Hugo Ferrinho Lopes
@hferrinholopes.bsky.social
Lecturer at Iscte-IUL & @uminho.bsky.social 🎓
I study how political parties adapt, endure, and fracture under grassroots and youth wing pressure — and how it affects party change, behavior and representation. 🗳️🔄🏛️
🔗 https://hugoferrinholopes.github.io/
I study how political parties adapt, endure, and fracture under grassroots and youth wing pressure — and how it affects party change, behavior and representation. 🗳️🔄🏛️
🔗 https://hugoferrinholopes.github.io/
Pinned
Fueled by coffee, lifted by friends: PhD done ✅🎓
Reposted by Hugo Ferrinho Lopes
How are contemporary cleavage structures stabilized in times of declining mass social and political organizations?
In this new paper with @davidattewell6.bsky.social @bjpols.bsky.social, we suggest that homogeneous social (educational) networks provide part of the answer.
tinyurl.com/49cs8jwp
In this new paper with @davidattewell6.bsky.social @bjpols.bsky.social, we suggest that homogeneous social (educational) networks provide part of the answer.
tinyurl.com/49cs8jwp
Educational Networks, Social Closure, and Cleavage Stabilization | British Journal of Political Science | Cambridge Core
Educational Networks, Social Closure, and Cleavage Stabilization - Volume 55
tinyurl.com
November 6, 2025 at 8:28 AM
How are contemporary cleavage structures stabilized in times of declining mass social and political organizations?
In this new paper with @davidattewell6.bsky.social @bjpols.bsky.social, we suggest that homogeneous social (educational) networks provide part of the answer.
tinyurl.com/49cs8jwp
In this new paper with @davidattewell6.bsky.social @bjpols.bsky.social, we suggest that homogeneous social (educational) networks provide part of the answer.
tinyurl.com/49cs8jwp
Reposted by Hugo Ferrinho Lopes
Better get your paper submissions in for the @epssnet.bsky.social conference in June 2026, as the deadline is 7 November, and we have no intention of extended that (given the submission numbers)!
epssnet.org/belfast-2026...
epssnet.org/belfast-2026...
Call for Papers | EPSS Belfast 2026 Conference
Submit your abstract or full paper for EPSS Belfast 2026. Share cutting‑edge political science research, network with peers & contribute to academic impact.
epssnet.org
November 1, 2025 at 11:45 AM
Better get your paper submissions in for the @epssnet.bsky.social conference in June 2026, as the deadline is 7 November, and we have no intention of extended that (given the submission numbers)!
epssnet.org/belfast-2026...
epssnet.org/belfast-2026...
Reposted by Hugo Ferrinho Lopes
— Call for papers —
International Conference "Democracy Under Siege: Global Fascism, Populism, and Illiberalism", Institute of Social Science, University of Lisbon, June 18-20, 2026. Deadline for proposals of papers, panels, "meet the author", and "research projects" sessions, January 31, 2026.
International Conference "Democracy Under Siege: Global Fascism, Populism, and Illiberalism", Institute of Social Science, University of Lisbon, June 18-20, 2026. Deadline for proposals of papers, panels, "meet the author", and "research projects" sessions, January 31, 2026.
Democracy Under Siege: Global Fascism, Populism, Illiberalism // Eight Convention of the International Association for Comparative Fascist Studies // Org. ComFas | ICS - ULisboa
ICS-ULisboa / Lisbon / 18-20 June 2026
The debate on the similarities and differences between fascism, authoritarianism, and populism has been present in political discourse since the first half of th...
forms.gle
October 30, 2025 at 11:34 AM
— Call for papers —
International Conference "Democracy Under Siege: Global Fascism, Populism, and Illiberalism", Institute of Social Science, University of Lisbon, June 18-20, 2026. Deadline for proposals of papers, panels, "meet the author", and "research projects" sessions, January 31, 2026.
International Conference "Democracy Under Siege: Global Fascism, Populism, and Illiberalism", Institute of Social Science, University of Lisbon, June 18-20, 2026. Deadline for proposals of papers, panels, "meet the author", and "research projects" sessions, January 31, 2026.
Reposted by Hugo Ferrinho Lopes
Just prepped this slide on party membership numbers for a class. Shout if you think/know I've got it wrong as plenty of time to change it. PS I suspect the Tory figure is below 100,000 now but can't prove it, of course. PPS If anyone has an official/updated figure for Plaid, I'd love to know it!
October 29, 2025 at 4:05 PM
Just prepped this slide on party membership numbers for a class. Shout if you think/know I've got it wrong as plenty of time to change it. PS I suspect the Tory figure is below 100,000 now but can't prove it, of course. PPS If anyone has an official/updated figure for Plaid, I'd love to know it!
