Ingo Rohlfing
@ingorohlfing.bsky.social
I am here for all interesting and funny posts on the social sciences, broadly understood and including open science and meta science, academia, teaching and research. https://linktr.ee/ingorohlfing
Harnessing generative artificial intelligence for teaching statistics in medical research: Strategies for accurate hypothesis testing
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....
Using julius.ai, the article describes how to use LLMs in a stats class. I don't want to sound harsh, but it is not clear 1/
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....
Using julius.ai, the article describes how to use LLMs in a stats class. I don't want to sound harsh, but it is not clear 1/
November 10, 2025 at 4:44 PM
Harnessing generative artificial intelligence for teaching statistics in medical research: Strategies for accurate hypothesis testing
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....
Using julius.ai, the article describes how to use LLMs in a stats class. I don't want to sound harsh, but it is not clear 1/
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....
Using julius.ai, the article describes how to use LLMs in a stats class. I don't want to sound harsh, but it is not clear 1/
Reposted by Ingo Rohlfing
This. First, it suggests reviews = meta-analyses, whereas 'reviews' actually encompasses loads of types, which may or may not involve meta-analysis. Second, it's not about needing fewer of them - we need fewer bad ones and more good ones
Also not sure about #2 - at least in public health and other policy relevant fields. Often what policymakers need most is a really good review article. If we want evidence to inform policy specifically reducing that type of study wouldn't be where I'd start.
I am slow to react to this recent Stockholm Declaration on scientific publishing. A lot of it sounds good, but I don't see how we get from here to there. I worry nothing substantial will happen until the cost disease kills the host.
November 7, 2025 at 1:08 PM
This. First, it suggests reviews = meta-analyses, whereas 'reviews' actually encompasses loads of types, which may or may not involve meta-analysis. Second, it's not about needing fewer of them - we need fewer bad ones and more good ones
Reposted by Ingo Rohlfing
We might ask whether we still need data visualization training when we have powerful LLMs to help us. Certainly, LLMs can help to optimize our code. But without a profound understanding of the produced code, we run the risk of creating figures that may look nice but that misrepresent our data. (6/n)
November 6, 2025 at 1:58 PM
We might ask whether we still need data visualization training when we have powerful LLMs to help us. Certainly, LLMs can help to optimize our code. But without a profound understanding of the produced code, we run the risk of creating figures that may look nice but that misrepresent our data. (6/n)
Reposted by Ingo Rohlfing
🧵There's this phenomenon you sometimes see in certain corners of science where a small group of researchers all work on the same narrow topic and mostly just talk to each other. It becomes a really insular community: everyone cites everyone else, ... 1/5
November 6, 2025 at 9:38 AM
🧵There's this phenomenon you sometimes see in certain corners of science where a small group of researchers all work on the same narrow topic and mostly just talk to each other. It becomes a really insular community: everyone cites everyone else, ... 1/5
Reposted by Ingo Rohlfing
A spicier opinion is that academia taking back publishing is not necessarily a path to innovation and efficiency. Do you associate universities with efficiency? The problem with for-profit publishing is not the profit, it's the oligopoly power of major publishers. Anti-trust in our lifetime?
November 6, 2025 at 9:33 AM
A spicier opinion is that academia taking back publishing is not necessarily a path to innovation and efficiency. Do you associate universities with efficiency? The problem with for-profit publishing is not the profit, it's the oligopoly power of major publishers. Anti-trust in our lifetime?
Reposted by Ingo Rohlfing
Hört hört: "Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft will Daten aus US-Clouds holen" | heise online
www.heise.de/news/US-Clou...
@dfg.de kündigt eigene Förderlinie an, um Forschungsdaten sicherer auf europäischer Cloud lagern zu können.
www.heise.de/news/US-Clou...
@dfg.de kündigt eigene Förderlinie an, um Forschungsdaten sicherer auf europäischer Cloud lagern zu können.
November 4, 2025 at 9:27 AM
Hört hört: "Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft will Daten aus US-Clouds holen" | heise online
www.heise.de/news/US-Clou...
@dfg.de kündigt eigene Förderlinie an, um Forschungsdaten sicherer auf europäischer Cloud lagern zu können.
www.heise.de/news/US-Clou...
@dfg.de kündigt eigene Förderlinie an, um Forschungsdaten sicherer auf europäischer Cloud lagern zu können.
