Jakob Terp-Hansen
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jakobterp.bsky.social
Jakob Terp-Hansen
@jakobterp.bsky.social
USA-kommentator. Redaktør, USAPol.dk. Skribent på POV International. Find ugentligt nyhedsbrev her: https://usapol.dk/nyhedsbrev
Reposted by Jakob Terp-Hansen
Evidence of racial polarization in Georgia last week. In one race, a White D ran against a Black R; the inverse was true in the other. So, where did the White D over-perform the Black D? In whiter areas.
November 14, 2025 at 8:19 PM
Reposted by Jakob Terp-Hansen
Ron Paul 2008 was a response to the perceived failures of GWB. Bernie 2016 was a response to the perceived failures of Obama. Presumably there will be an insurgent Republican in 2028 who’s a response to Trump.
November 15, 2025 at 3:36 PM
“(..) Pete Hegseth, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Dan Caine and other senior officials briefed the president on military options for the coming days, the sources said.”
Scoop: Military officials on Weds presented Trump with updated options for potential operations in Venezuela, including land strikes, per sources. Hegseth, Caine at White House yday afternoon for briefings. No final decision made, two of the sources told @cbsnews.com
www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-v...
Top officials present Trump with military options for Venezuela in the coming days
The potential operations for Venezuela presented to Trump included options for strikes on land, multiple sources said.
www.cbsnews.com
November 13, 2025 at 5:36 PM
Demokraterne fik noget ud af regeringsnedlukningen også i meningsmålingerne. Men de målinger er nok glemt om et år. Samtidig fik partiet ingen aftale i forhold til sundhedspolitikken og har nu i stedet fået et nyt internt slagsmål. Det er svært at sige, at afslutningen på forløbet har været god.
November 11, 2025 at 7:47 AM
En æra er (snart) forbi: Nancy Pelosi genopstiller ikke til Repræsentanternes Hus.
November 6, 2025 at 2:56 PM
Her er så en dårlig nyhed for Demokraterne.
November 5, 2025 at 9:25 PM
I nat slog Demokraterne tilbage et år efter det værste præsidentvalg i 20 år. Her er seks nedslag i valgnatten.

En indsigt fra artiklen: I 2024 vandt Trump Passaic County i NJ - det county med den største hispanicbefolkning i staten.

I år vandt Mikie Sherrill (D) det område med 15.
Demokraterne slår tilbage: Her er seks nedslag i lokalvalgene – USAPol.dk
usapol.dk
November 5, 2025 at 5:40 PM
“An early forecast for the 2026 midterms — based on the historical predictive power of Virginia’s governor elections — suggests a national environment that looks something like D+8 to D+9, compared to the D+3 to D+4 in polls today.”
Seven data-driven lessons from the 2025 elections
Democrats outran their polls and swept statewide races from Georgia to New Jersey, on an agenda of affordability and a broad anti-Trump backlash
www.gelliottmorris.com
November 5, 2025 at 2:04 PM
Status her kl. 06.45. Demokraterne vinder:

