Hunter
@hbreezy11.bsky.social
Reposted by Hunter
New @budgetlab.bsky.social tariff analysis incorporating the Administration's new list of "reciprocal" tariffs published last night and going into effect August 7, as well as maintaining the 25% rate on Mexico. In brief...
1/10
1/10
August 1, 2025 at 3:56 PM
New @budgetlab.bsky.social tariff analysis incorporating the Administration's new list of "reciprocal" tariffs published last night and going into effect August 7, as well as maintaining the 25% rate on Mexico. In brief...
1/10
1/10
Reposted by Hunter
Ok people are misunderstanding what happened with Colin Wright. This isn't just a regular grift. What happened is Colin Wright's PhD advisor was Jonathan Pruitt who got caught perpetrating massive academic fraud. Pruitt was a coauthor on virtually everything Colin had published.
This guy *admits* he applied for "countless" tenure-track positions and ultimately had to leave academia because nobody would hire him. He claims, though, that Ivy League Cornell filled their position with a Black person who couldn't possibly be more qualified than him.
www.wsj.com/opinion/corn...
www.wsj.com/opinion/corn...
Opinion | Cornell University Discriminated Against Me
I was excluded from a candidate search on the basis of my race and have filed an EEOC complaint.
www.wsj.com
August 1, 2025 at 1:57 PM
Ok people are misunderstanding what happened with Colin Wright. This isn't just a regular grift. What happened is Colin Wright's PhD advisor was Jonathan Pruitt who got caught perpetrating massive academic fraud. Pruitt was a coauthor on virtually everything Colin had published.
Reposted by Hunter
July ESR broadly in-line
Payrolls +73k vs +104k exp/+147k prev
2m net revision -11k
Unemployment 4.2% vs 4.2% exp/4.1% prev
Avg hourly earnings +0.3% MoM vs +0.3% exp/+0.2% prev
LFPR 62.2% vs 62.3% exp/62.3% prev
Still to come today: July man'f PMIs, construction spending, UMich final for July
Payrolls +73k vs +104k exp/+147k prev
2m net revision -11k
Unemployment 4.2% vs 4.2% exp/4.1% prev
Avg hourly earnings +0.3% MoM vs +0.3% exp/+0.2% prev
LFPR 62.2% vs 62.3% exp/62.3% prev
Still to come today: July man'f PMIs, construction spending, UMich final for July
Employment Situation Report for July at 8:30a ET.
Payrolls expected +104k vs +147k in June
Unemployment expected 4.2% vs 4.1% prev
Avg hourly earnings expected +0.3% MoM vs +0.2% prev
LFPR expected 62.3% vs 62.3% prev
Payrolls expected +104k vs +147k in June
Unemployment expected 4.2% vs 4.1% prev
Avg hourly earnings expected +0.3% MoM vs +0.2% prev
LFPR expected 62.3% vs 62.3% prev
August 1, 2025 at 12:30 PM
July ESR broadly in-line
Payrolls +73k vs +104k exp/+147k prev
2m net revision -11k
Unemployment 4.2% vs 4.2% exp/4.1% prev
Avg hourly earnings +0.3% MoM vs +0.3% exp/+0.2% prev
LFPR 62.2% vs 62.3% exp/62.3% prev
Still to come today: July man'f PMIs, construction spending, UMich final for July
Payrolls +73k vs +104k exp/+147k prev
2m net revision -11k
Unemployment 4.2% vs 4.2% exp/4.1% prev
Avg hourly earnings +0.3% MoM vs +0.3% exp/+0.2% prev
LFPR 62.2% vs 62.3% exp/62.3% prev
Still to come today: July man'f PMIs, construction spending, UMich final for July
Reposted by Hunter
Happy #JobsDay!
At 8:30 am ET, BLS delivers one of the most-important signals abt how economy is changing.
Forecasts’ center:
+100K jobs
Unemployment rate (UR) ticks up to 4.2% from 4.1%
At 8:30 am ET, BLS delivers one of the most-important signals abt how economy is changing.