Reposted by Hugo Ferrinho Lopes
We have just advertised a Full Prof position in the Political and Social Sciences department at the EUI (@eui-sps.bsky.social). Here are the details. Please spread the word, and get in touch if you have any questions.
www.eui.eu/Documents/Se...
www.eui.eu/Documents/Se...
www.eui.eu
October 23, 2025 at 2:03 PM
We have just advertised a Full Prof position in the Political and Social Sciences department at the EUI (@eui-sps.bsky.social). Here are the details. Please spread the word, and get in touch if you have any questions.
www.eui.eu/Documents/Se...
www.eui.eu/Documents/Se...
Reposted by Hugo Ferrinho Lopes
German study shows how far right sets agenda thanks to mainstream parties reshaping their communications to respond to what are initially fringe issues, boosting the spread of these ideas and signalling to voters that these ideas and stances were legitimate
shorturl.at/OFfig
shorturl.at/OFfig
German far right setting agenda as opponents amplify its ideas, study finds
Normalisation of far-right stances likely to affect success of such parties at ballot boxes across Europe, say researchers
www.theguardian.com
October 18, 2025 at 7:48 AM
German study shows how far right sets agenda thanks to mainstream parties reshaping their communications to respond to what are initially fringe issues, boosting the spread of these ideas and signalling to voters that these ideas and stances were legitimate
shorturl.at/OFfig
shorturl.at/OFfig
Reposted by Hugo Ferrinho Lopes
Surprised at the responses to this. People need to understand that parties and vote choices are endogenous to the electoral system (read Duverger!). So a change like this would not mean 20% of voters not being respected. Parties would merge and voters would be strategic.
NL needs an electoral threshold, eg. 4% (as in Sweden). It would encourage smaller parties to merge, voters to coordinate around medium and larger parties, and make coalition formation easier, governments more stable, and improve governability overall.
Come on guys, Europe needs you to do this!
Come on guys, Europe needs you to do this!
The Peilingwijzer poll of polls for the Netherlands has been updated to include the latest poll of Ipsos I&O.
📊 📈 All graphs & figures: https://peilingwijzer.tomlouwerse.nl/
Source Ipsos I&O: https://is.gd/35hl01
📊 📈 All graphs & figures: https://peilingwijzer.tomlouwerse.nl/
Source Ipsos I&O: https://is.gd/35hl01
October 17, 2025 at 11:21 AM
Surprised at the responses to this. People need to understand that parties and vote choices are endogenous to the electoral system (read Duverger!). So a change like this would not mean 20% of voters not being respected. Parties would merge and voters would be strategic.
NL needs an electoral threshold, eg. 4% (as in Sweden). It would encourage smaller parties to merge, voters to coordinate around medium and larger parties, and make coalition formation easier, governments more stable, and improve governability overall.
Come on guys, Europe needs you to do this!
Come on guys, Europe needs you to do this!
The Peilingwijzer poll of polls for the Netherlands has been updated to include the latest poll of Ipsos I&O.
📊 📈 All graphs & figures: https://peilingwijzer.tomlouwerse.nl/
Source Ipsos I&O: https://is.gd/35hl01
📊 📈 All graphs & figures: https://peilingwijzer.tomlouwerse.nl/
Source Ipsos I&O: https://is.gd/35hl01
October 17, 2025 at 10:28 AM
Reposted by Hugo Ferrinho Lopes
@dpzollinger.bsky.social and I are thrilled "Cleavage Politics in Western Democracies" is out as an SI at @wepsocial.bsky.social!
Its papers explore the foundations of the cleavage pitting new left against radical right parties, and how it compares to the classic cleavages of Lipset & Rokkan:
🧵⬇️
Its papers explore the foundations of the cleavage pitting new left against radical right parties, and how it compares to the classic cleavages of Lipset & Rokkan:
🧵⬇️
October 7, 2025 at 11:28 AM
@dpzollinger.bsky.social and I are thrilled "Cleavage Politics in Western Democracies" is out as an SI at @wepsocial.bsky.social!
Its papers explore the foundations of the cleavage pitting new left against radical right parties, and how it compares to the classic cleavages of Lipset & Rokkan:
🧵⬇️
Its papers explore the foundations of the cleavage pitting new left against radical right parties, and how it compares to the classic cleavages of Lipset & Rokkan:
🧵⬇️
Fueled by coffee, lifted by friends: PhD done ✅🎓
October 1, 2025 at 9:21 PM
Fueled by coffee, lifted by friends: PhD done ✅🎓
Reposted by Hugo Ferrinho Lopes
Debating (and challenging) the concept of "Competitive authoritarian" as a regime type. Opening session of the MA in Politics, ISCTE-IUL, Lisbon.