The methodological stagnation of #sociology is related to its left-wing skew
link.springer.com/article/10.1... #MetaScience I don't have access, but there is a detailed abstract. Argument goes political homogeneity => no truth-seeking => no interest in rigor and openness 1/
link.springer.com/article/10.1... #MetaScience I don't have access, but there is a detailed abstract. Argument goes political homogeneity => no truth-seeking => no interest in rigor and openness 1/
November 3, 2025 at 9:00 PM
The methodological stagnation of #sociology is related to its left-wing skew
link.springer.com/article/10.1... #MetaScience I don't have access, but there is a detailed abstract. Argument goes political homogeneity => no truth-seeking => no interest in rigor and openness 1/
link.springer.com/article/10.1... #MetaScience I don't have access, but there is a detailed abstract. Argument goes political homogeneity => no truth-seeking => no interest in rigor and openness 1/
Dealing with 1 color #dataviz
www.matplotlib-journey.com/module2/deal... Very useful intro to the different ways of picking a color. Didn't know so far what RGB stands for and how hEX codes work. Plus there is the HSV method combining color, saturation and brightness.
www.matplotlib-journey.com/module2/deal... Very useful intro to the different ways of picking a color. Didn't know so far what RGB stands for and how hEX codes work. Plus there is the HSV method combining color, saturation and brightness.
November 3, 2025 at 4:44 PM
Dealing with 1 color #dataviz
www.matplotlib-journey.com/module2/deal... Very useful intro to the different ways of picking a color. Didn't know so far what RGB stands for and how hEX codes work. Plus there is the HSV method combining color, saturation and brightness.
www.matplotlib-journey.com/module2/deal... Very useful intro to the different ways of picking a color. Didn't know so far what RGB stands for and how hEX codes work. Plus there is the HSV method combining color, saturation and brightness.
Reposted by Ingo Rohlfing
arXiv will no longer accept review articles and position papers unless they have been accepted at a journal or a conference and complete successful peer review.
This is due to being overwhelmed by a hundreds of AI generated papers a month.
Yet another open submission process killed by LLMs.
This is due to being overwhelmed by a hundreds of AI generated papers a month.
Yet another open submission process killed by LLMs.
Attention Authors: Updated Practice for Review Articles and Position Papers in arXiv CS Category – arXiv blog
blog.arxiv.org
November 1, 2025 at 5:28 PM
arXiv will no longer accept review articles and position papers unless they have been accepted at a journal or a conference and complete successful peer review.
This is due to being overwhelmed by a hundreds of AI generated papers a month.
Yet another open submission process killed by LLMs.
This is due to being overwhelmed by a hundreds of AI generated papers a month.
Yet another open submission process killed by LLMs.
Reposted by Ingo Rohlfing
My theory is that for practitioners, regression models should be like pocket money: you get a fixed number per week to do whatever you like with until we're sure you won't blow the whole lot on silly stuff, get caught up in a get-rich-quick scheme, or accidentally leave them in a drawer somewhere.
This paper’s been popping as “evidence” that you can’t do real #causalinference w/ obs data. To me it shows you need rigorous pre-specified design (in addition to the willingness to fold when your hypothesis is not possible to answer with the data at hand). #EpiSky, #CausalSky, #AcademicSky
November 2, 2025 at 4:20 PM
My theory is that for practitioners, regression models should be like pocket money: you get a fixed number per week to do whatever you like with until we're sure you won't blow the whole lot on silly stuff, get caught up in a get-rich-quick scheme, or accidentally leave them in a drawer somewhere.
Reposted by Ingo Rohlfing
Better get your paper submissions in for the @epssnet.bsky.social conference in June 2026, as the deadline is 7 November, and we have no intention of extended that (given the submission numbers)!
epssnet.org/belfast-2026...
epssnet.org/belfast-2026...
Call for Papers | EPSS Belfast 2026 Conference
Submit your abstract or full paper for EPSS Belfast 2026. Share cutting‑edge political science research, network with peers & contribute to academic impact.
epssnet.org
November 1, 2025 at 11:45 AM
Better get your paper submissions in for the @epssnet.bsky.social conference in June 2026, as the deadline is 7 November, and we have no intention of extended that (given the submission numbers)!
epssnet.org/belfast-2026...
epssnet.org/belfast-2026...
Reposted by Ingo Rohlfing
A useful discussion tool is: At what point would you expect your peers (or whoever your target audience might be, such as members of the public) to throw rotten tomatoes at you for bragging about your tiny effect size? At what point would you be embarrassed?
October 31, 2025 at 5:48 PM
A useful discussion tool is: At what point would you expect your peers (or whoever your target audience might be, such as members of the public) to throw rotten tomatoes at you for bragging about your tiny effect size? At what point would you be embarrassed?
Trotz Kritik: Forschungsministerium fördert umstrittenes Projekt gegen Antisemitismus - correctiv.org
correctiv.org/aktuelles/in...
Das Ministerium hat u.a. ein "conditional accept" ausgesprochen, bevor es die externe Zweitbegutachtung gab und die Bewilligung gegen Bedenken durchgezogen. 1/
correctiv.org/aktuelles/in...