Forecasts’ center:
+100K jobs
Unemployment rate (UR) ticks up to 4.2% from 4.1%
August 1, 2025 at 12:28 PM
Happy #JobsDay!
At 8:30 am ET, BLS delivers one of the most-important signals abt how economy is changing.
Forecasts’ center:
+100K jobs
Unemployment rate (UR) ticks up to 4.2% from 4.1%
At 8:30 am ET, BLS delivers one of the most-important signals abt how economy is changing.
Forecasts’ center:
+100K jobs
Unemployment rate (UR) ticks up to 4.2% from 4.1%
Reposted by Hunter
Believe it or not, the EU-US trade deal just got messier.
The White House has published a fact-sheet about the agreement with claims that directly contradict the European Commission's version of events.
Let's take a closer look.
The White House has published a fact-sheet about the agreement with claims that directly contradict the European Commission's version of events.
Let's take a closer look.
Fact Sheet: The United States and European Union Reach Massive Trade Deal
MAKING GLOBAL HISTORY: Yesterday, President Donald J. Trump announced a trade deal with the European Union (EU), fundamentally rebalancing the economic
www.whitehouse.gov
July 28, 2025 at 9:35 PM
Believe it or not, the EU-US trade deal just got messier.
The White House has published a fact-sheet about the agreement with claims that directly contradict the European Commission's version of events.
Let's take a closer look.
The White House has published a fact-sheet about the agreement with claims that directly contradict the European Commission's version of events.
Let's take a closer look.
Reposted by Hunter
DOGE "is using a new artificial intelligence tool to slash federal regulations, with the goal of eliminating half of Washington’s regulatory mandates by the first anniversary of President Donald Trump’s inauguration, according to documents obtained by The Washington Post" and four govt officials.
DOGE builds AI tool to cut 50 percent of federal regulations
The U.S. DOGE Service is using a new AI tool to eliminate federal regulations, aiming to cut 50 percent of rules by the first anniversary of President Donald Trump’s inauguration.
wapo.st
July 26, 2025 at 1:56 PM
DOGE "is using a new artificial intelligence tool to slash federal regulations, with the goal of eliminating half of Washington’s regulatory mandates by the first anniversary of President Donald Trump’s inauguration, according to documents obtained by The Washington Post" and four govt officials.
Reposted by Hunter
Why am I so unimpressed by these strikes? Israel and the US have failed to target significant elements of Iran's nuclear materials and production infrastructure. RISING LION and MIDNIGHT HAMMER are tactically brilliant, but may turn out to be strategic failures. 🧵 1/17
June 23, 2025 at 1:27 AM
Why am I so unimpressed by these strikes? Israel and the US have failed to target significant elements of Iran's nuclear materials and production infrastructure. RISING LION and MIDNIGHT HAMMER are tactically brilliant, but may turn out to be strategic failures. 🧵 1/17
Reposted by Hunter
“Why’d they call it a Twitch stream? They should’ve called it Twatch.”
~Deep Thoughts with Cody Bellinger~
~Deep Thoughts with Cody Bellinger~
January 14, 2025 at 9:25 PM
“Why’d they call it a Twitch stream? They should’ve called it Twatch.”
~Deep Thoughts with Cody Bellinger~
~Deep Thoughts with Cody Bellinger~
Reposted by Hunter
Just listened to a strategist interviewed on Bloomberg Radio who described lower spending, no tax increase, and a reduced deficit as the "holy grail" that could "kickstart a secular bull market".
This is incredibly stupid macroeconomics and gets the analysis precisely backward. A 🧵.
This is incredibly stupid macroeconomics and gets the analysis precisely backward. A 🧵.
November 12, 2024 at 11:10 AM
Just listened to a strategist interviewed on Bloomberg Radio who described lower spending, no tax increase, and a reduced deficit as the "holy grail" that could "kickstart a secular bull market".
This is incredibly stupid macroeconomics and gets the analysis precisely backward. A 🧵.
This is incredibly stupid macroeconomics and gets the analysis precisely backward. A 🧵.