October 1, 2025 at 9:01 PM
Debating (and challenging) the concept of "Competitive authoritarian" as a regime type. Opening session of the MA in Politics, ISCTE-IUL, Lisbon.
Reposted by Hugo Ferrinho Lopes
@epsjournal.bsky.social has just published the articles of a special issue on "Political parties and youth’s political (under) representation", with an introduction by Daniel Stockemer (@uottawa.ca )
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
🧵
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
🧵
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1057/s41304-025-00521-z🧵
September 30, 2025 at 12:00 PM
@epsjournal.bsky.social has just published the articles of a special issue on "Political parties and youth’s political (under) representation", with an introduction by Daniel Stockemer (@uottawa.ca )
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
🧵
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
🧵
Reposted by Hugo Ferrinho Lopes
🚨New article out 🚨
Party youth wings are often described as partners that trade votes for influence with their senior parties. But how do their own members see it?
In this article I examine whether they think their organizations' mission is to influence the senior party or to support it.
Party youth wings are often described as partners that trade votes for influence with their senior parties. But how do their own members see it?
In this article I examine whether they think their organizations' mission is to influence the senior party or to support it.
Influence or support? Member perspectives on youth wings in political parties - European Political Science
Political parties maintain connections with various sub-organisations to engage different segments of society. Common among these are party youth wings. These relationships are often described as mutual, where votes are exchanged for policies. However, little research delves into how members of these sub-organisations perceive their roles in relation to the senior party. Based on a web survey of approximately 3000 respondents, this study investigates the views of youth wing members within Swedish political parties. Specifically, it explores whether members believe their youth wing’s primary role should be to influence or support the senior party. Drawing on theories of political engagement incentives, it examines the connection between members’ political and career motivations and their perceptions of these roles. Results suggest that those with career-oriented incentives tend to view the youth wing as supportive, while politically motivated members prioritise influencing the senior party. This research contributes to our understanding of the complex dynamics within political parties and their affiliated organisations, shedding light on how individual motivations shape organisational roles.
link.springer.com
September 26, 2025 at 6:33 AM
🚨New article out 🚨
Party youth wings are often described as partners that trade votes for influence with their senior parties. But how do their own members see it?
In this article I examine whether they think their organizations' mission is to influence the senior party or to support it.
Party youth wings are often described as partners that trade votes for influence with their senior parties. But how do their own members see it?
In this article I examine whether they think their organizations' mission is to influence the senior party or to support it.
Reposted by Hugo Ferrinho Lopes
The @lsegovernment.bsky.social Political Behaviour Seminar Series will be back for the '25/26 academic year, as usually on Thursdays, 4-5pm, in CBG 4.17. Let us know if you are external and want to attend in-person, or join remotely on Zoom. More info here: www.lse.ac.uk/government/r...
Political Behaviour
The Political Behaviour research group brings together faculty and students from across the LSE to share research on public opinion, voting and elections.
www.lse.ac.uk
September 11, 2025 at 2:21 PM
The @lsegovernment.bsky.social Political Behaviour Seminar Series will be back for the '25/26 academic year, as usually on Thursdays, 4-5pm, in CBG 4.17. Let us know if you are external and want to attend in-person, or join remotely on Zoom. More info here: www.lse.ac.uk/government/r...
Reposted by Hugo Ferrinho Lopes
All this suggests we should probably stop assuming respondents are insincere when answering questions about "democracy" and, instead, continue caring deeply about the many other challenges involved in measuring these attitudes. (end)
September 12, 2025 at 1:20 PM
All this suggests we should probably stop assuming respondents are insincere when answering questions about "democracy" and, instead, continue caring deeply about the many other challenges involved in measuring these attitudes. (end)
Reposted by Hugo Ferrinho Lopes
Long ago, in a study of the democratic attitudes in Germany, Dalton raised the possibility of “Fragebogendemokraten” (questionnaire democrats): people who hesitate to express their sincere dislike for “democracy” in surveys, providing instead the “socially desirable” response (1)
September 12, 2025 at 1:20 PM
Long ago, in a study of the democratic attitudes in Germany, Dalton raised the possibility of “Fragebogendemokraten” (questionnaire democrats): people who hesitate to express their sincere dislike for “democracy” in surveys, providing instead the “socially desirable” response (1)
Just finished this book — definitely worth the read.
🎉 Huge congratulations to our brilliant LSE @lsegovernment.bsky.social colleague, Mathias Poertner @mathiaspoertner.bsky.social for winning APSA’s Leon Epstein book award for his excellent book Creating Partisans!
www.cambridge.org/gb/universit...
👇
www.cambridge.org/gb/universit...
👇
September 11, 2025 at 9:17 PM
Just finished this book — definitely worth the read.
Reposted by Hugo Ferrinho Lopes
Call for papers (in Portuguese) For a conference on Portuguese transition to democracy, Gulbenkian Foundation, Lisbon, November 25, 2025.
