Guy Baily
@guybaily.bsky.social
Interested in health politics, global health and left politics generally. KONP. Retired infectious diseases physician. London
(also second rate bird photography)
(also second rate bird photography)
Reposted by Guy Baily
![Cartoon by Stephen Collins for The Guardian. Script as follows:
[scene is Winston Churchill in a bbc studio, giving his 'finest hour' speech]
1
CHURCHILL:
The whole fury and might of the enemy must very soon be turned on us.
2
CHURCHILL:
Hitler knows that he will have to break us in this Island or lose the war.
3
CHURCHILL:
If we can stand up to him, all Europe may be free
and the life of the world may move forward into broad, sun-
BBC PRESENTER:
Thank you prime minister
4
BBC PRESENTER:
Mr hitler, your response?
5
HITLER [in the studio]:
Vell zis is hysterical woke nonsense as usual from mr Churchill
6
HITLER:
What we are proposing -
CHURCHILL:
Hang on
7
HITLER:
Let me finish - what we are proposing eez a simple power-sharing arrangement -
8
CHURCHILL:
What's he doing here
BBC PRESENTER:
It's important we hear both sides of the debate
9
CHURCHILL:
This isn't a debate
You don't debate fascists
10
HITLER:
Oh here we go with ze Godwins law!
11
HITLER:
Why must you people always compare ze things you don't like to 'fascists, Nazis, Hitler'...
CHURCHILL:
Because you are a fascist Nazi Hit-
12
HITLER [standing up, saluting]:
RAUSS!
BBC PRESENTER:
*Please* Mr Churchill let him speak
[ends]](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:4m3we4apbjayclzcnhwe3pfp/bafkreibw4ldc3fhslbvxgy2oqrof2oys5kpgh7zu6a5f3usmx3lf4547qm@jpeg)
Reposted by Guy Baily
corporations are composed of humans but are not human. The reality they respect and respond to is not ours. They are INCAPABLE of understanding the harms of pollution, exploitation, climate change. The most important function of government now is to curtail their natural tendencies.
We are being eaten alive by rapacious private firms.
Government continue to feed us like meat to them when one of the prime jobs of governments should be to protect people from exploitation.
Government continue to feed us like meat to them when one of the prime jobs of governments should be to protect people from exploitation.
In our increasingly monetised country more & more public money goes to support private profit - benefits going to pay private rents, benefits supporting workers who are not paid decent wages by employers, taxpayers’ money going to support privatise firms in NHS and to subsidise private train firms…
November 4, 2025 at 10:36 AM
corporations are composed of humans but are not human. The reality they respect and respond to is not ours. They are INCAPABLE of understanding the harms of pollution, exploitation, climate change. The most important function of government now is to curtail their natural tendencies.
Reposted by Guy Baily
On 4 October 2025, Trafalgar Square saw the Lift The Ban protest, where hundreds were arrested for showing support for Palestine Action after the government banned it under terrorism laws. 1/4
www.youtube.com/watch?v=v3xf...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=v3xf...
REQUIEM FOR PROTEST
YouTube video by Page75 Investigates
www.youtube.com
October 17, 2025 at 2:39 PM
On 4 October 2025, Trafalgar Square saw the Lift The Ban protest, where hundreds were arrested for showing support for Palestine Action after the government banned it under terrorism laws. 1/4
www.youtube.com/watch?v=v3xf...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=v3xf...
Reposted by Guy Baily
No, it's not. It's all a lie. The blunt truth is across the 1991, 2001, 2011 and 2021 Census *every* ethnic group in the UK has become *less* geographically segregated and *all* groups, majority and minorities, are more likely to interact with people not like them.
Outstanding piece by Stephen Daisley.
Ethnicity is no barrier to Britishness - it's culture and integration.
That means 'smaller cohorts and aggressive integration policies' - and tackling the institutions that 'have amplified grievance narratives and radical anti-Western ideologies'.
Ethnicity is no barrier to Britishness - it's culture and integration.
That means 'smaller cohorts and aggressive integration policies' - and tackling the institutions that 'have amplified grievance narratives and radical anti-Western ideologies'.
October 8, 2025 at 11:15 AM
No, it's not. It's all a lie. The blunt truth is across the 1991, 2001, 2011 and 2021 Census *every* ethnic group in the UK has become *less* geographically segregated and *all* groups, majority and minorities, are more likely to interact with people not like them.
