Danielle Navarro
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djnavarro.net
Danielle Navarro
@djnavarro.net
not very committed to sparkle motion
cats do not believe in capitalism
October 31, 2025 at 4:24 AM
in my post-academic era i have become extremely scathing of the way academia considers papers to the primary outcome of intellectual work, and refuses to give credit to academics who write software or build other tooling. in industry we very rarely read your papers; but we always use your software
October 28, 2025 at 2:15 AM
i ran to the city today. first time post-covid back at my preferred 10k distance. yay me. i'm grateful to be back in the world but god i'm so skittish now. enclosed, crowded spaces freak me out. had to find a pharmacist to buy a mask just so that i could work up the courage to get on a train home
October 26, 2025 at 12:27 AM
oh fuck me. i wrote "Newton-Raphson" where techncially i should have written "Gauss-Newton" and i panicked at my error when ffs literally nobody who reads the report will ever care about the distinction
October 24, 2025 at 12:52 AM
there are numerous criteria upon which programming languages can be assessed. but i would like to assert that, among the languages in widespread usage, #rstats is the cuntiest. intended in both the complimentary and derogatory senses, at the same time, with anger and love
October 23, 2025 at 1:02 AM
my love-hate relationship with lazy evaluation in #rstats is very much in a "hate" phase at the moment. please send flowers or at least kind thoughts
October 23, 2025 at 12:34 AM
This is a really good article by Julia Baird. Australian democracy is still working pretty well, unlike other countries one might name. But we still face a lot of the same pressures, and it's not clear how resilient our system is.

www.themonthly.com.au/october-2025...
Watershed: How resilient is Australia’s democracy?
This year’s Boyer Lectures will consider whether our democratic system will hold in the face of global headwinds
www.themonthly.com.au
October 22, 2025 at 2:18 AM
"short skirt, long jacket" plays very differently to me now, 10 years post-transition and in possession of both a short skirt and a looooong jacket
October 20, 2025 at 7:54 AM
i feel very down on bluesky at the moment.
October 5, 2025 at 1:09 AM
Reposted by Danielle Navarro
Love that the lack of safety for trans people on here is a fucking punchline to Jay
October 1, 2025 at 7:20 PM
Quote with your yellow art 💛
September 30, 2025 at 10:36 PM
Reposted by Danielle Navarro
A great post from @djnavarro.net, providing an accessible explanation of why statistics that can appear to reveal our ignorance may actually do the opposite. Makes excellent use of #datavis to provide visual support for the argument.

blog.djnavarro.net/posts/2025-0...
Some notes on probability judgement – Notes from a data witch
For the love of fuck, literally nobody thinks that 20% of the population is transgender. Please stop sharing that ridiculous YouGov statistic
blog.djnavarro.net
September 28, 2025 at 7:04 AM
A few words on survey weights, why I'm embarrassed to have forgotten to take them into account in the past, and how I got lucky because I personally didn't get burned. Not a mistake I intend to repeat in the future

blog.djnavarro.net/posts/2025-0...
Some notes on survey weights – Notes from a data witch
An area of statistics in which the author is not strong, and really needs to up her game
blog.djnavarro.net
September 28, 2025 at 6:16 AM
Reposted by Danielle Navarro
Prediction modelling hat on: this great post extends to how humans interact with predictions. Generally we appear to be good at discrimination, ie ranking things by risk. Calibration OTOH: cooked. Maybe we should focus decision support on realistic risk preds, w less focus on AUROC?
#statsky #rstats
Against my better instincts, I have written some notes on how human probability judgements work and what you should expect from surveys that ask people to guess what proportion of the population is transgender. I hope never to speak of this matter again
Some notes on probability judgement – Notes from a data witch
For the love of fuck, literally nobody thinks that 20% of the population is transgender. Please stop sharing that ridiculous YouGov statistic
blog.djnavarro.net
September 24, 2025 at 4:45 AM
Reposted by Danielle Navarro
For this week's #TidyTuesday chess player rating data, I made an annotated barcode plot to show the distribution of age by title ♟️ It was hard to set a good transparency level for the lines since there's such a difference between the number of male and female players 📊

#RStats #DataViz #ggplot2
September 22, 2025 at 10:39 AM
Against my better instincts, I have written some notes on how human probability judgements work and what you should expect from surveys that ask people to guess what proportion of the population is transgender. I hope never to speak of this matter again
Some notes on probability judgement – Notes from a data witch
For the love of fuck, literally nobody thinks that 20% of the population is transgender. Please stop sharing that ridiculous YouGov statistic
blog.djnavarro.net
September 21, 2025 at 3:38 PM
for once i have managed to write a short blog post on a lazy sunday arvo, picking up on a suggestion from @coolbutuseless.fosstodon.org.ap.brid.gy for generating procedural palettes in #rstats. it works better than i expected

blog.djnavarro.net/posts/2025-0...
Linear cosine palettes – Notes from a data witch
Kind of a generative art thing, but mostly an attempt by the author to prove to herself that a she can write a short blog post without turning it into a goddamn monograph
blog.djnavarro.net
September 14, 2025 at 6:58 AM
Reposted by Danielle Navarro
I like this post because it explains distributional regression so clearly. It's not magic folks, just more regressions.
September 9, 2025 at 6:53 AM
It’s been a little overshadowed by the slightly unexpected mental health issues that hit me very hard yesterday afternoon, but for what it’s worth here’s the GAMLSS regression post I’ve been working on for the past month #rstats

blog.djnavarro.net/posts/2025-0...
GAMLSS, NHANES, and my own personal hell – Notes from a data witch
Fiiiiiiinally she writes the cursed GAMLSS post. Oh and it’s also about the NHANES data set I guess
blog.djnavarro.net
September 8, 2025 at 11:13 PM
Reposted by Danielle Navarro
May we all write as spitefully and beautifully as @djnavarro.net writes about splines here 🙏

READ THIS NOW
September 8, 2025 at 2:12 AM
At the risk of stretching the imagination beyond the limits of human endurance, the reader is asked to pretend that the author is interested in splines #rstats
Splines, B-splines, P-splines, and a disapproving kitten – Notes from a data witch
No, I do not care about splines. But I am trying to learn about GAMLSS regression, and yes, it is to this dark place that this topic has taken me
blog.djnavarro.net
September 8, 2025 at 1:41 AM
i have finally found a need to use rlang::env_clone() in the wild. please kill me
September 4, 2025 at 11:32 PM
Reposted by Danielle Navarro
I’m especially proud of this article I wrote about Gaussian Processes for the Recast blog! 🥳

GPs are super interesting, but it’s not easy to wrap your head around them at first 🤔

This is a medium level (more intuition than math) introduction to GPs for time series.

getrecast.com/gaussian-pro...
August 29, 2025 at 5:11 PM
she smol
August 23, 2025 at 6:58 AM