Seminário “O 25 de Novembro de 1975: 50 anos depois” - Comissão Comemorativa 50 Anos 25 Abril
No dia 25 de novembro de 2025, a Comissão Comemorativa 50 anos 25 de Abril promove, na Fundação Calouste Gulbenkian, um seminário dedicado à investigação e à reflexão crítica sobre este momento marcan...
50anos25abril.pt
September 11, 2025 at 10:12 AM
Call for papers (in Portuguese) For a conference on Portuguese transition to democracy, Gulbenkian Foundation, Lisbon, November 25, 2025.
Reposted by Hugo Ferrinho Lopes
This is relevant work 👇🏼
Radical-right parties are often linked to the “left-behind”. But supporting them when stigma is strong is costly. So who is willing to pay that cost early on, before it’s normalized?
In my new WP, I argue that breaking political norms is socially stratified. 🧵👇
In my new WP, I argue that breaking political norms is socially stratified. 🧵👇
September 8, 2025 at 11:15 AM
This is relevant work 👇🏼
Reposted by Hugo Ferrinho Lopes
For a moment, I was reading this and thinking it looked interesting.
Then I realised I wrote it.
Anyway, it's interesting if you're into youth wings, party organisation, young people & politics etc.
Then I realised I wrote it.
Anyway, it's interesting if you're into youth wings, party organisation, young people & politics etc.
📘 64.4
Are youth party members more radical than leadership?
A 🇪🇺 study of 4,000+ youth wing members finds larger numbers of radicals especially on the centre-left with longer tenure than aligned members
#PoliticalScience #YouthPolitics #PartyCohesion
Read more: buff.ly/12M2XwC
Are youth party members more radical than leadership?
A 🇪🇺 study of 4,000+ youth wing members finds larger numbers of radicals especially on the centre-left with longer tenure than aligned members
#PoliticalScience #YouthPolitics #PartyCohesion
Read more: buff.ly/12M2XwC
Young radicals, moderates and aligned: Ideological congruence and incongruence in party youth wings
DUNCAN MCDONNELL, SOFIA AMMASSARI, ANNIKA WERNER, NIKLAS BOLIN, MARCO VALBRUZZI, HUGO FERRINHO LOPES, REINHARD HEINISCH, ANN-CATHRINE JUNGAR, CARSTEN WEGSCHEIDER
buff.ly
September 8, 2025 at 8:22 AM
For a moment, I was reading this and thinking it looked interesting.
Then I realised I wrote it.
Anyway, it's interesting if you're into youth wings, party organisation, young people & politics etc.
Then I realised I wrote it.
Anyway, it's interesting if you're into youth wings, party organisation, young people & politics etc.
Reposted by Hugo Ferrinho Lopes
Radical right accommodation really does not work.
New paper out with this exceptionally talented team
@katharinalawall.bsky.social @robjohns75.bsky.social @drjennings.bsky.social @sarahobolt.bsky.social @zachdickson.bsky.social @danjdevine.bsky.social & @jack-bailey.co.uk
doi.org/10.31235/osf...
New paper out with this exceptionally talented team
@katharinalawall.bsky.social @robjohns75.bsky.social @drjennings.bsky.social @sarahobolt.bsky.social @zachdickson.bsky.social @danjdevine.bsky.social & @jack-bailey.co.uk
doi.org/10.31235/osf...
September 5, 2025 at 6:50 AM
Radical right accommodation really does not work.
New paper out with this exceptionally talented team
@katharinalawall.bsky.social @robjohns75.bsky.social @drjennings.bsky.social @sarahobolt.bsky.social @zachdickson.bsky.social @danjdevine.bsky.social & @jack-bailey.co.uk
doi.org/10.31235/osf...
New paper out with this exceptionally talented team
@katharinalawall.bsky.social @robjohns75.bsky.social @drjennings.bsky.social @sarahobolt.bsky.social @zachdickson.bsky.social @danjdevine.bsky.social & @jack-bailey.co.uk
doi.org/10.31235/osf...
Reposted by Hugo Ferrinho Lopes
Economic crises tend to favour the right. Voters tend to assign greater importance to issues owned by the right. When center-right parties preside over a crisis, voters often drift further rightward to nationalist parties rather than defect to the left onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
American Journal of Political Science | MPSA Journal | Wiley Online Library
How do voters respond to economic crises: Do they turn against the incumbent, reward a certain political camp, polarize to the extremes, or perhaps continue to vote much like before? Analyzing extens....
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
September 4, 2025 at 6:48 AM
Economic crises tend to favour the right. Voters tend to assign greater importance to issues owned by the right. When center-right parties preside over a crisis, voters often drift further rightward to nationalist parties rather than defect to the left onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...