Reposted by Guy Baily
www.theguardian.com/news/ng-inte... It is time for Europe to understand what normal life in Gaza was BEFORE THE WAR #Gaza #Stop_occupation
‘A collective anxiety attack’: the psychology of unexplained drone sightings across Europe
Incursions have so far caused few physical effects but experts say such incidents can leave people feeling more vulnerable
www.theguardian.com
October 5, 2025 at 12:30 PM
www.theguardian.com/news/ng-inte... It is time for Europe to understand what normal life in Gaza was BEFORE THE WAR #Gaza #Stop_occupation
Reposted by Guy Baily
Right wing media has had it in for Angela Rayner from the start - they couldn’t bear a working class woman being so powerful & dynamic. She made a mistake and has paid heavily for it. Very much hope she’ll return at some point in the future - our politics desperately needs more voices like hers
September 5, 2025 at 1:52 PM
Right wing media has had it in for Angela Rayner from the start - they couldn’t bear a working class woman being so powerful & dynamic. She made a mistake and has paid heavily for it. Very much hope she’ll return at some point in the future - our politics desperately needs more voices like hers
This from @roylilley1.bsky.social latest blog post
"The NHS struggles to modernise because its complexity outpaces leadership capacity. Short-term political cycles undermine long-term reform. Finance and workforce crises drain transformation energy."
"The NHS struggles to modernise because its complexity outpaces leadership capacity. Short-term political cycles undermine long-term reform. Finance and workforce crises drain transformation energy."
July 8, 2025 at 12:54 PM
This from @roylilley1.bsky.social latest blog post
"The NHS struggles to modernise because its complexity outpaces leadership capacity. Short-term political cycles undermine long-term reform. Finance and workforce crises drain transformation energy."
"The NHS struggles to modernise because its complexity outpaces leadership capacity. Short-term political cycles undermine long-term reform. Finance and workforce crises drain transformation energy."
Reposted by Guy Baily
As @roylilley1.bsky.social reminds us there’ve been three major long-term national plans for the NHS in England since 2000:
The NHS Plan (2000),
the Five Year Forward View (2014),
and the NHS Long Term Plan (2019).
Will this one do any better?
The NHS Plan (2000),
the Five Year Forward View (2014),
and the NHS Long Term Plan (2019).
Will this one do any better?
July 4, 2025 at 9:06 AM
As @roylilley1.bsky.social reminds us there’ve been three major long-term national plans for the NHS in England since 2000:
The NHS Plan (2000),
the Five Year Forward View (2014),
and the NHS Long Term Plan (2019).
Will this one do any better?
The NHS Plan (2000),
the Five Year Forward View (2014),
and the NHS Long Term Plan (2019).
Will this one do any better?
Reposted by Guy Baily
This 83-year-old priest has just been arrested for holding a sign which read:
“I oppose genocide. I support Palestine Action.”
According to Starmer’s new law, this puts her in the same category as an ISIS or Al-Qaeda terrorist, with a prison sentence of up to 14 years.
“I oppose genocide. I support Palestine Action.”
According to Starmer’s new law, this puts her in the same category as an ISIS or Al-Qaeda terrorist, with a prison sentence of up to 14 years.
July 5, 2025 at 3:18 PM
This 83-year-old priest has just been arrested for holding a sign which read:
“I oppose genocide. I support Palestine Action.”
According to Starmer’s new law, this puts her in the same category as an ISIS or Al-Qaeda terrorist, with a prison sentence of up to 14 years.
“I oppose genocide. I support Palestine Action.”
According to Starmer’s new law, this puts her in the same category as an ISIS or Al-Qaeda terrorist, with a prison sentence of up to 14 years.
Reposted by Guy Baily
Air pollution must be recognised as a public health issue.
Our report 'A breath of fresh air' highlights evidence on the increased range of health impacts linked to air pollution.
The government needs to treat #airpollution as a serious & preventable health risk.
🔗 ow.ly/F3yq50Wc7wr
#CleanAirDay
Our report 'A breath of fresh air' highlights evidence on the increased range of health impacts linked to air pollution.
The government needs to treat #airpollution as a serious & preventable health risk.
🔗 ow.ly/F3yq50Wc7wr
#CleanAirDay
June 19, 2025 at 8:56 AM
Air pollution must be recognised as a public health issue.
Our report 'A breath of fresh air' highlights evidence on the increased range of health impacts linked to air pollution.
The government needs to treat #airpollution as a serious & preventable health risk.
🔗 ow.ly/F3yq50Wc7wr
#CleanAirDay
Our report 'A breath of fresh air' highlights evidence on the increased range of health impacts linked to air pollution.
The government needs to treat #airpollution as a serious & preventable health risk.
🔗 ow.ly/F3yq50Wc7wr
#CleanAirDay
Reposted by Guy Baily
One thing social media has taught me (though I have definitely experienced it in other media too): a lot of people, even quite smart people, are worryingly bad at reading comprehension. For instance: many have trouble distinguishing between someone *describing* a thing and *advocating* that thing.
June 10, 2025 at 8:23 AM
One thing social media has taught me (though I have definitely experienced it in other media too): a lot of people, even quite smart people, are worryingly bad at reading comprehension. For instance: many have trouble distinguishing between someone *describing* a thing and *advocating* that thing.
