the NYT piece, despite already knowing that election corruption w/ $ was profound. (Recall that BCRA fought dangerous campaign $ in *2002*)
The article data didn't have a graph, so I made one to show it.
The article data didn't have a graph, so I made one to show it.
February 12, 2026 at 2:26 PM
I'm still SHOCKED by the obscene rise in billionaire election spending since Citizens United in the NYT piece, despite already knowing that election corruption w/ $ was profound. (Recall that BCRA fought dangerous campaign $ in *2002*)
The article data didn't have a graph, so I made one to show it.
The article data didn't have a graph, so I made one to show it.
Reposted by Andrew Sinclair
What's so amazing about Jim Henson as a puppeteer is that he could literally be explaining that Kermit is made out of felt and ping pong balls and yet Kermit still feels alive the whole time he's doing it
February 11, 2026 at 10:03 PM
What's so amazing about Jim Henson as a puppeteer is that he could literally be explaining that Kermit is made out of felt and ping pong balls and yet Kermit still feels alive the whole time he's doing it
One of the most impressive athletic performances I have ever seen. (Bluesky, The App of Sports)
2026 Winter Olympics: France's Cizeron and Fournier Beaudry snatch ice dancing gold
2026 Winter Olympics: France's Cizeron and Fournier Beaudry snatch ice dancing gold
Guillaume Cizeron and Laurence Fournier Beaudry concluded their competition with a mesmerizing routine set to the powerful soundtrack of the 2022 film 'The Whale.' They finished 1.43 points ahead of the USA's three-time world champions Madison Chock and Evan Bates.
www.lemonde.fr
February 12, 2026 at 6:01 AM
One of the most impressive athletic performances I have ever seen. (Bluesky, The App of Sports)
Reposted by Andrew Sinclair
I just whipped up this little #QuartoPub site last week that demonstrates how I teach p-values/hyp-testing through simulation both with live OJS and with #rstats, and I think it's super neat! It has examples for diff-in-means, diff-in-props, and regression slopes nullworlds.andrewheiss.com #statsky
February 11, 2026 at 9:14 PM
I just whipped up this little #QuartoPub site last week that demonstrates how I teach p-values/hyp-testing through simulation both with live OJS and with #rstats, and I think it's super neat! It has examples for diff-in-means, diff-in-props, and regression slopes nullworlds.andrewheiss.com #statsky
The AI people should pay attention to what happened to the polling industry when the aggregators began using data that others had collected at large cost—they are killing the sources of their data. Here goes Gallup presidential approval. www.nytimes.com/2026/02/11/u...
Gallup Will No Longer Track Presidential Approval Ratings
www.nytimes.com
February 12, 2026 at 5:40 AM
The AI people should pay attention to what happened to the polling industry when the aggregators began using data that others had collected at large cost—they are killing the sources of their data. Here goes Gallup presidential approval. www.nytimes.com/2026/02/11/u...
Reposted by Andrew Sinclair
Will they issue a “Battle of the Party Balloon 2026” combat medal to all DHS employees? Very heroic!
🤡🤡🤡 "The abrupt closure of El Paso’s airspace late Tuesday was precipitated when Customs and Border Protection officials deployed an anti-drone laser on loan from the Department of Defense without giving aviation officials enough time to assess the risks to commercial aircraft" 🤡🤡🤡
"C.B.P. officials thought they were firing on a cartel drone, the people said, but it turned out to be a party balloon."
February 12, 2026 at 3:38 AM
Will they issue a “Battle of the Party Balloon 2026” combat medal to all DHS employees? Very heroic!
Really interesting book.
February 12, 2026 at 12:44 AM
Really interesting book.
Just heartbreaking. And we should be clear that the person who caused Pretti’s murder is the President of the United States. It’s his policy, even if others pulled the trigger.
Alex Pretti's parents keep a box crammed with 200 letters and cards that have poured into their Denver home since their son was shot and killed by immigration agents.
"He's my first born," Susan Pretti said. "He's the one that made me a mother. There was no reason he should have died that day."
"He's my first born," Susan Pretti said. "He's the one that made me a mother. There was no reason he should have died that day."
‘No Reason He Should Have Died’: Alex Pretti’s Parents Open Up
www.nytimes.com
February 11, 2026 at 9:52 PM
Just heartbreaking. And we should be clear that the person who caused Pretti’s murder is the President of the United States. It’s his policy, even if others pulled the trigger.
“At this point, there is little mystery about who Pam Bondi has become. She is an attorney general who does not tell Trump no.”
What Happened to Pam Bondi?
How the attorney general became a person who loves telling Trump yes
www.theatlantic.com
February 11, 2026 at 8:11 PM
“At this point, there is little mystery about who Pam Bondi has become. She is an attorney general who does not tell Trump no.”
Reposted by Andrew Sinclair
"The existence of talking machines—entities that can do many of the things that only we have ever been able to do—throws a lot of other things into question."
A cement mixer also does work that was unique to humans at one point. But we're not asking general contractors whether they're conscious.
A cement mixer also does work that was unique to humans at one point. But we're not asking general contractors whether they're conscious.
February 11, 2026 at 3:53 PM
"The existence of talking machines—entities that can do many of the things that only we have ever been able to do—throws a lot of other things into question."
A cement mixer also does work that was unique to humans at one point. But we're not asking general contractors whether they're conscious.
A cement mixer also does work that was unique to humans at one point. But we're not asking general contractors whether they're conscious.
The stupidity is beyond irritating.
So the feds ARE NOT considering an mRNA vaccine for the flu, which could save countless lives, but ARE backing research into whether horse dewormer can cure cancer, because the right views vaccines as elite and ivermectin as populist.
Cool.
kffhealthnews.org/news/article...
Cool.
kffhealthnews.org/news/article...
FDA won’t review Moderna application for first mRNA-based flu vaccine
The decision, which shocked company officials, comes as the FDA says it will take a stricter approach to federal vaccine approvals.
www.washingtonpost.com
February 11, 2026 at 5:51 AM
The stupidity is beyond irritating.
Reposted by Andrew Sinclair
Helluva statement from Colorado Rep Crow (D) on the Trump administration's failure to indict him and others
February 11, 2026 at 2:35 AM
Helluva statement from Colorado Rep Crow (D) on the Trump administration's failure to indict him and others