Das Ministerium hat u.a. ein "conditional accept" ausgesprochen, bevor es die externe Zweitbegutachtung gab und die Bewilligung gegen Bedenken durchgezogen. 1/
October 31, 2025 at 4:04 PM
Trotz Kritik: Forschungsministerium fördert umstrittenes Projekt gegen Antisemitismus - correctiv.org
correctiv.org/aktuelles/in...
Das Ministerium hat u.a. ein "conditional accept" ausgesprochen, bevor es die externe Zweitbegutachtung gab und die Bewilligung gegen Bedenken durchgezogen. 1/
correctiv.org/aktuelles/in...
Das Ministerium hat u.a. ein "conditional accept" ausgesprochen, bevor es die externe Zweitbegutachtung gab und die Bewilligung gegen Bedenken durchgezogen. 1/
Reposted by Ingo Rohlfing
There still seems to be a lot of confusion about significance testing in psych. No, p-values *don’t* become useless at large N. This flawed point also used to be framed as "too much power". But power isn't the problem – it's 1) unbalanced error rates and 2) the (lack of a) SESOI. 1/ >
But here's, the thing, p values and significance become useless at such large sample sizes. When you're dividing the coefficient by the SE and the sample size is in the tens of thousands, EVERYTHING IS SIGNIFICANT. All you're testing is whether the coefficient is different than zero.
October 31, 2025 at 8:13 AM
There still seems to be a lot of confusion about significance testing in psych. No, p-values *don’t* become useless at large N. This flawed point also used to be framed as "too much power". But power isn't the problem – it's 1) unbalanced error rates and 2) the (lack of a) SESOI. 1/ >
Reposted by Ingo Rohlfing
🚨 Job alert! 🚨
(English in comment)
An meinem Lehrbereich ist zum 1.2.26 eine Postdoc-Stelle (100%) zu besetzen. Gesucht wird ein*e Kandidat*in mit Kenntnissen in quantitativen Methoden sowie Expertise in einschlägigen Themenbereichen. Mehr hier: www.verwaltung.uni-halle.de/dezern3/Auss...
(English in comment)
An meinem Lehrbereich ist zum 1.2.26 eine Postdoc-Stelle (100%) zu besetzen. Gesucht wird ein*e Kandidat*in mit Kenntnissen in quantitativen Methoden sowie Expertise in einschlägigen Themenbereichen. Mehr hier: www.verwaltung.uni-halle.de/dezern3/Auss...
www.verwaltung.uni-halle.de
October 30, 2025 at 1:52 PM
🚨 Job alert! 🚨
(English in comment)
An meinem Lehrbereich ist zum 1.2.26 eine Postdoc-Stelle (100%) zu besetzen. Gesucht wird ein*e Kandidat*in mit Kenntnissen in quantitativen Methoden sowie Expertise in einschlägigen Themenbereichen. Mehr hier: www.verwaltung.uni-halle.de/dezern3/Auss...
(English in comment)
An meinem Lehrbereich ist zum 1.2.26 eine Postdoc-Stelle (100%) zu besetzen. Gesucht wird ein*e Kandidat*in mit Kenntnissen in quantitativen Methoden sowie Expertise in einschlägigen Themenbereichen. Mehr hier: www.verwaltung.uni-halle.de/dezern3/Auss...
{DAGassist} let's you process a DAG and estimate models giving {dagitty} input and baseline model #CausalSky #rstats
cran.r-project.org/web/packages... I think {ggdag} has more to offer for analysis of a DAG, while {DAGassist} is a one-stop package for classifying variables and getting estimates
cran.r-project.org/web/packages... I think {ggdag} has more to offer for analysis of a DAG, while {DAGassist} is a one-stop package for classifying variables and getting estimates
October 30, 2025 at 7:16 PM
{DAGassist} let's you process a DAG and estimate models giving {dagitty} input and baseline model #CausalSky #rstats
cran.r-project.org/web/packages... I think {ggdag} has more to offer for analysis of a DAG, while {DAGassist} is a one-stop package for classifying variables and getting estimates
cran.r-project.org/web/packages... I think {ggdag} has more to offer for analysis of a DAG, while {DAGassist} is a one-stop package for classifying variables and getting estimates
Reposted by Ingo Rohlfing
Das #Forschungsministerium fördert seit Juli 2025 ein Projekt gegen #Antisemitismus an Schulen – geleitet vom #Islamismus-Experten Ahmad Mansour. CORRECTIV liegen Unterlagen vor, die auf die Verletzung von wissenschaftlichen Standards hindeuten.