Reposted by Guy Baily
The tech companies have massively overhyped the capabilities of AI and massively downplayed the dangers.
And the UK government has fallen for it, hook, line and sinker.
And the UK government has fallen for it, hook, line and sinker.
June 9, 2025 at 11:13 AM
The tech companies have massively overhyped the capabilities of AI and massively downplayed the dangers.
And the UK government has fallen for it, hook, line and sinker.
And the UK government has fallen for it, hook, line and sinker.
Reposted by Guy Baily
If a Large Language Model (LLM) - a workhorse of AI - sees something repeated a lot, it considers it truth.
It cannot tell the difference between a novel and a work of non-fiction.
The politicians are out of their minds swallowing the hype of the tech companies and letting this technology run riot
It cannot tell the difference between a novel and a work of non-fiction.
The politicians are out of their minds swallowing the hype of the tech companies and letting this technology run riot
June 4, 2025 at 3:12 PM
If a Large Language Model (LLM) - a workhorse of AI - sees something repeated a lot, it considers it truth.
It cannot tell the difference between a novel and a work of non-fiction.
The politicians are out of their minds swallowing the hype of the tech companies and letting this technology run riot
It cannot tell the difference between a novel and a work of non-fiction.
The politicians are out of their minds swallowing the hype of the tech companies and letting this technology run riot
Reposted by Guy Baily
Performative, empty grandstanding from Streeting as per
www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2025...
www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2025...
Bosses of hospitals that spend too much or treat too few will not get pay rise
Health secretary instigates ‘carrot and stick’ policy for England that will award bonuses for cutting waiting times
www.theguardian.com
May 15, 2025 at 11:02 AM
Performative, empty grandstanding from Streeting as per
www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2025...
www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2025...
Reposted by Guy Baily
Someone show this to Starmer. (Idealy while locking McSweeney in a cupboard)
And the rest of this thread too: UK voters exist in 2 'blocks' - left/liberal and right. There is much voter movement within the blocks but litttle between them. The coveted hero voters are largely unavilable to Labour
And the rest of this thread too: UK voters exist in 2 'blocks' - left/liberal and right. There is much voter movement within the blocks but litttle between them. The coveted hero voters are largely unavilable to Labour
BONUS GRAPH
In 2024, Reform voters strongly disliked Labour – and vice versa.
Supporters of other left-liberal parties also disliked Reform.
It seems hard for Labour to make Reform voters like them (if they even could) without alienating their current or potential base…
In 2024, Reform voters strongly disliked Labour – and vice versa.
Supporters of other left-liberal parties also disliked Reform.
It seems hard for Labour to make Reform voters like them (if they even could) without alienating their current or potential base…
May 13, 2025 at 1:11 PM
Someone show this to Starmer. (Idealy while locking McSweeney in a cupboard)
And the rest of this thread too: UK voters exist in 2 'blocks' - left/liberal and right. There is much voter movement within the blocks but litttle between them. The coveted hero voters are largely unavilable to Labour
And the rest of this thread too: UK voters exist in 2 'blocks' - left/liberal and right. There is much voter movement within the blocks but litttle between them. The coveted hero voters are largely unavilable to Labour
Reposted by Guy Baily
The story about Reform's successes in the elections overlooked the fact that the left actually did better than the right. So that'll be media bias again.
Welcome to this week's Pecksniff's Diary from @pecksniffsdiary.bsky.social
Welcome to this week's Pecksniff's Diary from @pecksniffsdiary.bsky.social
Pecksniff: The election results swing not to Reform, but to the left
In which Mr Pecksniff lays before his readers for their approval certain observations and speculations reflecting on the political life
eastangliabylines.co.uk
May 10, 2025 at 6:37 AM
The story about Reform's successes in the elections overlooked the fact that the left actually did better than the right. So that'll be media bias again.