- Guvernørvalg i NJ og VA
- Viceguvernørvalg i VA og AG-valg i VA
- Fastholder tre højesteretspladser i Pennsylvania
- Går massivt frem i House of Delegates i Virginia
- Går frem i General Assembly i NJ
- Vinder to Public Service Commissioner-valg i GA
November 5, 2025 at 5:45 AM
Reposted by Jakob Terp-Hansen
Jay Jones (D) wins the race for Virginia attorney general, NBC News projects.
November 5, 2025 at 2:40 AM
Vi må se, hvad den endelige margin bliver, men Demokraterne kommer også til at gå meget frem i House of Delegates i Virginia.
November 5, 2025 at 2:40 AM
Over tre procentpoints forspring til Jones (D). Kun et spørgsmål om hans margin.
November 5, 2025 at 2:16 AM
Ikke overraskende, men alligevel: Zohran Mamdani bliver ny borgmester i New York City.
BREAKING: Zohran Mamdani is projected to win the New York City Mayoral election, reports @decisiondeskhq.bsky.social
November 5, 2025 at 2:15 AM
New York Times antyder, at Sherrill (D) får 56 % af stemmerne i New Jerseys guvernørvalg. Det vil i så fald være en overpræstation i forhold til meningsmålingerne.
New Jersey Governor Election Results 2025: Jack Ciattarelli, Mikie Sherrill
Get live results and maps from the 2025 New Jersey Governor election.
www.nytimes.com
November 5, 2025 at 2:02 AM
Reposted by Jakob Terp-Hansen
BREAKING: Pennsylvania voters approve to retain three state Supreme Court justices, NBC News projects, preserving Democrats’ 5-2 majority on the state’s high court.
Pennsylvania voters retain three state Supreme Court justices, preserving Democrats' 5-2 majority
NBC News projects the incumbents survived an up-or-down vote to keep their seats on the battleground state’s high court.
nbcnews.to
November 5, 2025 at 1:42 AM
Reposted by Jakob Terp-Hansen
Breaking news: Democrat Ghazala Hashmi is elected as Virginia lieutenant governor, becoming the first Muslim and first South Asian to hold statewide office in Virginia.
Virginia election results 2025
Live Virginia election results and updates in races across the state on Nov. 4.
www.washingtonpost.com
November 5, 2025 at 1:34 AM
Jones (D) oppe med to procentpoint i justitsministervalget i VA. Meget svært at se Miyares (R) vinde.
Virginia Attorney General Election Results 2025
Get live results and maps from the 2025 Virginia general election.
www.nytimes.com
November 5, 2025 at 1:34 AM
Decision Desk giver guvernørvalget i NJ til Demokraterne (intet fra AP endnu).
NEW: Decision Desk has called New Jersey governor for Sherrill. election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-11...
November 5, 2025 at 1:24 AM
Abigail Spanberger (D) vinder guvernørvalget i Virginia ifølge AP. Det gør hende til delstatens første kvindelige guvernør.
November 5, 2025 at 1:05 AM
Lige nu klarer Miyares (R) det ikke godt nok samlet set i de counties, der er >95% hos New York Times, til at vinde justitsministervalget i Virginia.
Virginia Attorney General Election Results 2025
Get live results and maps from the 2025 Virginia general election.
www.nytimes.com
November 5, 2025 at 12:55 AM
Jay Jones (D) foran i justitsministervalget. I Loudoun County i den nordlige del af staten er det med 19 procentpoints forspring - et rigtig godt resultat for ham.
November 5, 2025 at 12:45 AM
Valgstederne i Virginia er lukkede.
November 5, 2025 at 12:01 AM
+3000 ord om morgendagens guvernørvalg i New Jersey og Virginia. Garanti for ny viden, hvis man læser det hele.

Mine forudsigelser:

VA-guvernør: Abigail Spanberger (D)
VA-viceguvernør: Ghazala Hashmi (D)
VA-justitsminister: Jason Miyares (R)
NJ-guvernør: Mikie Sherrill (D)
Optakt: Alt, du skal vide om den store valgdag i New Jersey og Virginia – USAPol.dk
usapol.dk
November 3, 2025 at 9:27 PM
Overordnet om guvernørvalgene:

Virginia: Spanberger (D) er stort set sikker på at blive guvernør. Mest spændende er valget til justitsminister, hvor Jason Miyares (R) er foran i meningsmålingerne.

New Jersey: Favoritværdighed til Mikie Sherrill (D), men få målinger er vitterligt tætte.
November 2, 2025 at 4:34 PM
Demokratisk fordel, men en pæn mængde udfaldsmuligheder i New Jerseys guvernørvalg på tirsdag ifølge tre målinger, der er udgivet i dag:

Emerson: Sherrill (D) +2
Suffolk: Sherrill (D) +4
Quinnipiac: Sherrill (D) +8
New Jersey Governor Election 2025: Latest Polls
Track the latest polls about Democrat Mikie Sherrill and Republican Jack Ciattarelli in the New Jersey gubernatorial election.
www.nytimes.com
October 30, 2025 at 7:58 PM