Trotz Kritik: Forschungsministerium fördert umstrittenes Projekt gegen Antisemitismus
Forschungsministerium fördert Antisemitismus-Projekt unter Ahmad Mansour – internen Zweifel an Wissenschaftlichkeit zu Trotz.
correctiv.org
October 30, 2025 at 9:08 AM
Das #Forschungsministerium fördert seit Juli 2025 ein Projekt gegen #Antisemitismus an Schulen – geleitet vom #Islamismus-Experten Ahmad Mansour. CORRECTIV liegen Unterlagen vor, die auf die Verletzung von wissenschaftlichen Standards hindeuten.
Reposted by Ingo Rohlfing
Check out or new article — published today in @poppublicsphere.bsky.social — where we discuss and provide guidelines for the construction and use of datasets.
We draw on our lessons from three major data collection efforts on education policies and systems 👇
We draw on our lessons from three major data collection efforts on education policies and systems 👇
NOW OUT ON FV!!
Enhancing #Transparency & #Replicability in #Data #Collection: Lessons from the Construction of 3 #Education #Datasets
By @adridelrio.bsky.social, Woseeok Kim, @chknutsen.bsky.social, @anjaneundorf.bsky.social, Agustina S. Paglayan & @eugenian.bsky.social
doi.org/10.1017/S153...
Enhancing #Transparency & #Replicability in #Data #Collection: Lessons from the Construction of 3 #Education #Datasets
By @adridelrio.bsky.social, Woseeok Kim, @chknutsen.bsky.social, @anjaneundorf.bsky.social, Agustina S. Paglayan & @eugenian.bsky.social
doi.org/10.1017/S153...
October 30, 2025 at 2:03 PM
Check out or new article — published today in @poppublicsphere.bsky.social — where we discuss and provide guidelines for the construction and use of datasets.
We draw on our lessons from three major data collection efforts on education policies and systems 👇
We draw on our lessons from three major data collection efforts on education policies and systems 👇
The World Bank’s Reproducible Research Initiative: Raising the Bar for Transparency in Development Economics
www.bitss.org/the-world-ba... #OpenScience Laudable. World Bank steps up its game. 1/
www.bitss.org/the-world-ba... #OpenScience Laudable. World Bank steps up its game. 1/
October 28, 2025 at 6:53 PM
The World Bank’s Reproducible Research Initiative: Raising the Bar for Transparency in Development Economics
www.bitss.org/the-world-ba... #OpenScience Laudable. World Bank steps up its game. 1/
www.bitss.org/the-world-ba... #OpenScience Laudable. World Bank steps up its game. 1/
Reposted by Ingo Rohlfing
CamPoS (Cambridge Philosophy of Science seminar series) is now on Bluesky! Please see our upcoming talks here: www.hps.cam.ac.uk/news-events/...
CamPoS | Department of History and Philosophy of Science
CamPoS (Cambridge Philosophy of Science) is a network of academics and students working in the philosophy of science in various parts of the University of Cambridge, including the Department of Histor...
www.hps.cam.ac.uk
October 2, 2025 at 3:31 PM
CamPoS (Cambridge Philosophy of Science seminar series) is now on Bluesky! Please see our upcoming talks here: www.hps.cam.ac.uk/news-events/...
Reposted by Ingo Rohlfing
We wrote an article explaining why you shouldn't put several variables into a regression model and report which are statistically significant - even as exploratory research. bmjmedicine.bmj.com/content/4/1/.... How did we do?
October 27, 2025 at 5:39 PM
We wrote an article explaining why you shouldn't put several variables into a regression model and report which are statistically significant - even as exploratory research. bmjmedicine.bmj.com/content/4/1/.... How did we do?
Absolut nachvollziehbar. Es ist schwer, sich mit einem Standort zu identifizieren, wenn das Ende ohnehin absehbar ist und man das regelmäßg vermittelt bekommt. Und wenn einem aus diesem Grund Aufgaben nicht anvertraut werden, weil man es nicht darf oder soll. (z.B. Mitwirkung in bestimmten Gremien)
October 28, 2025 at 11:25 AM
Absolut nachvollziehbar. Es ist schwer, sich mit einem Standort zu identifizieren, wenn das Ende ohnehin absehbar ist und man das regelmäßg vermittelt bekommt. Und wenn einem aus diesem Grund Aufgaben nicht anvertraut werden, weil man es nicht darf oder soll. (z.B. Mitwirkung in bestimmten Gremien)
Reposted by Ingo Rohlfing
in my post-academic era i have become extremely scathing of the way academia considers papers to the primary outcome of intellectual work, and refuses to give credit to academics who write software or build other tooling. in industry we very rarely read your papers; but we always use your software
October 28, 2025 at 2:15 AM
in my post-academic era i have become extremely scathing of the way academia considers papers to the primary outcome of intellectual work, and refuses to give credit to academics who write software or build other tooling. in industry we very rarely read your papers; but we always use your software