Welcome to this week's Pecksniff's Diary from @pecksniffsdiary.bsky.social
Welcome to this week's Pecksniff's Diary from @pecksniffsdiary.bsky.social
Reposted by Guy Baily
The brilliant @mrhenrymorris.bsky.social of the famous Papua New Guinea Courier wins the internet this morning by describing Darren Grimes as "thicker than a boxing day turd" 😂
The PNG Courier on Grimes, Starmer and the Trumpanzees
"Earlier generations would have hesitated to hire Durham’s dummkopf as a scarecrow"
mrhenrymorris.substack.com
May 8, 2025 at 7:04 AM
The brilliant @mrhenrymorris.bsky.social of the famous Papua New Guinea Courier wins the internet this morning by describing Darren Grimes as "thicker than a boxing day turd" 😂
Reposted by Guy Baily
Standing against genocide
Greens ✅
Lab ❌
Taxing wealth
Greens ✅
Lab ❌
Standing against NHS privitisation
Greens ✅
Lab ❌
Calling for public sector pay restoration
Greens ✅
Lab ❌
Nationalisation of energy and water
Greens ✅
Lab ❌
join.greenparty.org.uk
Greens ✅
Lab ❌
Taxing wealth
Greens ✅
Lab ❌
Standing against NHS privitisation
Greens ✅
Lab ❌
Calling for public sector pay restoration
Greens ✅
Lab ❌
Nationalisation of energy and water
Greens ✅
Lab ❌
join.greenparty.org.uk
May 7, 2025 at 6:53 PM
Standing against genocide
Greens ✅
Lab ❌
Taxing wealth
Greens ✅
Lab ❌
Standing against NHS privitisation
Greens ✅
Lab ❌
Calling for public sector pay restoration
Greens ✅
Lab ❌
Nationalisation of energy and water
Greens ✅
Lab ❌
join.greenparty.org.uk
Greens ✅
Lab ❌
Taxing wealth
Greens ✅
Lab ❌
Standing against NHS privitisation
Greens ✅
Lab ❌
Calling for public sector pay restoration
Greens ✅
Lab ❌
Nationalisation of energy and water
Greens ✅
Lab ❌
join.greenparty.org.uk
Reposted by Guy Baily
There isn’t a policy reason and it isn’t what people want. A whole sector will go through a lot of needless pain because some Labour advisors can’t understand that voters do not (1) react to all immigration the same or (2) want all immigration reduced at any cost
The underlying notion here is that there is a policy reason to reduce international students, and also that this is something people want? And I have to say, I don't buy it.
In my view (1) the mass university system we have built since the 1970s is now likely coming to an end, if not in this Parliament than in the next; (2) university bankruptcies (perhaps disguised as mergers) are inevitable. Sorry, but there it is.
May 4, 2025 at 9:02 PM
There isn’t a policy reason and it isn’t what people want. A whole sector will go through a lot of needless pain because some Labour advisors can’t understand that voters do not (1) react to all immigration the same or (2) want all immigration reduced at any cost
Reposted by Guy Baily
(... which is more than Reform, by the way)
🚀 Following Thursday's election we've reached a new record high 859 councillors on 181 councils!
💚 The Green Party is the only party offering a real alternative to the tired old parties.
Join the Green Party today to help us keep delivering real hope and real change ⤵️
💚 The Green Party is the only party offering a real alternative to the tired old parties.
Join the Green Party today to help us keep delivering real hope and real change ⤵️
May 3, 2025 at 2:54 PM
(... which is more than Reform, by the way)
Reposted by Guy Baily
To pre-order the paperback 👇🏽
www.waterstones.com/book/unheard...
It’s also available in hardback, audiobook and ebook at the usual outlets.
www.waterstones.com/book/unheard...
It’s also available in hardback, audiobook and ebook at the usual outlets.
April 30, 2025 at 6:38 AM
To pre-order the paperback 👇🏽
www.waterstones.com/book/unheard...
It’s also available in hardback, audiobook and ebook at the usual outlets.
www.waterstones.com/book/unheard...
It’s also available in hardback, audiobook and ebook at the usual outlets.
Reposted by Guy Baily
Tl;dr - one lesson of blue wall 2024 results is that if you keep telling voters you dislike them and will ignore them, sooner or later they will believe you. Labour seem determined to ignore that lesson.
April 30, 2025 at 1:19 PM
Tl;dr - one lesson of blue wall 2024 results is that if you keep telling voters you dislike them and will ignore them, sooner or later they will believe you. Labour seem determined to ignore that lesson.
Reposted by Guy Baily
Really important thread.
Politicians keep pretending apps & tech can magically make people better, healthier, happier.
Too many credulous journalists keep lapping it up.
Trial participants keep saying meh, no thanks.
Politicians keep pretending apps & tech can magically make people better, healthier, happier.
Too many credulous journalists keep lapping it up.
Trial participants keep saying meh, no thanks.
This is a *key* new paper in the world of school mental health interventions
A very large trial (N=6388) testing a universal CBT-based app for adolescent depression (13-14y)
No effects found (on depression, anxiety, distress or insomnia)
(🧵)
mentalhealth.bmj.com/content/28/1...
A very large trial (N=6388) testing a universal CBT-based app for adolescent depression (13-14y)
No effects found (on depression, anxiety, distress or insomnia)
(🧵)
mentalhealth.bmj.com/content/28/1...
April 30, 2025 at 7:04 AM
Really important thread.
Politicians keep pretending apps & tech can magically make people better, healthier, happier.
Too many credulous journalists keep lapping it up.
Trial participants keep saying meh, no thanks.
Politicians keep pretending apps & tech can magically make people better, healthier, happier.
Too many credulous journalists keep lapping it up.
Trial participants keep saying meh, no thanks.